dRavidC's NRL 2013

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  • TheCalculator
    SBR MVP
    • 10-10-11
    • 1683

    #36
    Great call!

    And great call on the AFL.

    BOOOOOM CHAKALAKA!
    Comment
    • dRavidC
      SBR MVP
      • 01-22-11
      • 2516

      #37
      NRL Round 4

      2* Roosters vs Eels UNDER 41.5

      Both these teams have had history of high scoring games but i see a low scoring one tonight. The roosters conceded just 14 points 2 weeks ago and last week did not concede a single point. The eels leaked 31 points, and the bulk of those tries were extremely soft tries. Expect Ricky Stuart to really focus on defence this week. What makes this a really strong play is that whilst the roosters are defensively strong, their offence doesn't appear to have clicked quite yet having not scored more than 16 points this season and I'm expecting them to play a defence-oriented game. Plus this is a night match and it is relatively cold, so fatigue should not be a big factor in both these team's defences. Really liking the UNDER in this one.
      Comment
      • dRavidC
        SBR MVP
        • 01-22-11
        • 2516

        #38
        Originally posted by dRavidC
        NRL Round 4

        2* Roosters vs Eels UNDER 41.5

        Both these teams have had history of high scoring games but i see a low scoring one tonight. The roosters conceded just 14 points 2 weeks ago and last week did not concede a single point. The eels leaked 31 points, and the bulk of those tries were extremely soft tries. Expect Ricky Stuart to really focus on defence this week. What makes this a really strong play is that whilst the roosters are defensively strong, their offence doesn't appear to have clicked quite yet having not scored more than 16 points this season and I'm expecting them to play a defence-oriented game. Plus this is a night match and it is relatively cold, so fatigue should not be a big factor in both these team's defences. Really liking the UNDER in this one.
        NRL 2013 Record: 6 - 5

        +0.69 units



        Comment
        • dRavidC
          SBR MVP
          • 01-22-11
          • 2516

          #39
          NRL Round 5

          2* Bulldogs vs Sea Eagles UNDER 35.5

          Both these two teams have a history of low scoring games of late and I see it being the same result today, similar to how that rabbitohs bulldogs game played out last week.

          2* Titans vs Broncos +5.5

          Titans may have been looking the better side this entire season but I think 5.5 is a bit inflated. Broncos looked really good in that 2nd half against the best of the business in the storm and I think they'll replicate that form against the Titans. I think Broncos win this in what should be a close game, but taking the 5.5 points as insurance.
          Comment
          • dRavidC
            SBR MVP
            • 01-22-11
            • 2516

            #40
            Originally posted by dRavidC
            NRL Round 5

            2* Bulldogs vs Sea Eagles UNDER 35.5 WON

            Both these two teams have a history of low scoring games of late and I see it being the same result today, similar to how that rabbitohs bulldogs game played out last week.

            2* Titans vs Broncos +5.5 WON

            Titans may have been looking the better side this entire season but I think 5.5 is a bit inflated. Broncos looked really good in that 2nd half against the best of the business in the storm and I think they'll replicate that form against the Titans. I think Broncos win this in what should be a close game, but taking the 5.5 points as insurance.
            BOOM BOOM easy winners

            NRL 2013 Record: 8 - 5

            + 4.33 units
            Comment
            • dRavidC
              SBR MVP
              • 01-22-11
              • 2516

              #41
              NRL Round 5

              2* Warriors vs Rabbitohs OVER 43.5
              Comment
              • swordsandtequila
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-23-12
                • 9757

                #42
                Following your threads, good luck
                Comment
                • dRavidC
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-22-11
                  • 2516

                  #43
                  Originally posted by dRavidC
                  NRL Round 5

                  2* Warriors vs Rabbitohs OVER 43.5 WON
                  EASY WINNER!!! Unlucky warriors. They outplayed the rabbitohs for most of that game, really deserved the win there. but having said that, I believe there is finally some life in these warriors

                  NRL 2013 Record: 9 - 5

                  + 6.15 units
                  Comment
                  • dRavidC
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-22-11
                    • 2516

                    #44
                    NRL Round 5

                    1* Raiders vs Roosters OVER 41.5
                    Comment
                    • dRavidC
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-22-11
                      • 2516

                      #45
                      Originally posted by dRavidC
                      NRL Round 5

                      1* Raiders vs Roosters OVER 41.5 WON
                      and my PERFECT weekend continues.

                      winner with a few minutes to spare.

                      hope you guys cashed in on some of my plays this weekend.

