Home PL Trend

[eastvan09]

With 1st gamer tomorrow: I will likely put 1 unit on Boston as payout is +200.

2nd gamer:
Edm @ Det -1.5 +110, 1-0 on homestand

3rd gamers:
Buffalo @ NYR, NYR 0-2 on homestand. (waiting for PL to come out at my book)
Phil @ Car, No PL for Car offered. Car 2-0 on homestand. PASS
NYI @ SJ -1.5 +115, 1-1 on homestand.

4 gamer:
Dal @ LA -1.5 +175, 3-0 on homestand. Any stats for 4th game of homestand?

[fjordo]

4 gamer:
Dal @ LA -1.5 +175, 3-0 on homestand. Any stats for 4th game of homestand?

Ya, off to bed though. I'll get back to you tomorrow with any info I can.

[eastvan09]

Ya, off to bed though. I'll get back to you tomorrow with any info I can.

Goodnight! Thanks, sounds good. The Kings are perfect at home so I may take them anyhow

[fjordo]

Teams are a combined 3-7 in the 4th game of a homestand, and only 2 of those covering the PL.


Nov 11:Boston -1.5 @ +210


1st game PL wins: 15-15 (50%) +1425

PL within 3 games: 20-7 (74%) 3 pending

[fjordo]

Not going to play LA or CAR tonight, as they have both covered in their homestand already. Also going to stay away from NYR because no team has covered in the 3rd game, after failing to do so in the first 2 of their homestand.

I am going to make BOS a play tonight, but only for a half unit. Reason for that is, Boston's home record is under .500, and Montreal's road record is above .500. I am also going to play Detroit PL for a half unit. I think they should cover, but this thread is mainly about 1st games of a homestand, and I missed that boat in this series.

1st game PL play:
Nov 11: Boston -1.5 @ +210

My plays:
Nov 11: Boston -1.5 @ +210 Risk $50
Nov 11: Detroit -1.5 @ +122 Risk $50


1st game PL wins: 15-15 (50%) +1425
PL within 3 games: 20-7 (74%) 3 pending

My plays: 0-0 (0%) +$0

[eastvan09]

BOL to you! I will take Boston and Detroit as well (system plays). Other overlapping plays will be for value

[eastvan09]

Where do you get those lines, 5dimes? I'm using an inferior book and want to switch to 5dimes. I played at 5dimes before.

Bruins lost 3-1.
Det winning 5-1. I'm glad I bet 2 units on the wings but i only got +110

[fjordo]

Where do you get those lines, 5dimes? I'm using an inferior book and want to switch to 5dimes. I played at 5dimes before.

I haven't used 5dimes, so I'm not sure on their lines. I use Pinnacle and Bwin, and more often than not, Pinnacle has the better lines of the two.

[fjordo]

2 homestand games today. New Jersey plays tonight in the 3rd game of a homestand, after losing the first 2, but I'm not playing this game. Interesting to see the record for a team to cover the PL in the 1st 2 games(21-9), and in 3 games(21-8). Columbus covered already, so no play on their 3rd for me.

1st game PL play:
Nov 11: Boston -1.5 @ +210

My plays:
Nov 11: Boston -1.5 @ +210 Risk $50
Nov 11: Detroit -1.5 @ +122 Risk $50


1st game PL wins: 15-16 (48%) +1325
PL within 3 games: 21-8 (72%) 2 pending

My plays: 1-1 (50%) +$11

[eastvan09]

I passed on hockey tonight.

Saturday. Montreal and Toronto in first games of their homestands. I will be taking Mtl but not Toronto. I will be fading Toronto huge.

Det and LA in later portions of long homestands.

[fjordo]

6 homestand games tonight. LA plays their 5th, and should cover, but no play from me. SJ in their 4th, and Detroit in their 3rd, both no plays for me. Boston in their 2nd, and Montreal in their 1st, will be plays for me tonight, however, Toronto in their 1st is a no play for me because they're the underdog. If anyone can get the odds for the alternate puckline on Toronto, please post it.

