Post best bet or follow ups of the day

[TonyP]

Thanks for the million card Mike, will use these when capping for contest.

[mikemca]

Saturday

Saratoga

Race 1
5-Metal Magic 4-1
1/1A-Pletcher Entry
7-Sallisaw 6-1
Race 2
4-Hawkshaw 10-1
2-Bam Bam
1-Speeding Comet 5-1
Race 3
2-Exclusivo 15-1
3-Professor Zoom 6-1
1-Iron In The Fire 2-1
Race 4
2-Kandoo 5-1
1-Delicate Lady 8-1
5-Tonasah 8-5
Race 5
3-All Tied Up 10-1
Race 6
9-Rock Garden 15-1
1-Super Surprise 3-1
8-Backwood Bay 8-1
4-Princess Alisha 20-1
Race 7
2-The Commish 8-1
Race 8
1-Los Borrachos 10-1
10-Mutin 12-1
6-Candir 3-1
Race 9
9-Kirov 5-1
2-Elraazy 7-2
3-Predicate 12-1
1-Touch The Moon 4-1
Race 10
3-Ironicus 4-1
Race 11
6-Aleander 4-1
8-Bossmon 20-1
5-Pin And Win 6-1




Del Mar

Race 1
4-Midnight Man 8-1
Race 2
1-Tangelo 4-1
Race 3
7-Mt Veeder 3-1
Race 4
1-Planet Sunshine 6-1
Race 5
4-Arctic Warrior 15-1
Race 6
4-Baccelo 10-1
8-Patentar 6-1
11-Jules Journey 3-1
Race 7
3-Plane Lucky 5-2
2-Forthenineteen 12-1
7-Song For Jade 12-1
Race 8
4-Sharla Rae 6-1
6-Prize Exhibit 5-2
8-Sunset Glow 3-1
Race 9
5-Allidoisdreamofyou 8-1
Race 10
9-Redheads Rule 3-1
4-Lady Vogue 20-1
8-Nashoba's Candy 8-1
11-Sweet Promises 20-1


Woodbine

Race 8
9-Llanarmon 12-1

[mikemca]

Thanks for the million card Mike, will use these when capping for contest.

NP....gonna go through all these at ARL, SAR , DMR , and the 1 from Woodbine and try to figure 5-10 that I like most

[harthebar]

Thanks mike

Saturday

Saratoga

Race 1
5-Metal Magic 4-1
1/1A-Pletcher Entry
7-Sallisaw 6-1
Race 2
4-Hawkshaw 10-1
2-Bam Bam
1-Speeding Comet 5-1
Race 3
2-Exclusivo 15-1
3-Professor Zoom 6-1
1-Iron In The Fire 2-1
Race 4
2-Kandoo 5-1
1-Delicate Lady 8-1
5-Tonasah 8-5
Race 5
3-All Tied Up 10-1
Race 6
9-Rock Garden 15-1
1-Super Surprise 3-1
8-Backwood Bay 8-1
4-Princess Alisha 20-1
Race 7
2-The Commish 8-1
Race 8
1-Los Borrachos 10-1
10-Mutin 12-1
6-Candir 3-1
Race 9
9-Kirov 5-1
2-Elraazy 7-2
3-Predicate 12-1
1-Touch The Moon 4-1
Race 10
3-Ironicus 4-1
Race 11
6-Aleander 4-1
8-Bossmon 20-1
5-Pin And Win 6-1




Del Mar

Race 1
4-Midnight Man 8-1
Race 2
1-Tangelo 4-1
Race 3
7-Mt Veeder 3-1
Race 4
1-Planet Sunshine 6-1
Race 5
4-Arctic Warrior 15-1
Race 6
4-Baccelo 10-1
8-Patentar 6-1
11-Jules Journey 3-1
Race 7
3-Plane Lucky 5-2
2-Forthenineteen 12-1
7-Song For Jade 12-1
Race 8
4-Sharla Rae 6-1
6-Prize Exhibit 5-2
8-Sunset Glow 3-1
Race 9
5-Allidoisdreamofyou 8-1
Race 10
9-Redheads Rule 3-1
4-Lady Vogue 20-1
8-Nashoba's Candy 8-1
11-Sweet Promises 20-1


Woodbine

Race 8
9-Llanarmon 12-1

[harthebar]

:Kenjisstorm is scheduled to run on 8/15/2015 in Race 9*

[mikemca]

Arlington Million Day!

