Jbex plays

[Easy-Rider 66]

gulfstream

R5 #8 jp's pride (15-1) 1WP
R6 #1 ebullient (7-2) 3WP
R11 #6 math wizard (4-1) 3WP...2hp

aqueduct

R5 #3 marble moon (8-1) 2W..lp
R5 #6 oh k funnybone (5-1) 3W..lp
R6 #2 tayler's the boss..2WP..lp w/3 mtp

santa anita

R5 #6 originally intent (7-2) 3WP...lp w/30 mtp
R9 #10 miss unusual (4-1) 3WP..2hp

live play..lp
2 hours to post.. 2hp

GP R11: winner Pays $13.80

AQ R5: winner Pays $21

[Easy-Rider 66]

risked $733/returned $728.10 ROI: 99.3%

[JBEX]

risked $733/returned $728.10 ROI: 99.3%

173 horses played

[JBEX]

finished parx (4865)

[Easy-Rider 66]

parx.. monday

R3 #3 no more fast women (20-1)1WP
R4 #6 vow's son (5-2) 2WP
R5 #6 lucky stash (6-1)2W
R5 #7 river miss (10-1)2W
R6 #4 high moon (4-1)2WP
R7 #3 hammers vision (8-1)1W
R7 #8 helloitsme (12-1)1W
R8 #10 king koa (10-1)1WP
R9 #7 norma's charm (2-1)3WP
R10 #4 tiz super (6-1)2WP

bump gl

[JBEX]

bump gl

thanks

[Easy-Rider 66]

parx.. monday

R3 #3 no more fast women (20-1)1WP
R4 #6 vow's son (5-2) 2WP
R5 #6 lucky stash (6-1)2W
R5 #7 river miss (10-1)2W
R6 #4 high moon (4-1)2WP
R7 #3 hammers vision (8-1)1W
R7 #8 helloitsme (12-1)1W
R8 #10 king koa (10-1)1WP
R9 #7 norma's charm (2-1)3WP
R10 #4 tiz super (6-1)2WP

R8: winner Pays $6

[Easy-Rider 66]

risked $761/returned $734.10 ROI: 96.5%

[JBEX]

parx

R3 #3 no more fast women (20-1)1WP <8-1>
R4 #6 vow's son (5-2) 2WP <3.3>
R5 #6 lucky stash (6-1)2W <4>
R5 #7 river miss (10-1)2W <13>
R6 #4 high moon (4-1)2WP <5-1>
R7 #3 hammers vision (8-1)1W <2.6>
R7 #8 helloitsme (12-1)1W <8-1>
R8 #10 king koa (10-1)1WP < 5-2>
R9 #7 norma's charm (2-1)3WP <5-2>
R10 #4 tiz super (6-1)2WP <6-5>


(morning line) < actual >


the problem with playing in advance...I use ml odds as a guide post even though I often realize he's probably off.. too many low odds I may have not have been on if I was playing live.. . at least on them a lot smaller at parx

[JBEX]

parx

R3 #3 no more fast women (20-1)1WP <8-1>
R4 #6 vow's son (5-2) 2WP <3.3>
R5 #6 lucky stash (6-1)2W <4>
R5 #7 river miss (10-1)2W <13>
R6 #4 high moon (4-1)2WP <5-1>
R7 #3 hammers vision (8-1)1W <5-2>
R7 #8 helloitsme (12-1)1W <8-1>
R8 #10 king koa (10-1)1WP < 5-2>
R9 #7 norma's charm (2-1)3WP <5-2>
R10 #4 tiz super (6-1)2WP <6-5>


(morning line) < actual >


the problem with playing in advance...I use ml odds as a guide post even though I often realize it's probably off.. too many low odds I may have not have been on if I was playing live.. . at least on them a lot smaller at parx

this is a majority advance play thread.. while this is probably worse than the norm it does happen often enough.. this should be taken into consideration when judging the results

also of note so I don't have to keep mentioning it..

lp >>within 30 mins of post
2hp >> within 2 hours post

[JBEX]

mahoning valley

R4 #3 eskendulce (10-1) 1WP.. 2hp

jockey meet 64-0-3-7 / trainer meet 68-0-5-7/horse career 38-12-9-3

don't think I've ever seen anything so extreme.. this horse was claimed last out in a race he won by a head.. 7yo gelding who was 12-6-4-0 last year and is 13-7-2-2 at this track.. trained by owner


