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  • JBEX
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-02-12
    • 23455

    #1786
    sar

    R6 #6 brass company (10-1)
    R7 #3 heavenly sun* (20-1) #5 river of magic*(5-1)
    R8 #10 giantinthemoonshine (6-1)
    R9 #7 saturdays charm (4-1)
    R10 #2 private hedge (6-1)

    mth



    R8 #2 fabulous kid (6-1)
    R12 haskell #1 upstart (6-1)

    if AP has to challenge CE in the backstretch to prevent him running on an easy lead think that could set it up nice .Horse has done little wrong outside of the Derby including running very big beyers ...chance to get him at a decent mutuel here
    Comment
    • slayer14
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-12-13
      • 22010

      #1787
      ian smith worth a back here at saratoga race 6 has had good workouts and should win this
      Comment
      • JBEX
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-02-12
        • 23455

        #1788
        saratoga a 3 play limit for me from here on out and I'm not forcing the issue..got chewed up there last year and not gonna let this get outta hand again

        dmr R9 #12 go first**** (5-1) #9 secure dividend* (6-1)

        guessing 7-2 on #12 go first
        Comment
        • JBEX
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-02-12
          • 23455

          #1789
          sar

          R4 #1 euros to dollars (4-1
          R5 #4 darnley bay (5-1)
          R10 #6 quiet confidence (20-1)

          trainer james lawrence shipped here last week with a very similar horse that almost wired the field at a big price..

          one start on dirt from 12 post..
          same class,distance and surface as today..
          same jock..
          steady fair hill works

          wouldn't have to be much in here
          Comment
          • JBEX
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-02-12
            • 23455

            #1790
            prx R7 #8 eyes on the target (6-1)

            have a hunch anthony dutrow might have this 400k 2yo purchase ready to rumble off a no effort in his debut last year..steady fair hill works leading up to this and AD excellent off long layoffs..top jock Vargas gets the call and he has only had one other mount for AD overall so consider it an extra positive he climbs aboard..guessing 5/2

            wo R9 #2 east side (20-1)

            2nd post today
            Comment
            • JBEX
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-02-12
              • 23455

              #1791
              prx R1 #4 double check (3-1)
              Comment
              • JBEX
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-02-12
                • 23455

                #1792
                prx R9 #2 goldland*** (5-1)

                realize big drop but with cheap pedigree (so not afraid he's up for 10k)and what he's shown 3-4 levels above believe this a good spot for a win...guessing 3-1
                Comment
                • JBEX
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-02-12
                  • 23455

                  #1793
                  R1 #5 all together (2-1)
                  probably last foal of the great sire danzig still running

                  R3 #3 river knight*** (7-2)
                  R5 #1 dendrite*(20-1)
                  R10 #10 pin and win (5-1)

                  going to allow myself extra play cause of the hurdle race
                  Comment
                  • JBEX
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-02-12
                    • 23455

                    #1794
                    dmr

                    R2 #1 magna warrior (10-1) #5 memphis*(3-1)hedge
                    R4 #2 betterlethergo*(8-1)

                    last 3 don't like
                    Comment
                    • JBEX
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-02-12
                      • 23455

                      #1795
                      be playing today..have stuff up around noon
                      Comment
                      • JBEX
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-02-12
                        • 23455

                        #1796
                        have decided to go back to playing as many as I want at saratoga.. reason being lot of the time I'm not capping the whole card in one shot so that method not practical..try to be a little more discriminating and borderline plays ,even at low odds will be passed or *(rated half unit)

                        sar R1 #4 diplomat* (12-1)
                        passing 2nd race but 3rd looking like a 26 play
                        Comment
                        • JBEX
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-02-12
                          • 23455

                          #1797
                          sar

                          R4 #4 chelsea road (6-1) #5 magsamelia* (7-2)
                          R5 #4 majestic guy*(8-1) #7 what's up big guy*(10-1)

                          lots of 26 plays about to post

                          2nd post today
                          Comment
                          • JBEX
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-02-12
                            • 23455

