Sawyer's Iron Dogs & Easy Overs 2011-2012 Season December Thread (60-51, +26.3 Units)

[Sawyer]

1-8, -6.75

Hit a dry spell last night..

Unbelieveable..

Islanders comeback from 2-0 to 2-2 but lose in OT.

Canadiens blow the 3-0 lead.

Blue Jackets blow 2-0 lead; Predators scoring 2 goals in last 1:36!

Crazy..

Could be a 5-4 night but we go 1-8.

Unlucky night for us..Iron Dogs 1-7, -5.58 Units. Total Play 0-1, -1.00 Unit.

Will update Iron Dogs' record at the end of week.

[shearer]

don't worry Sawyer we will support u good luck

[Sawyer]

12/9

Thank you fellas. Have a good feeling about upcoming Saturday..

<b>12/9 Iron Dog</b>

One Dog play for today..



<b>COLORADO +130</b>

May add a total play later..See you!

[Ryencee]

rough night, glad i wasn't home to watch it. You'll bounce back

[Winner211]

Hey bro been tailing you for awhile and very happy with what you bring...tough day...you'll bounce back!

[korzychxp]

No Florida ?

[SportGTI]

Hey Sawyer. Tough night last night BOL on bouncing back tonight and over the weekend.

Any leans on florida tonight? I like them at around +120 over a injury-riddled buffalo team. Thing that scares me is that Florida just played a tough boston team last night (getting a 2-0) victory and may not be up for Buffalo.

Any thought would be appreciated

[KegKosmo]

Too many plays last night imo.. I'm with you.tonight!

[Sawyer]

No Florida ?

Any leans on florida tonight? I like them at around +120 over a injury-riddled buffalo team. Thing that scares me is that Florida just played a tough boston team last night (getting a 2-0) victory and may not be up for Buffalo.
Any thought would be appreciated

Florida is one of leans for tonight but not a Iron Dog play. Still I think they have a good chance to pull off an upset tonight imo..

Will add a total play for today..Coming up!

[Sawyer]

Adding..



TORONTO VS WASHINGTON OVER 5.5 GOALS -115

Good luck!

[ebbearsfb1]

What's your record for totals? Last I saw it was 10 and 4 I believe?

[gti175]

love the total pick.. good luck..

[Kaizen]

good luck sawyer

[Exxpresso]

Good Luck tonight Sawyer

[jsw64]

Interesting that you make the post yesterday about money management and robotic betting then have your biggest card of the year which unfortunately didn't turn out so well. Unbelievable how crap works out like that. Everything I have tried to learn about betting told me not to follow last night-that it was too many picks-and I have said to myself a million times today "I #$%^ knew it." Oh well,hopefully another lesson learned the hard way unfortunately. Of course as you stated,with a few breaks could have been totally different-and if I had not followed you,you would probably have went 6-3 at worst-so... However even with the bad night you are still up and I will still be following your picks-so thanks much for all the work you do and for posting the picks.Continued success.

[ghislaine]

sorry about last night Sawyer. kinda lucky was in a bad stomach flu and spent the night in the toilet haha unable to place bets
I completely agree to Your money management post earlier. It does not matter if its labouchere, martingale or any number of mm systems, taking emotion out is always a good thing. I simply need to learn more about handicapping, but this part I got down, being a succesful day trader ( wich I still do occasionally, even though found it way too time consuming ). I up my units after a negative night and lower them after a positive night, making sure I keep the bet size around 2-5% of bankroll and always always all bets on any given night equal. This works wonderfully for me, since when I get a negative night, it`s all good as well, because after positive nights my units sizes are usually real small e.g. 1000usd bank 15usd bets.
to Your continued success Sawyer, and keep hitting those dogs, nothing is better than that for a healthy bank roll

[815Sox]

No Florida ?

I like Florida tonight, I have been playing them quite a bit recently. They won me good money against Boston.

[Sawyer]

What's your record for totals? Last I saw it was 10 and 4 I believe?

Yes.

NHL Totals 2011-2012 Season: 10-4, +5.20

I like Florida tonight, I have been playing them quite a bit recently. They won me good money against Boston.

