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  • JBEX
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-02-12
    • 23396

    #281
    belmont


    R3 #4 mezcal (6-1)

    older msw so not other thread

    3rd career start .. like the furlong cutback from 1 3/16 and that would equal today's distance..led at the mile mark and 5 lengths off in 2nd @ the furlong mark..pace was lighting fast ..very expensive horse with some experience in her possibly could put it all together..plat climbs aboard for todd
    Comment
    • JBEX
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-02-12
      • 23396

      #282
      belmont


      R7 #6 never explain (5-1)
      Comment
      • JBEX
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-02-12
        • 23396

        #283
        belmont

        R9 jockey club oaks


        #1 creative flair (7-2)

        huge pedigree godolphin homebred..pace compromised and was running 3 weeks back from Europe last out..could see him better this time at the longer distance..top euro jockey comes over to ride


        .
        Comment
        • JBEX
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-02-12
          • 23396

          #284
          belmont R10

          boy version of above race

          #2 yibir (2-1)

          another godolphin hombred by same sire and the pedigree on the bottom even better on this one..sire is dubawi whose stud fee is $338k..like that he won last out at this distance in a classy race relative to the other euros were up against..same jockey aboard this one
          Comment
          • JBEX
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-02-12
            • 23396

            #285
            churchill

            R6 #6 total malice (10-1)
            Comment
            • JBEX
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-02-12
              • 23396

              #286
              R8 #4 ontheonesandtwos (5-2)
              R9 #8 major general (4-1)
              Comment
              • littlekona
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 11-19-15
                • 5242

                #287
                Originally posted by JBEX
                belmont R10

                boy version of above race

                #2 yibir (2-1)

                another godolphin hombred by same sire and the pedigree on the bottom even better on this one..sire is dubawi whose stud fee is $338k..like that he won last out at this distance in a classy race relative to the other euros were up against..same jockey aboard this one
                Had him singled and heavy win along with the appleby walton street at woodbine...ill tell you though spencer had him under a drive almost the last 4 furlongs i thought he wouldn't hit the board turning for home...euro horses keep on under a drive better then USA horses but i think the 4 horse was best there just got bottled up and outmoved...ill take it though nice write up
                Comment
                • JBEX
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-02-12
                  • 23396

                  #288
                  Originally posted by littlekona
                  Had him singled and heavy win along with the appleby walton street at woodbine...ill tell you though spencer had him under a drive almost the last 4 furlongs i thought he wouldn't hit the board turning for home...euro horses keep on under a drive better then USA horses but i think the 4 horse was best there just got bottled up and outmoved...ill take it though nice write up
                  thanks kona and glad you hit

                  didn't notice when I was watching but you're right about him being in the drive for a long time..interesting that euros stay on in a drive longer than they do here..had no idea..agree with you that the 4 would have been a tough customer if he found a hole coming off the turn..
                  Comment
                  • littlekona
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 11-19-15
                    • 5242

                    #289
                    Had a good day BUT would of had a $3 early pic 5 if lone rock wins the marathon race 4. 1/9 shot and sure enough same ownership wins it...i thought it was horrible ride to passive on the favorite..id think the pick 5 would of paid maybe 1k for fifty cents paid 50k+ with winner
                    Comment
                    • JBEX
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-02-12
                      • 23396

                      #290
                      for 50 cents

                      2.50 * 7.2 * 3.2 * 19.5 * 18.9 = $ 21228

                      ($81432)

                      if lone rock won

                      2.50 * 7.2 * 3.2 * 1.1 * 18.9

                      ($1197)
                      Comment
                      • littlekona
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 11-19-15
                        • 5242

                        #291
                        Sick....
                        Man i was just rewatching yesterday yibir that more impressive every time i rewatch...i wish i was looking at my live in race odds as i guarantee he drifted 10-1 + about half a mile out...that race call was spot on in a blink of an eye like Zenyatta lol

                        Look at Spencer vs ortiz jr lol

                        Comment
                        • JBEX
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-02-12
                          • 23396

                          #292
                          kind of reminds me of easy goer but on the grass..horse is huge and probably takes some time to get momentum..both big pedigree homebreds and both won at that distance as 3yo's in grade 1 races
                          Comment
                          • littlekona
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 11-19-15
                            • 5242

                            #293
                            Godolphin Blue pretty much won everything they sent this weekend @ Belmont and Woodbine and easy at that. Amazing BUT that said once the other top Euro's come stateside for breeders cup may have some nice opprtunity to beat some of these easy winners today.
                            Comment
                            • JBEX
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-02-12
                              • 23396

                              #294
                              Originally posted by littlekona
                              Godolphin Blue pretty much won everything they sent this weekend @ Belmont and Woodbine and easy at that. Amazing BUT that said once the other top Euro's come stateside for breeders cup may have some nice opprtunity to beat some of these easy winners today.
                              agree.. wasn't impressed with the pp's of the top contenders in those races..don't think they are top euro competition
                              Comment
                              • JBEX
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-02-12
                                • 23396

