Beeeej's AFL Thread

[beeeej12]

2 x Hawthorn - 65.5 Line @ 1.88 (Sportsbet) *LIVE BET*

[beeeej12]

1 x Fremantle Half Time Leader @ 2.80 (Sportsbet) *LIVE BET*

[beeeej12]

Tough week so far gonna add probably one last play:

1.5 x Port/Crows Total Points over 178.5 @ 1.91 (Sportingbet)

[beeeej12]

2.5 x Port -14.5 Half Time Line @ 1.88 (Sportsbet) *LIVE BET*

[beeeej12]

Live bets are putting me to shame this week i think i am now 0 - 4

[beeeej12]

2 x Collingwood Under 39.5 @ 2.15 (Sportsbet)

[beeeej12]

This Week:

Units Risked: 24.0

Units Won: 15.84

Total Profit: - 8.16

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This Year:

Wins/Losses 54/52

Live bets W/L (As of RD15) 0/4

Percentage Wins: 51% Total Profit: - .76 Units

Port could have saved the week if they had of got up because the multi would have got up!

Might put live bets to bed since they are now costing me big time

[beeeej12]

3 x Hawthorn/Richmond/Fremantle/PortAdelaide/Geelong @ 2.38 (Sportsbet, H2H multi bonus applies, 15% Bonus on winnings)

[beeeej12]

2 x Richmond/Brisbane Total Points Over 171.5 @ 1.88 (Sportingbet)

2 x Port/Essendon Total Points Under 182.5 @ 1.88 (Sportsbet)

1.5 x GWS/Adeliade Total Points Over 193.5 @ 1.88 (Sportsbet)

2 x Richmond/Adelaide/Geelong/Fremantle ALL BY OVER 15.5 @ 2.88 (Sportsbet)

[beeeej12]

1 x West Coast +19.5 @ 1.88 (Bet365)

Line will drop quickly, pouring rain in Perth apparently

[beeeej12]

This Week:

Units Risked: 10.5

Units Won: 6.58

Total Profit: - 3.92

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This Year:

Wins/Losses 56/55

Live bets W/L (As of RD15) 0/4

Percentage Wins: 51% Total Profit: - 4.48 Units


Geelong could have saved a bad week if they didn't concede that lost goal

I thought the two picks that won were pretty solid

Really angry for not backing my blue boys at the line or taking Gold Coast straight out didn't have the balls to pull the trigger but shit happens!

[beeeej12]

Some tough games next week but sportsbet are offering a decent promo. If your team loses by 20 points or less they will refund losing head 2 head bets. So since the odds are fresh i am gonna put some plays up now which the promo will apply to:

1.25 x Hawthorn @ 1.70 (Sportsbet)

5 x Geelong @ 1.13 (Sportsbet)

1.25 x Gold Coast @ 1.40 (Sportsbet)

3 x Sydney @ 1.12 (Sportsbet)

1 x Collingwood @ 1.65 (Sportsbet)

[beeeej12]

1.5 x Hawthorn -1.5 Second Quarter Only @ 1.90 (Sportsbet)

1.5 x Port Adelaide -2.5 Third Quarter Only @ 1.92 (Sportsbet)

1 x West Coast -2.5 Third Quarter Only @ 1.89 (Sportsbet)

1 x Port Adelaide - 3.5 Fourth Quarter Only @ 1.90 (Sportsbet)

Came across some trends involving which team is the best and which team is the worst in each quarter. Chose these bets accordingly

[beeeej12]

2 x Brisbane @ 2.80 (Sportsbet) *Promo Applies*
1.5 x Brisbane + 13.5 @ 1.92 (Sportsbet)
1 x Brisbane Under 39.5 @ 3.20 (Sportsbet)

I think Brisbane are a red hot chance this week! Rockliff is a huge loss for them but Kennedy, Cox, Rosa and Wellingham are massive outs for West Coast

[beeeej12]

1.5 x Adelaide/Hawthorn total points over 168.5 @ 1.88 (Sportingbet)

[beeeej12]

2 x Steven motlop to score 2 or more goals @ 1.95 (Bet365)

[beeeej12]

This Week:

