PICKEMTOWINEM's NHL 2011/12

[pickemtowinem]

Why not take MIN and NASH winning margin 1 and 2, (4 possible combos, Bet 365). Obviously the values down a bit, but the increased win rate would be worh it, no?

Preds to win by 1 is at +225
Preds to win by 2 is at +450
Min to win by 1 is at +250
min to win by 2 is +550

interesting thinking......problem is that if they win by 3 or more its a shot ticket. I know the likelyhood of a win by 1 or 2 is there...but we would have to have em both hit at least win by 1 in order to yield a profit.......
if one of em loses, it would be a loss. hmm.....this might be worth looking into further......

maybe a play for now to see how it goes

$2.50 Preds to win by 1 is at +225
$2.50 Preds to win by 2 is at +450
$2.50 Min to win by 1 is at +250
$2.50 Min to win by 2 is +550


Lets hit em!

[Deol]

I meant a parlay like this: (so they both have to win and not by more than 2). I would only do this with a few teams in the NHL. First I have to think they are gonna win, and then obviously they have to be a low scoring team (NASH/MIN/CLB/EDM/FLA etc)

NASH wm1 MIN wm1 (+1040)
NASH wm 2 MIN wm1 (+1825)
NASH wm 1 MIN wm 2 (+2025)
NASH wm 2 MIN wm2 (+3500)

Either way, GL

[pickemtowinem]

UFC FIGHT CARD FOR TONIGHT:

$10 Bader (-400) + dos anjos (+150) + kampmann (+110) + cung le (-188)
$50 kung le (-188)
$25 dos anjos (+150)
$25 kampmann (+110)

Lets get ready to rumble!!!

[pickemtowinem]

$10 in game live flyers ml (+1650) (why not!??!?)

[pickemtowinem]

I meant a parlay like this: (so they both have to win and not by more than 2). I would only do this with a few teams in the NHL. First I have to think they are gonna win, and then obviously they have to be a low scoring team (NASH/MIN/CLB/EDM/FLA etc)

NASH wm1 MIN wm1 (+1040)
NASH wm 2 MIN wm1 (+1825)
NASH wm 1 MIN wm 2 (+2025)
NASH wm 2 MIN wm2 (+3500)

Either way, GL

sick. i never tried to parlay these before. maybe i'll look at this scheme tomorrow afternoon! thanks man!

get em!

[pickemtowinem]

I somehow forgot to add this play to the list: my bad. all excited for Kung Le's UFC debut. This kid is an animal.


$10 blues/wild u6 (-240) + cjb/nash u6 (-200) + pits/fla u6.5 (-260) + oil/blackhawks o4.5 (-250)

[pickemtowinem]

$33 In game live o5.5 (-110) Bruins/Islanders

[leafs_ducks]

Good Call on the over in bos/nyi! Go Preds Go!

[pickemtowinem]

