Q. Are you saying that a barn, when it cools off after a hot period, is likely to go straight to cold?
A. It can but a lot of factors have to come into play. And I don't think it really helps the player that much other than to understand it for what it is, which many do not. The horses getting beat are not 4-5 shots in most cases. I think it's more of an understanding as to why.
Q. would you say that the same barns will tend to repeat the same patterns each year?
A. It totally depends on each barn and how the stock is made up. And not each year on the button but every 12-18 months probably.
But... I would almost guarantee you that if you went back and looked at the May- June early July Belmont before Saratoga results there would be plenty of barn patterns as that speaks to the trainers management prior to specific dates instead of conditions running out. But again, those probably are not favorites getting beat. They are horses that are waiting to be put in a more suitable situation to run well. That... is placing the horse via the condition book and that is a choice, so in that case, sure. And it only makes sense that a hot trainer at Saratoga will be out of bullets by the time Belmont fall rolls around. And aren't they in plenty of cases looking towards Gulfstream by then?
It really goes to the certain trainer and the patterns they create over time. But again, I'm not sure how helpful it is for the player other than understanding it.
A. It can but a lot of factors have to come into play. And I don't think it really helps the player that much other than to understand it for what it is, which many do not. The horses getting beat are not 4-5 shots in most cases. I think it's more of an understanding as to why.
Q. would you say that the same barns will tend to repeat the same patterns each year?
A. It totally depends on each barn and how the stock is made up. And not each year on the button but every 12-18 months probably.
But... I would almost guarantee you that if you went back and looked at the May- June early July Belmont before Saratoga results there would be plenty of barn patterns as that speaks to the trainers management prior to specific dates instead of conditions running out. But again, those probably are not favorites getting beat. They are horses that are waiting to be put in a more suitable situation to run well. That... is placing the horse via the condition book and that is a choice, so in that case, sure. And it only makes sense that a hot trainer at Saratoga will be out of bullets by the time Belmont fall rolls around. And aren't they in plenty of cases looking towards Gulfstream by then?
It really goes to the certain trainer and the patterns they create over time. But again, I'm not sure how helpful it is for the player other than understanding it.