Units Risked: 21.5

Units Won: 21.62

Total Profit: + .11

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This Year:

Wins/Losses 63/61

Live bets W/L (As of RD15) 0/4

Percentage Wins: 51% Total Profit: - 4.37 Units

[beeeej12]

1.5 x Brent Harvey v Sam Gibson @ 1.75 (AFL Fantasy)

1.25 x Kade Simpson v Ed Curnow @ 1.88 (AFL Fantasy)

2 x Lenny Hayes Under 92.5 @ 1.87 (AFL Fantasy)

2.5 x Essendon @ 1.38 (Sportsbet) *Promo Applies*

.75 x North Melbourne Under 39.5 @ 2.30 (Sportsbet)

1 x Carlton Total Points Over 82.5 @ 1.88 (Sportsbet)

[beeeej12]

1.5 x Port Adelaide -11.5 3Q Only @ 1.80 (Sportsbet)

1.5 x Port Adelaide -12.5 4Q Only @ 1.80 (Sportsbet)

[beeeej12]

1 x Lindsay Thomas to kick 3 or more goals @ 2.00 (Sportsbet)

[beeeej12]

Great Night for us blues fans and not a bad night for my picks!
Spewing i chose to go with the North Under instead of backing my boys in at the line but ah well cant win them all i guess

4 out of 5 isn't to bad!

[beeeej12]

2 x Port Adelaide @ 1.55 (Sportsbet) *LIVE BET*

[beeeej12]

1.5 x Brendon Goddard v Matthew Boyd @ 1.75 (AFL Fantasy/Sportsbet)

[beeeej12]

2 x Essendon - 9.5 Half Time Line @ 1.88 (Sportsbet) *BET LIVE*

[beeeej12]

2.5 x WestCoast/Richmond Either Team Under 24.5 @ 1.67 (Sportingbet)
2 x Richmond + 16.5 @ 1.55 (Sportingbet/Pick Your Own Line)

.5 x Trent Cotchin Under 28.5 Disposals @ 1.88 (Sportsbet)
.5 x Luke Shuey Over 23.5 Disposals @ 1.88 (Sportsbet)

2.5 x Every Match to be Decided by less than 39.5 Points this week @ 2.15
(Sportingbet/Margins - Triple Margin 39.5)

[beeeej12]

1.25 x Dayne Zorko v Ryan Lester into Sam Mitchell v Jordan Lewis @ 3.10 (AFL Fantasy/Sportsbet)

[Rustyglobes]

Did you mean Dayne Zorko to score more then Pearce Hanley?? Can't find an option with ryan lester in it

[beeeej12]

Nah mate definitely Zorko to outscore Lester its still up there on sportsbet

[beeeej12]

Clean sweep for the West Coast/Richmond match 4 out of 4 bets get up

[beeeej12]

1.5 x Gold Coast @ 1.56 (Sportsbet) *Promo Applies

[beeeej12]

2 x Gold Coast + 57.5 @ 1.88 (Sportsbet) *live bet*

[beeeej12]

2 x Collingwood/Adelaide Either team under 24.5 @ 1.70 (Sportingbet)

[beeeej12]

Early Leans for Round 19:
2 x Adelaide -27.5 @ 1.88 (Sportsbet)

2 x Melbourne -8.5 @ 1.88 (Sportsbet)

1.5 x Collingwood @ 2.05 (Sportsbet)

[beeeej12]

Last Week:

Units Risked: 33.25

Units Won: 35.48

Total Profit: + 2.23

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This Year:

Wins/Losses 76/69

Live bets W/L (As of RD15) 3/4

Percentage Wins: 52% Total Profit: - 2.14 Units

Bloody Gold Coast really let me down! Not only did they get beat, they got annihilated. Losing by more then 39.5 means the multi didn't get up! Never mind two small winning weeks in a row are always good

I think Port have come to a screeching halt and collingwood are a big chance this week. However i continue to overrate Collingwood as a side and they continue to show poor effort each week.
Adelaide are going from strength to strength and i can see them really making an impact come September

[beeeej12]

5 x Fremantle @ 1.13 (Sportsbet) *Promo Applies

1 x Fremantle Under 39.5 @ 2.15 (Sportsbet)