dRavidC's NRL 2013

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  • dRavidC
    SBR MVP
    • 01-22-11
    • 2516

    #71
    Originally posted by MrXYZ
    Great work cashing the Panthers. A bold play! No one gave them a chance tonight & public got buried.
    thanks mate. to be honest, i thought the eels have no right to be favorites against anyone on the road. whilst panthers aren't any better, they have actually been improving as a side and were seriously due for a win.
    Comment
    • dRavidC
      SBR MVP
      • 01-22-11
      • 2516

      #72
      NRL Round 8

      2* Broncos vs Rabbitohs UNDER 36.5

      2 teams with premium defence play one another. That can only mean one thing. A Grind! See a similar type game to what we saw from South Sydney in their past 2 weeks. My model has this game capped at the low 30's.

      2* Bulldogs vs Tigers UNDER 40.5

      No bulldogs game this season has eclipsed 40 total points this year. In the past 4 weeks, tigers games are averaging 29.75 points and they know they their only way they can win games is to play a grinding and defensive-minded game. Neither the bulldogs or tigers will be packing on the points tonight, and I think we see another defensive grind.
      Comment
      • dRavidC
        SBR MVP
        • 01-22-11
        • 2516

        #73
        Originally posted by dRavidC
        NRL Round 8

        2* Broncos vs Rabbitohs UNDER 36.5 LOSS

        2 teams with premium defence play one another. That can only mean one thing. A Grind! See a similar type game to what we saw from South Sydney in their past 2 weeks. My model has this game capped at the low 30's.

        2* Bulldogs vs Tigers UNDER 40.5 LOSS

        No bulldogs game this season has eclipsed 40 total points this year. In the past 4 weeks, tigers games are averaging 29.75 points and they know they their only way they can win games is to play a grinding and defensive-minded game. Neither the bulldogs or tigers will be packing on the points tonight, and I think we see another defensive grind.
        down-to-earth plays tonight...

        NRL 2013 Record: 16 - 9

        + 9.17 units
        Comment
        • dRavidC
          SBR MVP
          • 01-22-11
          • 2516

          #74
          NRL Round 8

          2.5* St George vs Manly UNDER 17 1st half

          Making this a big 2.5 unit play! With such a low number, all that is required is 3 converted tries in 40 minutes. Sounds like an easy over? I certainly think not. Manly have played a lot of low scoring 1st halves this season. There have been 10 or less points in 4 of 7 of their 2nd halves with one half reaching 18 points. Dragons have also had 4 of their 7 1st halves reaching no more than 11 points, with 2 landing in 1n the 18 points range. Putting the stats aside, the Dragons play a grinding style of footy and play against a side that has one of best defences in the comp in Manly. I don't see many points scored here in the 1st half, as best 1-2 tries. Since this is a first half play, i may very well be playing the 2nd half if this hits and if there is value so be sure to check back here after the 1st half.
          Comment
          • dRavidC
            SBR MVP
            • 01-22-11
            • 2516

            #75
            Originally posted by dRavidC
            NRL Round 8

            2.5* St George vs Manly UNDER 17 1st half LOSS

            Making this a big 2.5 unit play! With such a low number, all that is required is 3 converted tries in 40 minutes. Sounds like an easy over? I certainly think not. Manly have played a lot of low scoring 1st halves this season. There have been 10 or less points in 4 of 7 of their 2nd halves with one half reaching 18 points. Dragons have also had 4 of their 7 1st halves reaching no more than 11 points, with 2 landing in 1n the 18 points range. Putting the stats aside, the Dragons play a grinding style of footy and play against a side that has one of best defences in the comp in Manly. I don't see many points scored here in the 1st half, as best 1-2 tries. Since this is a first half play, i may very well be playing the 2nd half if this hits and if there is value so be sure to check back here after the 1st half.
            ouch

            NRL 2013 Record: 16 - 10

            + 6.67 units
            Comment
            • dRavidC
              SBR MVP
              • 01-22-11
              • 2516

              #76
              NRL Round 9

              2* Wests vs Cronulla UNDER 40
              Comment
              • dRavidC
                SBR MVP
                • 01-22-11
                • 2516

                #77
                Originally posted by dRavidC
                NRL Round 9

                2* Wests vs Cronulla UNDER 40 WON

                NRL 2013 Record: 17 - 10

                + 8.
                47 units
                Comment
                • dRavidC
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-22-11
                  • 2516