R5 #8 wild justice (8-1) 1WP.. lp

R6 #11 oaks honey*(8-1)1WP.. 2hp
R7 #10 orphan queen (4-1) 1WP
R8 #10 lady driven (3-1) 4W
R9 #9 outthink'em (8-5) 4W



post 4875.. this will always be posted

[JBEX]

added R5.. looking at latter part of the card

[JBEX]

finished mahoning

[Easy-Rider 66]

mahoning valley

R4 #3 eskendulce (10-1) 1WP.. 2hp

jockey meet 64-0-3-7 / trainer meet 68-0-5-7/horse career 38-12-9-3

don't think I've ever seen anything so extreme.. this horse was claimed last out in a race he won by a head.. 7yo gelding who was 12-6-4-0 last year and is 13-7-2-2 at this track.. trained by owner


R5 #8 wild justice (8-1) 1WP.. lp

R6 #11 oaks honey*(8-1)1WP.. 2hp
R7 #10 orphan queen (4-1) 1WP
R8 #10 lady driven (3-1) 4W
R9 #9 outthink'em (8-5) 4W



post 4875.. this will always be posted

R4: Placed Pays $4.90
R5: placed Pays $2.80

[Easy-Rider 66]

risked $777/returned $741.80 ROI: 95.5%

[JBEX]

risked $777/returned $741.80 ROI: 95.5%

183 horses played

[JBEX]

gulfstream

R1 #7 alpha orionis (5-2) no play for me

a $325k yearling who made his debut last month at tampa bay vs msw as a 3yo.. obviously that late start and at tampa means this one didn't pan out as hoped.. now up for sale for $12.5k second start can understand abandoning despite the ml.. I say they're just realistic and putting where he can win.. the owners are long time players in this game and pletcher has excellent numbers in relative categories.. the way he ran in the debut sets him up nicely for the stretch out.. going to recommend in horizontals as price will be low

R2 #1 impunity (7-2) 3 WP
R5 #1 the kid in syd (6-1) 2WP
R6 #3 she's no joke (7-2) 2WP

25-1-1-2 so won't go 3WP despite low ml odds

R7 #4 medina ridge (6-1) 2 WP

R8 #8 dancing starlet (8-1) 1 WP
R10 #2 matzo bella (7-2) 2WP
I


tampa bay

R2 #2 timuquana place (5-1)2WP ..2hp
R3 #8 domestic violet (6-1) 2WP..2hp

R4 #6 king's castle (8-1)2WP.. 2hp
R6 #8 happy wanderer (10-1)1WP
R7 #4 nephew howard d (3-1) 2WP













post 4875.. this will always be posted

[JBEX]

added tampa 2 3

got a nice jump on it.. will look at rest

[JBEX]

added tampa 4 6

[JBEX]

finished gulfstream

[JBEX]

added tam 7

[Easy-Rider 66]

gulfstream

R1 #7 alpha orionis (5-2) no play for me

a $325k yearling who made his debut last month at tampa bay vs msw as a 3yo.. obviously that late start and at tampa means this one didn't pan out as hoped.. now up for sale for $12.5k second start can understand abandoning despite the ml.. I say they're just realistic and putting where he can win.. the owners are long time players in this game and pletcher has excellent numbers in relative categories.. the way he ran in the debut sets him up nicely for the stretch out.. going to recommend in horizontals as price will be low

R2 #1 impunity (7-2) 3 WP
R5 #1 the kid in syd (6-1) 2WP
R6 #3 she's no joke (7-2) 2WP

25-1-1-2 so won't go 3WP despite low ml odds

R7 #4 medina ridge (6-1) 2 WP

R8 #8 dancing starlet (8-1) 1 WP
R10 #2 matzo bella (7-2) 2WP
I


tampa bay

R2 #2 timuquana place (5-1)2WP ..2hp
R3 #8 domestic violet (6-1) 2WP..2hp

R4 #6 king's castle (8-1)2WP.. 2hp
R6 #8 happy wanderer (10-1)1WP
R7 #4 nephew howard d (3-1) 2WP













post 4875.. this will always be posted

GP R6: placed Pays $5
GP R8: placed pays $2
GP R10 Placed pays $6.60
TB R6: scratched
TB R7: Placed Pays $2.60

[Easy-Rider 66]

risked $817/returned $758 ROI: 92.8%

[JBEX]

risked $817/returned $758 ROI: 92.8%

193 horses played

GP R8 should be $4 so $760.. 93.0% wrong above figure correct

[Easy-Rider 66]

193 horses played

GP R8 should be $4 so $760.. 93.0%

	Dawn Lightning	Jaramillo Emisael	123	6.80	3.80	3.00
8	Dancing Starlet	Saez Luis	121		4.00	3.80
7	Draft	Reyes Leonel	121			3.60

$1 Daily Double	$68.30	3-3	$28,728
$1 Exacta	$21.60	3-8	$133,989
$0.10 Superfecta	$72.09	3-8-7-2	$50,767
$1 Super High Five	$4,981.30	3-8-7-2-1	$5,046
$0.50 Trifecta	$47.75	3-8-7	$70,144
$0.50 Pick 3	$53.90	5-3-3 (3 correct)	$37,357

Owner:	Veb Racing Stable Corp
Trainer:	Victor Barboza, Jr.
Breeder:	Centaur Farms, Inc. (FL )
Also Ran:	2 - Appealing Lalibela, 1 - Special Counsel, 4 - Michelle'z Laugh, 5 - Optimistic Shot, 9 - High End Lady, 6 - Troya

$1 w/p so Half the $4 place winnings?