$7.50 det/la o4 (-375) + buf/phx o4.5 (-260) + wash/tor o4.5 (-320) + bos/nyi o4.5 (-275) + cbj/nas o4 (-375) WIN $22.32
$7.50 det/la u6 (-205) + wash/tor u6.5 (-185) + nyr/mon o4 (-320) + pits/fla o4.5 (-240) + njd/tb u6.5 (-270) LOSS
$7.50caps -1.5 (+195) + nyi +1.5 (-225) + phx +1.5 (-275) + pred -1.5 (+145) LOSS
$15 Preds -1.5 (+145) LOSS
$15 Preds ml (-210) + u5 (+125) LOSS
$15 Preds ml (-210) + o5 (-145) LOSS
$7.50 min/stl u5 (+100) + sjs/dal o5.5 (-105) + was ml (-150) + pits ml (-125) LOSS
$7.50 kings ml (-120) + phx ml (+105) + nash ml (-210) + sharks ml (-150) LOSS
$15 Capitals -1.5 (+195) LOSS
$15 caps ml (-150) + o5.5 (-110) LOSS
$15 caps ml (-150) + u5.5 (-110) LOSS
$7.50 det ml (+100) + njd ml (+110) + min ml (+100) WIN $55.50
$7.50 oilers ml (+120) + devils +1.5 (-270) + leafs +1.5 (-235) + sharks ml (-150) win $46.22
$7.50 lak/det o5 (-140) + phx/buf o5.5 (+110) + bos/nyi o5.5 (+105) + min ml (+100) WIN $57.07 (push on kings game lowered payout from $103.20)
$5 Final score Preds win 4-1 (+1000) LOSS
$5 Final score Preds win 4-2 (+1400) LOSS
$5 Final score Preds win 5-1 (+2500) LOSS
$5 Final score Min win 3-1 (+1200) LOSS
$5 Final score Min win 3-2 (+650) WIN $32.50
$7.50 Leafs ml (+130) + Nash ml (-210) + sharks ml (-150) + devils +1.5 (-270) + nry/mon o5 (-125) LOSS
$55 in game live flyers/jets o8.5 (-150) WIN $33.33
$2.50 Preds to win by 1 (+225) LOSS
$2.50 Preds to win by 2 (+450) LOSS
$2.50 Min to win by 1 (+250) WIN $6.25
$2.50 Min to win by 2 (+550) LOSS
$10 in game live flyers ml (+1650) LOSS
$10 blues/wild u6 (-240) + cjb/nash u6 (-200) + pits/fla u6.5 (-260) + oil/blackhawks o4.5 (-250) LOSS
$33 In game live o5.5 (-110) Bruins/Islanders WIN $30

Risk $300.50
Get back: $408.69
Profit: $108.19

NHL SEASON:
-$630.60

[pickemtowinem]

$75 salami o22.5
$25 Sharks/Avalanche o5.5 (-120) + Redwings/Ducks o5.5 (+110)
$25 Sharks/Avalanche o5.5 (-120) + Leafs/Hurricanes o5.5 (-110)
$10 Hurricanes -1.5 (+190)
$10 Hurricanes ml (-150) + o5.5 (-110)
$10 Hurricanes ml (-150) + u5.5 (-110)

$10 Sharks -1.5 (+215)
$10 Sharks ml (-140) + o5.5 (-120)
$10 Sharks ml (-140) + u5.5 (+100)

$10 sharks ml (-140) + leafs/hurricanes o5.5 (-110) + ducks ml (+100)
$15 Leafs/Hurricanes o4.5 (-320) + sharks/avalanche o4.5 (-350) + rewings/ducks o4.5 (-260) + sens/canucks u6.5 (-175)

LETS HAVE A GOOD DAY.
GOOD LUCK TO YOU ALL!

sorry for the ufc picks not panning out. Kung Le while entertaining, could not stay away from the axe murderer and lost a entertaining fight. Bader and Kampmann did their jobs. ah well, good card!

onwards!

[pickemtowinem]

$75 salami o22.5 LOSS

$25 Sharks/Avalanche o5.5 (-120) + Redwings/Ducks o5.5 (+110) LOSS
$25 Sharks/Avalanche o5.5 (-120) + Leafs/Hurricanes o5.5 (-110) LOSS

$10 Hurricanes -1.5 (+190) LOSS
$10 Hurricanes ml (-150) + o5.5 (-110) LOSS
$10 Hurricanes ml (-150) + u5.5 (-110) WIN $21.81

$10 Sharks -1.5 (+215) WIN $21.50
$10 Sharks ml (-140) + o5.5 (-120)
$10 Sharks ml (-140) + u5.5 (+100) WIN $24.28

$10 sharks ml (-140) + leafs/hurricanes o5.5 (-110) + ducks ml (+100)
$15 Leafs/Hurricanes o4.5 (-320) + sharks/avalanche o4.5 (-350) + redwings/ducks o4.5 (-260) + sens/canucks u6.5 (-175) WIN $40.07

Risk $210
Get Back: $152.66
net loss -$57.34

NHL SEASON:
-$687.94

This horrible day in NFL was the worst I have seen all season. This night in the NHL could have been profitable had I stayed away from the salami. ergh!

Back at it tomorrow.....and I am in love with the card. for now.

