AyLukeAys Aussie Horse Racing Thread.

[aylukeay]

So finally got around to working out results for the weekend. Thought we had a bit of bad luck during the day. E.g Syd 3 bets.
first race, pick is 3 wide and has to go back to 3rd last to "get in" runs on for second, and then in the other 2 races the number 1 selection misses the jump in both races. Not much you gonna do when that happens in every race in that state! Still posted a small win and mostly importantly won at VIC. most important becuase Bris wont be their in a few weeks and Melb is the bread and butter. -1059.45



Sydney Outlay-$460
Return from Cosmic Endeavour of $218.40

For a loss of (-241.60)


Doomben outlay $700
Returns from Arabian gold $375
and Srikandi $450

For a profit of $125


Melbourne: Outlay $1000

Returns from- Griante $340
Hard Stride $352
Lord of the sky $540


For a win of $232



Profit for the day $115.40

[aylukeay]

Same deal as last Wed where I can only bet tonight due to working through the day tomorrow. May be a couple of better prices available in the morning, but will def lock in some Overs tonight and for those that drift get top tote come race time.

Good Luck.


Sandown.
Race1- No Bet
Race2-no bet

Race3
#9 Wanna Dance $40 @ 8.50

Race4
#2 Winta Chiller $80 @ 4.50

Race5
#2 Nordiac Dude $110 @ 3.80
#3 Green Edge $70 @ 3.60

Race6
#5 Aeratus $90 @ 3.80
#11 Memro Bill $60 @ 6.00

Race7
#1 Hill Spy $80 @ 5.00
#2 Il Cavallo $44 @ 9.00
#7 Vintage Drop $26 @ 5.50

Race8
#7 Play Master $60 @ 5.50
#10 Gold Rory $90 @ 4.00

Race9
#2 Markmanship $75 @ 4.20
#8 Beliveau $75 @ 5.00

Race10
#4 Best Suggestion $75 @ 5.50
#11 Blendwell $75 @ 5.50


Outlay $1050.

[aylukeay]

Since Race10 has a scratching of best suggestion, going to reinvest that $75 outlay the following way:

#11 Blend Well $15 @ 4.80
#6 Wild Beast $60 @ 6.00



Outlay is still the same $1050.

[Dr.Gonzo]

Took the 6.50 about See The World, Sydney Race 5 number 1.

[aylukeay]

Extremely frustrating Wed with all but one race called off. Of course the only race that run was the least likely bet of the day.
Still had the $8.50 shot start at $5s but only ran third so a (-$40) loss. was quite confident on the latter races but never got a chance to run. Amazing to think it had rained once in the last 10 days and they still cant get the track up to scratch what a joke.

[aylukeay]

Took the 6.50 about See The World, Sydney Race 5 number 1.

I have not even looked at Sydney yet, not sure how the track is going to be playing so I might sit tight until race day or avoid all together.
Anything else you like tomorrow?

[aylukeay]

Flemington.


Race1-no bet.


Race2
#5 Tax Evader $140 @ 3.70
#6 Hero Master $60 @ 6.00

Race3
#9 Mokoro $40 @ 11.00

Race4
#7 Tooleybuck Kid $178 @ 2.40
#10 Freshwater storm $22 @ 9.00

Race5
#2 Gota take Care $40 @ 8.00
#3 Ancient King $100 @ 5.00

Race6
#1 Riziz $54 @ 7.50
#6 Le Bonsir $52 @ 15.00
#5 Essay Raider $44 @ 7.00

Race7
to bet bet in afternoon.


Race8
#1 By the Grace $84 @ 4.80
#3 Tips and Beers $46 @ 18.00
#8 Native Land $20 @ 8.00


Outlay $880 with one race to come.

[Dr.Gonzo]

I have not even looked at Sydney yet, not sure how the track is going to be playing so I might sit tight until race day or avoid all together.
Anything else you like tomorrow?

