PICKEMTOWINEM's NHL 2011/12

[pickemtowinem]

just some interesting #'s on public money and where it was going tonight:. (according to- twominutewarning dot com as of 6:57pm)

54% on Boston
58% on Devils
80% on Flyers
85% on Pittsburgh
62% on Washington
56% on Montreal
72% on Detroit
69% on Rangers
60% on Minnesota
51% on Dallas
51% on Phoenix
76% on Vancouver
51% on Chicago

So, if you are someone who goes against the public often, tonight you would be rooting for:

sabers
Bluejackets
islanders
blues
jets
hurricanes
flames
panthers
predators
kings
ducks
avalanche
sanjose

im posting these just so i can follow how fading the public plays actually work out if this is a strategy that one would employ for making wagers.
I have no idea as to how money factors into NHL, its not like the NFL and NBA where it's blatant and sways the outcome of the games, at least I don't think so.....but I guess this might be one thing to look at....

going to track for the sake of seeing if this is effective and to see if there are possibly any trends to look for with percentages vs outcomes and so forth. anyone wanting to chime in on this with any feedback, be it positive or negative, please do so...id like to hear what your thoughts are on this. have you already done this? can you send me some info on this if you have already done it?

please and thanks!!

pickem'

So far today's #'s look like this:

redwings 63%
Devils 74%
Philly 62%
Minnesota 51%
washington 55%
Chicago 83%
Pittsburgh 83%
Buffalo 81%
Winnipeg 64%
Tampa 59%
Blues 51%
stars 58%
Vancouver 55%

With that I am adding one more for now:

$40 Home Goals -2.5 (-110)

[pickemtowinem]

I don't know what i was thinking playing the over 5.5 in this Redwings/bruins game. These two goalies are playing very well...it'll take a miracle to get 6 goals in this game, let alone 4.5. Damn....

[leafs_ducks]

1-0. lots of time stilll. GL!!!!!!!1

[pickemtowinem]

1-0. lots of time stilll. GL!!!!!!!1

Thanks bud. some good chances in that period for both sides, bruins outplayed det in the 1st but are down 1-0 at the end of the first. It should be1-1 but hey...you are right...still time.

Get em!!!!!

[pickemtowinem]

$30 In game live sabers +1.5 (+125)

[pickemtowinem]

$30 leafs/stars o5.5 (-110)

[pickemtowinem]

$50 Salami u72.5 (-105) LOSS
$50 Redwings/Bruins o5.5 (+100) LOSS
$50 Devils/Islanders o5 (-140) LOSS
$75 Oilers/Wild o5 (-110) WIN $71.42
$20 Wild/Oilers o5 (-110) + redwings/Bruins o5.5 (+100) LOSS
$20 Wild/oilers o5 (-110) + sabers -1.5 (+210) LOSS
$20 Panthers/Lightning u5.5 (-110) + sabers ml (-135) LOSS
$20 redwings/bruins o4.5 (-280) + habs/flyers o4.5 (-320) + oilers/wild o4 (-280) + sabers/bluejackets o4.5 (-300) + tampa/panthers u6.5 (-185) LOSS
$10 Islanders ml (+105) + Oilers ml (+120) + Leafs ml (+110) LOSS
$40 Home Goals -2.5 (-110) LOSS
$30 In game live sabers +1.5 (+125) LOSS
$30 leafs/stars o5.5 (-110) WIN $27.27

Risk $415
Get Back: $203.69
Net Loss: -$211.31

NHL SEASON: -$561.88

Giving it back quickly.....

[pickemtowinem]

So far today's #'s look like this:

redwings 63%
Devils 74%
Philly 62%
Minnesota 51%
washington 55%
Chicago 83%
Pittsburgh 83%
Buffalo 81%
Winnipeg 64%
Tampa 59%
Blues 51%
stars 58%
Vancouver 55%

WIN redwings 63%
WIN Devils 74%
WIN Philly 62%
LOSS Minnesota 51%
LOSS washington 55%
WIN Chicago 83%
WIN Pittsburgh 83%
LOSS Buffalo 81%
WIN Winnipeg 64%
WIN Tampa 59%
WIN Blues 51%
LOSS Stars 58%
WIN Vancouver 55%

Another 9-4 night for public money. Interesting....... That's back to back nights (no games yesterday but 13 as well the night before) that have ended up 9-4 for public money.