[pickemtowinem]

Lets start the love fest:

$25 Flames/Bluejackets u6.5 (-230) + Pits/Nyi o4.5 (-300) + Caps/Coyotes o4.5 (-250)

$25 Stars -1.5 (+215)
$25 Stars ml (-140) + o5.5 (+125)
$25 Stars ml (-140) + u5.5 (-145)

$25 Islanders -1 (+340) (Additional Puckline)
$25 Islanders ml (+200) + o5.5 (-105)
$25 Islanders ml (+200) + u5.5 (-115)

$25 Flyers -1.5 (+140)
$25 Flyers ml (-210) + o6 (+120)
$25 Flyers ml (-210) + u6 (-140)

$25 Capitals -1.5 (+220)
$25 Capitals ml (-150) + o5.5 (+115)
$25 Capitals ml (-150) + u5.5 (-135)

$10 stars -1.5 (+215) + caps -1.5 (+215) + flyers ml (-210)

$5 Final Score Pits win 4-3 (+900)
$5 Final Score islanders win 4-3 (+1100)
$5 Final Score Devils win 3-2 (+650)
$5 Final Score Panthers win 3-2 (+650)
$5 Final Score Philly/Carolina any other score (any team scores 7 goals and it cashes)

$7.50 Flyers ml (-210) + Habs +1.5 (-240) + islanders +1.5 (-145) + devils +1.5 (-270)
$7.50 Flyers ML (-210) + Devils +1.5 (-270) + islanders +1.5 (-145)
$7.50 Islanders ml (+200) + Flyers -1.5 (+140)
$7.50 Hurricanes ML (+175) + Oilers +1.5 (-260) + caps ml (-150) + devils ml (+105)
$15 Panthers -1.5 (+220) + Bluejackets +1.5 (-310) + Stars -1.5 (+215)

lucky Angel?

[pickemtowinem]

adding one more: im going to chase the salami over until it hits.

$165 Salami o38.5 (-110)

[pickemtowinem]

Close on a few combinations, but close don't cut it:

results:

$25 Flames/Bluejackets u6.5 (-230) + Pits/Nyi o4.5 (-300) + Caps/Coyotes o4.5 (-250) WIN $41.95

$25 Stars -1.5 (+215) WIN $53.75
$25 Stars ml (-140) + o5.5 (+125) LOSS
$25 Stars ml (-140) + u5.5 (-145) WIN $47.41

$25 Islanders -1 (+340) (Additional Puckline) LOSS
$25 Islanders ml (+200) + o5.5 (-105) LOSS
$25 Islanders ml (+200) + u5.5 (-115) LOSS

$25 Flyers -1.5 (+140) LOSS
$25 Flyers ml (-210) + o6 (+120) LOSS
$25 Flyers ml (-210) + u6 (-140) LOSS

$25 Capitals -1.5 (+220) LOSS
$25 Capitals ml (-150) + o5.5 (+115) WIN $64.58
$25 Capitals ml (-150) + u5.5 (-135) LOSS

$10 stars -1.5 (+215) + caps -1.5 (+215) + flyers ml (-210) LOSS

$5 Final Score Pits win 4-3 (+900) LOSS
$5 Final Score islanders win 4-3 (+1100) LOSS
$5 Final Score Devils win 3-2 (+650) LOSS
$5 Final Score Panthers win 3-2 (+650) LOSS
$5 Final Score Philly/Carolina any other score (any team scores 7 goals and it cashes) LOSS

$7.50 Flyers ml (-210) + Habs +1.5 (-240) + islanders +1.5 (-145) + devils +1.5 (-270) LOSS
$7.50 Flyers ML (-210) + Devils +1.5 (-270) + islanders +1.5 (-145) LOSS
$7.50 Islanders ml (+200) + Flyers -1.5 (+140) LOSS
$7.50 Hurricanes ML (+175) + Oilers +1.5 (-260) + caps ml (-150) + devils ml (+105) LOSS
$15 Panthers -1.5 (+220) + Bluejackets +1.5 (-310) + Stars -1.5 (+215) LOSS

$165 Salami o38.5 (-110): LOSS

Risk $570
Get Back: $307.69
Net loss: $262.31

NHL SEASON:
-$950.25

[pickemtowinem]

$75 Leafs/lightning o4.5 (-375) + Kings/blues o4 (-280) + Oilers/predators o4 (-333)
$346.50 salami O16.5 (-105)
$25 leafs ml (+145)
$25 kings ml (+110)
$25 Predators ml (-200) + o5 (-130)



This salami chase is starting to hurt........

