doubej, I prefer to bet only over +100 at RLM and I hope %50 Winning rate. plain and simple
and I suggest you to do
Comment
doublej95
SBR Posting Legend
01-26-10
14094
#178
Yeah, I like the doggies too, but I have done well so far on small favorites.
Comment
jsund
SBR Hustler
08-16-10
92
#179
packbacker--do you have any official nhl plays for today?
Comment
jakeandba
SBR MVP
01-13-09
1033
#180
so far i see Devils, RLN and movement of +20 cents. But i will leave it to the experts
Comment
playr101
SBR MVP
01-16-10
2029
#181
hope we get some plays tonight...
-playr101
Comment
Mr. Yo
SBR Hustler
09-23-10
72
#182
Having a good weekend in CF. Would definitely like to keep the train rollin in the NHL as well.
Comment
packbacker79
Restricted User
10-09-10
96
#183
Chicago looks like the best play in hockey tonight.
Comment
jakeandba
SBR MVP
01-13-09
1033
#184
Was wondering about that line movement thanks for helping pack
Comment
Mr. Yo
SBR Hustler
09-23-10
72
#185
Yeah. I'll give that play a shot. Thanks PB
Comment
jameellionaire
SBR High Roller
09-18-10
187
#186
Chicago's not based on RLM though, is it?!
Comment
pokerwhiz90
SBR MVP
10-02-10
2618
#187
ready for tomorrow!
Comment
harry
SBR Sharp
10-15-09
273
#188
Great job guys!
Is there anyway someone can post an updated record every night of how the year has gone to date?? I'm not being lazy, it would just be good to see how the night ended and what the record is for the year so far all in one post.
Packbacker does it in the NCAAF which is great... makes it really clear!
Cheers
Comment
pokerwhiz90
SBR MVP
10-02-10
2618
#189
so are today's plays
Flyers
Canucks
??? im not really sure what the system is
Comment
Dan
SBR Sharp
09-13-07
278
#190
Originally posted by pokerwhiz90
so are today's plays
Flyers
Canucks
??? im not really sure what the system is
No those aren't RLM. The lines are moving in the manner one would expect. I don't really see any plays today so far.
Comment
jsund
SBR Hustler
08-16-10
92
#191
doublej95--you said that you were tracking nba on rlm, have you had anysuccess, and if so do you have something in nba for tonite? thanks .
Comment
doublej95
SBR Posting Legend
01-26-10
14094
#192
Originally posted by jsund
doublej95--you said that you were tracking nba on rlm, have you had anysuccess, and if so do you have something in nba for tonite? thanks .
I'm 5-2 in the NBA with RLM. Nothing as of yet with the 3 NBA games tonight. Just some small movement on the Bulls/Blazers game but not enough. Might want to keep and eye on that one closer to game time.
Comment
madness
SBR Rookie
05-25-09
28
#193
Hey Double,
Did you have that pistons/bulls RLM on Saturday....that was an all timer!
Comment
doublej95
SBR Posting Legend
01-26-10
14094
#194
Originally posted by madness
Hey Double,
Did you have that pistons/bulls RLM on Saturday....that was an all timer!
Yeah that was the biggest bunch of horse shit I have seen in a while. I really hate to say games are fixed or rigged but that one had me saying hmm....
My other loss was that night also -9 on spurs, RLM was boderline on the % I should not have played it, oh well.
Comment
Gtownguy487
SBR Wise Guy
02-21-08
539
#195
dj bulls or blazers?
Comment
doublej95
SBR Posting Legend
01-26-10
14094
#196
Originally posted by Gtownguy487
dj bulls or blazers?
Honestly man there is not enough movement on that game for me to make a play on it. The line has moved half a point at pinny with 57% on the Bulls. There won't be a play everynight, which aint a bad thing. A key to being successful at this game is not always having a play each day just to have action.
Comment
Gtownguy487
SBR Wise Guy
02-21-08
539
#197
Originally posted by doublej95
Honestly man there is not enough movement on that game for me to make a play on it. The line has moved half a point at pinny with 57% on the Bulls. There won't be a play everynight, which aint a bad thing. A key to being successful at this game is not always having a play each day just to have action.
im an addict i cant control myself haha
Comment
doublej95
SBR Posting Legend
01-26-10
14094
#198
I should have told you blackhawks then, but its to late. I liked this game when the line came out but it went back to Chicago losing some value.