                            #1798
                            Originally posted by JBEX
                            sar

                            R4 #4 chelsea road (6-1) #5 magsamelia* (7-2)
                            R5 #4 majestic guy*(8-1) #7 what's up big guy*(10-1)

                            lots of 26 plays about to post

                            2nd post today
                            R9 #4 zandar* (12-1)
                            Comment
                            • JBEX
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-02-12
                              • 23455

                              #1799
                              GP R4 #1 annabella hall (10-1)

                              4th post today
                              Comment
                              • BOA12
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-19-12
                                • 20622

                                #1800
                                horses are easier than baseball? Jbex what do think? My first love is horses but have many weakness's Enjoy your tenacity and professionalism dont ever give up. BOL JBEX
                                Comment
                                • JBEX
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-02-12
                                  • 23455

                                  #1801
                                  Originally posted by BOA12
                                  horses are easier than baseball? Jbex what do think? My first love is horses but have many weakness's Enjoy your tenacity and professionalism dont ever give up. BOL JBEX
                                  Thanks boa12..not that I have done it but I think sports is beatable long haul.. there are people who win long haul and all you need to do is follow and apply simple money management principles..Have a few guys I like to track but don't participate as it's not doable for me..Not gonna get into who but in general there are some pretty smart folks out there working on it ..Math models,databases and people who just have a good feel for things and use the line itself as a handicapping tool
                                  Comment
                                  • Easy-Rider 66
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 02-14-12
                                    • 36109

                                    #1802
                                    Originally posted by JBEX
                                    Thanks boa12..not that I have done it but I think sports is beatable long haul.. there are people who win long haul and all you need to do is follow and apply simple money management principles..Have a few guys I like to track but don't participate as it's not doable for me..Not gonna get into who but in general there are some pretty smart folks out there working on it ..Math models,databases and people who just have a good feel for things and use the line itself as a handicapping tool
                                    Only for a select few imo. Most who beat this game are on the booking side. I think the following quote sums it up best. "Play long enough the house takes you. Unless, when then perfect hand comes, you bet big. Then you take the House."
                                    Comment
                                    • BOA12
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 02-19-12
                                      • 20622

                                      #1803
                                      Agree with you easy-rider have worked both sides of the line and you have to do your research in sports just like capping horse. What I love about horses is you can go 0/8 and hit #9 and be up on the day. Will be checking in playing 2-3 times a week at Saratoga bol to both of you as horse players are a dieing breed.
                                      Comment
                                      • JBEX
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-02-12
                                        • 23455

                                        #1804
                                        sar

                                        R2 #7 dusty miles (20-1)

                                        trainer had a $135 horse stretching out, blinkers off and on the turf...like the even sprints as foundation races..kind of race you get bombs every once in a while

                                        R4 triple 156/13567

                                        gotta try to beat the 3 and 7 to make it worthwhile ..36 combos

                                        R5 #9 zvarkhova (3-1)

                                        like that he won first out 9f as a 2yo in France by 8 lengths..then ran well in a listed stakes over there off a 5 month layoff..they say the races are better over there so like his chances here..other good ones in the field so probably won't go off too short

                                        more later
                                        Comment
                                        • JBEX
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-02-12
                                          • 23455

                                          #1805
                                          Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                                          Only for a select few imo. Most who beat this game are on the booking side. I think the following quote sums it up best. "Play long enough the house takes you. Unless, when then perfect hand comes, you bet big. Then you take the House."
                                          more bookies win then bettors..of course
                                          here's the bottom line to me though and I've gotten my ass handed to me over the past 4 decades..I believe there are people who win and they're posted regularly in the service plays forum..how many guys do I trust out of the 100's they post..right now 3 (not getting into who)..money management with low volume cappers..easy..do I need a lot of action betting sports..no..do I chase when I have a bad week..no..does my game or games have to be on TV..no..there will always be oodles more people who do it the wrong way so the books will always be around making nice profits off them and overall
                                          Comment
                                          • JBEX
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-02-12
                                            • 23455

