'dogs tonight? every night?

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  • Axis
    SBR MVP
    • 01-08-09
    • 1255

    #176
    Originally posted by rthoughton
    Id rather be up 5 than down 200. Im up 1300. Gamble. House money. They all have a shot. they might go 4-0. Why pick two? unless youre nostradamus.
    I feel like you keep saying things like "I understand that" and "I could see why you'd..." when clearly you dont! ha. It seems to me that you have this opinion on something but are applying it to the wrong thing.
    You wont bet all 4 just because what...? because they are all a possible win, and you cant tell me which are guarantees...
    Maybe you just aren't saying it right, ha, but it seems to me like you dont understand what Im saying at all. haha.
    I have already booked all 4 'dogs at my book.
    Hopefully you don't prove me wrong with a 2-0 night out of a 2-2 total. or by picking the ONLY winner.
    Anyway, I personally think that the Blues could win. And I expect 2 of the other 3.
    I hope you go 4-0 b/c I will then go 2-0 haha...

    And I say "I understand" because I see your reasoning...I just choose not to apply it to the way I bet on games.

    Every team always has a possibility of winning...the favorites have the possibility of winning all the games, just like the dogs could win all the games.

    I just hope we all cash on dogs...because I never bet favorites in the NHL so (unless it's Detroit because they're my team) I hope that the favorites never win haha...
    Comment
    • Dharmonize
      SBR MVP
      • 10-10-10
      • 1991

      #177
      GL with your plays, rthoughton! By wishing good luck to you, I pretty much wish luck to everybody betting any dog tonight
      Comment
      • jonnyboy21
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 12-02-10
        • 973

        #178
        Think I'm gonna go for a 2-2 tonight and put a little wager on the Ducks.

        Confirmed summary of my picks for tonight for what it's worth:

        Penguins
        Caps
        Hawks
        Ducks

        My dogs are "draw no bet" meaning if the game is tied after regulation the bet is void and stake returned. I got bigger odds on them that way so hopefully they can win it in 60 mins.
        Comment
        • Dharmonize
          SBR MVP
          • 10-10-10
          • 1991

          #179
          Pens and Blues, 1 unit each. GL!
          Comment
          • Wallco99
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-01-11
            • 7261

            #180
            I have compiled spreadsheets of the results of all thae dog teams this season through last night. I have totals for each individual team, each individual line, and grand totals of all. Pretty cool, and can be very useful in this bet dogs system. I will share it when complete
            Comment
            • rthoughton
              SBR MVP
              • 12-27-09
              • 1992

              #181
              thanks man.
              Comment
              • jonnyboy21
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 12-02-10
                • 973

                #182
                pens = hot dog!!
                Comment
                • Axis
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-08-09
                  • 1255

                  #183
                  Pittsburgh +100
                  Colorado +155

                  4-1 +3.35

                  Gonna chalk up Colorado as a loss...I'll take 4/5 any day though.

                  Good luck to everyone on the Blues tonight!
                  Comment
                  • jonnyboy21
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 12-02-10
                    • 973

                    #184
                    Told you hawks would win easy at home .

                    What a shocker by the Caps though, disappointed in them
                    Comment
                    • rthoughton
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-27-09
                      • 1992

                      #185
                      Looks like it's gonna end up a shoulda-bet-none night instead of a bet-em-all one.
                      Even will the Blues getting romped, our head is well above water.
                      Ill be back to get em tomorrow.
                      Cmon Blues. get it together.
                      Comment
                      • Axis
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-08-09
                        • 1255

                        #186
                        Originally posted by rthoughton
                        Looks like it's gonna end up a shoulda-bet-none night instead of a bet-em-all one.
                        Even will the Blues getting romped, our head is well above water.
                        Ill be back to get em tomorrow.
                        Cmon Blues. get it together.
                        Shit happens...can't win everyday. We've all be knockin'em out pretty well though...tomorrow is another day to rake in cash.
                        Comment
                        • rthoughton
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-27-09
                          • 1992

                          #187
                          YTD 15-10, +11.05u
                          Comment
                          • blaucoin
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 12-22-10
                            • 575

                            #188
                            Still having a great run!! Lets keep it up
                            Comment
                            • jonnyboy21
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 12-02-10
                              • 973

                              #189
                              Once again the Isles are crazy odds...should be faves imo, senators all over the place at the moment and defense is a liability.

                              The Isles will be my biggest 'dog play of the night.
                              Comment
                              • Axis
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-08-09
                                • 1255

                                #190
                                Originally posted by Axis
                                Pittsburgh +100
                                Colorado +155

                                4-1 +3.35

                                Tonight:
                                Carolina +105
                                Flyers +100


                                *Removing the Isles because they line is now dropping...they shouldn't have been a dog in the first place so...if you can get them at better odds than Ottawa...I'd take it. My book has them and -110 now so..won't be on them.

                                ** St. Louis is also no longer a play...today has been rough, and I miscalculated that line...they should have been +165 so there was no reason to play that game at +150 (in my mind)...glad someone else brought this to my attention.
                                Comment
                                • bjornbarspingvin
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 12-02-10
                                  • 39

                                  #191
                                  St louis played yesterday, both them and LA suck at the moment. 5 losses each in a row if I remember correctly, but do you really think they can beat LA tonight?

