ElCapitan's 2011-2012 NHL Thread

[ElCapitan]

12/5 Results

V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Phoenix Coyotes (A) ML +140 (1 to win 1.4) (5Dimes) *WIN*
V2 Phoenix Coyotes (A) PL -225 (2.25 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*

V2 Tampa Bay Lightning (A) ML +105 (1 to win 1.05) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
V2 Tampa Bay Lightning (A) PL -280 (2.8 to win 1) (5Dimes) *LOSS*

Record:
V1 ML: 22(A)-11(B)-5(C) (-2.45) SERIES: 19-3
V1 PL: 22(A)-9(B)-2(C) (-55.22) SERIES: 20-2

V2 ML: 27(A)-11(B)-4(C) (+21.81) SERIES: 25-1 (1 pending)
V2 PL: 27(A)-6(B)-3(C) (+5.28) SERIES: 25-1 (1 pending)

[ElCapitan]

12/6 Plays

V1 Carolina Hurricanes (A) ML +115 (1 to win 1.15) (5Dimes)
V1 Carolina Hurricanes(A) PL -260 (2.6 to win 1) (5Dimes)


V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Colorado Avalanche (A) ML +185 (1 to win 1.85) (5Dimes)
V2 Colorado Avalanche (A) PL -155 (1.55 to win 1) (5Dimes)

V2 Tampa Bay Lightning (B) ML +100 (2 to win 2) (5Dimes)
V2 Tampa Bay Lightning (B) PL -285 (10.83 to win 3.8) (5Dimes)

[EasyPicks]

ouch!

It's still doable to get back in the green on the PL?

[thelimit0310]

If youve chased and lost the full -55 units thus far there aren't enough series to completely recover.

[Bet Striker]

not quite. i dont remember how his record works but it shows 22-11-5. so playing straight up isnt the way to go. you damn well would not be 19-3 +17units.

You have to remember this is a Chase system. I was referring to the system record. By that's what I meant and that's he gets his record and it shows positive units even with the series losses.

[ElCapitan]

V1 Carolina Hurricanes (A) ML +115 (1 to win 1.15) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
V1 Carolina Hurricanes(A) PL -260 (2.6 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*


V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Colorado Avalanche (A) ML +185 (1 to win 1.85) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
V2 Colorado Avalanche (A) PL -155 (1.55 to win 1) (5Dimes) *LOSS*

V2 Tampa Bay Lightning (B) ML +100 (2 to win 2) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
V2 Tampa Bay Lightning (B) PL -285 (10.83 to win 3.8) (5Dimes) *LOSS*

Record:
V1 ML: 23(A)-11(B)-5(C) (-3.45) SERIES: 19-3 (1 pending)
V1 PL: 23(A)-9(B)-2(C) (-54.22) SERIES: 21-2

V2 ML: 28(A)-12(B)-4(C) (+18.81) SERIES: 25-1 (2 pending)
V2 PL: 28(A)-7(B)-3(C) (-7.10) SERIES: 25-1 (2 pending)

[ElCapitan]

12/7 Plays

V1 Carolina Hurricanes (B) ML +135 (1.48 to win 2) (5Dimes)

[jcygts6]

Thanks boss

[Win89]

You guys think the V2 ML will do much better than where it is now considering last season totaled out at -11 units and +21 the year before?

[Kev the Brit]

You guys think the V2 ML will do much better than where it is now considering last season totaled out at -11 units and +21 the year before?

It might work, or it might not. The V2 system has no restrictions on it. Chase any team on the road for 3 games or more. When JM brought it out, 2 seasons ago, he did not say anything about its pedigree or back testing.

However, when you think about it, how did JM (or whoever) arrive at the V1 system? I reckon he backtested all teams on the road and recognised that only cross conference games produced the required reliability. This would suggest that V2 (no conference restriction) was filtered out as unreliable. For this reason I do not play the V2. I think last season was out of character.

Kev

[cubfan2121]

Can someone scan through and check what the record of back to back games are?
Tampa bay got killed yesterday while playing back to back and carolina is going back to back today as well

Im not sure if the thread is on this site but there is a flat betting b2b road system that is hitting 63%
Basicly you fade a team thats on the road b2b games

maybe a possible tweak would be to either to stay away from b2b or reduce unit size

[cubfan2121]

here is the b2b fade system from covers
covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=79&sub=101173524

Can someone scan through and check what the record of back to back games are?
Tampa bay got killed yesterday while playing back to back and carolina is going back to back today as well

Im not sure if the thread is on this site but there is a flat betting b2b road system that is hitting 63%
Basicly you fade a team thats on the road b2b games

maybe a possible tweak would be to either to stay away from b2b or reduce unit size

[oklahoma]

canes

[ElCapitan]

12/7 Results

V1 Carolina Hurricanes (B) ML +135 (1.48 to win 2) (5Dimes) *WIN*

Record:
V1 ML: 23(A)-12(B)-5(C) (-1.45) SERIES: 20-3
V1 PL: 23(A)-9(B)-2(C) (-54.22) SERIES: 21-2

V2 ML: 28(A)-12(B)-4(C) (+18.81) SERIES: 25-1 (2 pending)
V2 PL: 28(A)-7(B)-3(C) (-7.10) SERIES: 25-1 (2 pending)

[ElCapitan]

12/8 Plays

Big day today!