Fence off, wide barriers are advantaged. When they aerated the track they got rain so it hasn't dried out, probably looking at a Dead 5.

See The World was the best.

Have taken 3.6 about Almalad in the first, take the $3.5 with 365.

I've also backed Excess Knowledge in the last but at longer odds, I'd probably take the $8 with 365 if I hadn't invested already, expect it to SP shorter so it's a fair position.

I'd probably take the $5.5 about Amazon in race 7 with 365 if I could but I can't get a bet on with them.

I had Katie's Cove quite a bit longer than the market in race 3, interested in numbers 6,7,8,10,12, the 10 Black Revolver looks the best of those but is also the shortest, no bets yet though.

Will also be looking at Doomben, unsure how the track is going to play so will observe the first few races before decide on any plays. Backed Knoydart in the antepost markets for the 10,000 so that's all I've got at the moment.

[aylukeay]

I think I am just going to watch at Sydney and enjoy a few interest bets. Will tail some of your plays at Syd quite like the look of your best of the day See the world. Big step back in class, and a couple of dead horses taking up quite a bit of market percentage. Sydney looks a tough day!
I am expecting Doomben to be far less fence on fire this week than it was last week, hoping it plays evens. I like the look of knoydart for the 10,000 if i look past his last run failure. Been in top form ever since that biased track on a wet Mornington (from memory i think it was mornington anyway) and if he runs to some of those formlines will be right in this. I am guessing you got some pretty nice antepost odds. so best of luck

[aylukeay]

Syd no offical bets at this stage.


Doomben

Race4
#13 Wistful $100 @ 3.80

Race5
#3 Srikandi $176 @ 2.60
#2 Plucky belle $24 @ 8.50

Race6
#3 Pressing $100 @ 6.00

Race 7
#6 Pinstripe Lane $40 @ 8.00
#1 Vilanova $20 @ 17.00

Race8
#2 Spirit of Boom $130 @ 5.50
#8 Knoydart $70 @ 11.00


Race9
Bet to come in afternoon just like flem 7


Outlay for now. $660.

[easysaid]

just letting ya know ill be tailing mate!! thanks for the picks

[aylukeay]

^ No worries, lets hope its a good one. #goodlucktous


So only one scratching to take care of this morning. FLEMINGTON RACE 4 Fresh Water Storm has been scratched who was our saver. Going to re invest the $22 we get refunded on him onto the favourite.

So adding:

Flemington Race 4
#7 Tooleybuck Kid $22 @ 2.00


Outlay still the same.
Flem $880 and Doom $660
with one bet from each venue to come (flem7 and doom9)

[aylukeay]

Very sad to lose every photo.
Wistful by 2cm, Le Bonsir locked in at $15 runs around at $6 and loses by a head. Essay raider also in the photo. would be nice to win one close one. Still in front for the day but the difference between being marginally in front or a Fantastic day.


Flemington Race7
#4 Limes $50 @ 7.00
#15 Tried and Tried $100 @ 3.00


flem outlay $1030

[aylukeay]

Doomben Race9 -lucky last of the day.

#1 Precedence $75 @ 4.60
#8 Danchai $75 @ 4.60

[Dr.Gonzo]

I had Katie's Cove quite a bit longer than the market in race 3, interested in numbers 6,7,8,10,12, the 10 Black Revolver looks the best of those but is also the shortest, no bets yet though.

Black Revolver ended up scratched, I got 2nd, 3rd and 4th from the remaining 4 runners, and the favorite went missing, would have paid off the national debt if the Waller longshot didn't get up and ruin the party.

[aylukeay]

Yep that race was a heart breaker i also had a little interest bet on 2nd and 3rd. start of the day kept getting rolled in photos but was able to finish on a high, still wish one of those could have gone my way to make it a great day. But i am up and about, ready to get stuck into next weekend all ready lol.
Wish you could have paid off the national debt! bloody Waller, was glad when in that post race interview he downplayed thehopes of brazen beau? but was pretty irrelevant it couldnt/didnt win as instead of laying it i was on Pressing did nothing anyway, but was never really put into it by Ollie


Eventually i got around to working out sat exact results:


Flemington, outlay $1030.


