Be the Ball Golf bets

**KVB** · 01-19-17, 02:50 PM

Originally posted by chico2663

list 40-1
lovemark 26-1

After careful consideration we ruled Lovemark out and classified him as a bad bet. Sometimes in golf it can be easier to rule out players when trying to find a winner. In the end it was felt that he had too much pga tour dot com press, as well as other press.

I've had players "ruled out" (regardless of the metric to say why) be the tournament winners. It will happen a couple of times a season. It's hard to tell when but early on it could be the case.

He's -2 through 67 holes and off to a great start. He looks to be a threat early.

**KVB** · 01-19-17, 02:54 PM

Originally posted by Snowball

CareerBuilder Challenge
Round 1
Simpson (-130) vs. Kaufman
$65/50

Simpson fukking with you here. This will be tough comeback the assmunch is already 5 over through 5 holes.

**chico2663** · 01-19-17, 04:12 PM

Originally posted by KVB

After careful consideration we ruled Lovemark out and classified him as a bad bet. Sometimes in golf it can be easier to rule out players when trying to find a winner. In the end it was felt that he had too much pga tour dot com press, as well as other pres
I've had players "ruled out" (regardless of the metric to say why) be the tournament winners. It will happen a couple of times a season. It's hard to tell when but early on it could be the case.

He's -2 through 67 holes and off to a great start. He looks to be a threat early.

thanks for the write up. I find it easier to watch golf when i'm rooting for someone.

**chico2663** · 01-19-17, 04:14 PM

played draft kings here is my lisr
haas,list,lovemark,reavie,stone and fabian gomez

**cwnotorious** · 01-19-17, 08:00 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Good post info here.

Edit...these courses offer the chance for anyone to go real low. Moving day and Sunday could bring some big surprises, or at least not so surprising but big place moves nonetheless.

Thx KVB your philly/billy combo off to a solid start bol going forward this week

Also my 1st round matchups went 3-2
Steele

List

Swafford

Kisner

Palmer

**KVB** · 01-20-17, 03:09 AM

Originally posted by KVB

I may not have been patient enough last time. The lines have lined up for me to take another shot at that favorite.

I picked up Patrick Reed +1850...

Short Description

Golf Futures - 2017 Golf Events - PGA - CareerBuilder Challenge - Odds to Win CareerBuilder Challenge 2017 - Patrick Reed +1850

...

Mickelson and Haas both look tempting at these levels, but I think that's why they are at these levels.

I took an alternative in Hudson Swafford at +1600...

Short Description

Golf Futures - 2017 Golf Events - PGA - CareerBuilder Challenge - Odds to Win CareerBuilder Challenge 2017 - Patrick Reed +1850

Golf Futures - 2017 Golf Events - PGA - CareerBuilder Challenge - Odds to win CareerBuilder Challenge 2017 - Hudson Swafford +1600

If there's a surprise this week, he's put himself in position, even though there are two different courses to play over the next two days. It seems the Stadium Course may be a bit tougher, there should be plenty of room to make up for mistakes on all courses. I think we see some low scores the next two days.

Good Luck.

**KVB** · 01-20-17, 03:11 AM

Originally posted by cwnotorious

Thx KVB your philly/billy combo off to a solid start...

They were just for the first round leader.

I got a little ambitious.

**KVB** · 01-20-17, 03:19 AM

Originally posted by canepole

CareerBuilder Challenge

J Lovemark +135 vs P Casey Tournament Matchup
B Haas -120 vs P Reed Tournament Matchup
D Lingmerth +105 vs H Swafford Tournament Matchup

After adding the last bets, I just realized I went against you with Swafford and Reed to win and ruled out Lovemark as a bad bet in another post.

Nothing personal...lol.

**KVB** · 01-20-17, 03:25 AM

Originally posted by Snowball

Here are a couple sites I will get ideas from...
...Walker's recent course comments in this link.(steve bamford's also)...

Interesting Tour Predictor on that site. I also think those write-ups aren't bad. He says all three courses had a Tournament Stimp of 10.5 and 11 ft.

That's pretty fast considering USGA calls fast 8.5 and suggests the US Open play at 10.5 ft.

