Red devil - get rich capping or die trying

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  • thorny
    SBR Sharp
    • 12-10-12
    • 351

    #106
    Originally posted by RedDevil89
    College Basketball POD

    23/11 - NCAA Basketball - Connecticut v Indiana - Bet 3u on Connecticut -2 @1.90
    game of two halves. looked so good after 1st half
    Comment
    • RedDevil89
      SBR Sharp
      • 05-03-13
      • 334

      #107
      Originally posted by thorny
      cool, thanks for that. baseball and ice hockey are 2 american sports i'd like to learn how to handicap. so that was useful.
      They can be one of the best for making money so I would definitely learn more about them!
      Comment
      • burkestar
        SBR Sharp
        • 04-02-13
        • 276

        #108
        Originally posted by RedDevil89
        They can be one of the best for making money so I would definitely learn more about them!
        hey devil loving what i see in here, i hear way too many pussies on here talking about juice and value and all that bs,, i say if your confident of the win why not bet it instead of wrapping ur brain trying to find stupid unique angles...

        anyways bout nhl,, i've only started betting it the last couple seasons and i find that yes sometimes it will be a great money maker but at other times the fluctations between when all the good favourite teams are winning and when the underdogs are winning can be really unpredictable...like ive found that if there is a team that you know is good and playoff or even stanley cup calibre and they are in say a 5 game losing slump it is best to just stay away cause when these teams are bad they are really really bad
        Comment
        • micase
          SBR High Roller
          • 01-21-13
          • 157

          #109
          I thought I'd read it all on this forum...

          Keep up the good work RedDevil, while I don't like to blindly follow other people's plays I do enjoy reading the analysis and write up's that people provide. If you can continue occasionally writing up some of the more interesting plays you find that would be great.
          Comment
          • RedDevil89
            SBR Sharp
            • 05-03-13
            • 334

            #110
            Im not going to have enough time to post all my plays, i have a couple of big plays i will post them!!

            23/11 2:00pm - NBA - BOS Celtics @ ATL Hawks - Bet 2u on ATL Hawks -9 @1.83 (starts in 20min)

            23/11 11:55am - NCAA Basketball - Holy Cross v Belmont - Bet 3u on Belmont -7.5 @ 1.76 (buy 1 point)

            23/11 2:00pm - NCAA Basketball - North Texas v Portland - Bet 3u on Portland -11.5 @1.76 (buy 1 point)

            23/11 12:00pm - NCAA Basketball - Murray State v Auburn - Bet 1u on Murray State +6.5 @ 1.95

            23/11 2:30pm - NCAA Basketball - Fresno State v Pacific - Bet 1u on Under 142.5 @1.90
            Comment
            • Cornelius
              SBR Sharp
              • 08-03-13
              • 288

              #111
              Good luck mate
              Comment
              • burkestar
                SBR Sharp
                • 04-02-13
                • 276

                #112
                wow fresno v pacific,, both teams score double or more points in the 2nd half to crush the under after an abyssmal 1st half, that hurts
                Comment
                • RedDevil89
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 05-03-13
                  • 334

                  #113
                  We have had couple of bad beat, NCAA Basketball 2nd half performances have let us down!!
                  Comment
                  • RedDevil89
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 05-03-13
                    • 334

                    #114
                    Some tough losses this weekend, i think i will be a little more selective with my plays!!

                    Record:
                    34-18-2

                    Profit:
                    +12.25u

                    Comment
                    • RedDevil89
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 05-03-13
                      • 334

                      #115
                      24/11 - NCAA Basketball - La Salle v Providence - Bet 1u on Providence -5 @1.71
                      Comment
                      • thorny
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 12-10-12
                        • 351

                        #116
                        BOL.
                        Comment
                        • RedDevil89
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 05-03-13
                          • 334

                          #117
                          Thanks, also had a look at this weeks NBA games, i think we will have some big plays!!
                          Comment
                          • thorny
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 12-10-12
                            • 351

                            #118
                            Nice, look forward to seeing them!
                            Comment
                            • thorny
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 12-10-12
                              • 351

                              #119
                              Originally posted by RedDevil89
                              24/11 - NCAA Basketball - La Salle v Providence - Bet 1u on Providence -5 @1.71
                              Good pick
                              Comment
                              • RedDevil89
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 05-03-13
                                • 334

                                #120
                                Cheers!

                                we went 1-0 today +0.71units!

                                Have a pick for soccer tomorrow with great value!

