*HBD PICKS* BGboothA's Road to Kentucky

[balls2wall]

BG, thanks for what you are doing bro

I have been using your sheets for a week or two and greatly appreciate it!!

I bought you a few brews a couple of days ago. More to come...

[BGboothA]

Yeah we saw that balls, thanks a lot we appreciate it. We are hoping for another great weekend.

[BGboothA]

Here are the files for Friday 02/08/2013


Here is hoping for another weekend just last last weekend. Good luck everyone.

[thes0vereign]

Yo man! Turfway Paradise link on the site is down. Here's hoping for another solid weekend!

[BGboothA]

Yo man! Turfway Paradise link on the site is down. Here's hoping for another solid weekend!

Sorry for the delay, link had a capitol T instead of a lowercase T.....stupid links.

[Arletta]

You don't happen to do Turf Paradise do you? I am in a contest tomorrow and Whobets site only has 4 of the P.Ps for it, so I am scrambling to find something else.

[Arletta]

By the way Balls... Love your Avatar... Joss Stone is kick ass!

[BGboothA]

You don't happen to do Turf Paradise do you? I am in a contest tomorrow and Whobets site only has 4 of the P.Ps for it, so I am scrambling to find something else.

We don't normally run Turf Paradise, but I will when I run tomorow sheets...they should be up in an hour or so.

[BGboothA]

Here are the files for Saturday 02/09/2013


Decent day today....here we go for the weekend. Lets see if we can make some money!



Ohh and a special request for my homegirl Arletta!

[Arletta]

Your the best! Thank you!

[DDT]

Should be a fun Saturday...thanks BG

[daoilman]

Your 4th choice in both the 1st and 2nd at GP took down the early double at big prices. A 2$ DD returned 237.00

[BGboothA]

Here are the files for Sunday 02/10/2013


Today was Okay, myself I ended up down $15, but thats after putting quite a bit through the betting window. I have got to find a site that offers rebates to the state of Washington.

Good luck tomorrow guys. I won't be playing anything, its my little guys Bday party.

[TonyP]

will watch video later, thanks, I am going to race book tomorrow

[balls2wall]

Good luck tomorrow guys. I won't be playing anything, its my little guys Bday party.

How old is he?

Have a great day with your son!!

[thes0vereign]

I have the same issue with rebates and bonuses, BG. Being in MD, I can't sign up/deposit on most sites with pari-mutuel betting. I've taken to just using 5dimes racebook, which has some pretty decent rebate offers.

Enjoy the day off and happy birthday to your little guy!

[Easy-Rider 66]

I have the same issue with rebates and bonuses, BG. Being in MD, I can't sign up/deposit on most sites with pari-mutuel betting. I've taken to just using 5dimes racebook, which has some pretty decent rebate offers.

Enjoy the day off and happy birthday to your little guy!

5D also has a plus 10% book where you get 10% added to any winning wager. Not sure if they take Wash residents though.

[BGboothA]

Hmm, I will have to check more into 5dimes. I used 5dimes a while back for football, but never played their racebook. Currently I am using Twinspires and Xpressbet. But the 'rewards' programs there are nearly nonexistant.

And I am still pissed about Derby Wars.

[harthebar]

derby wars what can i do to help......................sorry you live so far up there ........

[harthebar]

easy rider you use 5 dimes.......do you live in the states........did you ever have a hard time in collecting.......?.

5D also has a plus 10% book where you get 10% added to any winning wager. Not sure if they take Wash residents though.

[harthebar]

you live in the states........did you ever have a hard time in collecting.......?.from 5 dimes. and when you did collect how long did it take to get paid..

I have the same issue with rebates and bonuses, BG. Being in MD, I can't sign up/deposit on most sites with pari-mutuel betting. I've taken to just using 5dimes racebook, which has some pretty decent rebate offers.

Enjoy the day off and happy birthday to your little guy!

