Home PL Trend

[fjordo]

3 games tonight, with Anaheim in their 4th, Chicago in their 3rd, and Vancouver in their 1st.

1st game PL play:
Dec 4: Edmonton -1.5 @ +???
Dec 4: Washington -1.5 @ +140
Dec 5: Vancouver -1.5 @ +160

My plays:
Dec 4: Washington -1.5 @ +144 Risk $25
Dec 4: Los Angeles -1.5 @ +256 Risk $25
Dec 5: Vancouver -1.5 @ +165 Risk $25
Dec 5: Anaheim -1.5 @ +233 Risk $25

1st game PL wins: 21-29 (42%) +1415
PL within 2 games: 30-18 (63%) 2 pending
PL within 3 games: 34-13 (72%) 3 pending

My plays: 12-18 (40%) +$307.50

[fjordo]

Washington plays in their 2nd tonight, and Detroit is in their 1st but coming off a roadtrip.

1st game PL play:
Dec 5: Vancouver -1.5 @ +160
Dec 6: Detroit -1.5 @ +180

My plays:
Dec 5: Vancouver -1.5 @ +165 Risk $25
Dec 5: Anaheim -1.5 @ +233 Risk $25
Dec 6: Washington -1.5 @ +115 Risk $75
Dec 6: Detroit -1.5 @ +184 Risk $25

1st game PL wins: 21-30 (41%) +1315
PL within 2 games: 30-18 (63%) 2 pending
PL within 3 games: 34-13 (72%) 3 pending

My plays: 12-20 (38%) +$257.50

[fjordo]

Well not only have I hit a rough patch on my plays, but I've run into some personal unexpected expenses. I will continue to track the PL within 1, 2, and 3 games in this thread, but will only have a few more personal plays before I need to cash out and buy Christmas gifts.

1st game PL play:
Dec 6: Detroit -1.5 @ +180
Dec 7: Boston -1.5 @ +200

My plays:
Dec 6: Washington -1.5 @ +115 Risk $75
Dec 6: Detroit -1.5 @ +184 Risk $25
Dec 7: Boston -1.5 @ +207 Risk $50

1st game PL wins: 21-31 (40%) +1215
PL within 2 games: 30-19 (61%) 3 pending
PL within 3 games: 34-13 (72%) 5 pending

My plays: 12-22 (35%) +$157.50

[fjordo]

Chicago is playing in their 4th tonight, and Vancouver and Detroit play in their 2nd.

1st game PL play:
Dec 7: Boston -1.5 @ +200

My plays:
Dec 7: Boston -1.5 @ +207 Risk $50
Dec 8: Vancouver -1.5 @ +140 Risk $50
Dec 8: Detroit -1.5 @ +152 Risk $50

1st game PL wins: 21-32 (40%) +1115
PL within 2 games: 30-19 (61%) 4 pending
PL within 3 games: 34-13 (72%) 6 pending

My plays: 12-23 (34%) +$107.50

[fjordo]

Buffalo and Ottawa play in their 1st tonight, Boston in their 2nd, and Washington and LA in their 3rd.

1st game PL play:
Dec 9: Buffalo -1.5 @ +225
Dec 9: Ottawa -1.5 @ +245

My plays:
Dec 8:Vancouver -1.5 @ +140 Risk $50
Dec 8: Detroit -1.5 @ +152 Risk $50
Dec 9: Boston -1.5 @ +116 Risk $75
Dec 9: Washington -1.5 @ +128 Risk $100

1st game PL wins: 21-32 (40%) +1115
PL within 2 games: 30-22 (58%) 1 pending
PL within 3 games: 34-13 (72%) 6 pending

My plays: 12-25 (34%) +$7.50

[fjordo]

Ottawa plays in their 2nd tonight, Detroit in their 3rd, and Edmonton in their 3rd.

