Post best bet or follow ups of the day

JBEX · 05-09-14, 04:41 AM

Originally posted by harthebar

What formula is that

In his book "exotic betting".. I'll use that triple as an example
..

11-1 (8%pool)$24
7-5 (43%pool)

so 92% remaining /43 %=2.2

24 * 2.2 =52.80 exacta estimate
.
41-1 (2.5%pool)

8%+43%=51%/2.5%=20.5(multiply exacta by)

52.80 *20.5 =1082 estimated price

did math in my head so may be a little off.. not important
for example

JBEX · 05-09-14, 05:43 AM

Originally posted by JBEX

In his book "exotic betting".. I'll use that triple as an example
..

11-1 (8%pool)$24
7-5 (43%pool)

so 92% remaining /43 %=2.2

24 * 2.2 =52.80 exacta estimate
.
41-1 (2.5%pool)

8%+43%=51%/2.5%=20.5(multiply exacta by)

52.80 *20.5 =1082 estimated price

did math in my head so may be a little off.. not important
for example

actually one mistake I made that wouldn't affect the price much
in this example but could in others. When I used 51% it should be
49% as that's what is remaining in the pool... so 49%/2.5%=19.6

52.20*19.6=1020 (again math off top of my head)

harthebar · 05-09-14, 12:35 PM

GOT TO RESEARCH THAt one, i remember when i was younger, in vegas, before they had combined mutual pools,they would do a quinella win x half the place of the second horse........and im sure you heard the story about some harness drivers ,, what they did to the place pool...

Originally posted by JBEX

In his book "exotic betting".. I'll use that triple as an example
..

11-1 (8%pool)$24
7-5 (43%pool)

so 92% remaining /43 %=2.2

24 * 2.2 =52.80 exacta estimate
.
41-1 (2.5%pool)

8%+43%=51%/2.5%=20.5(multiply exacta by)

52.80 *20.5 =1082 estimated price

did math in my head so may be a little off.. not important
for example

harthebar · 05-09-14, 12:44 PM

How come i dont have churchill on 4njbets, they cancel or no contract

harthebar · 05-09-14, 12:51 PM

BELMONT RACE 2 Dighton

Another Blue is scheduled to run on 5/9/2014 in Race 1 at Churchill Downs

Grit and Grace is entered to run on May 9, 2014, at CHURCHILL DOWNS.9TH

She's Got Swag is entered to run on May 9, 2014, at CHURCHILL DOWNS.9TH

Marathon Lady is entered to run on May 9, 2014, at CHURCHILL DOWNS. 9TH

harthebar · 05-09-14, 01:03 PM

Fox Valley Andy is scheduled to run on 5/9/2014 in Race 13 at Maywood Par
kMorwyn Hanover is scheduled to run on 5/9/2014 in Race 5 at Maywood Park
Tropical Moon on 5/9/2014 in Race 8 at Santa Anita

Front Kellie Jo is scheduled to run on 5/9/2014 in Race 12 at Hoosier Par
Grazenette SANTA ANITA RACE 2
kSilver Morgan BELMONT RACE 5

Fu Peggi Sue is entered to run on May 10, 2014, at BELMONT PARK. 2ND

Duke of the City is entered to run on May 10, 2014, at MONMOUTH PARK.9TH
CHURCHILL RACE LIKE THE MARATHON LADY OVER SHE'S GOT SWAG AND GRIT AND GRACE TOSS OUT HER LAST RACE...WAY BETTER THAN THAT,

harthebar · 05-09-14, 01:47 PM

Fingers Crossed belmont race 7

harthebar · 05-09-14, 01:51 PM

Does anyone know why 4njbets isnt having churchill ???????or tvg its not on ?????? Is it a contract thing

matrix1022 · 05-09-14, 06:13 PM

Can't see fugi where. Track tomm

harthebar · 05-09-14, 06:24 PM

she got swag 1st 8-1

Originally posted by harthebar

BELMONT RACE 2 Dighton

Another Blue is scheduled to run on 5/9/2014 in Race 1 at Churchill Downs

Grit and Grace is entered to run on May 9, 2014, at CHURCHILL DOWNS.9TH

She's Got Swag is entered to run on May 9, 2014, at CHURCHILL DOWNS.9TH winner 8-1