V1 Dallas Stars (A) ML +170 (1 to win 1.70) (DSI)
V1 Dallas Stars (A) PL -162 (1.62 to win 1) (5Dimes)

V1 Vancouver Canucks (A) ML -130 (1.3 to win 1) (5Dimes)
V1 Vancouver Canucks(A) PL (fav, play ML) (1.3 to win 1) (5Dimes)


V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Colorado Avalanche (B) ML +115 (1.74 to win 2) (DSI)
V2 Colorado Avalanche (B) PL -250 (6.38 to win 2.55) (DSI)

V2 Florida Panthers (A) ML +168 (1 to win 1.68) (5Dimes)
V2 Florida Panthers (A) PL -165 (1.65 to win 1) (5Dimes)

V2 Tampa Bay Lightning (C) ML +145 (2.76 to win 4) (DSI)
V2 Tampa Bay Lightning (C) PL -210 (30.72 to win 14.63) (DSI)

[GGPLAYER]

thanks

[jcygts6]

Fantastic night¡¡¿

[ElCapitan]

12/8 Results

V1 Dallas Stars (A) ML +170 (1 to win 1.70) (DSI) *LOSS*
V1 Dallas Stars (A) PL -162 (1.62 to win 1) (5Dimes) *LOSS*

V1 Vancouver Canucks (A) ML -130 (1.3 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*
V1 Vancouver Canucks(A) PL (fav, play ML) (1.3 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*


V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Colorado Avalanche (B) ML +115 (1.74 to win 2) (DSI) *LOSS*
V2 Colorado Avalanche (B) PL -250 (6.38 to win 2.55) (DSI) *WIN*

V2 Florida Panthers (A) ML +168 (1 to win 1.68) (5Dimes) *WIN*
V2 Florida Panthers (A) PL -165 (1.65 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*

V2 Tampa Bay Lightning (C) ML +145 (2.76 to win 4) (DSI) *WIN*
V2 Tampa Bay Lightning (C) PL -210 (30.72 to win 14.63) (DSI) *WIN*

Record:
V1 ML: 25(A)-12(B)-5(C) (-1.45) SERIES: 21-3 (1 pending)
V1 PL: 25(A)-9(B)-2(C) (-54.84) SERIES: 22-2 (1 pending)

V2 ML: 29(A)-13(B)-5(C) (+22.75) SERIES: 27-1 (1 pending)
V2 PL: 29(A)-8(B)-4(C) (+11.08) SERIES: 28-1

[ElCapitan]

12/9

V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Colorado Avalanche (C) ML +140 (2.67 to win 3.74) (5Dimes)

[jcygts6]

Any plays?

[thelimit0310]

Dallas Stars B bet today +1.5

[Kev the Brit]

ElCapitan,

Strictly speaking the V2 system (no conference restrictions) must also include all V1 series.

Therefore, your V2 data is actually recording road teams playing all their games within their own conference.

Kev

[Win89]

That's a good point. Anyways San Jose is also a V2 [A] bet.

[allidoiswin89]

ElCapitan,

Strictly speaking the V2 system (no conference restrictions) must also include all V1 series.

Therefore, your V2 data is actually recording road teams playing all their games within their own conference.

Kev

not true

[Siresco]

ElCapitan,

Strictly speaking the V2 system (no conference restrictions) must also include all V1 series.

Therefore, your V2 data is actually recording road teams playing all their games within their own conference.

Kev

[lennytia]

ElCapitan,

Strictly speaking the V2 system (no conference restrictions) must also include all V1 series.

Therefore, your V2 data is actually recording road teams playing all their games within their own conference.

Kev

add the two sets of figures together if thats the way you want to play.
best recorded seperate as it is

[thelimit0310]

The official V1 bet for yesterday was Dallas Stars +1.5, I hope you guys took that as it did pass.

The next series isn't until the 13th. Hopefully Capitan will be back for them!

[oklahoma]

The official V1 bet for yesterday was Dallas Stars +1.5, I hope you guys took that as it did pass.

The next series isn't until the 13th. Hopefully Capitan will be back for them!

as well as Dallas ML, i only play the v1 moneyline and Dallas was a B bet.

[jcygts6]

Yup

[1gamer]

Is San Jose a V2 (B) bet today?

[ElCapitan]

12/9 Results

V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Colorado Avalanche (C) ML +140 (2.67 to win 3.74) (5Dimes) *LOSS*

Record:
V1 ML: 25(A)-12(B)-5(C) (-1.45) SERIES: 21-3 (1 pending)
V1 PL: 25(A)-9(B)-2(C) (-54.84) SERIES: 22-2 (1 pending)

V2 ML: 29(A)-13(B)-6(C) (+20.08) SERIES: 27-2
V2 PL: 29(A)-8(B)-4(C) (+11.08) SERIES: 28-1

[ElCapitan]

12/10 Plays/Results

V1 Dallas Stars (B) ML +135 (1.48 to win 2) (5Dimes) *WIN*
V1 Dallas Stars (B) PL -225 (5.90 to win 2.62) (5Dimes) *WIN*


V2 Play - tracking only

V2 Edmonton Oilers (A) ML +125 (1 to win 1.25) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
V2 Edmonton Oilers (A) PL -240 (2.4 to win 1) (5Dimes) *LOSS*

V2 San Jose Sharks (A) ML -105 (1.05 to win 1) (5Dimes) *LOSS*
V2 San Jose Sharks (A) PL -300 (3 to win 1) (5Dimes) *WIN*

Record:
V1 ML: 25(A)-13(B)-5(C) (+0.55) SERIES: 22-3
V1 PL: 25(A)-10(B)-2(C) (-52.22) SERIES: 23-2

V2 ML: 31(A)-13(B)-6(C) (+18.03) SERIES: 27-2 (2 pending)
V2 PL: 31(A)-8(B)-4(C) (+9.68) SERIES: 29-1 (1 pending)

[ElCapitan]

12/11 Plays

V2 Play - tracking only

V2 San Jose Sharks (B) ML +122 (1.68 to win 2.05) (5Dimes)

[jcygts6]

Gracias

[edh1011]

san jose really screwed us tonight