Does this continue??

[pickemtowinem]

No more fughing around:

$25 Islanders
$25 Flyers/rangers o5.5 (+100)
$25 Oilers/avalanche o5.5 (+100)
$25 Bruins ML (-230) + o5.5 (-120)
$25 Sabers/Caps o5.5 (-115)
$25 Pits/Mon o5 (-135)
$25 Panthers ml (+115)
$25 Stars ml (+135)
$25 Sharks -1.5 (+205)
$25 Kings ML (-130)

$15 Kings ML (-130) + sharks ml (-145)
$15 Oilers/avalanche o5.5 (+100) + Sharks ml (-145)
$15 Bruins ml (-230) + sharks ml (-145) + Panthers ml (+115)
$15 Bruins o5.5 (-120) + pits/mon o5 (-135)

Time to turn this ship around.

[leafs_ducks]

Good Luck today bud!

[pickemtowinem]

Good Luck today bud!

Right back at ya bud! lets get em!

[pickemtowinem]

WIN redwings 63%
WIN Devils 74%
WIN Philly 62%
LOSS Minnesota 51%
LOSS washington 55%
WIN Chicago 83%
WIN Pittsburgh 83%
LOSS Buffalo 81%
WIN Winnipeg 64%
WIN Tampa 59%
WIN Blues 51%
LOSS Stars 58%
WIN Vancouver 55%

Since starting to watch the %'s the public money is 18-8 over the last 3 nights in the NHL. (offnight thursday)
With that, here are the #'s for today as of 12:41pm:


Devils 64%
Flyers 53%
Oilers 62%
Bruins 78%
Capitals 67%
Pitts 81%
Florida 65%
Detroit 51%
Dallas 68%
SanJose 54%
Blackhawks 60%

[pickemtowinem]

Previously Posted:
$25 Islanders (+150)
$25 Flyers/rangers o5.5 (+100)
$25 Oilers/avalanche o5.5 (+100)
$25 Bruins ML (-230) + o5.5 (-120)
$25 Sabers/Caps o5.5 (-115)
$25 Pits/Mon o5 (-135)
$25 Panthers ml (+115)
$25 Stars ml (+135)
$25 Sharks -1.5 (+205)
$25 Kings ML (-130)

$15 Kings ML (-130) + sharks ml (-145)
$15 Oilers/avalanche o5.5 (+100) + Sharks ml (-145)
$15 Bruins ml (-230) + sharks ml (-145) + Panthers ml (+115)
$15 Bruins o5.5 (-120) + pits/mon o5 (-135)

adding:

$50 salami o61.5 (-105)
$20 Redwings ml (-135)
$20 Flyers ML (+115)
$20 Oilers ML (+100)

$10 Redwings ml (-135) + Flyers/Rangers o5.5 (-105)
$10 pits/mon o5 (-140) + Bruins ml (-240) + blackhawks +1.5 (-275)

That's it. Off to birthday parties with the kids.

May the force be with you.

[pickemtowinem]

$14.30 Live in game: o1.5 2nd period (-143) kings/blackhawks

[pickemtowinem]

$25 Islanders (+150) WIN $37.50
$25 Flyers/rangers o5.5 (+100) LOSS
$25 Oilers/avalanche o5.5 (+100) WIN $25
$25 Bruins ML (-230) + o5.5 (-120) WIN $40.76
$25 Sabers/Caps o5.5 (-115) WIN $21.73
$25 Pits/Mon o5 (-135) WIN $18.51
$25 Panthers ml (+115) LOSS
$25 Stars ml (+135) LOSS
$25 Sharks -1.5 (+205) LOSS
$25 Kings ML (-130) LOSS
$15 Kings ML (-130) + sharks ml (-145) LOSS
$15 Oilers/avalanche o5.5 (+100) + Sharks ml (-145) LOSS
$15 Bruins ml (-230) + sharks ml (-145) + Panthers ml (+115) LOSS
$15 Bruins o5.5 (-120) + pits/mon o5 (-135) WIN $32.87