Tax Evader wins and returns $518
By the Grace wins and returns $420
Limes wins and returns $350

total return $1288.


Profit of +$258

[aylukeay]

(86.45)


Doomben outlay $810


Villanova won and returned $340
Spirit of boom won and returned $715
Srikandi won and returned $510.40


Total returns $1565.40

for a profit of +$755.40



Saturday total profit = +1013

[aylukeay]

Mornington.

Race1-nobet
Race2-nobet.


Race3
#4 Vintage Drop $150 @ 3.20

Race4
#7 Zaparella $56 @ 6.00
#9 Kept Woman $44 @ 8.50

Race5
#1 Alorouz $150 @ 2.60

Race6
#1 Brotherly secret $40 @ 10.00
#11 Majestic Artie $80 @ 7.00
#5 Aragonese $20 @ 17.00

Race7
#6 Stratumsphere $48 @ 7.50
#17 The Thief $102 @ 3.60

Race8
#9 Walloon region $50 @ 8.00
#11 Most Husbands $60 @ 7.00


Race9
#3 Greenedge $160 @ 2.80
#4 Red Royal $40 @ 5.00

[aylukeay]

Sale rc8
#3the jazz singer $90 @ 4.20
#4 nordic juke $110 @ 3.80

Sale rc9
#9 spector $80 @ 4.40
#12 murceilaga $120@ 3.60

[aylukeay]

Results mornington outlay $1k - Still trying to work out how the thief lost the photo. i watched the race on break at work, saw it win, heard the caller call it home. watched the camera man follow it as the winner. get home from work 2nd. must have been in front before the post and after the post. would have got me out of the hole had it won. The thief. great name.

return of Zaparrala $336

for a loss of $664



Sale- outlay $400

Nordic duke wins and returns $418


Plus $18


-732.45

[aylukeay]

Geel7
#4 cross of gold $50 @ 8.00
#5 pensuila dane $30 @ 10
#6 portland $20 @ 15

[aylukeay]

One bet one win for today.

Outlay $100

Cross of gold wins and returns $430


For a profit of $330


going through some form for 2moro now. Sandown will be betting on a race by race proposition considering the dodgy track. will bet most of bris over night though.

[aylukeay]

Sandown- As stated above. bets will be coming on a race by race proposition to see how track is playing.

Race1-nobet.

Race2
#4 Pillar of Creation $150 @ 3.40

Race3-nobet
Race4-nobet

Rest to come in morning.




Eaglefarm--will def add to race 7 and 8 tomorrow but want to watch the market overnight hoping for a better price on runner or 2.

Race1-nobet
Race2-nobet

Race3
#2 Akzar $160 @ 2.50
#4 Floria $40 @ 13.00

Race4
#7 Avaladyluck $60 @ 5.00
#3 Single Style $50 @ 6.50

Race5
#12 Pleiades $40 @ 7.50


Race6
#3 Hucklebuck $76 @ 5.00
#6 Havanaa $48 @ 6.50
#4 Libertys Choice $16 @ 19.00
#8 Ryker $10 @ 31.00

Race7
#4 Star Fashion $30 @ 18.00


Race8
#1 Hot Snitzel $40 @ 8.50



Outlay.

Sandown $150
Efarm $570

with bets to come for sandown races 5,6,7,8 and additional bets to be made for eagle farm 7 and 8

[aylukeay]

So Hucklebuck has been scr in race6 so will be reinvesting that refunded stake the following ways:

Eaglefarm- note all these bets have other runners posted above and are the continuation from them.