1st game PL play:
Nov 13: Toronto -1.5 @ +???
Nov 13: Montreal -1.5 @ +195

My plays:
Nov 13: Boston -1.5 @ +181 Risk $50
Nov 13: Montreal -1.5 @ +200 Risk $50


1st game PL wins: 15-16 (48%) +1325
PL within 2 games: 21-9 (70%) 1 pending
PL within 3 games: 21-9 (70%) 1 pending

My plays: 1-1 (50%) +$11

[beavers33]

I also put it down on Boston and Montreal -1.5. $75 each. Waiting to make my other plays tonight. Mostly to see if I'm still alive after NCAA FB today.

GO HOME TEAM PL! Good luck to us!

[fjordo]

Any plus night is a good night. Only 1 homestand game tomorrow. Rangers in their 4th vs Edmonton. I think they should cover here, but I am not going to play this game...so nothing for me tomorrow. Be back with plays for the 15th.

1st game PL play:
Nov 13: Toronto -1.5 @ +???
Nov 13: Montreal -1.5 @ +195

My plays:
Nov 13: Boston -1.5 @ +181 Risk $50
Nov 13: Montreal -1.5 @ +200 Risk $50


1st game PL wins: 16-17 (48%) +1420
PL within 2 games: 22-10 (69%) 1 pending
PL within 3 games: 22-9 (71%) 2 pending

My plays: 2-2 (50%) +$61

[fjordo]

5th game for San Jose will be a no play for me. Boston is 0-2 on their homestand, so I think they come out strong tonight, and hopefully cover in the process. That and the 2 first homestand games are plays for me tonight. I like Pittsburgh tonight, so I'm going a full unit on that, and Colorado I'm a bit iffy on, so a half unit play for me.


1st game PL play:
Nov 15: Pittsburgh -1.5 @ +165
Nov 15: Colorado -1.5 @ +255

My plays:
Nov 15: Pittsburgh -1.5 @ +169 Risk $100
Nov 15: Colorado -1.5 @ +265 Risk $50
Nov 15: Boston -1.5 @ +175 Risk $50


1st game PL wins: 16-17 (48%) +1420
PL within 2 games: 22-10 (69%) 1 pending
PL within 3 games: 22-9 (71%) 2 pending

My plays: 2-2 (50%) +$61

[fjordo]

3 homestand games tonight with Dallas on their 1st. I am going to stay away from this series, although I may play the 3rd if they don't cover in either of the first 2. Toronto and Montreal are both in their 2nd game, Montreal having covered in their 1st, and Toronto coming off a dog situation. I'm not going to play Montreal, but will make a small play on Toronto because of the friendly line.

1st game PL play:
Nov 15: Pittsburgh -1.5 @ +165
Nov 15: Colorado -1.5 @ +255
Nov 16: Dallas -1.5 @ +190

My plays:
Nov 15: Pittsburgh -1.5 @ +169 Risk $100
Nov 15: Colorado -1.5 @ +265 Risk $50
Nov 15: Boston -1.5 @ +175 Risk $50
Nov 16: Toronto -1.5 @ +260 Risk $25

1st game PL wins: 17-18 (49%) +1575
PL within 2 games: 23-10 (70%) 2 pending
PL within 3 games: 24-9 (73%) 2 pending

My plays: 4-3 (57%) +$181

[eastvan09]

i took a few days off. Now i'm an SBR Pro. Any plays Wed?

[fjordo]

Tonight there are 4 homestand games. Atlanta in their 1st, Colorado and Pittsburgh in their 2nd, and Detroit in their 4th. Colorado already covered in their 1st, so I'm not playing them tonight. I am going to stay away from Pittsburgh tonight, but if they fail to cover I will play them in their 3rd game. Detroit has already covered twice in their homestand, but I am going to make a small play on them. I am also going to make a small play on Atlanta. BOL.