$50 salami o61.5 (-105) LOSS
$20 Redwings ml (-135) WIN $14.81
$20 Flyers ML (+115) LOSS
$20 Oilers ML (+100) LOSS

$10 Redwings ml (-135) + Flyers/Rangers o5.5 (-105) LOSS
$10 pits/mon o5 (-140) + Bruins ml (-240) + blackhawks +1.5 (-275) WIN $23.11
$14.30 Live in game o1.5 (-143) 2nd period kings/blackhawks WIN $10

Risk $454.30
Get Back: $408.59
Loss: $45.71

[pickemtowinem]

Since starting to watch the %'s the public money is 18-8 over the last 3 nights in the NHL. (offnight thursday)
With that, here are the #'s for today as of 12:41pm:


Devils 64%
Flyers 53%
Oilers 62%
Bruins 78%
Capitals 67%
Pitts 81%
Florida 65%
Detroit 51%
Dallas 68%
SanJose 54%
Blackhawks 60%

Devils 64% LOSS
Flyers 53% LOSS
Oilers 62% LOSS
Bruins 78% WIN
Capitals 67% LOSS
Pitts 81% WIN
Florida 65% LOSS
Detroit 51% WIN
Dallas 68% LOSS
SanJose 54% LOSS
Blackhawks 60% WIN

4-7 last night on public figures. taking them to 22-15 over the last 4 days.

As of 2pm here are todays, #'s


Carolina 52%
Blues 67%
Wild 79%
Leafs 63%

[pickemtowinem]

NHL SEASON -$607.59

$105 Salami u22.5 (-120) (another salami chase)
$20 sens/hurricanes o4.5 (-320) + blues/bluejackets u6.5 (-250) + flames/wild o4 (-280) + leafs/ducks u6.5 (-150)
$10 senators ml (-135) + bluejackets/blues u5.5 (-140)

[pickemtowinem]

$225 salami u21.5 (+100)
$50 stars ml (+120)
$25 wild ml (-115) + u5.5 (-140)
$25 wild ml (-115) + u5.5 (-140) + stars ml (+120).
$25 predators ml (-105) + wild u5.5 (-140)
$25 predators ml (-105) + stars ml (+120)
$20 stars ml (+120) + wild u5.5 (-140)
$25 away teams +0.5 (-120)

Almost tapped my NHL budget....really need these to hit tonight.
Will update last nights losses later this evening.

C'mon Vegas.....be nice tonight.

[pickemtowinem]

results:


$105 Salami u22.5 (-120) (another salami chase) LOSS
$20 sens/hurricanes o4.5 (-320) + blues/bluejackets u6.5 (-250) + flames/wild o4 (-280) + leafs/ducks u6.5 (-150) LOSS
$10 senators ml (-135) + bluejackets/blues u5.5 (-140) WIN $19.84

Risk $135
Get Back: $29.84
Loss: -$105.16

NHL SEASON:
$-712.75

[leafs_ducks]

Good Luck Bud! lets get them back!

[a4u2fear]

Pickem, love taking teams that get new coaches, usually great plays, look out for themt omorrow.

[pickemtowinem]

@ leafducks: thanks man. Not completely out of cash....but dont wanna lose any more. Good luck to you sir.

@A4: Im all over the caps bro! i smell a hot streak coming from that team.....soon.

Good luck guys.

[cave]

hey pickem if the flow is low why no play some single plays and not all parlays

[pickemtowinem]

hey pickem if the flow is low why no play some single plays and not all parlays

If I miss that salami tonight, I will probably go back to singles and $5 parlays. I usually heat up and nail parlays at an alarming clip. I just have not hit any that I have posted as plays yet....but that's gonna change soon.....real soon.

Thanks for the advice though...and I mean that. Singles are the way to building slowly...this I do not disagree with.
But I am greedy.

Appreciate your insight.