                      NRL 2013 Record: 10 - 5

                      + 7.06 units
                      Comment
                      • MrXYZ
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-18-11
                        • 2342

                        #46
                        Nice work mate! Congrats on hitting both totals today.
                        Comment
                        • dRavidC
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-22-11
                          • 2516

                          #47
                          NRL Round 5

                          2* Storm vs Tigers UNDER 44.5
                          Comment
                          • dRavidC
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-22-11
                            • 2516

                            #48
                            Originally posted by dRavidC
                            NRL Round 5

                            2* Storm vs Tigers UNDER 44.5 WON
                            NRL 2013 Record: 11 - 5

                            + 8.88 units
                            Comment
                            • dRavidC
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-22-11
                              • 2516

                              #49
                              Originally posted by MrXYZ
                              Nice work mate! Congrats on hitting both totals today.
                              thanks mate!
                              Comment
                              • dRavidC
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-22-11
                                • 2516

                                #50
                                NRL Round 6

                                2* Roosters vs Bulldogs UNDER 36.5

                                The dogs have not scored more than 20 points all season and now they come up against a Roosters side that conceded 0 points for 2 matches and a half! Sure the roosters leaked points last week against the raiders but expect that to be a wake up call for them tonight. Plus they're playing at home. I think both teams will be fired up defensively and we should we see a grinding style of footy tonight. There should be no more than 30 points scored in this one.
                                Comment
                                • dRavidC
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-22-11
                                  • 2516

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by dRavidC
                                  NRL Round 6

                                  2* Roosters vs Bulldogs UNDER 36.5 LOSS

                                  The dogs have not scored more than 20 points all season and now they come up against a Roosters side that conceded 0 points for 2 matches and a half! Sure the roosters leaked points last week against the raiders but expect that to be a wake up call for them tonight. Plus they're playing at home. I think both teams will be fired up defensively and we should we see a grinding style of footy tonight. There should be no more than 30 points scored in this one.
                                  NRL 2013 Record: 11 - 6

                                  + 6.88 units
                                  Comment
                                  • ExodusNZ
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 09-02-11
                                    • 605

                                    #52
                                    Hey mate

                                    BL to us tonight!

                                    How much are your unit sizes ? (in real money value) if you dont mind me asking
                                    Comment
                                    • dRavidC
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-22-11
                                      • 2516

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by ExodusNZ
                                      Hey mate

                                      BL to us tonight!

                                      How much are your unit sizes ? (in real money value) if you dont mind me asking
                                      1 unit is $50
                                      Comment
                                      • snufflyjoe
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 07-26-11
                                        • 476

                                        #54
                                        I keep checking your threads like a degen! Doing awesome mate!
                                        Comment
                                        • dRavidC
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-22-11
                                          • 2516

                                          #55
                                          NRL Round 6

                                          1* South Sydney vs Melbourne M/L
                                          Comment
                                          • dRavidC
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-22-11
                                            • 2516

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by dRavidC
                                            NRL Round 6

                                            1* South Sydney vs Melbourne M/L WON
                                            CASH IT!

                                            NRL 2013 Record: 12 - 6

                                            + 7.88 units
                                            Comment
                                            • dRavidC
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-22-11
                                              • 2516

                                              #57
                                              NRL Round 6

                                              Live play @ HT

                                              1.5* West Tigers vs Dragons OVER 22
                                              Comment
                                              • dRavidC
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-22-11
                                                • 2516

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by dRavidC
                                                NRL Round 6

                                                Live play @ HT

                                                1.5* West Tigers vs Dragons OVER 22 WON
                                                wow did not see that win coming. tigers score 2 tries in a the space of a few minutes to get the cover. main reason I picked the over 22 cause neither the tigers nor the dragons have played a match this season totalling less than 22 points. nonetheless, win's a win. might be having a play for tomorrow so stay tuned.

                                                NRL 2013 Record: 13 - 6

                                                + 9.25 units
                                                Comment
                                                • dRavidC
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-22-11
                                                  • 2516

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by dRavidC
                                                  wow did not see that win coming. tigers score 2 tries in a the space of a few minutes to get the cover. main reason I picked the over 22 cause neither the tigers nor the dragons have played a match this season totalling less than 22 points. nonetheless, win's a win. might be having a play for tomorrow so stay tuned.