I like Florida too. Won't be surprised if they beat Sabres today.

Too bad it's not an Iron Dog play

Interesting that you make the post yesterday about money management and robotic betting then have your biggest card of the year which unfortunately didn't turn out so well. Unbelievable how crap works out like that. Everything I have tried to learn about betting told me not to follow last night-that it was too many picks-and I have said to myself a million times today "I #$%^ knew it." Oh well,hopefully another lesson learned the hard way unfortunately. Of course as you stated,with a few breaks could have been totally different-and if I had not followed you,you would probably have went 6-3 at worst-so... However even with the bad night you are still up and I will still be following your picks-so thanks much for all the work you do and for posting the picks.Continued success.

Not interesting actually. I must stick with rules. I'm still betting like a robot. There may be even 10 plays/day. Sometimes no play for 2 days. It happens. Days with large card happen very rare but sometimes it happens. Days when I had 5-6 plays happened 2 or 3 times last season if I recall correctly..

Somedays, I may have a large card..but if you don't agree with some plays, you may skip them. Final decision is always yours..

Thank you for your good wishes. Have a good feeling about weekend. Saturdays are always good to me, don't know why. I always had my wildest sweeps on saturdays. Maybe a coincidence who knows?

Good luck fellas!

[JJPLAT22]

Sawyer, still loved your picks last night just got super unlucky at the last minute. Is your Tor/Wash Over a bet 1.15 units to win 1 unit or bet 1 unit to win .87 units? Thanks

[twg2003]

Good luck today Sawyer, Yesterday was just a bad break with so many losses in OT.

[antifoil]

the number of plays don't matter so long as they are all +EV.

[KegKosmo]

Im on this total already, like it a lot.. good luck sawyer

[mikea33]

sawyer. i like the winnepeg over as well

[racer43]

Sawyer, still loved your picks last night just got super unlucky at the last minute. Is your Tor/Wash Over a bet 1.15 units to win 1 unit or bet 1 unit to win .87 units? Thanks

do you want him to tell you what color shirt to wear as well?

[Powerz]

I love this play....the Caps are going to smoke the leafs, line is exactly like when Vancouver won 6-0 the other nght

Also played Caps TT O3.5 and Caps -.5/-1

GL Sawyer

[LetsGoBruins]

Don't forget...This is a grind.

Let me point out something which might be obvious, yet we usually lose sight of after a bad night.

In the long run, beats like this don't matter. Make the right plays, and sure enough, you'll come out ahead at the end.

Who'll even remember a night in which you went zero for 5, 6 or 7 - When at the end of the season you're looking at 100 units +

It's a grind. Do the right thing, stay solid, don't get emotional, follow the system and beat the books.

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

Rough night on your plays Sawyer I couldn't believe how many games didn't go our ways with blown leads

Still believe in your system and that's why I'm tailing your Avalanche play. Didn't get a chance to place a wager on the Over 5.5 in Leafs/Caps game but I'm rooting for you bro.

[Sawyer]

Sawyer, still loved your picks last night just got super unlucky at the last minute. Is your Tor/Wash Over a bet 1.15 units to win 1 unit or bet 1 unit to win .87 units? Thanks

Well,since it's an American forum, I'm using American odds and calculating it that way. All my side plays are +100 (2,00 Decimal) or higher but my totals can be a little bit juicy sometimes. If it's -120, risking 1.2 to win 1.

sawyer. i like the winnepeg over as well

Makes sense to bet Over on Hurricanes' these days. I'm expecting a high scoring game too. Won't be surprised if I see a score like 5-3 or 6-5.

[Sawyer]

4 goals so far. Need 2 more goals, Let's go!

[Ryencee]

over 5.5 put it in the bag!

[Sawyer]

Overrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr r!!

[hydrosmak]

over 5.5 put it in the bag!

Did they have to wait so long!!

[jturn49]

Wideman!!

[Riceboi]

nice hit tonight!

[KegKosmo]

Good shit sawyer. i check out your thread everyday.. love the underdog system you got. I take my own plays and have been doing very well lately but ill continue to check... peace brotha