[cave]

looks like you won a few $$ today

[pickemtowinem]

$225 salami u21.5 (+100) WIN $225
$50 stars ml (+120) WIN $60
$25 wild ml (-115) + u5.5 (-140) WIN $55.12
$25 wild ml (-115) + u5.5 (-140) + stars ml (+120).WIN $151.27
$25 predators ml (-105) + wild u5.5 (-140) WIN $58.67
$25 predators ml (-105) + stars ml (+120) WIN $82.38
$20 stars ml (+120) + wild u5.5 (-140) WIN $55.42
$25 away teams +0.5 (-120) LOSS
Risk: $420
Get Back:$1082.86
Profit: $662.86

NHL SEASON:
-$49.89

almost there......

[a4u2fear]

Nice comeback, beware of NSH they have been all over the place.

[leafs_ducks]

Very nice! Keep it up bud!

[pickemtowinem]

looks like you won a few $$ today

Vegas actually heard my plea for help.

Nice comeback, beware of NSH they have been all over the place.

I know, they have a goalie there that can save them on any given night. Streaky team, but improved....some would disagree with that, but they in my opinion are a playoff team. I actually like em a little tonight.

Very nice! Keep it up bud!

Thanks bro! I sure will try. They usually come in bunches......I just pray that last night was not the bunch. Lolz!!!!!!

Let's get back to work.

[mrginandtonic]

$225 salami u21.5 (+100) WIN $225
$50 stars ml (+120) WIN $60
$25 wild ml (-115) + u5.5 (-140) WIN $55.12
$25 wild ml (-115) + u5.5 (-140) + stars ml (+120).WIN $151.27
$25 predators ml (-105) + wild u5.5 (-140) WIN $58.67
$25 predators ml (-105) + stars ml (+120) WIN $82.38
$20 stars ml (+120) + wild u5.5 (-140) WIN $55.42
$25 away teams +0.5 (-120) LOSS
Risk: $420
Get Back:$1082.86
Profit: $662.86

NHL SEASON:
-$49.89

almost there......

Awesome night!!

[pickemtowinem]

Awesome night!!

Thanks! Hoping nights like these become more frequent.
Tough card tonight.....
Let's see what we can do with it.

[pickemtowinem]

$15 caps ml (-130) + Sabers ml (-170) + Canucks ml (-220) + blackhawks ml (-155)
$15 sabers ml (-170) + Blackhawks ml (-155) + predators ml (+110)
$20 salami o44.5 (-105)
$15 Panthers/canes o4.5 (-250) + Preds/flames o4 (-280) + Rangers/penguins o4 (-350)
$15 Canucks -1.5 (+130) + sabers ml (-170) + Blackhawks ml (-155)
$10 Rangers +1.5 (-280) + Predators +1.5 (-275) + Sens +1.5 (-260) + Panthers +1.5 (-310)
$10 rangers ml (+105) + Sens ml (+110) + Blackhawks ml (-155) + sabers ml (-170)

Worst case I give back $100.
Let's hope Vegas can be kind again......

[a4u2fear]

Took a chance on Ovechkin scoring +160 tonight.

[pickemtowinem]

Took a chance on Ovechkin scoring +160 tonight.

That is a prop bet I would chase over the next 4-5 games. I like him to net one tonight as well.

Get em!

[pickemtowinem]

$15 caps ml (-130) + Sabers ml (-170) + Canucks ml (-220) + blackhawks ml (-155) LOSS
$15 sabers ml (-170) + Blackhawks ml (-155) + predators ml (+110) LOSS
$20 salami o44.5 (-105) LOSS
$15 Panthers/canes o4.5 (-250) + Preds/flames o4 (-280) + Rangers/penguins o4 (-350) LOSS
$15 Canucks -1.5 (+130) + sabers ml (-170) + Blackhawks ml (-155) LOSS
$10 Rangers +1.5 (-280) + Predators +1.5 (-275) + Sens +1.5 (-260) + Panthers +1.5 (-310) WIN $23.89
$10 rangers ml (+105) + Sens ml (+110) + Blackhawks ml (-155) + sabers ml (-170) LOSS

Risk $100
Get back $33.89
Loss:-$66.11

NHL Season:
-$116