Marathon Lady is entered to run on May 9, 2014, at CHURCHILL DOWNS. 9TH

harthebar · 05-09-14, 06:30 PM

it wasnt for that ,ooooopppps, for over all lol thanks

Originally posted by mikemca

oooops

JBEX · 05-09-14, 07:14 PM

SA

R7 #7 lakota rd (7-2)
R8 #5 veronica bay (9-2)

harthebar · 05-09-14, 07:20 PM

jbex, i got the info about pro, i needed, easy rider helped me out....i pm you.eraly, look at the 7 in the 8th at santa anita

Originally posted by JBEX

SA

R7 #7 lakota rd (7-2)
R8 #5 veronica bay (9-2)

harthebar · 05-09-14, 07:21 PM

tomorrow

Originally posted by matrix1022

Can't see fugi where. Track tomm

matrix1022 · 05-09-14, 07:28 PM

What track tomm

JBEX · 05-09-14, 07:33 PM

Originally posted by harthebar

jbex, i got the info about pro, i needed, easy rider helped me out....i pm you.eraly, look at the 7 in the 8th at santa anita

Don't see much with the 7 in the 8th @ SA. See she had bad
trips in her first two races last year but overall not enough there
for me.. Saw your PM and will respond by tomorrow

mikemca · 05-09-14, 09:29 PM

Belmont

Race 1
6-Special Skills 6-1
4-Thomas Hill 5-1
3-Lofty Heart 6-1

Race 2
2-Las Olas Azur 4-1
7-Laguna My Way 2-1
5-Lexsoya 5-1

Race 3
4-Shayjolie 4-1

Race 4
2-Kingston Jamaica 5-2

Race 5(Big Payout Potential)
11-Ode To Sami 8-1
5-Matching Skies 10-1
6-CC's Pride 20-1
7-Tidal Slam 30-1

Race 6
3-Pacemakestherace 12-1
4-Keltic Fighter 7-2
5-Private Irving A 8-1

Race 7
4-Mr. Jenney 5-2
7-Make A Decision 5-1
9-Iron Power 6-1

Race 8
4-Eric The Red 8-1
5-Don Tito 3-1
8-Eastwood 5-1

Race 9
2-Fabulous Kid 4-1

Race 10(Big Payout Potential)
5-Brilliant Command 15-1
1-V.E. Day 12-1
12-Knights Of Valor 5-1
11-Lunar Tales 8-1

Heppy10 · 05-09-14, 10:21 PM

Saturday Plays

Churchill
Race 5
#2 Share the Sugar // Scratched

Woodbine
Race 7
#6 Causeworthy // 4th

Santa Anita
Race 7
#7 Top Fortitude // 1st

$62.20

$17.80

$9.00

Race 8
#3 Sunset Skies // 3rd Horrible jockey ride $7.20

Belmont
Race 4
#2 Kingston Jamaica // Scratched

Race 7
#7 Make a Decision // No where

Race 9
#3 Commissioner // Second $3.70 $2.40

Race 10
A couple bombs
#6 Peaceful Talk 50-1 // Scratched
#10 Dr. Abramson 15-1 // Scratched

mikemca · 05-10-14, 08:26 AM

NVM card went to shyt with races 5 and 10 off the turf

Originally posted by mikemca

Belmont

Race 1
6-Special Skills 6-1
4-Thomas Hill 5-1
3-Lofty Heart 6-1

Race 2
2-Las Olas Azur 4-1
7-Laguna My Way 2-1
5-Lexsoya 5-1

Race 3
4-Shayjolie 4-1

Race 4
2-Kingston Jamaica 5-2

Race 5(Big Payout Potential)
11-Ode To Sami 8-1
5-Matching Skies 10-1
6-CC's Pride 20-1
7-Tidal Slam 30-1

