2010 AFL season thread

[Wade Dwayne]

Thanks a lot everyone! I was worried at half time, but i think Hels reverse jinx got the Cats there for me
by the way, yes Hels, 7.167 is the payout X the wager! I put 5 units on it...Im a very happy man right now, and very grateful to the guys here who introduced me to PYOL multis

Another good week! I love Footy

These PYOL multis look really good. which books offer them?

[b3diddy]

These PYOL multis look really good. which books offer them?

centerbet.com

[nocode1]

Ok people Round 3 now....here are my early leans for this weeks multi

1.30 COLLINGWOOD (Handicap +39.5)
1.14 PORT ADELAIDE (Handicap +39.5)
1.25 FREMANTLE (Handicap +39.5)
1.14 NORTH MELBOURNE (Handicap +39.5)
1.31 MELBOURNE (Handicap +39.5)
1.17 CARLTON (Handicap +24.5)
Legs : 6
3.23

Thoughts please

[kingfish28]

Ok people Round 3 now....here are my early leans for this weeks multi

1.30 COLLINGWOOD (Handicap +39.5)
1.14 PORT ADELAIDE (Handicap +39.5)
1.25 FREMANTLE (Handicap +39.5)
1.14 NORTH MELBOURNE (Handicap +39.5)
1.31 MELBOURNE (Handicap +39.5)
1.17 CARLTON (Handicap +24.5)
Legs : 6
3.23

Thoughts please

Hey nocode. Ok the pies not overly keen on as I dont rate them as a genuine premiership contender Id much rather take St kilda around +30. Love the port bet at hm, freo shouldnt get smashed by geelong and they have 2 players out mooney and scarlet which is going to hurt them. My bloody team nth you would think would go out and show something so should win this week. Melb will give the crows a scare if not win and carlton will beat ess and ** veigh looks like missing with blood infection. Looks good BOL

[nocode1]

Hey nocode. Ok the pies not overly keen on as I dont rate them as a genuine premiership contender Id much rather take St kilda around +30. Love the port bet at hm, freo shouldnt get smashed by geelong and they have 2 players out mooney and scarlet which is going to hurt them. My bloody team nth you would think would go out and show something so should win this week. Melb will give the crows a scare if not win and carlton will beat ess and ** veigh looks like missing with blood infection. Looks good BOL

I agree with everything you said....even the collingwood comment.....but i do see them taking it up to St.Kilda this week after last weeks effort and the Saints had a real easy one so they might be in for a shock.
Loving Freo they have turned the corner in my opinion just hope Geelong dont come out and have a bloody statement game,also Tarrant could be out for Freo, big loss as he would take Hawkins.North should be much improved this week and while im not sure they win im pretty sure they wont lose by more than 40 points.
Port are in a good spot right now, playing good footy and back at home, where as Brisbane are away and after 2 come from behind wins and Brown and Fev kicking more than half their score both weeks cant see em getting it done this week in adelaide.
Melboune is the tricky one, was last week a one off??? Adelaide can be a classy side but have not kicked more than 12 goals in a game all season and pre-season.If they do come out and have a good one which i think they might, i dont think they beat the Dees by more than 40 odd points.
Carlton Essendon games have been notoriously close in the last few years, with essendon winning most.however this time around Essendon will be without Lloyd,Lucas and Lovett who always killed Carlton, the blues will be missing Fev ofcourse and Judd but are still a better side than the Bombers.
I think Carlton will win but if they lose it shouldnt be by more than 24 points

[camel]

Round 3 - hard round to pick.

The only game that really sticks out is Brisbane and i like them against Port.

Adelaide line is at -14.5 atm and i'm not sure how Demons will respond after that 1 point loss, although Adelaide are just terrible at the moment.

Saints/Pies - hate them both personally, never rated either team. Pies have a shitehouse forward line that will get shut out and the way that the Saints defend i'd say that Pies would struggle to kick 10 goals. I'm going to keep an eye out for the total, cause if it's around 170, i'm going to hit the under.

[Domestic]

Round 3 - hard round to pick.

The only game that really sticks out is Brisbane and i like them against Port.

Adelaide line is at -14.5 atm and i'm not sure how Demons will respond after that 1 point loss, although Adelaide are just terrible at the moment.