Great card with few if any standouts


Arlington

Race 1
4-Mighty Hutch 8-1(Could turn tables on top choice...Pick of only WIN bet)
10-Run Right At It 10-1
9-Costly King 5-2(Top 3 may all get the jump on this one)
Race 2
2-Three Golden Rules 5-1(No chance on very speed favoring tracks last 2...Move to turf would give a big shot if fair/closer friendly)
Race 3
3-Premura 9-2(Stidham in his element at Arlington with this jock off this long of layoff)
5-Mission Storm
Race 4
6-Belomor 10-1(Many stretchout sprinters should provide fast pace giving this colt something to run at)
3-Bordini 10-1
4-Private Prospect
8-Recount
Race 5
No idea about this circuit's 2 year old MSWs. Which trainers, which sires are good with 1sters on synth, etc...Three faves 3-Moms Choice, 7-Prarie Chick , 8-Recognition have the best trainers on paper but not sure what their specialty is whether it's sprinting , routing, turf, synth, 2 year olds , or 3yrs +. However might stab with 6-Angel's Cry 15-1 who is only 1 of 2 who have raced before and may not have cared much for muddy track on dirt at IND. Get's back on ARL poly where she has been training before and after that toss out race. Expect big improvement but Rivelli (3) and Divito (8) get them ready first out.

6-Angel's Cry 15-1
3-Mom's Choice
8-Recognition

Race 6
The trick to this race is figuring out what to do with the Canterbury races several of these come out of. Most look really good figurewise from there but have often seen horses run huge figures at B tracks only to not back it up when returning to the big leagues. C Clement has a strong chance with 10-Miss Chatelaine 7-2 and at that price is a bet for sure. This circuit's turf wizard like Clement is C Block who has two runners. 2-Giant Deduction 12-1 has the upside in only 3rd career start with progressive figs and should appreciate the extra furlong. Then we get to the Caterbury horses . I prefer 6-America Mon Amie 8-1 and 9-Counterfactual 15-1.

10-Miss Chatelaine
2-Giant Deduction
6-America Mon Amie

Race 7
3-Lucky Speed 5-1
1-Panama Hat 10-1
11-Highball 15-1

Race 8
This race looks like it's going to the Euros who have 3 horses with good chances 6-Highland Reel 5-2 for Aiden O'Brien , undefeated 3-Goldstream 9-2 , and 7-War Dispatch 4-1. Could box those 3 trying to beat favored Force The Pass. Interesting price horse 1-Closing Bell 10-1 progressed every start up to this 4th career start and ran as good or better imo than fave Force The Pass in G1 Belmont Derby trying to rally into slow pace. Another improvement and the 1 has as good a shot as any to win this.

1-Closing Bell 10-1
6-Highland Reel
3-Goldstream 9-2
7-War Dispatch 4-1

Race 9
I like a lot of horses in here. Last year's winner Euro Charline and place horse Stephanie's Kitten are beatable.

2-Watsdachances 10-1
5-Mango Diva 15-1
6-Carla Bianca 8-1
_______________________
1-Lacy 20-1
10-Secret Gesture 9-2
9-Wedding Vow 4-1

Of course have to narrow it down by Saturday or hope for scratches. Mango Diva and Watsdachances have a kick that can win this . It's all up to the jock pushing the button at just the right time. Lacy is the biggest price and has ran well fresh and note the addition of lasix says a lot for a German horse since they don't breed to any horse that has used the med. So she probably really needs it and this horse is not going back to Germany.Carla Bianca was coming off a year layoff when she finished behind Wedding Vow 3 back. Is in career best form now. Wedding Vow and Secret Gesture are the logical horses but Wedding Vow may be my first cut.

Race 10
One of the best Arlington Million fields I have seen from a betting perspective. The R9/R10 Daily Double and every other horizontal bet including those 2 races is definitely worth taking a shot. Could go with any of the 13 horses and I wouldn't argue. Even 9-Shining Copper 30-1 comes off a career best fig that fits with these when setting a ridiculous pace and still holding well to only finish a neck behind Slumber who is 7-2 this race and less than 2 lengths behind Big Blue Kitten who is the favorite at 3-1 in the G1 United Nations. Both were 11 lengths or more behind the wicked pace Copper set. That leads me to not like any out
that race but like I said. I wouldn't argue with someone who thinks that race is key and likes them all. If Carla Bianca runs lights out the race prior that would boost the stock of 30-1 bomb 12-Elleval. Have to take more time with this race . Right now I'm thinking 10-Triple Threat 6-1 , 3-Bookrunner 15-1 , and 5-Wake Forest 12-1.