[JBEX]

	Dawn Lightning	Jaramillo Emisael	123	6.80	3.80	3.00
8	Dancing Starlet	Saez Luis	121		4.00	3.80
7	Draft	Reyes Leonel	121			3.60

$1 Daily Double	$68.30	3-3	$28,728
$1 Exacta	$21.60	3-8	$133,989
$0.10 Superfecta	$72.09	3-8-7-2	$50,767
$1 Super High Five	$4,981.30	3-8-7-2-1	$5,046
$0.50 Trifecta	$47.75	3-8-7	$70,144
$0.50 Pick 3	$53.90	5-3-3 (3 correct)	$37,357

Owner:	Veb Racing Stable Corp
Trainer:	Victor Barboza, Jr.
Breeder:	Centaur Farms, Inc. (FL )
Also Ran:	2 - Appealing Lalibela, 1 - Special Counsel, 4 - Michelle'z Laugh, 5 - Optimistic Shot, 9 - High End Lady, 6 - Troya

$1 w/p so Half the $4 place winnings?

checked again ..you're right corrected above

[Easy-Rider 66]

OK No worries. Thx for checking rundown. I Try to be accurate but mistakes can be made.

[JBEX]

OK No worries. Thx for checking rundown. I Try to be accurate but mistakes can be made.

no big deal.. we all make them.. I usually don't but took a peek today

[JBEX]

aqueduct thursday

R1-6 pass
R7 #2 calculated riskier (5-2) 5W
R8 #2 shaken not stirred (8-1) 2WP

gulfstream

R1-3 pass
R4 #7 blue whale (30-1) 2WP
R5 #1 just kitten you (9-2) 3WP

R6 #8 a bit of both (2-5) no play... surest 5% you'll ever make if there's show betting

R7 #2 abaco dream (9-2) 2WP


R8-10 pass




fairgrounds (race 2 and race 3 no play)

R2 #3 previous honor (3-1)

the first of two 10yo horses (mare) running in consecutive races . just rooting
74-13-17-10 career and past 2 years (8+9) 21-8-8-1 so most of the damage done recently


R3 #6 paddy's notes (3-1)

this one's a gelding.. 50-16-6-3 overall and 16-9-1-1 last 2 years.. she wasn't horrible prior to last couple of years ..both trained by top guys but they are competitive races



R6 #2 warriors gem (8-1) 2WP
R9 #4 vigilante (8-1)1WP
R10 #8 curzon street (6-1)1WP


santa anita

R9 #5 oh pretty woman (4-1) 2WP..2hp

[JBEX]

finished gulf and tampa

[JBEX]

did some fairgrounds

[Easy-Rider 66]

Jbex are you playing it too close to the vest with these $1 w/p from Major tracks? I can see the minor venues, but would like to get an accurate representation of your final tally and the more money risked the better. See if you can better Mr. G&T's 95.5% and my 81%. Guess this conservative approach is working so far, but how much confidence can one have in $1w/p wager from a major track. Just my 2 cents. BOL.

[JBEX]

Jbex are you playing it too close to the vest with these $1 w/p from Major tracks? I can see the minor venues, but would like to get an accurate representation of your final tally and the more money risked the better. See if you can better Mr. G&T's 95.5% and my 81%. Guess this conservative approach is working so far, but how much confidence can one have in $1w/p wager from a major track. Just my 2 cents. BOL.

those fairgrounds races are just action bets for me..didn't have a strong opinion but figured i'd throw my hat in the ring..if I had a decent opinion at those odds would be 2WP
and maybe 3 strong opinion lower odds..haven't exactly been tearing it up of late

[Easy-Rider 66]

those fairgrounds races are just action bets for me..didn't have a strong opinion but figured i'd throw my hat in the ring..if I had a decent opinion at those odds would be 2WP
and maybe 3 strong opinion lower odds..haven't exactly been tearing it up of late

OK. A good strategy. Probably why I did not hit closer to 85%-90% in my thread. Did not lower roll enough on the action bets.

[JBEX]

OK. A good strategy. Probably why I did not hit closer to 85%-90% in my thread. Did not lower roll enough on the action bets.

I definitely feel that's important to your bottom line