Race 6
#6 Havana $16 @ 5.00
#1 Dothraki $60 @ 7.00

Race 7
#4 Star Fashion $4 @ 19.00
#10 Raunchy Rocker $20 @ 21.00
#9 Paris Match $26 @ 15.00
#5 Every Faith $20 @ 67.00
#2 Tinto $100 @ 8.00


Race 8
#7 Bennetta $80 @ 5.50


Efarm total outlay $820

[aylukeay]

Sandown cont.
Race5

#3 Fantome Gris $100 @ 4.20
#6 Inishowen $30 @ 13.00
#9 Darney Gub $20 @ 18.00


Sandown outlay $300 with 3 races to come.

[aylukeay]

Race6 Sandown
#1 Charles in charge $54 @ 7.50
#5 Vivi Veloce $10 @ 26.00
#6 Adriondack $66 @ 6.00
#7 Jades Boy $20 @ 18.00

[aylukeay]

Disaster of a day, 7 races 0 winners. placed in 5 of them. so close so far.

2 races to finish the day:

Sandown Race7

#4 St Jean $200 @ 2.20

Race8

#7 Onpicalo $250 @ 2.00


sandown outlay $900

[aylukeay]

-782.45
Sandown. still spewing about Dunn necking the favourite in the last that would have turned the day into a decent profit of a couple of hundred instead of a loss. Sport of Kings and cheats. Big hello to the betfair layers who cleaned up today @ hawks. And a couple of heart breaking photos as always. one in particular where we looked a moral for the tri but got pipped and had both 2nd and 3rd in the photo.
Bet 6 races at efarm and results where:
3rd
2nd
X
2nd and 3rd
1st
3rd.
So close yet so far.


Sandown Outlay $900

St Jean returned $440

for a loss of (-460)


Eaglefarm outlay $820

Tinto returns $900

+80

[aylukeay]

Sandown Wed.

Will be posting most of the bets in morning, but one early play.


Race6-
#14 Inafrenzy $50 @ 41.00

[Dr.Gonzo]

Dunn should have been suspended for that, instead the stewards accepted his bullshit explanation.

Melbourne stewards

[aylukeay]

I 100% agree

Sandown bets today:

Race1-nobet

Race2
#6 Live for today $96 @ 4.20
#2 Hannaford $54 @ 6.50

Race 3
#12 Cautious $60 @ 7.50

Race4
#1 Hill Spy $150 @ 2.50

Race5
#6 Atlantis Dream $90 @ 4.40
#3 Sinhala $20 @ 15.00
#13 Galway Warrior $40 @ 7.50

Race6 (adding to bet posted earlier)
#9 Zenithal $40 @ 9.00


Race7
#4 Wrotham Heath $80 @ 4.60
#18 Memo Bill $50 @ 8.00
#17 Spectral Black $20 @ 14.00


Race8

#7 Magic Tom $56 @ 7.00
#11 The Ten Bob $94 @ 4.20


Outlay $900

[Dr.Gonzo]

SYD R7 - 5 The Alfonso

Take 3.6 with Bet365

[aylukeay]

SYD R7 - 5 The Alfonso

Take 3.6 with Bet365

I logged into this thread whilst on the phone at work by pure chance and saw your post. haven't had a chance to watch the race replay but have logged into my account and see it about $450 better off. thanks for posting (please share more, hope you cleaned up!


Havent gone through my sandown bets either, but looking like a $300 profit roughly. had the profit locked in after winning 3 of the first 4 but didnt improve it at the end of the day with the last 3 freerolled races not getting the choccies. still #something. Looking foward to the weekend.
Will put results in tonight or tomorrow gotta do the replays first.

Hopefully a good day had by all

[aylukeay]

Sandown wed outlay of $900


Atlantis dream returned $396
Cautious returned $450
Live for today returned $403.20

Total returns $1249.20


for a profit of $349.20

[aylukeay]

Will be having a few bets tomorrow morning but locking one in tonight. as always if dont get best of 3 tabs chosing tatts plus where venue is not. so since this is victorian venue will be choosing NSW + Tatts

Swan Hill

Race 6
#4 Analon $120 @ 5.50