1st game PL play:
Dec 9:Buffalo -1.5 @ +225
Dec 9: Ottawa -1.5 @ +245

My plays:
Dec 9:Boston -1.5 @ +116 Risk $75
Dec 9:Washington -1.5 @ +128 Risk $100
Dec 10: Detroit -1.5 @ +200 Risk $50
Dec 10: Ottawa -1.5 @ +232 Risk $50

1st game PL wins: 22-33 (40%) +1240
PL within 2 games: 30-23 (57%) 2 pending
PL within 3 games: 34-15 (69%) 6 pending

My plays: 13-26 (33%) -$5.50

[fjordo]

Two 1st game plays today on New Jersey and Nashville. Buffalo covered in their 1st, and plays in their 2nd tonight. Vancouver and Boston are in their 3rd tonight, and LA and Washington are in their 4th and final.

1st game PL play:
Dec 11: New Jersey -1.5 @ +???
Dec 11: Nashville -1.5 @ +190

My plays:
Dec 10: Detroit -1.5 @ +200 Risk $50
Dec 10: Ottawa -1.5 @ +232 Risk $50
Dec 11: Washington -1.5 @ +144 Risk $100
Dec 11: Vancouver -1.5 @ +165 Risk $50
Dec 11: Los Angeles -1.5 @ +165 Risk $50

1st game PL wins: 22-33 (40%) +1240
PL within 2 games: 32-23 (58%)
PL within 3 games: 37-16 (69%) 2 pending

My plays: 14-27 (34%) +$44.50

[fjordo]

Only 1 game today, and that is Edmonton in their 4th.

1st game PL play:
Dec 11:New Jersey -1.5 @ +???
Dec 11: Nashville -1.5 @ +190

My plays:
Dec 11: Washington -1.5 @ +144 Risk $100
Dec 11: Vancouver -1.5 @ +165 Risk $50
Dec 11: Los Angeles -1.5 @ +165 Risk $50

1st game PL wins: 23-34 (40%) +1330
PL within 2 games: 33-23 (59%) 1 pending
PL within 3 games: 38-17 (69%) 2 pending

My plays: 14-30 (32%) -$155.5

[JW Cash]

good job fjordo

[fjordo]

Ottawa plays in their 3rd tonight, Nashville in their 2nd, and Calgary in their 1st.

1st game PL play:
Dec 13: Calgary -1.5 @ +225

My plays:
Dec 13: Calgary -1.5 @ +225 Risk $25
Dec 13: Nashville -1.5 @ +135 Risk $50
Dec 13: Ottawa -1.5 @ +263 Risk $25

1st game PL wins: 23-34 (40%) +1330
PL within 2 games: 33-23 (59%) 1 pending
PL within 3 games: 38-17 (69%) 2 pending

My plays: 14-30 (32%) -$155.5

[fjordo]

Only 1 homestand game today, and theat's Edmonton in their 5th. The Oilers and Leafs rarely play 1 goal games, so I'll take a shot on this one.

1st game PL play:
Dec 13: Calgary -1.5 @ +225

My plays:
Dec 13: Calgary -1.5 @ +225 Risk $25
Dec 13: Nashville -1.5 @ +135 Risk $50
Dec 13: Ottawa -1.5 @ +263 Risk $25
Dec 14: Edmonton -1.5 @ +257 Risk $25

1st game PL wins: 23-35 (40%) +1230
PL within 2 games: 33-23 (59%) 2 pending
PL within 3 games: 38-17 (69%) 3 pending

My plays: 15-32 (32%) -$138

[fjordo]

3 1st games today in Pittsburgh, Chicago, and Tampa Bay, New Jersey is in their 2nd, and Buffalo in their 3rd.