[BGboothA]

Nothing according to Washington State law, Derby Wars isn't online horse gaming, its online monetary contests. So its illegal. I am still trying to figure out how my state can legalize weed, legalize gay marriage and yet online contests are a no go.

[Easy-Rider 66]

easy rider you use 5 dimes.......do you live in the states........did you ever have a hard time in collecting.......?.

Been using 5D for a little over a year. Never collected yet, but know someone who got paid twice without any problems. Would highly recommend their race book.

[Jayvegas420]

Bet Confirmation - KX7587294410I - Internet Time of bet: 02/10/2013 14:43:04 Print

Selections

1 Tapits Wildcat Race 9 Sunland Park 02/10/2013 1-2-3 To Run USD Risk: 20.00 CAD Risk: 19.95

This horse was 15 to 1
I waited a bit went down to 10 to 1
So, I bet this.
Now it's four to one!
Dont have enough money to bet it to win

[Jayvegas420]

Finished 4th by a nose in a photo

It went 1:38.28

[BGboothA]

Finished 4th by a nose in a photo

It went 1:38.28

Thanks for Posting, we dont' run Sunland though, so I got no help for you there.

[Jayvegas420]

Which tracks do you run?

[BGboothA]

We ran four tracks on Monday just for fun.

[BGboothA]

Which tracks do you run?

We run about 10 per major race day. But sun land has never been one of them.

[Jayvegas420]

Who do like in Turf Paradise's 8th & 9th?

[BGboothA]

Who do like in Turf Paradise's 8th & 9th?

Our sheets had 5-9-2-8 in the 8th with the 3 being listed as a FalseaFav. Looks like the 4 came in for a small winner.

in the 9th our sheets had it 10-7-3-2. Looks like it came 3-7-2!

With the 3 paying a nice 28.80 to win and the 3-7 exacta paid close to 180.

Download the sheets and take a look at them Jay

[BGboothA]

2012 Stats

[BGboothA]

Also some more info on our Angles we published a few weeks ago. A few weeks ago I talked about the stats we had over 1 weekend regarding our four 'angles' that we have on the top of our sheets.

Here is an updated version of those results: (1300+ races and counting):

False Fav = 46.2% of the time our False Favorite finished OUT of the money. (would be great if I could exchange lay bets)
85.8 % of the time the False Favorite did NOT win the race.
14.2 % of the time the False Favotire WON the race.
*This has been a huge angle for us to find value in exotics when you can discount the favorite. We are working on calculating more in depth results, for instance when the FalseFav is less than 2-1 or less than 1-1 the rates are xxxx or yyyy. But we still need more data for this to make any sense at all. But this will come with time.

Only E = 38.4% of the time our Only E horse WINS the race.
67.8% of the time our Only E horse finishes IN the money.
32.2% of the time our Only E horse finishes OUT of the money.
*This angle needs more info. The Only E horses range so much in ML odds and HBD point differential, that we recommend using this information with caution. I really like the angle, but I use it more to just make sure I look closer at a race with this button the top. Not for blind betting. We need more races in our database to make a better example on how to use this more effectively.

Trainer / Jock = 26.3% of the races our TRN/JCK horse WINS the race.
64.8% of the races our TRN/JCK horse finishes IN the money.
35.2% of the races our TRN/JCK horse finised OUT of the money.
*I am not sure how helpful this is....I have noticed (although I have no math to back this up..yet) that a number of the wins were really short prices using this angle. So I am not sure how useful this is. But its worth tracking for a while more. Again more information breaking this down in time will come, we just need more races. I am actually interested to see if this angle varies by track or circuit at all....just a thought. But again more info to come in time and more data.

As always, take these numbers with a grain of salt, they are what they are. Good luck out there.

[BGboothA]

Here are the files for Tuesday 02/12/2013



We ran 5 tracks for Tuesday...

[DDT]

I wasn't sure if you were running tracks during the week now