Race 11
8-Shaban 15-1

Bank Account scratch in Race 1 makes 4-Mighty Hutch 8-1 a play.

Chip Leader scratch in 4th makes me have to use one or both faves with two 10-1 horses

[TonyP]

Mike we have the same saratoga 7th #2

[mikemca]

Mike we have the same saratoga 7th #2

All I needed was race 6 at Saratoga today

$500+ exacta and $41.20 to place

[mikemca]

and $60 then $90 exacta back to back at Arlington R7 & 8

[mikemca]

Saratoga

Race 6
9-Rock Garden 15-1---------------41.20---11.60
1-Super Surprise 3-1------------------------2.80
8-Backwood Bay 8-1-------20.80--9.00---4.80
4-Princess Alisha 20-1SCRATCHED

Exacta $513
Trifecta $2,149

[mikemca]

Race 7
3-Lucky Speed 5-1-------8.00---4.80---3.20
1-Panama Hat 10-1--------------8.20----4.00
11-Highball 15-1

Exacta 61.20

Race 8
1-Closing Bell 10-1---------------11.20---4.80
6-Highland Reel----------6.80----4.80---3.00
3-Goldstream 9-2
7-War Dispatch 4-1


Exacta $91.20

[mikemca]

Kirov wins race 9 at spa paying $13...$7.50...Predicate 3rd at 23-1 or would of had another biggie


weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee

watsdachances wins via dq moves from 2nd to 1st paying 19.80...7.20 in Beverly D and more importantly gets me live to daily double in arl million

need 3,5,6, or 10

[Easy-Rider 66]

Kirov wins race 9 at spa paying $13...$7.50...Predicate 3rd at 23-1 or would of had another biggie


weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee

watsdachances wins via dq moves from 2nd to 1st paying 19.80...7.20 in Beverly D and more importantly gets me live to daily double in arl million

need 3,5,6, or 10

Good call on the #9 at Sar. Was concerned about the 9 months off so I did not play him. Cost me big in a survivor contest on DW.

[mikemca]

ty...Yeah I would be worried too with just about anyone but C Brown training. He only enters them live. Even off the layoff his last race was 1 mile and C Brown is something crazy when he cuts back from 1 mile + to specifically 7 furlongs. Don't have data in front of me but it is insane both win % and roi.

[mikemca]

Shining Copper has transformed into a beast. If he wasn't serving as Big Blue Kitten's rabbit he could be knocking down Grade 2s.

[mikemca]

Arlington
Race 11
8-Shaban 15-1

Saratoga
Race 11
6-Aleander 4-1

Didn't get even close to 15-1 but Shaban closes out Arlington card with a win and Aleander closes out Spa card with a win. Crushed the 2nd half of both tracks

[bullheaddad]

thanks for posting

[mikemca]

np yw

getting into tomorrows card now

[bullheaddad]

wish i would've seen it earlier. I'm new to the ponies , usually play sports, but I'm enjoying the horses much more.

[mikemca]

Sunday

Saratoga

Race 1
Turf marathon could be tricky. 1-Malibu Preacher 2-1 making 4th career start after improving every start so far could be tough. I'm hoping blinkers on 6-Britannia's Moat 8-1 can help Franco put them to sleep on the front end and wire this thing. One horse definitely has no problem with the distance 2-Alajmal 15-1 and while all his success can jumping fences compared to very lackluster flat races , he has never had a jock as good as Johnny V in the irons. Kind of a hunch but will be throwing him in.

6-Britannia's Moat 8-1
2-Alajmal 15-1
1-Malibu Preacher 2-1

Race 2
2-Stay Tuned 6-5 , 7-Bird Prince 4-1 , and 8-Ogermeister 15-1 all come out of the same race here a few weeks ago where they dueled on the front end of a dead surface. The big fave held best by far holding on for 2nd. On a more speed favoring surface the case can be made to box the 2,7,8. My alternative is 4-Cloverdale Nine 12-1 who ran his best race off a similar break from a last race route. Then the 2nd time Ward tried the brief freshing/cutback this gelding broke through the gate and ran his race before it began. Think this race could be a WTF? kind of race so just going with the 4. Would want to include 1-Benny Is A Jet 12-1 in exacta getting back to dirt which might be best surface.