1st game PL play:
Dec 15: Pittsburgh -1.5 @ +180
Dec 15: Chicago -1.5 @ +185
Dec 15: Tampa Bay -1.5 @ +225

My plays:
Dec 14: Edmonton -1.5 @ +257 Risk $25
Dec 15: Pittsburgh -1.5 @ +193 Risk $25
Dec 15: Chicago -1.5 @ +192 Risk $25
Dec 15: Tampa Bay -1.5 @ +228 Risk $25

1st game PL wins: 23-35 (40%) +1230
PL within 2 games: 33-23 (59%) 2 pending
PL within 3 games: 38-17 (69%) 3 pending

My plays: 15-33 (31%) -$163

[fjordo]

Just awful of late. Anyways, Edmonton plays in their 6th tonight, Calgary in their 2nd, and the Islanders and Blues play in their 1st games tonight.

1st game PL play:
Dec 15: Pittsburgh -1.5 @ +180
Dec 15: Chicago -1.5 @ +185
Dec 15: Tampa Bay -1.5 @ +225
Dec 16: New York Islanders -1.5 @ +???
Dec 16: St. Louis -1.5 @ +250

My plays:
Dec 15: Pittsburgh -1.5 @ +193 Risk $25
Dec 15: Chicago -1.5 @ +192 Risk $25
Dec 15: Tampa Bay -1.5 @ +228 Risk $25
Dec 16: Calgary -1.5 @ +205 Risk $50

1st game PL wins: 23-38 (38%) +930
PL within 2 games: 34-23 (60%) 4 pending
PL within 3 games: 39-18 (68%) 4 pending

My plays: 15-36 (29%) -$238

[fjordo]

New Jersey plays in their 3rd tonight, Chicago in their 2nd, and Colorado in their 1st.

1st game PL play:
Dec 16: New York Islanders -1.5 @ +???
Dec 16: St. Louis -1.5 @ +250
Dec 17: Colorado -1.5 @ +???


My plays:
Dec 16: Calgary -1.5 @ +205 Risk $50

1st game PL wins: 24-39 (38%) +1080
PL within 2 games: 35-23 (60%) 5 pending
PL within 3 games: 40-18 (69%) 5 pending

My plays: 16-36 (31%) -$135.5

[fjordo]

Boston and Columbus, who is coming off a roadtrip, play in 1st games tonight. Tampa Bay, Islanders, and St. Louis are all in their 2nd, and Calgary plays in their 3rd.

1st game PL play:
Dec 17: Colorado -1.5 @ +???
Dec 18: Boston -1.5 @ +230
Dec 18: Columbus -1.5 @ +235


My plays:
Dec 18: Boston -1.5 @ +241 Risk $25
Dec 18: Tampa Bay -1.5 @ +226 Risk $35
Dec 18: Calgary -1.5 @ +196 Risk $35

1st game PL wins: 24-40 (38%) +980
PL within 2 games: 37-23 (62%) 4 pending
PL within 3 games: 42-18 (70%) 4 pending

My plays: 16-36 (31%) -$135.5

[fjordo]

Tonight we have Chicago in their 3rd, and Colorado in their 2nd.

1st game PL play:
Dec 18: Boston -1.5 @ +230
Dec 18: Columbus -1.5 @ +235

My plays:
Dec 18: Boston -1.5 @ +241 Risk $25
Dec 18: Tampa Bay -1.5 @ +226 Risk $35
Dec 18: Calgary -1.5 @ +196 Risk $35
Dec 19: Chicago -1.5 @ +219 Risk $25
Dec 19: Colorado -1.5 @ +237 Risk $35

1st game PL wins: 24-42 (36%) +780
PL within 2 games: 38-24 (61%) 4 pending
PL within 3 games: 43-18 (70%) 5 pending

My plays: 17-38 (31%) -$116.4

[fjordo]

Boston and Pittsburgh are in their 2nd tonight, and St. Louis and Tampa Bay are in their 3rd.