1st game PL play:
Nov 16: Dallas -1.5 @ +190
Nov 17: Atlanta -1.5 @ +225

My plays:
Nov 16: Toronto -1.5 @ +260 Risk $25
Nov 17: Detroit -1.5 @ +160 Risk $25
Nov 17: Atlanta -1.5 @ +237 Risk $25

1st game PL wins: 17-19 (47%) +1475
PL within 2 games: 23-11 (68%) 2 pending
PL within 3 games: 24-9 (73%) 3 pending

My plays: 4-4 (50%) +$156

[fjordo]

No 1st game of homestands tonight. Dallas plays in their 2nd tonight, and is a no play for me. Montreal has covered twice, and I don't think they will do it 3 in a row, so no play from me on their 3rd tonight. I am going to make a small play on Toronto tonight in their 3rd, and that covers all the homestand games tonight.

1st game PL play:
Nov 17: Atlanta -1.5 @ +225

My plays:
Nov 17: Detroit -1.5 @ +160 Risk $25
Nov 17: Atlanta -1.5 @ +237 Risk $25
Nov 18: Toronto -1.5 @ +237 Risk $25

1st game PL wins: 17-20 (46%) +1375
PL within 2 games: 24-11 (69%) 2 pending
PL within 3 games: 25-9 (74%) 3 pending

My plays: 5-5 (50%) +$171

[fjordo]

If I were to make any play today it would be on Detroit in their 5th, but they have already covered 3 in a row, and the line line isn't all that great. Colorado and Pittsburgh are in their 3rd, and both having already covered, I will stay away. Atlanta is in their 2nd, but are an underdog, and I can't get an alternate PL. Anaheim and Buffalo play in their 1st game of a homestand. Anaheim has lost 3 in a row, and it is their 1st game back after a road trip. Both this and Buffalo are no plays for me today, so I guess that makes no plays for me tonight.


1st game PL play:
Nov 19: Anaheim -1.5 @ +230
Nov 19: Buffalo -1.5 @ +260

My plays:
Nov 18: Toronto -1.5 @ +237 Risk $25

1st game PL wins: 17-20 (46%) +1375
PL within 2 games: 24-12 (67%) 1 pending
PL within 3 games: 26-9 (74%) 2 pending

My plays: 6-5 (55%) +$230.25

[eastvan09]

I might bet Det again as they are cashing money for all

[fjordo]

Minnesota and Vancouver start homestand games tonight, Minnesota coming off a big win, and Vancouver coming off a roadtrip. Buffalo plays in their 2nd after covering last night. Dallas has won their first 2 at home, but have failed to cover so far, and Montreal plays in their 4th, and last at home covering twice already.

1st game PL play:
Nov 20: Vancouver -1.5 @ +190
Nov 20: Minnesota -1.5 @ +240

My plays:
Nov 20: Vancouver -1.5 @ +190 Risk $75
Nov 20: Minnesota -1.5 @ +248 Risk $25
Nov 20: Montreal -1.5 @ +185 Risk $75

1st game PL wins: 18-21 (46%) +1535
PL within 2 games: 26-12 (68%) 1 pending
PL within 3 games: 28-9 (76%) 2 pending

My plays: 6-5 (55%) +$230.25

[fjordo]

Detroit plays in their 6th and final of their homestand, Atlanta in their 3rd, and Anaheim and Vancouver in their 2nd. No 1st games tonight, but some plays I like.

1st game PL play:
Nov 20: Vancouver -1.5 @ +190
Nov 20: Minnesota -1.5 @ +240

My plays:
Nov 20: Vancouver -1.5 @ +190 Risk $75
Nov 20: Minnesota -1.5 @ +248 Risk $25
Nov 20: Montreal -1.5 @ +185 Risk $75
Nov 21: Vancouver -1.5 @ +180 Risk $25
Nov 21: Anaheim -1.5 @ +157 Risk $50
Nov 21: Atlanta -1.5 @ +155 Risk $50
Nov 21: Detroit -1.5 @ +134 Risk $25

1st game PL wins: 18-23 (44%) +1335
PL within 2 games: 26-12 (68%) 3 pending
PL within 3 games: 28-10 (74%) 3 pending

My plays: 7-7 (50%) +$269

[fjordo]

I guess a losing night had to come sooner or later. Only 1 game tonight, Florida in their 1st against Pittsburgh. I'm guessing they will be an underdog, and they are coming of a roadtrip, this will be a no play for me.