I like his course summaries and bookmarked the site. If shows to be accurate, it could make for some quick research at one place.

**KVB** · 01-22-17, 07:45 AM

Originally posted by KVB

...I was able to pick up Hadwin +315 to win the Careerbuilder Challenge. That -13 from Hadwin was just too low for Saturday and I'm forced to react...

One more play for this tournament winner.

**canepole** · 01-23-17, 08:43 AM

Originally posted by KVB

After adding the last bets, I just realized I went against you with Swafford and Reed to win and ruled out Lovemark as a bad bet in another post.

Nothing personal...lol.

Hey man, I never take offense to anybody on opposite side

I had a terrible week on this one. Great job on ruling Lovemark out as you said.

**Snowball** · 01-23-17, 12:23 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Interesting Tour Predictor on that site. I also think those write-ups aren't bad. He says all three courses had a Tournament Stimp of 10.5 and 11 ft.

That's pretty fast considering USGA calls fast 8.5 and suggests the US Open play at 10.5 ft.

I like his course summaries and bookmarked the site. If shows to be accurate, it could make for some quick research at one place.

The other link I posted, he is also sharp, Mike Miller @smartgolfbets
so I check them both, but nothing is going to ward against the kind
of bad start Simpson had. Golf is in the background for most of us
there are lots of other things going on this time of year.

**CWD** · 01-24-17, 09:52 PM

Farmers

Day +850
Rahm +5000

**Snowball** · 01-25-17, 12:33 PM

8-8-1
+$78.48

GOL Athlete to Win Martin Laird Even(-120)
Daniel Berger vs Martin Laird
Farmers Insurance Open - Tournament
Both Must Tee Off
$78.48/65.40

Martin Laird has always loved playing his golf in the western United States and the Glaswegian, as you'd expect, is more than okay with Poa Annua within putting surfaces. His first top-5 on the PGA Tour was at Montreux (Arizona) back in 2008, which he backed up 12 months later with a runner-up finish - as we know, Montreux is a long Par 72 which features Bentgrass/Poa Annua greens. He didn't have to wait long for his 1st PGA Tour victory which came in October 2009 at TPC Summerlin in Nevada. His CV also contains 2nd (2012) and 4th (2010) at Kapalua, 3rd (2011) and 5th (2015) at TPC Scottsdale (Arizona), another 2nd place finish at TPC Summerlin (2010 when defending) and 3rd at Silverado (2015) - a course again which features Bentgrass/Poa Annua.

His current run of form also includes 8th at Silverado, 27th at TPC Summerlin, 13th at Mayakoba and 9th last week at PGA West - so that's another couple of California top 10s. But dig deeper and you see that the upwardly mobile Scot has plenty of correlating course form on classical/technical tracks. Wins at Bay Hill (2011) and TPC San Antonio (2013) were both on hard golf courses. 7th (2008) and 2nd (2010) at Ridgewood jump off the page as both feature Poa Annua and as recently as late August Laird was 4th after 54 holes at Bethpage Black. Remember he was also 2nd at the classical Glen Abbey last July. So after finishing 7th and 8th here on his last 2 visits, I can see Martin - who is now putting at a far more competitive level (19th in Putting Average season to date) on top of his trademark ball-striking - playing well this week at a nice each-way price.

**KVB** · 01-25-17, 06:04 PM

I haven't pulled the trigger yet but I'm currently looking at Brendan Steele at long odds here.

Often times I try to construct a leaderboard for Sunday, if even to have equity to go live.

I think Steele has a chance to be up there.

**KVB** · 01-26-17, 03:00 AM

Good Luck Snowball.

I went with Steele to start things off. Hopefully he doesn't win the first round.

Originally posted by KVB

I also picked up a long shot with Brendan Steele in the PGA...45-1 odds...

Short Description

Golf Futures - 2017 Golf Events - PGA - Farmers Insurance Open 2017 - Odds to Win PGA Farmers Insurance Open 2017 - Brendan Steele +4500

**KVB** · 01-26-17, 03:59 AM

Lefty cheap against Paul Casey int he tournament matchup, very cheap.

I expect Phil to be flirting with the leaderboard Sunday, if not be in it.

I took Mickelson -110 over Casey for the tournament.