1st game PL play:

My plays:
Dec 19: Chicago -1.5 @ +219 Risk $25
Dec 19: Colorado -1.5 @ +237 Risk $35
Dec 20: Pittsburgh -1.5 @ +159 Risk $40
Dec 20: Boston -1.5 @ + 170 Risk $50
Dec 20: Tampa Bay -1.5 @ + 206 Risk $30

1st game PL wins: 24-42 (36%) +780
PL within 2 games: 38-25 (60%) 3 pending
PL within 3 games: 43-18 (70%) 5 pending

My plays: 17-40 (30%) -$176.4

[mrginandtonic]

Just found this thread, interesting stuff. I like Boston and Tampa bay tonight already; so may be I'll hammer it now. GL with your plays.

[Oilersfan]

this is very risky if you do it every night

[fjordo]

San Jose and Dallas are in their 1st games tonight, Columbus in their 2nd, and Colorado in their 3rd.

1st game PL play:
Dec 21: San Jose -1.5 @ +115
Dec 21: Dallas -1.5 @ +225

My plays:
Dec 20: Pittsburgh -1.5 @ +159 Risk $40
Dec 20: Boston -1.5 @ + 170 Risk $50
Dec 20: Tampa Bay -1.5 @ + 206 Risk $30
Dec 21: Dallas -1.5 @ +231 Risk $35
Dec 21: San Jose -1.5 @ +115 Risk $25

1st game PL wins: 24-42 (36%) +780
PL within 2 games: 39-26 (60%) 1 pending
PL within 3 games: 44-18 (71%) 4 pending

My plays: 19-41 (32%) -$101

[fjordo]

Tonight, the Islanders and Pittsburgh are in their 3rd, and Chicago is in their 4th.

1st game PL play:
Dec 21: San Jose -1.5 @ +115
Dec 21: Dallas -1.5 @ +225

My plays:
Dec 21: Dallas -1.5 @ +231 Risk $35
Dec 21: San Jose -1.5 @ +115 Risk $25
Dec 22: Pittsburgh -1.5 @ +145 Risk $40

1st game PL wins: 25-43 (37%) +905
PL within 2 games: 41-26 (61%) 1 pending
PL within 3 games: 46-19 (71%) 3 pending

My plays: 20-42 (32%) -$45.15

[fjordo]

New Jersey and St. Louis play in their 1st tonight, San Jose and Dallas are in their 2nd, Boston and Columbus in their 3rd, and Colorado in their 4th.

1st game PL play:
Dec 23: New Jersey -1.5 @ +155
Dec 23: St. Louis -1.5 @ +???

My plays:
Dec 22: Pittsburgh -1.5 @ +145 Risk $40
Dec 23: New Jersey -1.5 @ +160 Risk $30
Dec 23: Dallas -1.5 @ +196 Risk $25
Dec 23: Colorado -1.5 @ +183 Risk $35

1st game PL wins: 25-43 (37%) +905
PL within 2 games: 41-26 (61%) 1 pending
PL within 3 games: 46-20 (70%) 2 pending

My plays: 21-42 (33%) +$12.85

[PatrickBateman]

This might be a great think to help people PICK spots to play, playing anything like this blindly will always look great at first, but eventually fall apart

[fjordo]

this is very risky if you do it every night

Of course it is, but that's gambling.

This might be a great think to help people PICK spots to play, playing anything like this blindly will always look great at first, but eventually fall apart

Couldn't agree with you more, I am posting all the homestand games so if anyone is following this thread, they know who is playing, I just picked the wrong spots last night. Isn't that what we are all on here for, to help each other make more money (or at least lose less). If anyone can use any of this info in any way to help them, wicked. I wouldn't blindly bet anything, even if tailing someone. The play has to make sense to you!


A couple nights off now will be nice, hope everyone has a great holidays.

1st game PL play:
Dec 23: New Jersey -1.5 @ +155
Dec 23: St. Louis -1.5 @ +???