                                                  NRL 2013 Record: 13 - 6

                                                  + 9.25 units
                                                  damn it just realised there was no monday night football
                                                  Comment
                                                  • dRavidC
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-22-11
                                                    • 2516

                                                    #60
                                                    NRL Round 7

                                                    2* Roosters vs Dragons UNDER 36.5
                                                    Comment
                                                    • dRavidC
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-22-11
                                                      • 2516

                                                      #61
                                                      NRL Round 7

                                                      2.5* Storm vs Warriors OVER 40.5
                                                      Comment
                                                      • dRavidC
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-22-11
                                                        • 2516

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by dRavidC
                                                        NRL Round 7

                                                        2* Roosters vs Dragons UNDER 36.5 LOSS
                                                        Originally posted by dRavidC
                                                        NRL Round 7

                                                        2.5* Storm vs Warriors OVER 40.5 WON
                                                        I am speechless with that roosters dragons game.

                                                        The storm warriors OVER was a really lucky one, had Hurrell not knocked on 10m out, we may not of got that slater try which would of cost us the over by 0.5 . Warriors played really well and to lose like that, it's disheartening. Let's hope they are able to get a W next win cause they need it, for team morale if anything. The storm weren't at their best but showed that even with their backs against the wall, they have the plays to win games. Kudos to them!

                                                        NRL 2013 Record: 14 - 7

                                                        + 9.53 units
                                                        Comment
                                                        • dRavidC
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-22-11
                                                          • 2516

                                                          #63
                                                          NRL Round 7

                                                          2* Sea Eagles vs Rabbitohs UNDER 36.5
                                                          Comment
                                                          • dRavidC
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-22-11
                                                            • 2516

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by dRavidC
                                                            NRL Round 7

                                                            2* Sea Eagles vs Rabbitohs UNDER 36.5 WON
                                                            we over the 10 unit profit margin. not as good and fast as afl but still, profit is profit.

                                                            NRL 2013 Record: 15 - 7

                                                            + 11.35 units
                                                            Comment
                                                            • dRavidC
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-22-11
                                                              • 2516

                                                              #65
                                                              NRL Round 7

                                                              2* Panthers +3.5 vs Eels

                                                              A depleted Panthers backline versus an eels team devoid of confidence but boasting their two stars hayne and sandow hungry for a win. Something tells me Panthers win this or at least keep it really close (possibly golden point). Eels haven't won a game on the road all season, but they play a panthers team that has not won since round 1. No real analysis or stats to support this play but my guts telling me that the unpredictability and uncertainty in this panthers side will spark a much needed win.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • dRavidC
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-22-11
                                                                • 2516

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by dRavidC
                                                                NRL Round 7

                                                                2* Panthers +3.5 vs Eels WON

                                                                A depleted Panthers backline versus an eels team devoid of confidence but boasting their two stars hayne and sandow hungry for a win. Something tells me Panthers win this or at least keep it really close (possibly golden point). Eels haven't won a game on the road all season, but they play a panthers team that has not won since round 1. No real analysis or stats to support this play but my guts telling me that the unpredictability and uncertainty in this panthers side will spark a much needed win.
                                                                easy winner, never in doubt!

                                                                NRL 2013 Record: 16 - 7

                                                                + 13.17 units
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Tim Gerry Mander
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 11-14-12
                                                                  • 869

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Solid tipping mate.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Tim Gerry Mander
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 11-14-12
                                                                    • 869

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Interesting to note that you regularly play margins in the AFL, but only the spread or points total in NRL.

                                                                    Do you dabble in Pick the Winners or Margins with the TAB?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • MrXYZ
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-18-11
                                                                      • 2342

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Great work cashing the Panthers. A bold play! No one gave them a chance tonight & public got buried.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • dRavidC
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-22-11
                                                                        • 2516

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by Tim Gerry Mander
                                                                        Interesting to note that you regularly play margins in the AFL, but only the spread or points total in NRL.

                                                                        Do you dabble in Pick the Winners or Margins with the TAB?
                                                                        well with AFL, the margins play has more margin for error than nrl margins. with afl, a team has to beat another by more than 6 goals to cook the play. and given the increase in goal kicking difficulty/inaccuracy it adds more in our favour. However with the NRL, 12 points is really not many points to play with. As we've seen in so many games this season, there have been plenty of blowouts of 13+.

                                                                        nah i don't play pick the winners or margins, i just play the margins of afl games i'm confident and with NRL strictly stick to totals and at times spreads.
                                                                        Comment
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