                                26/11 6:45am - Soccer Italy Seria A - Roma v Cagliari - Bet 2u on Roma to win to nil @ 2.33 (sportsbet)

                                This means that Roma need to win and their opponents will not score a goal! A win tomorrow will put Roma back to the top of the Seria A table, they are 10wins 2 draws and 0 losses this season! Scoring 26 and conceding only 3! Cagliari had scored just 1 in their past 3 away outings! Outstanding value with the odds on offer! It's only a matter of how many Roma put past them, I can see a 2-0, 3-0 game!
                                Comment
                                • fitguy67
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 03-13-11
                                  • 5082

                                  #121
                                  for non-Aussie's without access to Sportsbet...you can get this at $2.25/+125 at both Ladbrokes and Sportingbet
                                  Comment
                                  • RedDevil89
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 05-03-13
                                    • 334

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by fitguy67
                                    for non-Aussie's without access to Sportsbet...you can get this at $2.25/+125 at both Ladbrokes and Sportingbet
                                    Also available at Bet365 under "specials" tab @ 2.20
                                    Comment
                                    • thorny
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 12-10-12
                                      • 351

                                      #123
                                      what about Cagliari to score no goals @ 2.00?
                                      Comment
                                      • RedDevil89
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 05-03-13
                                        • 334

                                        #124
                                        Originally posted by thorny
                                        what about Cagliari to score no goals @ 2.00?
                                        Yeah great value once again as i dont think they can score at roma!! When you look at risk to odds ratio, that is a safer bet!! Good find
                                        Comment
                                        • RedDevil89
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 05-03-13
                                          • 334

                                          #125
                                          Originally posted by RedDevil89
                                          Yeah great value once again as i dont think they can score at roma!! When you look at risk to odds ratio, that is a safer bet!! Good find
                                          Also i know its obvious but if you are going to take it, only play one not both!!
                                          Comment
                                          • OZnBa Fan
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 05-24-12
                                            • 697

                                            #126
                                            Been checking in here lately and I haven't seen many soccer plays yet but when I check in tonight I see we are on the same play, glad to be on the same side lets cash this
                                            Comment
                                            • thorny
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 12-10-12
                                              • 351

                                              #127
                                              what do you guys think of malaga v bilbao BTS and villa (+0, +0.5)?
                                              Comment
                                              • RedDevil89
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 05-03-13
                                                • 334

                                                #128
                                                Originally posted by thorny
                                                what do you guys think of malaga v bilbao BTS and villa (+0, +0.5)?
                                                I dont trust Malaga attack this year, being at home might be the only reason but they have had alot of games where they have been kept goalless, and majority of their goals this year have been against much weaker opposition! They have scored 15 goals this season (1 vs Granada, 3 vs Betis (last), 2 vs Valladolid, 2 vs Almeria, 5 v Vallecano and 2 v Sevilla. Thats their goals scored in order from recent to oldest, strongest opponent scored against was sevilla(8th) early in season.

                                                With Villa pick, whilst i believe Villa are the better side, i stay away from betting against away team in mid table clashes!!
                                                Comment
                                                • thorny
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 12-10-12
                                                  • 351

                                                  #129
                                                  Rome game 0-0...I just had that sneaky feeling but was confident Cagliari wouldnt score
                                                  Comment
                                                  • RedDevil89
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 05-03-13
                                                    • 334

                                                    #130
                                                    Lets smash this Alternative PL NHL Multi: 2 Legs

                                                    1 - 25/11 - NHL - PHIL Flyers @ FLO panthers - Bet PHI Flyers +1.5 @1.24
                                                    2 - 25/11 - NHL - MIN Wild @ STL Blues - Bet STL Blues +1.5 @1.17

                                                    Bet 5u on 2 legs @ 1.45

                                                    First 5 unit play to date!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • RedDevil89
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 05-03-13
                                                      • 334

                                                      #131
                                                      Another reduced odds Mixed Multi (NHL & NBA): 3 legs

                                                      1- 25/11 - NBA - PHX Suns v MIA Heat - Bet MIA Heat -1.5 @1.11
                                                      2- 25/11 - NBA - NO Pelicans v SA Spurs - Bet SA Spurs -1.5 @1.17
                                                      3- 25/11 - NHL - COL Blue jackets v TOR Maple leafs - TOR Maple leafs +1.5 @1.14

                                                      Bet 3units on 3 legs @ 1.48
                                                      Comment
                                                      • RedDevil89
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 05-03-13
                                                        • 334

                                                        #132
                                                        Adding some more plays for today...