                  #78
                  NRL Round 9

                  2* Warriors +4.5 vs Bulldogs
                  Comment
                  • dRavidC
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-22-11
                    • 2516

                    #79
                    Originally posted by dRavidC
                    NRL Round 9

                    2* Warriors +4.5 vs Bulldogs LOSS
                    NRL 2013 Record: 17 - 11

                    + 6.
                    47 units
                    Comment
                    • dRavidC
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-22-11
                      • 2516

                      #80
                      NRL Round 9

                      2* Eels vs Broncos OVER 37.5
                      Comment
                      • dRavidC
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-22-11
                        • 2516

                        #81
                        Originally posted by dRavidC
                        NRL Round 9

                        2* Eels vs Broncos OVER 37.5 LOSS
                        cruel cruel weekend so far

                        NRL 2013 Record: 17 - 12

                        + 4.
                        47 units
                        Comment
                        • dRavidC
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-22-11
                          • 2516

                          #82
                          NRL Round 9

                          2* Raiders vs Knights +4.5

                          2* Titans M/L vs Dragons
                          Comment
                          • dRavidC
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-22-11
                            • 2516

                            #83
                            Originally posted by dRavidC
                            NRL Round 9

                            2* Raiders vs Knights +4.5 LOSS

                            2* Titans M/L vs Dragons WON
                            NRL 2013 Record: 18 - 13

                            + 3.
                            49 units
                            Comment
                            • dRavidC
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-22-11
                              • 2516

                              #84
                              NRL Round 9

                              2* Panthers vs Storm -10.5 2nd half
                              Comment
                              • dRavidC
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-22-11
                                • 2516

                                #85
                                Originally posted by dRavidC
                                NRL Round 9

                                2* Panthers vs Storm -10.5 2nd half
                                ate away almost all my profits in the space of one weekend. silly me...

                                NRL 2013 Record: 178 - 12

                                + 1.
                                49 units
                                Comment
                                • MrXYZ
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-18-11
                                  • 2342

                                  #86
                                  That was a tough beat, Storm dominated the second half and still lost. They haven't been turning up to play lately.
                                  Comment
                                  • garygroundwork
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 02-12-12
                                    • 729

                                    #87
                                    yep tough loss..and if Smith coverts... don't know what is wrong with storm atm...
                                    Comment
                                    • Tim Gerry Mander
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-14-12
                                      • 869

                                      #88
                                      State of Origin around the corner
                                      Comment
                                      • dRavidC
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-22-11
                                        • 2516

                                        #89
                                        NRL Round 9

                                        2* Sea Eagles M/L vs Roosters

                                        Roosters are as hot as fire right now and play against a Manly team who are without Brett Stewart and are off a home off. Let's not forget this is in Manly at Brooky and I just cant see how Manly lose 2 straight home games at their beloved home fortress. Don't need the start here, taking Manly off the bat here. The Roosters may be looking the better team on paper and form here but i think they'll go down tonight.
                                        Comment
                                        • dRavidC
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-22-11
                                          • 2516

                                          #90
                                          Originally posted by dRavidC
                                          NRL Round 9

                                          2* Sea Eagles M/L vs Roosters LOSS

                                          Roosters are as hot as fire right now and play against a Manly team who are without Brett Stewart and are off a home off. Let's not forget this is in Manly at Brooky and I just cant see how Manly lose 2 straight home games at their beloved home fortress. Don't need the start here, taking Manly off the bat here. The Roosters may be looking the better team on paper and form here but i think they'll go down tonight.
                                          wow oh wow. sea eagles had so many cracks at this roosters defence and even had a period of time when the roosters were down to 12 men and manly were right on the roosters tryline and still couldn't score. and now i'm officially in the negative.