Comment
Ras1112
SBR High Roller
09-04-09
241
#199
JJ95, with you again
Slow day , have some small action on Portland and Blackhawks also. Nothing to write home about just for action.
As I was saying I like to make picks as soon as I can, sometimes it works sometimes doesn't but when it does you don't have to kill yourself over that 1/2 spread point.
Comment
doublej95
SBR Posting Legend
01-26-10
14094
#200
Good Luck with your plays RAS. We should have some good games tomorrow.
Comment
Ras1112
SBR High Roller
09-04-09
241
#201
Originally posted by doublej95
Good Luck with your plays RAS. We should have some good games tomorrow.
Thanks man, lets hope u'r right
What do u think is going on with Canucks line, like they beg me to take it?
Comment
doublej95
SBR Posting Legend
01-26-10
14094
#202
Originally posted by Ras1112
Thanks man, lets hope u'r right
What do u think is going on with Canucks line, like they beg me to take it?
Devils are one of the worst teams in the league. The juice is to much for me, best of luck to you if you play it.
Comment
jakeandba
SBR MVP
01-13-09
1033
#203
Originally posted by packbacker79
I have been looking over the last few weeks and trying to identify some "rules" that will help us narrow these picks down. Once Rule that seems to hold true is that if we look for games that have at least a 20pt line move for example -120 down to -100 the odds improve significantly for ML plays.
I am going back over the games now but its something like 12-2 if you only play games using that rule. Even if the % of bets placed on the other side is low..for example 55/45. And when you see the line switch sides...i.e. -120 to +103 the odds improve significantly.
Might need help with clarification.
Chic today moved from a dog to a fav with over 20 pts movement, then the wager should be on Chic, 64% on Chic...is this correct?
2nd
Vancouver today went from -155 to -195, does this mean a wager on Vancouver? 77% on vancouver.
Comment
QuantumLeap
SBR Hall of Famer
08-22-08
6896
#204
Originally posted by doublej95
I'm 5-2 in the NBA with RLM. Nothing as of yet with the 3 NBA games tonight. Just some small movement on the Bulls/Blazers game but not enough. Might want to keep and eye on that one closer to game time.
Are you using the same 20 point movement rule for NBA that is being used in the NHL?
Comment
doublej95
SBR Posting Legend
01-26-10
14094
#205
Originally posted by QuantumLeap
Are you using the same 20 point movement rule for NBA that is being used in the NHL?
Ok, NHL it's cents, like 20 cents in line movement. Baskets, Football it's points. In the NBA I try to find 1.5 point or more in RLM. You can apply the basic football rules to basketball. I will make plays on 1 point line movements but the % needs to be high (70/30).
Comment
packbacker79
Restricted User
10-09-10
96
#206
Originally posted by jakeandba
Vancouver today went from -155 to -195, does this mean a wager on Vancouver? 77% on vancouver.
The line went up because the public is on that side. What your looking for is the public to be on Vancouver but yet the line goes from -155 to say -130.
Comment
PLAYA-PLAYA
SBR Sharp
09-11-10
356
#207
Packbacker----thanks for all the help you give us----refuse to lose----stay the "warrior"---best of luck
Comment
Ras1112
SBR High Roller
09-04-09
241
#208
Originally posted by doublej95
Devils are one of the worst teams in the league. The juice is to much for me, best of luck to you if you play it.
Not a good night, took them on pack line if comes through will pull even.
Comment
pokerwhiz90
SBR MVP
10-02-10
2618
#209
alright what are the plays for tonight?
Comment
doublej95
SBR Posting Legend
01-26-10
14094
#210
Originally posted by Ras1112
Not a good night, took them on pack line if comes through will pull even.
I hope you didn't have the devil's Puck line. I tried to warn everyone on the bull's game that there was nothing there on Portland that would warrant a play. Like I said you don't have to have action every night.