THE Rugby Thread (easysaid, RLF, Sando & others)

davopnz · 12-09-12, 06:53 AM

tough position here 1am....do i stay up for more 7s? gotta get up at 7am for NFL....

sando · 12-09-12, 06:57 AM

Originally posted by RLF

Yep and very tough physically despite not many big units. Apart from the 1st half against Kenya they were very good yesterday. Regret not doing them straight.

Some books slow to put up the next lot of lines.

Mate Bet 365 has put out their shitty "3-way" lines but that's all I can see ATM.

oBaMa_MaNiA · 12-09-12, 06:57 AM

Zimbabwe ain't +10 @ 2 worse than Scotland for sure, no?

davopnz · 12-09-12, 07:02 AM

great call! glad i tailed

RLF · 12-09-12, 07:03 AM

Originally posted by oBaMa_MaNiA

got the one unit on it?

Doing the same amount on each 7s game but a little higher on the Heineken games.

Kenya +5.5

sando · 12-09-12, 07:06 AM

Adding...

Scotland v Zimbabwe
Scotland -10.5 (Centrebet, IAS, Sportsbet $1.90) 1.5x

Kenya v Australia
Kenya +5.5 (Centrebet, $1.90) 2x
Kenya m/l (Centrebet, $2.80) 1x

Spain v Canada
Spain +2.5 (Bet 365 $2.00) 1x

3-2 today +1.62 Units
*Very busy now, probably won't be able to update record again until the end of the day.

davopnz · 12-09-12, 07:07 AM

2 way 365 lines out...money management has cost me from not killing it this tourny.

went 4-0 yesterday, 2-2 today

RLF · 12-09-12, 07:08 AM

I suggest flat staking each game, I learned the hard way not to adjust on 7s even though some seem better than others. 7s is so erratic anything can happen.

davopnz · 12-09-12, 07:09 AM

anyone else feeling it for kenya to win $2.80? 365 sharp with a +1.5 line

sando · 12-09-12, 07:10 AM

Originally posted by RLF

I suggest flat staking each game, I learned the hard way not to adjust on 7s even though some seem better than others. 7s is so erratic anything can happen.

Great advice. I went 6-5 yesterday and finished down 2 Units.

oBaMa_MaNiA · 12-09-12, 07:12 AM

I've still got Kenya +5.5 at Sportingbet.com.au, sportsbet and bet365 have been moved right down with the lines

davopnz · 12-09-12, 07:13 AM

rlf, you like scotland -? definitely liking that..although zimbabwe have some speedsters.

kenya +5.5 really looks gold to me.....365 not paying anyone else out?

benandjerry · 12-09-12, 07:14 AM

Originally posted by RLF

I suggest flat staking each game, I learned the hard way not to adjust on 7s even though some seem better than others. 7s is so erratic anything can happen.

I agree with flat staking in general, not only for 7s though it appears to be even more important there since it can be such a crapshoot at times.

RLF · 12-09-12, 07:15 AM

Not playing the Scotland game, don't like betting on big spreads on the minus this late into the tourney, no motivation to win by a lot (just need a win to progress) and will want to conserve energy. Other team will keep going until the end.

sando · 12-09-12, 07:16 AM

Originally posted by davopnz

rlf, you like scotland -? definitely liking that..although zimbabwe have some speedsters.

kenya +5.5 really looks gold to me.....365 not paying anyone else out?

If you ring them they will do it immediately, otherwise they are notoriously slow.

Adding...

Scotland v Zimbabwe
Scotland -10.5 (Centrebet, IAS, Sportsbet $1.90) 1.5x

Kenya v Australia
Kenya +5.5 (Centrebet, $1.90) 2x
Kenya m/l (Centrebet, $2.80) 1x

Spain v Canada
Spain +2.5 (Bet 365 $2.00) 1x

3-2 today +1.62 Units
*Very busy now, probably won't be able to update record again until the end of the day.

davopnz · 12-09-12, 07:16 AM

any love for kenya to win @ 2.80 rlf? see sando has picked up on it!

Tim Gerry Mander · 12-09-12, 07:19 AM

too late, into $2.35 now

RLF · 12-09-12, 07:20 AM

I'd tip them to win but won't bet on it, line is good enough for me.

Argentina +5.5

davopnz · 12-09-12, 07:23 AM

i was too slow line down to +2.5 now

oBaMa_MaNiA · 12-09-12, 07:25 AM

for some reason sportsbet has Spain favorite in the next game while other books like bet365/sportingbet have canada as favorite!

davopnz · 12-09-12, 07:28 AM

i think saffas +5.5 over nz is a gift, i dont rate this current 7s team very highly

sando · 12-09-12, 07:32 AM

Originally posted by davopnz

i think saffas +5.5 over nz is a gift, i dont rate this current 7s team very highly

I agree. Will be pounding both the m/l and ATS once I shop around.

davopnz · 12-09-12, 07:33 AM

i'm gutted that is at like 3:30 am...i cant sleep on bets but i also need some sleep. grr, you got it lucky over in aus

RLF · 12-09-12, 07:33 AM

NZ has an incredible record over here, won 6 out of the 8 tournaments here. SA still missing quality players and NZ looked to have hit top form last game. Think I'll leave it.

Tim Gerry Mander · 12-09-12, 07:39 AM

how shithouse did scotland play??

davopnz · 12-09-12, 07:45 AM

kenya punted into 1.95...congrats to those who got 2.80 and +5.5....i think its a great bet, ill call it a night now

RLF · 12-09-12, 07:55 AM

Did Canada go on a holiday after Dubai? They've been shit this tournament after an impressive Dubai performance.

oBaMa_MaNiA · 12-09-12, 08:12 AM

Very small bet 0.25 unit on England +1.5 and USA +10.5

all purely line movement... hasn't been very wrong tonight!

RLF · 12-09-12, 08:33 AM

Fiji -7.5

sando · 12-09-12, 08:53 AM

Adding...

Fiji -8.5 (IAS, Sportsbet $1.90) 2x
*Edit - Meant to be 2 units

SA +5.5 (IAS, Sportsbet $1.90) 1.5x
SA m/l (Centrebet $3.30) 0.5x

sando · 12-09-12, 09:38 AM

Adding...

France +2.5 (Bet 365 $1.80) 2.5x

WTF? France should be slight favorites IMO. Gladly take the points.

RLF · 12-09-12, 09:42 AM

Clermont -6.5 in the Heineken

RLF · 12-09-12, 09:47 AM

Wow nearly lost the Fiji bet there.

sando · 12-09-12, 09:47 AM

Bout time some luck rolled our way... Thank you Fiji.

sando · 12-09-12, 09:50 AM

Just you and me left RLF? I think all the kids have gone to bed haha...

*Jumping on Clermont.