Race 6
3-Pacemakestherace 12-1
4-Keltic Fighter 7-2
5-Private Irving A 8-1

Race 7
4-Mr. Jenney 5-2
7-Make A Decision 5-1
9-Iron Power 6-1

Race 8
4-Eric The Red 8-1
5-Don Tito 3-1
8-Eastwood 5-1

Race 9
2-Fabulous Kid 4-1

Race 10(Big Payout Potential)
5-Brilliant Command 15-1
1-V.E. Day 12-1
12-Knights Of Valor 5-1
11-Lunar Tales 8-1

harthebar · 05-10-14, 11:29 AM

you get those harness pp's

Originally posted by JBEX

SA

R7 #7 lakota rd (7-2)
R8 #5 veronica bay (9-2)

harthebar · 05-10-14, 11:37 AM

JBEX HERE IS SOME HARNESS AND SOME PP'S FOR TOMORROW

BELMONT 5-10-14.pdf
CHURCHILL 5-10-14.pdf
MONMOUTH 5-10-14.pdf
MEADOWLANDS 5-10-14.pdf
YONKERS 5-10-14.pdf
arlington 5-11-14.pdf
arlington 5-10-14.pdf
freehold 5-10-14.pdf
santa anita 5-10-14.pdf
woodbine 5-10-14.pdf
monmouth 5-11-14.pdf
churchill 5-11-14.pdf
belmont 5-11-14.pdf
YONKERS 5-10-14.pdf
POCONO 5-10-14.pdf
woodbine 5-11-14.pdf

JBEX · 05-10-14, 11:41 AM

Originally posted by harthebar

you get those harness pp's

yes, thanks

harthebar · 05-10-14, 12:03 PM

Jbex ,,, check your pm

Originally posted by jbex

yes, thanks

harthebar · 05-10-14, 12:13 PM

Awakino Cat in Race 1 at Belmont
Seeking Bliss on 5/10/2014 in Race 9 at Santa Anita
Green Tag (Ire) is scheduled to run on 5/10/2014 in Race 4 at Santa Anita:
Starship Journey is scheduled to run on 5/10/2014 in Race 4 at Gulfstream Park
Or is scheduled to run on 5/10/2014 in Race 4 at Yonkers Raceway.
Smokey Brown is scheduled to run on 5/10/2014 in Race 4 at Belmont
.Magic Harbor is scheduled to run on 5/10/2014 in Race 9 at Parx
Fu Peggi Sue is scheduled to run on 5/10/2014 in Race 2 at Belmon
tSAMS SONI PIMLICO RACE 8
Matterhorn ¡ PETER PAN
CC RACY is entered on 05/10/14 at Freehold Raceway RACE 4
gImanindianoutlaw is scheduled to run on 5/10/2014 in Race 5 at Belmont.

Shandy on 5/10/2014 in Race 1 at Santa Anita
Florida Sun is scheduled to run on 5/10/2014 in Race 7 at Gulfstream Park.
Dynamite Wind is scheduled to run on 5/10/2014 in Race 6 at Los Alamitos CLOSED WELL LAST
Fu Peggi Sue is entered today at BELMONT PARK. RACE 2

harthebar · 05-10-14, 12:22 PM

What track, the mains one's

Originally posted by matrix1022

what track tomm

harthebar · 05-10-14, 12:51 PM

Ok got it.

Originally posted by mikemca

nvm card went to shyt with races 5 and 10 off the turf

harthebar · 05-10-14, 12:51 PM

1,2,3,4,

Originally posted by mikemca

Belmont

Race 1
6-Special Skills 6-1
4-Thomas Hill 5-1
3-Lofty Heart 6-1

Race 2
2-Las Olas Azur 4-1
7-Laguna My Way 2-1
5-Lexsoya 5-1

Race 3
4-Shayjolie 4-1

Race 4
2-Kingston Jamaica 5-2

Race 5(Big Payout Potential)
11-Ode To Sami 8-1
5-Matching Skies 10-1
6-CC's Pride 20-1
7-Tidal Slam 30-1