                                #295
                                delaware


                                R5 #1 kinda lucky

                                first attempt (tried it twice) on the turf just missed on the front end by a neck..things come together nicely here on class,pace scenario,surface,having fitness under her,top jock and a trainer who is unconscious after losing as the favorite (large sample)
                                Comment
                                • JBEX
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-02-12
                                  • 23396

                                  #296
                                  finger lakes


                                  R4 #3 quaysadilla (6-1)

                                  tried turf at saratoga and didn't run horribly..trainer decent with shippers and I would consider this an above avg pedigree for up there..one of the better jocks rides



                                  this is a 2yo msw but flakes I consider a small track
                                  Comment
                                  • JBEX
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-02-12
                                    • 23396

                                    #297
                                    flakes


                                    R5 #5 zero point zero (3-1)

                                    another msw but this for 3yo's..5 figure auction purchase whose exp for the pedigree with a speed oriented sire..steady solid works up to the race..unfortunately trainer will bring down the price
                                    Comment
                                    • JBEX
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-02-12
                                      • 23396

                                      #298
                                      flakes

                                      R6 #9 curious mind (8-1)
                                      Comment
                                      • JBEX
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-02-12
                                        • 23396

                                        #299
                                        parx

                                        cotillion stakes


                                        R11 #8 always carina (6-1)
                                        Comment
                                        • JBEX
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-02-12
                                          • 23396

                                          #300
                                          belmont

                                          R11 #3 majestic sky (6-1)
                                          Comment
                                          • JBEX
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-02-12
                                            • 23396

                                            #301
                                            woodbine

                                            breeders 400k @ 1.5 miles turf (ontario breds)
                                            never seen a state (province) bred race at this distance


                                            #9 collective force (20-1)

                                            think lower..just broke his maiden last race certainly a part of that in addition to it was on the all weather..jockey below avg also

                                            positives

                                            it was a good figure race and at a 10f..opened up 3 lengths in the stretch

                                            amongst statebteds this is a very nice pedigree..class and kentucky top and bottom..and a homebred so not sold cheap privately

                                            last work was very sharp


                                            .
                                            Comment
                                            • JBEX
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-02-12
                                              • 23396

                                              #302
                                              kee


                                              R4 #1 awesome saturday (6-1)

                                              recent form looks a little shaded but I think sprinting
                                              at this level could be a wakeup call..have no issues with him being up for $25k



                                              R5 #2 heart rhythm (3-1)


                                              R7 #1 valid point (10-1)



                                              R9 #8 distinctly possible (8-1) think lower





                                              meadowlands


                                              R2 #4 patrona (30-1)
                                              R3 #10 masu (9-2)


                                              R5 # 8 loaded joe (6-1)
                                              R6 #4 donnybrook girl (4-1)




                                              .
                                              Last edited by JBEX; 10-08-21, 04:43 PM.
                                              Comment
                                              • JBEX
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-02-12
                                                • 23396

                                                #303
                                                added R5
                                                Comment
                                                • JBEX
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-02-12
                                                  • 23396

                                                  #304
                                                  added 7
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JBEX
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-02-12
                                                    • 23396

                                                    #305
                                                    added 9
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JBEX
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                      • 23396

                                                      #306
                                                      added meadowlands (flats) 2 3
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JBEX
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-02-12
                                                        • 23396

                                                        #307
                                                        finished meadowlands
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JBEX
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-02-12
                                                          • 23396

                                                          #308
                                                          going to do a combo of advanced and live play at belmont and keeneland

                                                          if I know I don't like a race will try to say at least 10 mins before (most sooner or well in advance)

                                                          picks will be at least 10 mins prior to post



                                                          not going to grade
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JBEX
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-02-12
                                                            • 23396

                                                            #309
                                                            msw picks will not be repeated here


                                                            kee

                                                            R1 #8 gold bear (5-1 ml)..25 mtp
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JBEX
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-02-12
                                                              • 23396

                                                              #310
                                                              am on kee 2 in 2yo thread and won't be on belmont again before R4..possibly on kee 3 but would be a live play..have to run out for a while
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JBEX
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-02-12
                                                                • 23396

                                                                #311
                                                                kee 3 @ 10 mtp..will pass
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JBEX
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 01-02-12
                                                                  • 23396

                                                                  #312
                                                                  kee 4..pass
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JBEX
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-02-12
                                                                    • 23396

                                                                    #313
                                                                    bel 4 pass
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JBEX
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                                      • 23396

                                                                      #314
                                                                      bel 5 pass..will just do advance picks here on out
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • JBEX
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 01-02-12
                                                                        • 23396

                                                                        #315
                                                                        bel

                                                                        R7 joe hirsch turf classic (grade 1)



                                                                        (3:47)



                                                                        #6 channel maker (6-1)

                                                                        think 3rd off layoff and likely lone speed could be a potent combo..excels at the marathon distance
                                                                        Comment
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