NHL Super Road Dog Chase

[skyscrapers]

This chase is similar to my MLB chase that just concluded.

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/baseball-betting/3079697-super-road-dog-chase.html

Basically we look for the road dog with the highest moneyline odds of the day between 2.00-2.99. Once we determine that team, we will play the +1.5 puckline on the dog. This will be a 3-game chase. One play per day. There may be the rare day where there will be no plays due to no road dogs or dogs not within our parameters or due to line changes. I will post a remark when the time comes. Occasionally it may require us to line watch all the way up to gametime if two or more teams have odds that are very close to each other. Odds from Pinnacle are used to determine the team but you may place bets with any book you wish.


Here are the results from the past 4 seasons...

2014-2015 (103-2) +61.39u
2013-2014 (114-4) +44.43u
2012-2013 (63-5) -50.41u <-This was the strike shortened season
2011-2012 (106-5) +14.66u

4-year total: (386-16) +70.07u

[skyscrapers]

Oct. 07 Wed.

(A) SJ +1.5 1.44

[skyscrapers]

Nice to start the year off with a win!!

(A) SJ +1.5 1.44 - WIN +1.0u

Total: (1-0) +1.0u

[skyscrapers]

Oct. 08 Thu.

(A) PHI +1.5 1.57

[skyscrapers]

(A) PHI +1.5 1.57 - WIN +1.0u

Total: (2-0) +2.0u

[skyscrapers]

Oct. 09 Fri.

(A) TOR +1.5 1.54
Missed this play today but it was a loser anyways. B bet tomorrow..

[skyscrapers]

Oct. 10 Sat.

(B) EDM +1.5 1.55

[skyscrapers]

Oct. 11 Sat.

No play

[CubsFan1908]

BOL this year skyscrapers

[skyscrapers]

Thanks Cubsfan. I took Cubs to win the series by the way. BOL...

[skyscrapers]

Oct. 12 Sun.

(C) VAN +1.5 1.56

[skyscrapers]

(C) VAN +1.5 1.56 - WIN +1u

Total: (3-0) +3u

[skyscrapers]

Oct. 13 Tue.

(A) VAN +1.5 1.53

[skyscrapers]

(A) VAN +1.5 1.53 - WIN +1u

Total: (4-0) +4u

[magnumsr35]

Anything tonight?

[skyscrapers]

Anything tonight?

Likely going to be ARI +1.5 but we still got about 3 hours to see where the line takes us.

[VeggieDog]

Tailing. Good Luck!

[skyscrapers]

Oct. 14 Wed.

(A) ARI +1.5 1.59
Good luck everyone!!

[mrk77]

checking in, good luck

[skyscrapers]

Winner winner...chicken dinner

(A) ARI +1.5 1.59 - WIN +1u


Total: (5-0) +5u

[splitH]

nice, we win

[skyscrapers]

Oct. 15 Thu.

(A) BUF +1.5 1.61

[skyscrapers]

Another win!!!
(A) BUF +1.5 1.61 - WIN +1u

Total: (6-0) +6u

[skyscrapers]

Oct. 16 Fri.

(A) COL +1.5 1.59

[splitH]

Go Avalance!

[splitH]

good work

[trobin31]

Nice when these dogs are winning outright

[skyscrapers]

Yes a lot of dogs are winning outright lately but through the backtests the +1.5 puckline chase has been more successful than a straight-up moneyline chase like in my MLB system.

(A) COL +1.5 1.59 - WIN +1u

Total: (7-0) +7u
(A) 6-1
(B) 0-1
(C) 1-0

[Trivial]

Hi there,

Just curious what the units are for A, B, C and D?

Is the criteria for a B pick the same as A?

Thanks so much.

[jwdalle]

Not To speak for skyscraper but a typical Chase Systems works like this:

1. YOU MUST decide how much money (or unit size you want to win with each bet). Example You want to $100 A game. Lets say its -110, so for game 1 (A) you bet $110 to win $100.

2. You lose game one, so game 2 (B) you bet to win the original $100 plus the $110 (A) you lost total $210. Again lets say it -110 so you bet $231 to win $210.

3. You lose game two, so game 3 (C) you bet to win the original $100 plus the $110 (A) and $231 (B) you lost. Again lets says it -110 so you bet $485.10 to win $441.

He stated that this is a 3 game chase so I assume if you lose 3 straight you absorb the losses and start over. Keep in mind that since this is a +1.5 puck line chase it will be much higher then -110.

Now I am not 100% this is how it works about 85% certain

Hopes this helps.

- Jesse

[skyscrapers]

That's exactly how it works Jesse. Thanks for the clear instructions.
Basically your B bet is to bet to win whatever you lost in A bet + 1u.
Your C bet is to bet to win whatever you lost in A+B+1u

A 3-game series lost will cost you anywhere between roughly 15-25units. Most of the losses fall somewhere in between.

[Trivial]

Thanks so much sky and jw !

That makes a lot of sense to me.

So is this a 3 game or 4 game chase?

Is the criteria for all the games the same ? Pick the highest ML dog or something?

Thanks again.

[jwdalle]

Trivial did you read the posts in this thread, specifically the first one by skyscraper? He clearly states what the criteria is.

Gotta be a little more observant here.

- Jesse

[Trivial]

Sorry. Was double checking cause I also read the MLB one so just making sure I got it (I did read it).

Thanks.

[skyscrapers]

NHL is play road dog PL on a 3-game chase.
(Remember we use the ML to determine the team.)

MLB is slightly different. Play road dog ML on a 4-game double-up chase.

Both systems we only choose from road teams with ML odds between 2.00-2.99