                                            #1806
                                            mth

                                            R3 #5 bat cave
                                            R4 #6 i will (3-1)
                                            R5 #5 quiet ray (4-1)

                                            3rd post today
                                            Comment
                                            • JBEX
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-02-12
                                              • 23455

                                              #1807
                                              Originally posted by JBEX
                                              mth

                                              R3 #5 bat cave
                                              R4 #6 i will (3-1)
                                              R5 #5 quiet ray (4-1)

                                              3rd post today
                                              sar

                                              R6 #4 she's all ready*(8-1)
                                              R7 #6 whoopie pie (15-1)
                                              R10 #7 daisy cutter (3-1)
                                              Comment
                                              • Easy-Rider 66
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 02-14-12
                                                • 36109

                                                #1808
                                                Originally posted by JBEX
                                                more bookies win then bettors..of course
                                                here's the bottom line to me though and I've gotten my ass handed to me over the past 4 decades..I believe there are people who win and they're posted regularly in the service plays forum..how many guys do I trust out of the 100's they post..right now 3 (not getting into who)..money management with low volume cappers..easy..do I need a lot of action betting sports..no..do I chase when I have a bad week..no..does my game or games have to be on TV..no..there will always be oodles more people who do it the wrong way so the books will always be around making nice profits off them and overall
                                                Good post. But I will say this. The best approach to sports betting is to wager for entertainment purposes and have some fun. Use disposable income. For the majority of players winning long term on a regular basis is a Pipe Dream. Gl today on your picks.
                                                Comment
                                                • JBEX
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-02-12
                                                  • 23455

                                                  #1809
                                                  Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                                                  Good post. But I will say this. The best approach to sports betting is to wager for entertainment purposes and have some fun. Use disposable income. For the majority of players winning long term on a regular basis is a Pipe Dream. Gl today on your picks.
                                                  nothing wrong having a little fun with it within your means but I believe it's beatable with minimal effort (others picks)..To me its much more exciting being down on 1-3 good spots that are well thought out by a saavy professional and having the goal of staying disciplined and maybe turning a profit for the year..ok back to the horses lol...post dmr by 6pm
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JBEX
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-02-12
                                                    • 23455

                                                    #1810
                                                    mth

                                                    R10 ...7,9,10 xbox

                                                    dmr

                                                    R2 #2 sweetest secret (20-1)
                                                    R3 #5 dothrak (12-1) #2 desert gem* (7-2)
                                                    R4 #8 grace to glory*(20-1) #9 edwin e* (8-1)
                                                    R5 #2 huntsville*(9-2) #10 friend k mill* (6-1)
                                                    R6 #4 alexita (6-1)
                                                    R8 #1 show and tell***(5-2)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Easy-Rider 66
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 02-14-12
                                                      • 36109

                                                      #1811
                                                      Originally posted by JBEX
                                                      nothing wrong having a little fun with it within your means but I believe it's beatable with minimal effort (others picks)..To me its much more exciting being down on 1-3 good spots that are well thought out by a saavy professional and having the goal of staying disciplined and maybe turning a profit for the year..ok back to the horses lol...post dmr by 6pm
                                                      OK I get your drift. You believe that a so called professional handicapper can lead you to success. I have to disagree as I personally never pay for picks on sporting events except in rare occasions the ponies. With the horses I try to get as many opinions possible, analyze the form, and then make my own decision. With sports like football and basketball I really do not see how a guy sitting in an office in Las Vegas has an edge over my own knowledge. The lines are set tight and unless a tout has inside info I believe you are wasting your cash. Now maybe with computer programs, models etc you can find an edge, but overall who really knows how an athlete will perform on the field. In addition, following a tout's picks does not account for the various factors working against the bettor and in favor of the book. IMO Do not believe the hype JBEX. I know I did when I was in my younger years, but know I gamble for recreational purposes only. It's one hell of a tough game to beat.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BOA12
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 02-19-12
                                                        • 20622