My plays:
Dec 23: New Jersey -1.5 @ +160 Risk $30
Dec 23: Dallas -1.5 @ +196 Risk $25
Dec 23: Colorado -1.5 @ +183 Risk $35

1st game PL wins: 25-45 (36%) +705
PL within 2 games: 42-26 (62%) 2 pending
PL within 3 games: 48-20 (71%) 2 pending

My plays: 21-45 (32%) -$77.15


Looking over my spreadsheet, here's a few facts/stats. Anything else you want to know, just ask.

If you eliminated teams coming off roadtrip, 1st game PL wins: 20-33 (38%)
If you eliminated underdogs, 1st game PL wins: 23-36 (39%)
If you eliminated teams coming off roadtrips and underdogs, 1st game PL wins: 19-26 (42%)
PL for entire homestand, not just 1st 3 games: 51-16 (76%) 3 pending
Win in entire homestand: 65-4 (94%) 1 pending
Win in 1st game: 43-27 (61%)
Win in 1st 2 games: 57-12 (83%) 1 pending
Win in 1st 3 games: 64-5 (93%) 1 pending


There haven't been more than 4 1st game PL loses in a row this year, and that 4 has only occured once. If you eliminated underdogs, or fresh off roadtrips, this number drops to 2. Only twice has there been 2 loses in a row on 1st game PLs. Maybe there is a way we can use this with some form of 'chase'. When hockey returns, I am going to try this using only my points.

[fjordo]

Welcome back everyone. Hope everyone had a great holiday. Lots of games tonight, and a few homestand games. St. Louis and New Jersey are in their 2nd tonight, Dallas is in their 3rd, and Chicago is in their 5th.

1st game PL play:
Dec 26: None

My plays:
Dec 26: New Jersey -1.5 @ +221 Risk $25
Dec 26: Dallas -1.5 @ +200 Risk $25

1st game PL wins: 25-45 (36%) +705
PL within 2 games: 42-26 (62%) 2 pending
PL within 3 games: 48-20 (71%) 2 pending

My plays: 21-45 (32%) -$77.15

[fjordo]

Welcome back everyone. Hope everyone had a great holiday. Lots of games tonight, and a few homestand games. St. Louis and New Jersey are in their 2nd tonight, Dallas is in their 3rd, and Chicago is in their 5th.

1st game PL play:
Dec 26: None

My plays:
Dec 26: New Jersey -1.5 @ +221 Risk $25
Dec 26: Dallas -1.5 @ +200 Risk $25

1st game PL wins: 25-45 (36%) +705
PL within 2 games: 42-26 (62%) 2 pending
PL within 3 games: 48-20 (71%) 2 pending

My plays: 21-45 (32%) -$77.15

Out of town, so can't update properly, or get todays plays. If I make it home in time, I will, otherwise it will have to wait until tomorrow. BOL.

[fjordo]

Made it back. I have been picking every game that doesn't win lately it seems like. Tonight there are 3 homestand games. Colorado is in their 5th, San Jose is in their 3rd, and Florida is in their 1st. Florida is an underdog though, and coming off a roadtrip. Colorado has failed to cover in their 1st 4, so I will make a play on them in their final homestand game.

1st game PL play:
Dec 27: Florida -1.5 @ +???

My plays:
Dec 26: New Jersey -1.5 @ +221 Risk $25
Dec 26: Dallas -1.5 @ +200 Risk $25
Dec 27: Colorado -1.5 @ +244 Risk $35

1st game PL wins: 25-45 (36%) +705
PL within 2 games: 43-27 (61%)
PL within 3 games: 49-20 (71%) 1 pending

My plays: 21-47 (31%) -$127.15

[fjordo]

St. Louis plays in their 3rd tonight. Edmonton and Tampa Bay both play in their 1st, and are both coming off roadtrips.