Race 6
3-Pacemakestherace 12-1
4-Keltic Fighter 7-2
5-Private Irving A 8-1

Race 7
4-Mr. Jenney 5-2
7-Make A Decision 5-1
9-Iron Power 6-1

Race 8
4-Eric The Red 8-1
5-Don Tito 3-1
8-Eastwood 5-1

Race 9
2-Fabulous Kid 4-1

Race 10(Big Payout Potential)
5-Brilliant Command 15-1
1-V.E. Day 12-1
12-Knights Of Valor 5-1
11-Lunar Tales 8-1

harthebar · 05-10-14, 12:57 PM

Race 2 belmont is the rail fast today,???? the 8 with ortiz came flying home on the rail just missed, but was moving faster

harthebar · 05-10-14, 01:02 PM

JBEX
When ever you get a chance, how did you come up with 43% on the 7/5 horse.....did you look at the pool and guestamate the % there and the 11-1 was 8% ????11-1 (8%pool)$24
7-5 (43%pool)

so 92% remaining /43 %=2.2

24 * 2.2 =52.80 exacta estimate
.
41-1 (2.5%pool)

8%+43%=51%/2.5%=20.5(multiply exacta by)

52.80 *20.5 =1082 estimated price

harthebar · 05-10-14, 01:59 PM

Duke of the City is entered today at MONMOUTH PARK. RACE 9

Originally posted by harthebar

Awakino Cat in Race 1 at Belmont
Seeking Bliss on 5/10/2014 in Race 9 at Santa Anita
Green Tag (Ire) is scheduled to run on 5/10/2014 in Race 4 at Santa Anita:
Starship Journey is scheduled to run on 5/10/2014 in Race 4 at Gulfstream Park
Or is scheduled to run on 5/10/2014 in Race 4 at Yonkers Raceway.
Smokey Brown is scheduled to run on 5/10/2014 in Race 4 at Belmont
.Magic Harbor is scheduled to run on 5/10/2014 in Race 9 at Parx
Fu Peggi Sue is scheduled to run on 5/10/2014 in Race 2 at Belmon
tSAMS SONI PIMLICO RACE 8
Matterhorn ¡ PETER PAN
CC RACY is entered on 05/10/14 at Freehold Raceway RACE 4
gImanindianoutlaw is scheduled to run on 5/10/2014 in Race 5 at Belmont.

Shandy on 5/10/2014 in Race 1 at Santa Anita
Florida Sun is scheduled to run on 5/10/2014 in Race 7 at Gulfstream Park.
Dynamite Wind is scheduled to run on 5/10/2014 in Race 6 at Los Alamitos CLOSED WELL LAST
Fu Peggi Sue is entered today at BELMONT PARK. RACE 2

harthebar · 05-10-14, 02:29 PM

MIKE THAT WAS GREAT CC PRIDE, DID YOU HEAR THAT CALL OF THE RACE, Tom Durkin THOUGHT THAT THE 1 WAS HOME,,DIDNT HE SEE CC PRIDE COME, GOT THE PICK 3...THAT WAS SO FUNNY,.....HE RITIRING LAST DAY OF TOGA I THINK I HEARD

Originally posted by mikemca

NVM card went to shyt with races 5 and 10 off the turf

JBEX · 05-10-14, 02:40 PM

AP Indy well represented in the Peter Pan. 6 of the 7 entrants trace back to him..

1 by him
1 by his son congrats
3 by his grandson tapit
1 dam sires sire

as for the race not nuts about it. Think 2-fabulous kid may grab the lead and never look back. Kind of like 14-better man in the last also

harthebar · 05-10-14, 02:45 PM

You get that pm, understand it .lol

Originally posted by jbex

ap indy well represented in the peter pan. 6 of the 7 entrants trace back to him..

1 by him
1 by his son congrats
3 by his grandson tapit
1 dam sires sire

as for the race not nuts about it. Think 2-fabulous kid may grab the lead and never look back. Kind of like 14-better man in the last also

JBEX · 05-10-14, 02:48 PM

Har.. you add 1 to the odds and then divide 1 into that number..
7/5 is actually closer to 42% than 43%

JBEX · 05-10-14, 02:50 PM

Originally posted by harthebar

You get that pm, understand it .lol

Got it but don't get it :O