                                                        26/11 - NCAA Basketball - Marquetta v Arizona State - Bet 3u on Ariz state -6 @1.83

                                                        26/11 - NCAA Basketball - Maryland v Providence - Bet 1u on Providence ML @ 1.80

                                                        NBA ML multibet: 2 legs

                                                        1- 26/11 - NBA - DEN Nuggets @ DAL Mavericks - Bet on DAL Mavericks ML @ 1.37
                                                        2- 26/11 - NBA - MIN Timberwolves @ IND Pacers - Bet on IND Pacers ML @ 1.35

                                                        Bet 2u on 2 legs @1.86

                                                        Lets smash it today!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • RedDevil89
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 05-03-13
                                                          • 334

                                                          #133
                                                          Lets play a nice College ball buy points multi: 3 legs

                                                          1- 26/11 - NCAAB - Marquette v Arizona state - Bet on Arizona State ML @1.34
                                                          2- 26/11 - NCAAB - Maryland v Providence - Bet on Providence +4.5 @1.36
                                                          3- 26/11 - NCAAB - Dayton v Gonzaga - Bet on Gonzaga ML @1.25

                                                          Bet 3u on 3 legs @2.29
                                                          Comment
                                                          • fitguy67
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 03-13-11
                                                            • 5082

                                                            #134
                                                            Originally posted by RedDevil89
                                                            Lets play a nice College ball buy points multi: 3 legs

                                                            1- 26/11 - NCAAB - Marquette v Arizona state - Bet on Arizona State ML @1.34
                                                            2- 26/11 - NCAAB - Maryland v Providence - Bet on Providence +4.5 @1.36
                                                            3- 26/11 - NCAAB - Dayton v Gonzaga - Bet on Gonzaga ML @1.25

                                                            Bet 3u on 3 legs @2.29
                                                            RDV, where and how u putting this play on? apart from the Aussie-only books: Sportsbook, TAB, Lux...i have most of the top-tier books up and running...but i've never really placed any exotic multiple bets (apart from my very first Am-Football "teaser" for current week-12 action

                                                            to my uneducated eye this bet looks like either...
                                                            *a pre-packaged teaser (with a set #points bumped on each leg of a certain sport...in this case, allowing for some price movements...looks like it COULD perhaps be a 6-point basketball teaser such as provided by 5dimes @2.2 on a 3-legger)
                                                            OR
                                                            *a do-it-yourself 3-leg multi play at bet365 where you have the freedom to choose from a wide variety of alternate spreads on each leg of the parlay...where you could bump one play by 6, another by 7.5 and another just 4.5 points...with the final configuration of spreads you choose determining the ultimate odds of the parlay (calculated the usual way as oddsA x oddsB x oddsC)...this is what i suspect you've done here cuz the bumps in the spread don't appear to be uniform across the 3 selections and the price is not a nice round number that you'd expect from a teaser

                                                            i just discovered this interesting option at bet365 a few days ago when i was muckin' around with possibilities trying to place my first teaser (the last leg of which is SFO teased up to +2 in tonight's game)...the b365 "alternate-spread-enhanced parlay) seems FAR more flexible than the garden-variety teaser (which is for set point shifts and only for football and basketball)

                                                            anyhow, where/how did you place this particular spread-modified 3-leg multi?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • RedDevil89
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 05-03-13
                                                              • 334

                                                              #135
                                                              Originally posted by fitguy67
                                                              RDV, where and how u putting this play on? apart from the Aussie-only books: Sportsbook, TAB, Lux...i have most of the top-tier books up and running...but i've never really placed any exotic multiple bets (apart from my very first Am-Football "teaser" for current week-12 action

                                                              to my uneducated eye this bet looks like either...
                                                              *a pre-packaged teaser (with a set #points bumped on each leg of a certain sport...in this case, allowing for some price movements...looks like it COULD perhaps be a 6-point basketball teaser such as provided by 5dimes @2.2 on a 3-legger)
                                                              OR
                                                              *a do-it-yourself 3-leg multi play at bet365 where you have the freedom to choose from a wide variety of alternate spreads on each leg of the parlay (you could bump one play by 6, another by 7.5 and another just 4.5 points...with the final configuration of spreads you choose determining the ultimate odds of the parlay (calculated the usual way as oddsA x oddsB x oddsC)...this is what i suspect you've done here cuz the bumps in the spread don't appear to be uniform across the 3 selections and the price is not a nice round number that you'd expect from a teaser

                                                              i just discovered this interesting option at bet365 a few days ago when i was muckin' around with possibilities trying to place my first teaser (tha last leg of which is SFO teased up to +2 in tonight's game)...far more flexible than the garden-variety teaser...