Saints/Pies - hate them both personally, never rated either team. Pies have a shitehouse forward line that will get shut out and the way that the Saints defend i'd say that Pies would struggle to kick 10 goals. I'm going to keep an eye out for the total, cause if it's around 170, i'm going to hit the under.

Yeah, if total is anything like that I think Under is a very good play. If collingwood play anything like they did last week they will really struggle scoring against the St Kilda Midfield/backline.

[hedgejob]

Agree with camel on Brisbane. They had couple days extra rest too.

Geelong ML, currently 1.60 at Pinny. Freo beat a couple of crappy teams and now they face the best. Even without Mooney Geelong have too much quality.

North Melb ML. Eagles missing Hern in defense, he sets up a lot of their plays.

Ess/Cartlon. Always high scoring games.

Dogs/Hawks. Played at Etihad, taking the over whatever it's set at.

[camel]

I'm staying away from the Cats game cause i want to watch my Dockers beat them. I'm going to financially stay away from this game as i have too much emotion riding on it.... haha.

[kingfish28]

Agree with camel on Brisbane. They had couple days extra rest too.

Geelong ML, currently 1.60 at Pinny. Freo beat a couple of crappy teams and now they face the best. Even without Mooney Geelong have too much quality.

North Melb ML. Eagles missing
Hern in defense, he sets up a lot of their plays.

Ess/Cartlon. Always high scoring games.

Dogs/Hawks. Played at Etihad,
taking the over whatever it's set at.

I agree with total on the pies game, saints defense will hold coll easily to a low total. Unsure about the port game thinking there better than last year and while bris are 2-0 who have they really beaten eagles and Carlton without Judd, fev, Stevens and fisher and they were at hm, this will show where bris are at. If my team the kangas can't beat the eagles there on my blacklist for the season
mcveigh will be out for the dons that experience is a big loss.

[alias69]

saints will beat pies. saints midfield is too strong and jolly has been disappointing in ruck for the pies and who is gonna stop riewoldt, milne,schneider and co. saints 5 goals. power and lions is a toss up. im still not convinced with power, they seem to run hot and cold throughout the game, so we will c. the dees will have a big chance this w/end. blues should beat the bombers.

[camel]

Had the weirdest dream last night on the Dockers/Cats game.

Cats won by 18. Score was 37 - 19 and Darren Milburn kicked 6.1. Good thing Milburn isn't playing this week or my dream could've come true.

[kingfish28]

Shaw is out for tomorrows game. Saints look like good things

[Domestic]

Had the weirdest dream last night on the Dockers/Cats game. Cats won by 18. Score was 37 - 19 and Darren Milburn kicked 6.1. Good thing Milburn isn't playing this week or my dream could've come true.

[kingfish28]

Had the weirdest dream last night on the Dockers/Cats game.

Cats won by 18. Score was 37 - 19 and Darren Milburn kicked 6.1. Good thing Milburn isn't playing this week or my dream could've come true.

Does that mean we get on the under

[kingsr]

Pies always like to perform/test themselves against top teams. A coll win wouldn't suprise me at all. BOL Guys.

[camel]

Does that mean we get on the under

I think so!

Really too bad that Milburn isn't playing, i would've put a tenner on him to be the leading goal scorer of this round... imagine how much that would pay!

[kingfish28]

I think so!

Really too bad that Milburn isn't playing, i would've put a tenner on him to be the leading goal scorer of this round... imagine how much that would pay!

write your own ticket

[Ace_of_Spades]

The total in tonights match seems like an under. 180.5 looks like a spot on number. Personally am swaying towards the under, though Etihad Stadium has huge ground and that does mean more open scoring and that could kill the total. Hard total to pick.

Totals have been perfect so far.

[camel]

Ottens will be out of the Freo game. Hopefully this means that Kepler Bradley WILL NOT get a game for the Dockers.

[kingsr]

Heavy money being layed on StKilda ML is now 1.33 and the line is 20.5

[shari91]

On sportingbet the line is 18.5. I really don't know what to do with this game. Can't really take the Saints at 1.37, can I?

But the Pies worry me. They're one of those teams who can spoil a 'sure thing' against much better teams.

What to do? Skip it?

[camel]

SKIP IT. Both of these teams can shit on you at any time. When they play against each other, you've got massive diarrhea. Personally i'd stay away.