4-Cloverdale Nine 12-1
1-Benny Is A Jet 12-1
2-Stay Tuned 6-5
8-Ogermeister 15-1

Race 3
Uncle Sigh should win this by 35 lengths if he is anywhere close to fit. That's the ??? though , is this just a fitness race for a stretchout next start? He may still win but willing to stab at 3-Candid Desire 10-1 who ran wide all around the track after breaking from post 12 last out. Think Sciacca is calling it a tossout race too because he brings him right back 2 weeks later.

3-Candid Desire 10-1

Race 4
Looks like a match race between the top two stables of Pletcher and Brown with 10-Azar 7-2 and 8-Ekhtibaar 5-2. No good reason to go against them. The alternatives would be G Motion's 4-Tusk , Motion who got off to a 1 for 14 start has picked it up a bit and is 3 for last 17. Plus he is always capable of winning debut long on turf. The other is 5-Cav 10-1 for Mott who was never known for getting firsters ready , in fact it was the opposite. He was 0 for a million with a rep at bringing them along slow .That has changed this meet as all his maidens are firing. At the price he is obviously the play. The horse is the best bred in the race also sired by Cape Blanco out of a Gold Halo mare. Gold Halo by superstar stud Sunday Silence.

5-Cav 10-1
10-Azar 7-2
8-Ekhtibaar 5-2
4-Tusk

Race 5
Nothing clever this race 4-Mission Driven 5-2 and 10-Mr. Maybe 7-2. Have no idea who the trainer is but on paper 6-Chunnel 15-1 is the price. Has some ability even with all the 2nds and 3rds on turf. Lezcano has ridden exceptionally on the lawn this meet so if anyone can get him into the winner's circle it may be him.

4-Mission Driven 5-2
10-Mr. Maybe 7-2
6-Chunnel 15-1

Race 6
This race might have some future stars in it. Many with good breeding or expensive prices relative to stud fee. Pletcher and Brown 1ster are obvious. 3-Queen Caroline 6-1 first out for Matz with fast breezes looks enticing but have a feeling this is to set her up for lasix + route next out. Wouldn't be a shocker. 2-Tap To It 6-1 is the one I want but drew the rail for 1st start. Not sure if price warrants the risk. If I'm taking on the Pletcher/Brown juggernaut I want a price. Have been a fan of Street Cry for a while and he sires 7-Go And Wander 15-1 for T Morley who isn't that great 1st out but decent with 2 year olds. Like the progressive workout pattern of a series of 3f works followed by a series of 4f works ending with a 5f work.

7-Go And Wander 15-1

Race 7
Not sure we'll see the 15-1 on 5-Weekend Express but that's a very generous price should it come to fruition. Lanerie not doing so hot at Spa but rode this horse twice finishing 1st and 2nd. The 2nd was to G1 Belmont Derby winner Force The Pass and 2 starts later this horse ran into G2 Hall Of Fame winner Takeover Target. So has faced some good horses and big price is due to last race which wasn't great but A Worrie was in the irons and the horse pulled which sometimes means the jocks can't handle the horse.If we're gonna make money we have to keep at least one of the faves out of the exacta.

5-Weekend Express 15-1
1-Big Family 5-1
7-Dreaming Of Gold 8-5 or 4-Fundamental 5-2

Race 8
4-Ack Naughty 7-5 is the most likely winner on the card imo. Going to be very tough to beat with a good trip. She does come from the clouds so a bad trip is possible but as long as Irad keeps her in the clear and rides like he is on the best horse she should win. Have a feeling 6-Spuntastic 10-1 will last longer than the odds indicate. McLaughlin is killing the Spa meet and he is excellent with sprint to route , first route , turf , and just about every applicable angle. Then it's a toss up between 3-La Reverie 20-1 , 8-Missy Bay 12-1 , and 9-All Day Alice 6-1. Could just key the 4 in 1st to 3,6,8,9 or cut one and box the remaining 4.