                                          NRL 2013 Record: 18 - 15

                                          - 0.
                                          51 units
                                          Comment
                                          • dRavidC
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-22-11
                                            • 2516

                                            #91
                                            NRL Round 10

                                            1* Panthers vs Warriors +3.5

                                            1* Cowboys vs Roosters -2
                                            Comment
                                            • dRavidC
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-22-11
                                              • 2516

                                              #92
                                              Originally posted by dRavidC
                                              NRL Round 10

                                              1* Panthers vs Warriors +3.5 LOSS

                                              1* Cowboys vs Roosters -2 WON
                                              NRL 2013 Record: 19 - 16

                                              - 0.
                                              61 units
                                              Comment
                                              • dRavidC
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-22-11
                                                • 2516

                                                #93
                                                2* sharks m/l vs raiders

                                                2* knights vs bulldogs under 40.5
                                                Comment
                                                • dRavidC
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-22-11
                                                  • 2516

                                                  #94
                                                  Originally posted by dRavidC
                                                  2* sharks m/l vs raiders WON

                                                  2* knights vs bulldogs under 40.5 LOSS
                                                  NRL 2013 Record: 20 - 17

                                                  - 0.
                                                  71 units
                                                  Comment
                                                  • dRavidC
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-22-11
                                                    • 2516

                                                    #95
                                                    NRL Round 10

                                                    2* Storm vs Sea Eagles OVER 16.5 1st half BALL BUSTER... LOSS

                                                    NRL 2013 Record: 20 - 18

                                                    - 2.
                                                    71 units
                                                    Comment
                                                    • dRavidC
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-22-11
                                                      • 2516

                                                      #96
                                                      NRL Round 11

                                                      3* Tigers vs Cowboys OVER 36.5
                                                      Comment
                                                      • dRavidC
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-22-11
                                                        • 2516

                                                        #97
                                                        Originally posted by dRavidC
                                                        NRL Round 11

                                                        3* Tigers vs Cowboys OVER 36.5 WON
                                                        NRL 2013 Record: 21 - 18

                                                        +0.02
                                                        units
                                                        Comment
                                                        • dRavidC
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-22-11
                                                          • 2516

                                                          #98
                                                          NRL Round 12

                                                          3* Warriors vs Knights OVER 41.5 LOSS

                                                          added:

                                                          3.5* Warriors +3.5 2nd half vs Knights WON

                                                          2* Eels vs Titans OVER 42.5 WON

                                                          NRL 2013 Record: 23 - 19

                                                          +2.10
                                                          units
                                                          Comment
                                                          • dRavidC
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-22-11
                                                            • 2516

                                                            #99
                                                            NRL Round 13

                                                            2* Bulldogs vs Dragons UNDER 37.5
                                                            Comment
                                                            • dRavidC
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-22-11
                                                              • 2516

                                                              #100
                                                              Originally posted by dRavidC
                                                              NRL Round 13

                                                              2* Bulldogs vs Dragons UNDER 37.5 WON
                                                              NRL 2013 Record: 23 - 19

                                                              +3.92
                                                              units
                                                              Comment
                                                              • dRavidC
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-22-11
                                                                • 2516

                                                                #101
                                                                NRL Round 13

                                                                2* Rabbitohs vs Knights OVER 36.5
                                                                Comment
                                                                • dRavidC
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-22-11
                                                                  • 2516

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Originally posted by dRavidC
                                                                  NRL Round 13

                                                                  2* Rabbitohs vs Knights OVER 36.5 WON
                                                                  NRL 2013 Record: 24 - 19

                                                                  +5.74
                                                                  units
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • dRavidC
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-22-11
                                                                    • 2516

                                                                    #103
                                                                    NRL Round 13

                                                                    1.5* Titans vs Cowboys UNDER 18 1st half

                                                                    Cowboys have pretty much lost all their attacking starpower due to injury/origin duties. Titans are also minus their stars-galore forward pack. I think we see a scrappy game and it will take time for these two teams to adjust. I think they play out a low scoring half here.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • dRavidC
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-22-11
                                                                      • 2516

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Originally posted by dRavidC
                                                                      NRL Round 13

                                                                      1.5* Titans vs Cowboys UNDER 18 1st half LOSS

                                                                      Cowboys have pretty much lost all their attacking starpower due to injury/origin duties. Titans are also minus their stars-galore forward pack. I think we see a scrappy game and it will take time for these two teams to adjust. I think they play out a low scoring half here.
                                                                      NRL 2013 Record: 24 - 20

                                                                      +4.24
                                                                      units
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • dRavidC
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-22-11
                                                                        • 2516

                                                                        #105
                                                                        NRL Round 13

                                                                        2* Broncos vs Warriors -2
                                                                        Comment
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