                                                        #1812
                                                        I love the action more than the amount wagered-for me a hobby not something I depend on to pay bills. To be a professional in anything you need to read the books for knowledge and put it into practical application to see if you will succeed. Certainly anyone who studies sports or horses everyday may have more knowledge than the casual player and might be worth looking at their picks as a guide but I still prefer to make my own picks so maybe one day I can call myself a professional gambler-always been my dream. Thanks for your professional comments men. bol JBEX and EASYRIDER
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JBEX
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-02-12
                                                          • 23455

                                                          #1813
                                                          sar

                                                          R1 #6 mail (2-1) less but think well meant and much better
                                                          R2 # 4 acoustic*(15-1) #7 rafting* (4-1)
                                                          R3 #5 star hill (8-1)

                                                          more later
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JBEX
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-02-12
                                                            • 23455

                                                            #1814
                                                            sar

                                                            R4 #5 manchurian high (15-1)

                                                            really feel he's had some excuses since coming off the 3 month layoff back in may..ridiculous bad trip,2 mile race and sitting behind a 54 1:20 pace up front last out..could see him waking up at a price with regular pilot back aboard

                                                            R5 #7 zennor (6-1)

                                                            flashed some talent as a 2yo and had to deal with extreme posts in 2nd and 3rd starts..big pedigree and kiaran fantastic off long layoffs and having big meet to boot..training very nicely coming up to this
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JBEX
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-02-12
                                                              • 23455

                                                              #1815
                                                              Originally posted by JBEX
                                                              sar

                                                              R4 #5 manchurian high (15-1)

                                                              really feel he's had some excuses since coming off the 3 month layoff back in may..ridiculous bad trip,2 mile race and sitting behind a 54 1:20 pace up front last out..could see him waking up at a price with regular pilot back aboard

                                                              R5 #7 zennor (6-1)

                                                              flashed some talent as a 2yo and had to deal with extreme posts in 2nd and 3rd starts..big pedigree and kiaran fantastic off long layoffs and having big meet to boot..training very nicely coming up to this
                                                              with manchurian high those were his last 3 races where those things happened
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JBEX
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-02-12
                                                                • 23455

                                                                #1816
                                                                mth
                                                                R7 #3 foileen*(12-1) #7 sonofachub* (5-1)

                                                                split a $32 p6 sar...singled #2 first leg..post rest after race
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JBEX
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 01-02-12
                                                                  • 23455

                                                                  #1817
                                                                  quick exit p6

                                                                  this was my ticket...
                                                                  2/5/23/37/5 10/27

                                                                  try a trotter..dabble in them a little

                                                                  Meadowlands

                                                                  R11 hambletonian oaks
                                                                  #3 bright baby blues (8-1)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JBEX
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-02-12
                                                                    • 23455

                                                                    #1818
                                                                    mth

                                                                    R10 #9 dreamsgonewild
                                                                    R11#5 CH CH cherry bomb (4-1)

                                                                    big pedigree for nj bred..even effort first out fine and servis solid 2nd out..jock/trainer 19/64 together
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JBEX
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                                      • 23455

                                                                      #1819
                                                                      dmr

                                                                      R4 #4 sayitright kat (9-2)
                                                                      R6 #5 seve's road (6-1)
                                                                      R7 #4 ultimate holiday (4-1)
                                                                      R10 #2 barb's angel (2-1) ..4-5 or higher to play
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • JBEX
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 01-02-12
                                                                        • 23455

                                                                        #1820
                                                                        Originally posted by JBEX
                                                                        dmr

                                                                        R4 #4 sayitright kat (9-2)
                                                                        R6 #5 seve's road (6-1)
                                                                        R7 #4 ultimate holiday (4-1)
                                                                        R10 #2 barb's angel (2-1) ..4-5 or higher to play
                                                                        dmr R8 #5 personal diary* (15-1)
                                                                        Comment
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