4-Ack Naughty 7-5
6-Spuntastic 10-1
3-La Reverie 20-1
8-Missy Bay 12-1
9-All Day Alice 6-1

Race 9
2-Holding Gold 7-2 and 3-Hammers Vision 8-1 are question marks on the dirt but their synth and grass race are fast enough to win this. If someone is going to beat 5-Saratoga Mischief 9-5 I think it will be one of them.

2-Holding Gold 7-2
3-Hammers Vision 8-1
5-Saratoga Mischief 9-5

Race 10
Why not close it out with another battle of 2 year olds from the Pletcher/Brown barns. Seems like the are favorite and 2nd choice every baby race whether dirt or turf , sprint or route. The prices I like due to breeding are 3-Afternoon 15-1 , 6-Always Sweet 15-1 , and 2-Daiquiri Lass 20-1. Putting them in a box with either the Brown,Pletcher, or Motion. Leaning Claire's Joy for Motion or Grey Stark for Brown. Will see if the betting tells me anything.

6-Always Sweet 15-1
3-Afternoon 15-1
2-Daiquiri Lass 20-1
5-Grey Stark 7-2/8-Liberty Kitten 9-2/9-Claire's Joy 5-1

[harthebar]

Finally Ritta You is scheduled to run on 8/16/2015 in Race 8 at Fort Erie.

[harthebar]

Mike great capping yesterday .great % outstanding
thanks

[mikemca]

Sunday

Monmouth
Race 7
4-Act Of Madness 8-1

Gulfstream
Race 3
6-Kipling's Joy 8-1

Laurel Park
Race 3
7-Raven Rush 10-1
Race 5
5-Discreet Aria 8-1
Race 7
10-Touch Of Snow 10-1
Race 8
3-Sweet Chant 12-1

Arlington
Race 4
7-Smartified 8-1
Race 5
5-She's Lit Up 5-1
Race 8
2-Annie Bellum 15-1

Del Mar
Race 2
5-Malibu Mogul 6-1
Race 4
3-Wasted At Midnight 10-1
Race 9
3-Mangita 12-1

[bullheaddad]

what is with Irad today?? ridiculous..

[mikemca]

Not a good day. Only race I nailed was Race 2. Could have boxed the 4 and hit $72 exacta, $465 trifecta, or $1,874 superfecta. Only exacta for me so lost today.

[mikemca]

what is with Irad today?? ridiculous..

He is good but then again everyone at Saratoga is good. You got a guy like Corey Lanerie that is like 0 for 30 and can't win a race but will go to Churchill and win the jockey title.

[bullheaddad]

It was a crazy day for him. Good racing. Looking forward to tomorrow.

[harthebar]

:Unlocked is scheduled to run on 8/17/2015 in Race 3 at Tioga Downs.

[harthebar]

Unlocked ran in Race 3 at Tioga Downs today.



POS Finisher Win Place Show
1 #2 Unlocked $15.40 $4.60 $2.50
2 #1 Steelhead Hanover - $2.50 $2.10
3 #5 Believe This Bob - - $2.10
$1.00 EXACTA 2-1 $18.70

[harthebar]

Rubber Duck is scheduled to run on 8/17/2015 in Race 2 at Mohawk Raceway

BOLI is entered on 08/17/15 at Mohawk Racetrack race 2

[harthebar]

1 5Luck O The Irish $2.30 $2.10 $2.10 1-9
2 7Rubber Duck - $3.10 $2.80 9-1
3 1Boli - - $4.70 21-1
4 2Gronk - - -

[mikemca]

Tuesday's suck but Wednesday at Spa Chad Brown has another horse going route to 7 furlongs in race 10. Only 3-1 but if Groupthink is 3-1 I'm taking it. Never seen anything like this angle. Almost every single horse he turns back to 7f runs great even if they don't win.

Also at Del Mar in race 7 Talamo rides 3-Ankeny Hill 10-1 for Glatt. No angle here just a fast horse that will likely be ignored because of the horses with recency.Forest Chatter , Holy Lute , and Heir Of The Storm have been knocking heads but I think it's between the 3 and Distinctiv Passion. Wesley Ward has the mystery horse in 4-Inkling 10-1 first time racing here from Australia.I'm trying 3-4-6.

[TonyP]

Also Remington Park is starting up they always seem to have some huge payouts

[harthebar]

All Star Parade del mar 8th

[harthebar]

Smooth Talker del mar 1st