1st game PL play:
Dec 27: Florida -1.5 @ +???
Dec 28: Tampa Bay -1.5 @ +240
Dec 28: Edmonton -1.5 @ +250

My plays:
Dec 27: Colorado -1.5 @ +244 Risk $35
Dec 28: Tampa Bay -1.5 @ +248 Risk $25
Dec 28: Edmonton -1.5 @ +262 Risk $15

1st game PL wins: 25-46 (35%) +605
PL within 2 games: 43-27 (61%) 1 pending
PL within 3 games: 49-20 (71%) 2 pending

My plays: 21-48 (30%) -$162.15

[fjordo]

New Jersey is in their 3rd tonight, and Minnesota is in their 1st, as an underdog.

1st game PL play:
Dec 28: Tampa Bay -1.5 @ +240
Dec 28: Edmonton -1.5 @ +250
Dec 29: Minnesota -1.5 @ ???

My plays:
Dec 28: Tampa Bay -1.5 @ +248 Risk $25
Dec 28: Edmonton -1.5 @ +262 Risk $15
Dec 29: New Jersey -1.5 @ +282 Risk $15

1st game PL wins: 25-48 (34%) +405
PL within 2 games: 43-27 (61%) 3 pending
PL within 3 games: 49-20 (71%) 4 pending

My plays: 21-50 (30%) -$202.15

[brko]

sorry for contradicting you in your own thread, but i have fading New Jersey Devils in my autobet. my local bookie gave me yesterday +230 @ Ranger PL, i had to take it. Devils lost, before Rangers' game, 7 of then with 2 goals or more. and in the last 6 they lost all of them with 2 or more. so i would advise you to consider some filters.

[fjordo]

i would advise you to consider some filters.

Right now the only filter you need is to play the opposite of me. All kidding aside, absolutely, some filters are needed.


I have been doing just awful of late, and am going to take a break. I will have maybe a couple more plays, but for the most part I will just post the homestand games, and update the record, maybe weekly or so.


Los Angeles plays in their 1st game tonight, and Edmonton and Tampa Bay are in their 2nd.

1st game PL play:
Dec 29: Minnesota -1.5 @ ???
Dec 30: Los Angeles -1.5 @ +255

My plays:
Dec 29: New Jersey -1.5 @ +282 Risk $15
Dec 30: Tampa Bay -1.5 @ +221 Risk $30

1st game PL wins: 26-48 (35%) +705
PL within 2 games: 44-27 (62%) 3 pending
PL within 3 games: 50-21 (70%) 3 pending

My plays: 21-51 (29%) -$217.15

[fjordo]

Anaheim is in their 1st today, and coming off a roadtrip. Minnesota and Florida play in their 2nd, and St. Louis and New Jersey are in their 4th.

1st game PL play:
Los Angeles @ +255
Anaheim @ +???

My plays:
Tampa Bay -1.5 @ +221 Risk $30

1st game PL wins: 26-49 (35%) +605

My plays: 22-51 (30%) -$150.85

[fjordo]

Edmonton and Tampa Bay are in their 3rd, and Los Angeles is in their 2nd.

1st game PL play:
Anaheim @ +???

My plays:
None

1st game PL wins: 27-49 (36%) +905

My plays: 22-51 (30%) -$150.85

[fjordo]

Tonight, Colorado(underdog) and Montreal(coming off roadtrip) are in their 1st, Anaheim is in their 2nd, Minnesota and Florida are in their 3rd, and St. Louis is in their 5th.

1st game PL play:
Colorado @ +???
Montreal @ +236

My plays:
None

1st game PL wins: 27-49 (36%) +905

My plays: 22-51 (30%) -$150.85

[fjordo]

San Jose plays in their 1st tonight (coming off roadtrip), and LA is in their 3rd.

1st game PL play:
Colorado @ +???
Montreal @ +236
San Jose @ +220

My plays:
San Jose @ +221 Risk $20
LA @ +213 Risk $20

1st game PL wins: 27-51 (35%) +705

My plays: 22-51 (30%) -$150.85