1st game PL play:
Nov 22: Florida -1.5 @ +?????

My plays:
Nov 21: Vancouver -1.5 @ +180 Risk $25
Nov 21: Anaheim -1.5 @ +157 Risk $50
Nov 21: Atlanta -1.5 @ +155 Risk $50
Nov 21: Detroit -1.5 @ +134 Risk $25

1st game PL wins: 18-23 (44%) +1335
PL within 2 games: 26-14 (65%) 1 pending
PL within 3 games: 28-10 (74%) 3 pending

My plays: 7-11 (39%) +$119

[fjordo]

No homestand games today, nice to have a day off.

1st game PL play:
Nov 22: Florida -1.5 @ +?????

My plays:

1st game PL wins: 18-24 (43%) +1235
PL within 2 games: 26-14 (65%) 2 pending
PL within 3 games: 28-10 (74%) 4 pending

My plays: 7-11 (39%) +$119

[fjordo]

Atlanta plays in their 4th tonight against Detroit. Buffalo in their 3rd against Pittsburgh, and Vancouver in their 3rd vs Colorado. Minny takes on Philly in their 2nd, and Florida takes on Boston in their 2nd. Islanders are in their 1st against Columbus. The only one of these that seems playable to me is Vancouver.

1st game PL play:
Nov 24: New York Islanders -1.5 @ +???

My plays:
Nov 24: Vancouver -1.5 @ +165 Risk $50

1st game PL wins: 18-24 (43%) +1235
PL within 2 games: 26-14 (65%) 2 pending
PL within 3 games: 28-10 (74%) 4 pending

My plays: 7-11 (39%) +$119

[fjordo]

No homestand games tonight, just a record update.

1st game PL play:
Nov 24: New York Islanders -1.5 @ +???

My plays:
Nov 24: Vancouver -1.5 @ +165 Risk $50

1st game PL wins: 18-25 (42%) +1135
PL within 2 games: 26-15 (63%) 2 pending
PL within 3 games: 29-10 (74%) 4 pending

My plays: 8-11 (42%) +$201.50

[fjordo]

Atlanta plays in their 5th, Buffalo and Vancouver in their 4th, Anaheim, Minnesota, and Florida in their 3rd, and the Islanders in their 2nd.

1st game PL play:

My plays:
Nov 26: Minnesota -1.5 @ +247 Risk $50
Nov 26: Florida -1.5 @ +271 Risk $25

1st game PL wins: 18-25 (42%) +1135
PL within 2 games: 26-15 (63%) 2 pending
PL within 3 games: 29-10 (74%) 4 pending

My plays: 8-11 (42%) +$201.50

[fjordo]

Only 1 home game tonight. Ottawa plays in their 1st against Toronto.

1st game PL play:
Nov 27: Ottawa -1.5 @ +215

My plays:
Nov 26: Minnesota -1.5 @ +247 Risk $50
Nov 26: Florida -1.5 @ +271 Risk $25
Nov 27: Ottawa -1.5 @ +220 Risk $50

1st game PL wins: 18-25 (42%) +1135
PL within 2 games: 27-16 (63%)
PL within 3 games: 31-12 (72%)

My plays: 9-12 (43%) +$300

[fjordo]

There is only 1 homestand game today, being Atlanta in their 6th. This is a no play for me.

1st game PL play:
Nov 27: Ottawa -1.5 @ +215

My plays:
Nov 27: Ottawa -1.5 @ +220 Risk $50

1st game PL wins: 19-25 (43%) +1350
PL within 2 games: 28-16 (64%)
PL within 3 games: 32-12 (73%)

My plays: 10-12 (45%) +$410

[fjordo]

2 homestand games tonight. Ottawa is in their 2nd, and Anaheim is in their 1st. I'll play Anaheim in their 2nd if they fail to cover in the 1st, but I think Ottawa warrants a play against the Oilers, even though they covered in their 1st.

1st game PL play:
Nov 29: Anaheim -1.5 @ +???