                                                              anyhow, where/how did you place this interesting 3-leg multi?
                                                              At the moment i am only using sportsbet and bet365, but looking to probably start a bankroll in my betonline account, they seem to be very flexible and great for earliest release with line, which is great for us aussies becuase most of US are asleep!! I think that is why aussie books wait until the US bookies have started released their line and you have to wait for lines which are usually sharpened by the time aussie bookies post them!!

                                                              I used bet365 and took the points as i saw fit. Because im a stats man, i grade teams by overall, offensive, defensive, home, away, back to back ratings etc etc and i have ratings for my bets in level of confidence (unit size) and prediction according to statistical data of what i think the actual outcome of the game will be for example i had Arizona state today win by 9 and the line is set at 6 so 3point buffer! it i want a 10 point buffer i will buy 7 extra points! Sorry i hope i didnt confuse you!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • fitguy67
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 03-13-11
                                                                • 5082

                                                                #136
                                                                good answer...wasn't really confused..,just wasn't sure if it was an off-the-shelf American-style football-basketball teaser...or a bet365-style roll-your-own-spreads multi...thot' maybe one of your ANZ-only books had another wrinkle i didn't know about...

                                                                hey, if you're going to add an American book...i'd suggest, if at all possible, running BOTH bol and 5d...the two complement each other (and both are super-standup in the withdrawals department to us NON-americans who are able to use an e-wallet...ignore all the horror stories from Americans...the problem is their own government making it very difficult for the books to safely get money back to their "grey market" clients)...only other yankee books worthy of consideration are Heritage, any one of the Bookmaker family (i'd recommend BetCris or JustBet rather than DSI/BM-itself)...and YouWager (especially if you hit the MLB hard and are a bonus-hound)

                                                                keep the picks coming, RD
                                                                Comment
                                                                • RedDevil89
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 05-03-13
                                                                  • 334

                                                                  #137
                                                                  My only thing is i dont use ************ and dont want to trust people overseas with one!! I try to find books i can use paypal, which is what i use at sportsbet and 365!! i do money transfer with bol but i've only funded it once to try it out, didn't like it but i wasn't betting like i am now and its gotta some pretty good odds and early line releases!!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • RedDevil89
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 05-03-13
                                                                    • 334

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by RedDevil89
                                                                    My only thing is i dont use ************ and dont want to trust people overseas with one!! I try to find books i can use paypal, which is what i use at sportsbet and 365!! i do money transfer with bol but i've only funded it once to try it out, didn't like it but i wasn't betting like i am now and its gotta some pretty good odds and early line releases!!
                                                                    lol cc must be a banned word?? maybe security reasons!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • thorny
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 12-10-12
                                                                      • 351

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Originally posted by RedDevil89
                                                                      My only thing is i dont use ************ and dont want to trust people overseas with one!! I try to find books i can use paypal, which is what i use at sportsbet and 365!! i do money transfer with bol but i've only funded it once to try it out, didn't like it but i wasn't betting like i am now and its gotta some pretty good odds and early line releases!!
                                                                      I spent a good few mins trying to decipher what swear word you could have used to get censored...
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • fitguy67
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 03-13-11
                                                                        • 5082

                                                                        #140
                                                                        BigBrother doesn't like the peons discussing practical matters like how we move money around etc...

                                                                        Best example of this carried to a stupid extreme is an Asian tennis player whose two-letter surname is W_u cannot be spelled out properly without becoming asterisks...because it happens to have the same two letters as "W_e_stern_Oni-on"...

                                                                        couldn't tell what got blotted out, but if is the word "e-wallet" or a specific brand of them...i can tell you that one of them in particular, the one that used to be called BunnyMookers (now ill-Skray) is brilliant...a seamless liason between the books and you ...so you never have to use a CCd again...

                                                                        anyhow, previously i just assumed u were an e-wallet-user like me...and wanted to emphasize that if you do use an e-wallet with an American-facing book, all of the payment troubles that American players complain about just evaporate for you...you can zip $ around costlessly and quickly to where it needs to be from wherever it is now...

                                                                        you may have had troubles with an e-wallet in the past (and so did I--had all four of the biggies at one time...one of them in particular caused me lots of problems with their policies--but I dropped all of 'em one by one--eventually streamlining everything around BunnyMookers which i found to be the best of the lot for backstopping all the $-movements i need for my sports-investing)
                                                                        Comment
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