**canepole** · 01-26-17, 08:11 AM

Good luck guys. Going with T Finau -110 vs L Oosthuizen tournament matchup.

**Snowball** · 01-26-17, 10:41 AM

maybe keep track of your plays, everyone.
if you've posted plays deeper in the thread
feel free to go all the way back for tracking record.

**cwnotorious** · 01-26-17, 11:41 AM

Originally posted by KVB

Lefty cheap against Paul Casey int he tournament matchup, very cheap.

I expect Phil to be flirting with the leaderboard Sunday, if not be in it.

I took Mickelson -110 over Casey for the tournament.

I hope lefty shows up for ya doggy, i can't take him this week

**Snowball** · 01-27-17, 06:09 PM

Originally posted by Snowball

8-8-1
+$78.48

GOL Athlete to Win Martin Laird Even(-120)
Daniel Berger vs Martin Laird
Farmers Insurance Open - Tournament
Both Must Tee Off
$78.48/65.40

Berger cut, Laird moves on.

9-8-1
+$143.88

**CWD** · 02-01-17, 02:07 AM

waste management

mickelson +2800
reed +3000
fowler +3000

might add rahm +2000 or watson +3000

**KVB** · 02-01-17, 02:49 PM

Originally posted by CWD

Farmers

Day +850
Rahm +5000

Nice hit CWD.

**KVB** · 02-01-17, 02:56 PM

Originally posted by Snowball

maybe keep track of your plays, everyone.
if you've posted plays deeper in the thread
feel free to go all the way back for tracking record.

I went back into the thread, some good stuff. I have a few plays posted but the notable are the time Zach Johnson, who was my bet, was about to putt when someone in a boat behind blew some kind of air horn.

Johnson jumped into the air...lol...I lost that bet.

And then the 4th of July where I was only betting the Americans and they both chunked in extra holes...lost those bets as well.

That goes back to like 2015. For this season this thread has seen from me over 20 units with a handful of losses.

I've already been posting all of my golf plays for this season in another thread and am tracking them there. This thread has only seen a few plays from me.

If I was down, I would spreadsheet it here, but I am up quite a bit, and that's just not as exciting...it's expected.

Good Job CWD. Between the my 16-1 and his 50-1 this thread has done well and a can absorb a lot of losses and still be ahead.

Nice work.

**KVB** · 02-01-17, 02:58 PM

Originally posted by CWD

waste management

mickelson +2800
reed +3000
fowler +3000

might add rahm +2000 or watson +3000

Reed a good pick this week, win or lose. I'll probably have him too.

**CWD** · 02-01-17, 03:24 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Nice hit CWD.

thx nice to get propz

**Snowball** · 02-16-17, 09:59 AM

Genesis Open
Round 1
Kevin Na (-140) vs Aaron Baddeley
$140/100

**Snowball** · 02-16-17, 04:53 PM

Na got off to a rough start, but really turned it around, scoring 5 birds
and 1 eagle.

10-8-1

+$243.88

**doublecreek** · 02-16-17, 05:51 PM

Nice call on Na. I hopped on that train.

**doublecreek** · 02-16-17, 05:52 PM

Hope that DJ stays at the top until Sunday. Going to get rained out tomorrow

**Snowball** · 02-22-17, 04:06 PM

Honda Classic - Round 1
Russell Knox, moneyline: -120
Russell Knox vs Tyrrell Hatton
$36/30

**CWD** · 02-23-17, 12:58 AM

honda classic

thomas +1500
garcia +1400
cabrera-bello +4500

**doublecreek** · 02-23-17, 02:06 AM

I took Pieters at +3300

Worth a long shot for a guy of his ability.

**cobra_king** · 02-23-17, 02:31 AM

Originally posted by doublecreek

I took Pieters at +3300

Worth a long shot for a guy of his ability.

Also have Pieters at +3650. Guy is extremely talented and win or lose in a weak field like this, he's a definite play at this price.

**Snowball** · 02-24-17, 12:05 AM

10-9-1
+$207.88

Honda Classic - Round 2

Rickie Fowler, moneyline: -145

Rickie Fowler vs Daniel Berger, Fri Feb 24 7:45 am

$29/20