My plays:
Nov 29: Ottawa -1.5 @ +155 Risk $35

1st game PL wins: 19-25 (43%) +1350
PL within 2 games: 28-16 (64%)
PL within 3 games: 32-12 (73%)

My plays: 10-12 (45%) +$410

[fjordo]

I can't get alternate PL odds, so I will just say Anaheim was +250, and use this value, which is probably low, for future dogs.

There are 2 homestand games today, both on their 1st game. Chicago is coming off a long road trip, and I'm surprised Tampa Bay is not the favourite. Although I'm not stoked about either of these matchups, I am going to go ahead with small wagers on both.

1st game PL play:
Nov 29: Anaheim -1.5 @ +???
Nov 30: Toronto -1.5 @ +250
Nov 30: Chicago -1.5 @ +215

My plays:
Nov 29: Ottawa -1.5 @ +155 Risk $35
Nov 30: Toronto -1.5 @ +256 Risk $25
Nov 30: Chicago -1.5 @ +224 Risk $25

1st game PL wins: 20-25 (44%) +1600
PL within 2 games: 29-16 (64%)
PL within 3 games: 33-12 (73%)

My plays: 10-13 (43%) +$375

[fjordo]

Only 1 homestand game tonight, and that is Anaheim in their 2nd against Florida. Even though they covered in their 1st, I am going to make a small play on them.

1st game PL play:
Nov 30: Toronto -1.5 @ +250
Nov 30: Chicago -1.5 @ +215

My plays:
Nov 30: Toronto -1.5 @ +256 Risk $25
Nov 30: Chicago -1.5 @ +224 Risk $25
Dec 1: Anaheim -1.5 @ +206 Risk $25

1st game PL wins: 21-26 (45%) +1715
PL within 2 games: 30-16 (65%) 1 pending
PL within 3 games: 34-12 (74%) 1 pending

My plays: 11-14 (44%) +$406

[fjordo]

4 homestand games today. Islanders and Ottawa are both in their 3rd, and have both covered already, no plays for me. Toronto is in their 2nd, and I will play this one. LA is in their 1st, and I am also going to make a play on this one.

1st game PL play:
Dec 2: Los Angeles -1.5 @ +150

My plays:
Dec 1: Anaheim -1.5 @ +206 Risk $25
Dec 2: Toronto -1.5 @ +178 Risk $50
Dec 2: Los Angeles -1.5 @ +151 Risk $50

1st game PL wins: 21-26 (45%) +1715
PL within 2 games: 30-16 (65%) 1 pending
PL within 3 games: 34-12 (74%) 1 pending

My plays: 12-14 (46%) +$457.50

[fjordo]

Not a good night last night, but I'm going to take tonight off anyways. 2 homestand games today with Anaheim in their 3rd, and Chicago in their 2nd.

1st game PL play:
Dec 2: Los Angeles -1.5 @ +150

My plays:
Dec 2: Toronto -1.5 @ +178 Risk $50
Dec 2: Los Angeles -1.5 @ +151 Risk $50

1st game PL wins: 21-27 (44%) +1615
PL within 2 games: 30-17 (64%) 1 pending
PL within 3 games: 34-12 (74%) 2 pending

My plays: 12-16 (43%) +$357.50

[fjordo]

Washington and Edmonton play in their 1st games of homestands tonight. Edmonton is an underdog, and coming off a roadtrip so this will be a no play for me. Atlanta has been playing well, but I will still make a small play on Washington. Los Angeles plays in their 2nd, and hoping they can build off their last win, and catch a tired Detroit team, I will make a small play on them because of the odds. Toronto is in their 3rd as an underdog, so I can't play it, and Ottawa is in their 4th, but there is no line out yet.

1st game PL play:
Dec 4: Edmonton -1.5 @ +???
Dec 4: Washington -1.5 @ +140

My plays:
Dec 4: Washington -1.5 @ +144 Risk $25
Dec 4: Los Angeles -1.5 @ +256 Risk $25

1st game PL wins: 21-27 (44%) +1615
PL within 2 games: 30-17 (64%) 1 pending
PL within 3 games: 34-12 (74%) 2 pending

My plays: 12-16 (43%) +$357.50