[leafs_ducks]

Been a hard weekend on us both. Lets get them today!

[pickemtowinem]

Been a hard weekend on us both. Lets get them today!

Amen.

[pickemtowinem]

Adding:

$25 oilers +1.5 (-185) + Leafs +1.5 (-200) + Kings +1.5 (-280)

[pickemtowinem]

all NHL plays for tonight:

$75 Leafs/lightning o4.5 (-375) + Kings/blues o4 (-280) + Oilers/predators o4 (-333)
$346.50 salami O16.5 (-105)
$25 leafs ml (+145)
$25 kings ml (+110)
$25 Predators ml (-200) + o5 (-130)
$25 oilers +1.5 (-185) + Leafs +1.5 (-200) + Kings +1.5 (-280)

Adding:

$25 Kings/Blues to OT (+250)
$25 Leafs/Lightning to OT (+300)
$25 Oilers/Predators to OT (+275)

get some.

[JuniorAnalyst]

i cant see any overtime games tonight

[pickemtowinem]

i cant see any overtime games tonight

I need Leafs and lightning to net me 11 more goals this game. lets go 8-7 leafs in OT!!

[Ryencee]

you cleaned up tonight! GJ

[pickemtowinem]

you cleaned up tonight! GJ

Was sweating' for a good bit there.
Now we chase the salami under.

$75 Leafs/lightning o4.5 (-375) + Kings/blues o4 (-280) + Oilers/predators o4 (-333) WIN$92.64
$346.50 salami O16.5 (-105) WIN $330
$25 leafs ml (+145) WIN $36.25
$25 kings ml (+110) to WIN $27.50
$25 Predators ml (-200) + o5 (-130) LOSS
$25 oilers +1.5 (-185) + Leafs +1.5 (-200) + Kings +1.5 (-280) WIN $53.40
$25 Kings/Blues to OT (+250) LOSS
$25 Leafs/Lightning to OT (+300) LOSS
$25 Oilers/Predators to OT (+275) LOSS

Risk $596.50
Get Back: $1038.29
Profit $441.79

NHL SEASON:
-$508.46

[pickemtowinem]

time to get er' goin'.

$75 Salami u71 (+100)
$15 Sharks ml (-140) + Bruins ml (-120) + preds/wild o5 (-110)
$15 Ducks ml (+120) + Flames ml (+115)
$15 Stars ml (-105) + Sharks ml (-140) + wings/flames o5.5 (+115)
$25 Devils/bluejackets u6 (-205) + habs/hurricanes u6 (-205) + flames/redwings o4.5 (-250) + sabers/bruins u6.5 (-230)
$15 Devils/bluejackets u5 (-120) + devils ml (-165) + stars ml (-105) + sharks ml (-140)
$15 flames/wings o5.5 (+115) + Preds/wild o5 (-110) + Panthers/rangers o5.5 (-120)


maybe more later...maybe not.

[leafs_ducks]

i haven't looked at any of the games yet. GL tonight!

[pickemtowinem]

i haven't looked at any of the games yet. GL tonight!

Thanks man. Looks tougher than it appears tonight. I think so at least.
Good luck to you as well!

[pickemtowinem]

just some interesting #'s on public money and where it was going tonight:. (according to- twominutewarning dot com as of 6:57pm)

54% on Boston
58% on Devils
80% on Flyers
85% on Pittsburgh
62% on Washington
56% on Montreal
72% on Detroit
69% on Rangers
60% on Minnesota
51% on Dallas
51% on Phoenix
76% on Vancouver
51% on Chicago

So, if you are someone who goes against the public often, tonight you would be rooting for:

sabers
Bluejackets
islanders
blues
jets
hurricanes
flames
panthers
predators
kings
ducks
avalanche
sanjose

im posting these just so i can follow how fading the public plays actually work out if this is a strategy that one would employ for making wagers.
I have no idea as to how money factors into NHL, its not like the NFL and NBA where it's blatant and sways the outcome of the games, at least I don't think so.....but I guess this might be one thing to look at....