                                  I really like NSH, but I hate betting against Florida, jinxers
                                  Comment
                                  • Axis
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-08-09
                                    • 1255

                                    #192
                                    Originally posted by bjornbarspingvin
                                    St louis played yesterday, both them and LA suck at the moment. 5 losses each in a row if I remember correctly, but do you really think they can beat LA tonight?

                                    I really like NSH, but I hate betting against Florida, jinxers
                                    I feel back to back isn't as much of a factor as some people think it is...in fact, 2 of my wins since posting in this thread was betting Phoenix as a dog back to back days.

                                    There is good value in that line...I'm a big value better, as well as who I think is going to win. That line is just to good to pass up...

                                    You said it yourself...LA Kings have sucked of late...which means getting +money against them is a wonderful thing.
                                    Comment
                                    • jonnyboy21
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 12-02-10
                                      • 973

                                      #193
                                      Difficult game to call that, LA Kings really are still a good team at home despite recent woes and the Blues tend to struggle on the road.
                                      Comment
                                      • Yungmef
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 12-11-10
                                        • 49

                                        #194
                                        does anybody here have a brain?
                                        Comment
                                        • Dharmonize
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-10-10
                                          • 1991

                                          #195
                                          Not a good night yesterday. Thanx to the Pens I got my money back at least. The Blues are a disappointment. Good call on Anaheim, jonnyboy, although it was not a dog!
                                          Comment
                                          • jonnyboy21
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 12-02-10
                                            • 973

                                            #196
                                            Comment
                                            • rthoughton
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-27-09
                                              • 1992

                                              #197
                                              I really like the Rangers tonight, but might leave it alone... I was expecting them to be the S1 play in the other thread, but it looks like my Flyers are gonna get that nod.
                                              The Flyers are a definite play tonight.
                                              I also am considering NY Islanders, especially if it gets back to even money. Nashville tonight I like. And Carolina @ the Sabres. Gonna be a good bounce back game for Ward (who allowed 5 in a win last time out).

                                              YTD 15-10 +11.5u
                                              Comment
                                              • Axis
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-08-09
                                                • 1255

                                                #198
                                                ^^
                                                Agree, if the Isles game makes it back to -105 or better I'll take it.
                                                Comment
                                                • HollywoodPuck
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 01-12-11
                                                  • 9

                                                  #199
                                                  Back to Back games

                                                  Originally posted by Axis
                                                  I feel back to back isn't as much of a factor as some people think it is...in fact, 2 of my wins since posting in this thread was betting Phoenix as a dog back to back days.

                                                  There is good value in that line...I'm a big value better, as well as who I think is going to win. That line is just to good to pass up...

                                                  You said it yourself...LA Kings have sucked of late...which means getting +money against them is a wonderful thing.
                                                  Does anyone have a good website they use for statistical info like this?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Axis
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-08-09
                                                    • 1255

                                                    #200
                                                    ^^
                                                    What info are you talking about? Back to back games? Or line value?

                                                    I determine the line value myself using parameters, and then compare to the books.

                                                    As for back to back...I just look at the teams schedule that I'm interested in...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Dharmonize
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-10-10
                                                      • 1991

                                                      #201
                                                      To be honest, I don´t feel like taking anything tonight. I´m staying with the Blues only cause I´ve already bet on them twice before and would be mad if they finally came through when I pass. Also like the Preds, but no play for me.
                                                      St.Louis, 1 unit
                                                      GL with your bets, boys!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • rthoughton
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-27-09
                                                        • 1992

                                                        #202
                                                        PLAYS FOR THURSDAY JAN 13

                                                        PHILADELPHIA FLYERS +105

                                                        NASHVILLE PREDATORS +ev

                                                        CAROLINA HURRICANES +125

                                                        YTD: 15-10, +11.05u
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Dharmonize
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-10-10
                                                          • 1991

                                                          #203
                                                          GL, rthoughton! Very nice pics you´re posting with your picks. These look even better than the club logos...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • rthoughton
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-27-09
                                                            • 1992

                                                            #204
                                                            ya know, i was just thinking... when the Bruins put up 6 or whatever last outing coming off of that amazing comeback, I promised myself I would ride that hot streak... so what do I do? Go homer on the Flyers right out of the gate. They fit my S1 over there with the standings, but here, too?
                                                            oh well. here goes nothin.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Axis
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-08-09
                                                              • 1255

                                                              #205
                                                              Only Carolina and Philly tonight...was WAY off on my St. Louis line value...someone else had brought this to my attention...been a long day, and early morning when I was calculating it...holy cow.

                                                              hopefully the night improves with some wins haha
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Axis
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-08-09
                                                                • 1255

                                                                #206
                                                                Here ya go rthoughton haha:


                                                                Comment
                                                                • rthoughton
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-27-09
                                                                  • 1992

                                                                  #207
                                                                  those look like winners to me. you forgot one tho... where's my predator?
                                                                  ha.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • qsilver335
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-11-09
                                                                    • 1025

                                                                    #208
                                                                    i like Philli tonight as well, I don't think they should be a dog.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jonnyboy21
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 12-02-10
                                                                      • 973

                                                                      #209
                                                                      Damnnnnn if that Philly girl was a line, I would be pounding on it!!!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Axis
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-08-09
                                                                        • 1255

                                                                        #210

                                                                        I knew I forgot one haha
                                                                        Comment
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