[TwoWays]

kingfish28, did you hit that multi last week? I don't remember. I just remember you hitting the first game, but lost track after that.

[Domestic]

SKIP IT. Both of these teams can shit on you at any time. When they play against each other, you've got massive diarrhea. Personally i'd stay away.

Agreed.

[ACoochy]

SKIP IT. Both of these teams can shit on you at any time. When they play against each other, you've got massive diarrhea. Personally i'd stay away.

Maybe a alternate perspective is in order..Please enjoy the following preview:

Thus far this AFL season both sides are undefeated, but that could easily have not been the case had cellar dwellar candidates Melbourne kicked a late goal against Collingwood. This near miss will undoubtedly spur the Magpies but they are coming up against a side that is scintillatingly hot. Don't expect the Saints to let their foot off the peddle either after a 104-point victory, for they will want to be just as ruthless with the team they defeated in last year's finals.

Scott Pendlebury was solid out of the middle last week for the Magpies but the entire St Kilda engine room was switched on, not to mention their captain and star forward Nick Riewoldt who did as he pleased against the hapless North Melbourne defence.

The pies will somehow have to try and control Sam Gilbert, whose drive out of half-back last week was only matched by his work in marking contests and awkward ability to evade the opposition. He has steadily improved each year since his debut for the Saints and it is not impossible for him become one of the competition's elite players.

So currently just how good is Collingwood? This writer believes somewhere between the side that defeated the Bulldogs and that almost got beaten by Melbourne, the Pies are still a few steps behind St Kilda.

In conclusion the magpies (collingwood) are still getting their team together, particularly its defensive structures and just how best to use Josh Fraser as a ruck/forward. The Saints (St. Kilda) are a slick machine that has everything in place and should come away from this with the points. My wager here is for St. Kilda -17.5 (+104, at betfair, 2 days ago) x2 units as i believe they wil win this game by 30+ points......

This should be a beauty of a game...GL guys and happy wagering...

[kingsr]

On sportingbet the line is 18.5. I really don't know what to do with this game. Can't really take the Saints at 1.37, can I?

But the Pies worry me. They're one of those teams who can spoil a 'sure thing' against much better teams.

What to do? Skip it?

You can take Stkilda ML, Melb storm ML and dragon ML in a parlay. You'll get around $2.00

[shari91]

You can take Stkilda ML, Melb storm ML and dragon ML in a parlay. You'll get around $2.00

Thanks for that! That's exactly what I did for 0.5x. Oh and jumped on the Bulls in Union as well so at least I'll have some sort of action tonight.

This game tonight gives me the creeps so I'm just going to sit back and watch. If my little parlay hits, awesome. If not, well then I'm glad I didn't risk any more on this damn game.

[camel]

thanks for that! That's exactly what i did for 0.5x. Oh and jumped on the bulls in union as well so at least i'll have some sort of action tonight.

go bulls!

[kingfish28]

kingfish28, did you hit that multi last week? I don't remember. I just remember you hitting the first game, but lost track after that.

Na didnt end up hitting it pies got me. I didnt check the rest but I think I may have missed 1 other leg I'm sure freo done me also. Another round or two and we should have a more clear view of whats happening.

[nocode1]

Brad Ottens out for Geelong.....along with Scarlett and Mooney.....freo at the line looks like a good bet this week

[b3diddy]

I think the Saints are going to cruise (and they should) but the pies are just one of those teams. Like Shari said "they can spoil a sure thing".
I should really skip this game but i cant help myself...

Saints -20.5 1x

[kingfish28]

Does anyone like the line tonight?? I just dont rate the pies at all and the saints look even more hungry than last year. I'm either going to ruin my weekend or start it off with a BANG. Im taking two big plays Saints straight up and saints at the line. Lets hope the weekend starts well

[nocode1]

Does anyone like the line tonight?? I just dont rate the pies at all and the saints look even more hungry than last year. I'm either going to ruin my weekend or start it off with a BANG. Im taking two big plays Saints straight up and saints at the line. Lets hope the weekend starts well

Dont like St.kilda at the line tonight i reckon the pies come out strong tonight after last weeks performance

[kingfish28]

Dont like St.kilda at the line tonight i reckon the pies come out strong tonight after last weeks performance

Maybe its because I hate the pies