going to track for the sake of seeing if this is effective and to see if there are possibly any trends to look for with percentages vs outcomes and so forth. anyone wanting to chime in on this with any feedback, be it positive or negative, please do so...id like to hear what your thoughts are on this. have you already done this? can you send me some info on this if you have already done it?

please and thanks!!

pickem'

[pickemtowinem]

$30 in game live philly/islanders o7.5 (-135)

[pickemtowinem]

Late game:

$15 Predators ml (-105)
$15 Ducks ml (+120)
$15 avalanche ml (+120)
$15 blackhawks ml (+120).

$7.50 preds ml (-105) + blackhawks ml (+120)
$7.50 avalanche ml (+120) + ducks ml (+120)
$7.50 preds ml (-105) + avalanche ml (+120)
$7.50 blackhawks ml (+120) + avalanche ml (+120)

[pickemtowinem]

would have been nice without the late plays. damn stupid.....

$75 Salami u71 (+100) WIN $75
$15 Sharks ml (-140) + Bruins ml (-120) + preds/wild o5 (-110) WIN $32.14 (push lowered payout)
$15 Ducks ml (+120) + Flames ml (+115) LOSS
$15 Stars ml (-105) + Sharks ml (-140) + wings/flames o5.5 (+115) WIN $92.93
$25 Devils/bluejackets u6 (-205) + habs/hurricanes u6 (-205) + flames/redwings o4.5 (-250) + sabers/bruins u6.5 (-230) LOSS
$15 Devils/bluejackets u5 (-120) + devils ml (-165) + stars ml (-105) + sharks ml (-140) WIN $132.82
$15 flames/wings o5.5 (+115) + Preds/wild o5 (-110) + Panthers/rangers o5.5 (-120) LOSS
$30 in game live philly/islanders o7.5 (-135) LOSS
$15 Predators ml (-105) LOSS
$15 Ducks ml (+120) LOSS
$15 avalanche ml (+120) LOSS
$15 blackhawks ml (+120). LOSS

$7.50 preds ml (-105) + blackhawks ml (+120) LOSS
$7.50 avalanche ml (+120) + ducks ml (+120) LOSS
$7.50 preds ml (-105) + avalanche ml (+120) LOSS
$7.50 blackhawks ml (+120) + avalanche ml (+120) LOSS

Risk $295
Get Back 452.89
Profit: $157.89

NHL SEASON:
-$350.57

[pickemtowinem]

just some interesting #'s on public money and where it was going tonight:. (according to- twominutewarning dot com as of 6:57pm)

54% on Boston WIN
58% on Devils WIN
80% on Flyers LOSS
85% on Pittsburgh LOSS
62% on Washington WIN
56% on Montreal WIN
72% on Detroit WIN
69% on Rangers LOSS
60% on Minnesota WIN
51% on Dallas WIN
51% on Phoenix WIN
76% on Vancouver WIN
51% on Chicago LOSS

Public Money wins' 9 of 13 games tonight.

[leafs_ducks]

nice job coming back

[pickemtowinem]

nice job coming back

Thanks buddy. not quite out of that hole yet.....but if i can get back to even by months end......Dec usually brings xmas cash.
Lets get er done!!!!

[leafs_ducks]

a week left till December! you can do it!

[pickemtowinem]

$50 Salami u72.5 (-105)
$50 Redwings/Bruins o5.5 (+100)
$50 Devils/Islanders o5 (-140)
$75 Oilers/Wild o5 (-110)

$20 Wild/Oilers o5 (-110) + redwings/Bruins o5.5 (+100)
$20 Wild/oilers o5 (-110) + sabers -1.5 (+210)
$20 Panthers/Lightning u5.5 (-110) + sabers ml (-135)
$20 redwings/bruins o4.5 (-280) + habs/flyers o4.5 (-320) + oilers/wild o4 (-280) + sabers/bluejackets o4.5 (-300) + tampa/panthers u6.5 (-185)
$10 Islanders ml (+105) + Oilers ml (+120) + Leafs ml (+110)

Might have more later, might not. busy day.

good luck to YOU and YOU and YOU!!

GET EM!