Hockey 2014/15

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  • FreddDS
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-29-10
    • 656

    #176
    Anything for tonight? Personally love Anaheim tonight. Great odds, back to back night for Vancouver. Kesler's return. Should be a good game!
    Comment
    • ZdenoK
      SBR MVP
      • 03-25-13
      • 1741

      #177
      Originally posted by FreddDS
      Anything for tonight? Personally love Anaheim tonight. Great odds, back to back night for Vancouver. Kesler's return. Should be a good game!
      I like Ducks as well. Despite all the absent players I think they have good chances to win tonight. Canucks have played in a similar b2b situation 3 times so far in the season where they won the first one and lost the next one. They seem to be in a better shape at the moment as they have won 9 out of last 12 matches but the looks might be deceiving and their winning sprea might die out soon. They lost vs Arizona in a huge fashion and they barely won over Edmonton, though they might have already called it a night to save for tonight. Certainly not the results I'd expect from a top team vs mediocre teams. Anaheim has lost 6 out of 9 games in November so far but when you take a closer look you can see 5 of them came in OT/SO which isn't really a surprise with their banged up roster. Canucks are worse at home so home ice advantage shouldn't be so important for them while Ducks are actually doing better on the road. Miller was in net yesterday so Lack gets a nod tonight. Anaheim goes with Andersen and I think they have good advantage in net because of that. The main story of the match is definitely return of Kesler to Vancouver where he played for 11 years. He requested to be sold since Canucks don't seem like a good contender team. I think he will be pretty fired up tonight to play his old team and show he is better without them. He is doing well in Anaheim and is probably top player right behind Getzlaf and Perry. Speaking of, Perry is back in the lineup, he played a match already and had some days off to get back on the track in a proper way and start producing again. Might be a close one but I think Ducks can win it tonight.

      Pick: Anaheim Ducks ML @ 1.826 Pinnacle 4/10
      Comment
      • ZdenoK
        SBR MVP
        • 03-25-13
        • 1741

        #178
        Crazy parlay with two teams which are heading in opposite directions than their tonight's opponents. Basically I don't really see any other advantage than motivational factor for home underdogs but I have a hunch so I'll play that for small stakes.

        Pick: Philadelphia Flyers ML & Toronto Maple Leafs ML @ 4.900 Pinnacle 1/10
        Comment
        • FreddDS
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-29-10
          • 656

          #179
          Glad to see you're with me on Anaheim! Let's get it!
          Comment
          • FreddDS
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-29-10
            • 656

            #180
            Had to sweat out the Anaheim win, but we got it! Way to go, ZdenoK!
            Comment
            • ZdenoK
              SBR MVP
              • 03-25-13
              • 1741

              #181
              Too bad Flyers couldn't get it done, they were actually a better team controlling the game for most of the match just couldn't score on Kuemper.

              Updated stats:
              Euro hockey: 20-11 +25.90 units
              NHL + AHL: 33-19 +45.12 units
              Player props: 4-1 +1.55 units
              International: 2-0 +4.08 units
              Overall: 59-31 +76.65 units

              Originally posted by FreddDS
              Had to sweat out the Anaheim win, but we got it! Way to go, ZdenoK!
              You know it's not a winner if you don't have to sweat through a shootout
              Comment
              • ZdenoK
                SBR MVP
                • 03-25-13
                • 1741

                #182
                Small play on Blue Jackets tonight. Bruins are facing Canadiens tomorrow so I think their focus is mainly on that derby rather than playing Jackets. Svedberg is probable but I think he will start today so Rask can start tomorrow. No Marchand in the offense, Chara and McQuaid are out to weaken defense... Jackets get back some injured players - Calvert and Skille, Bobrovsky will be in net. After 9 lost matches the team is slowly bouncing back and I think there is nice value in Columbus as home underdog.

                Pick: Columbus Blue Jackets ML @ 2.14 MarathonBet 3/10
                Comment
                • iloseagain
                  Restricted User
                  • 06-29-10
                  • 10682

                  #183
                  Originally posted by ZdenoK
                  Small play on Blue Jackets tonight. Bruins are facing Canadiens tomorrow so I think their focus is mainly on that derby rather than playing Jackets. Svedberg is probable but I think he will start today so Rask can start tomorrow. No Marchand in the offense, Chara and McQuaid are out to weaken defense... Jackets get back some injured players - Calvert and Skille, Bobrovsky will be in net. After 9 lost matches the team is slowly bouncing back and I think there is nice value in Columbus as home underdog.

                  Pick: Columbus Blue Jackets ML @ 2.14 MarathonBet 3/10
                  What does the 3/10 mean? Units?
                  Comment
                  • ZdenoK
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-25-13
                    • 1741

                    #184
                    Originally posted by iloseagain
                    What does the 3/10 mean? Units?
                    It's confidence level and units.
                    Comment
                    • ZdenoK
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-25-13
                      • 1741

                      #185
                      Can't win when you allow a goal from the middle of the ice (and blow 7 shootout attempts).

                      Updated stats:
                      Euro hockey: 20-11 +25.90 units
                      NHL + AHL: 33-20 +42.12 units
                      Player props: 4-1 +1.55 units
                      International: 2-0 +4.08 units
                      Overall: 59-32 +73.65 units
                      Comment
                      • youerforumsfkd
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 11-21-14
                        • 1

                        #186
                        looks like he won again and found a really interesting early play today
                        Comment
                        • ZdenoK
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-25-13
                          • 1741

                          #187
                          EBEL: Bolzano Foxes - Olimpija Ljubljana

                          Today we have a duel of two of the least efficient teams in the league and both teams are missing some players, most important is offensive players Leber, Hebar, Koren and Koblar for Olimpija. Olimpija has problems scoring but at the same time their goalie Chiodo is very solid so I don't expect to see many goals today.

                          Pick: Totals under 5.5 @ 1.85 Bet365 5/10
                          Comment
                          • ZdenoK
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-25-13
                            • 1741

                            #188
                            Originally posted by ZdenoK
                            EBEL: Bolzano Foxes - Olimpija Ljubljana

                            Today we have a duel of two of the least efficient teams in the league and both teams are missing some players, most important is offensive players Leber, Hebar, Koren and Koblar for Olimpija. Olimpija has problems scoring but at the same time their goalie Chiodo is very solid so I don't expect to see many goals today.

                            Pick: Totals under 5.5 @ 1.85 Bet365 5/10
                            3-0 with empty-netter at the end, easy $$$

                            Updated stats:
                            Euro hockey: 21-11 +30.15 units
                            NHL + AHL: 33-20 +42.12 units
                            Player props: 4-1 +1.55 units
                            International: 2-0 +4.08 units
                            Overall: 60-32 +77.90 units
                            Comment
                            • FreddDS
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 09-29-10
                              • 656

                              #189
                              Damn, missed the last play! You disappeared for a few days, then I forget to check your thread for today, and missed it!

                              Congrats though, good job!
                              Comment
                              • ZdenoK
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-25-13
                                • 1741

                                #190
                                Originally posted by FreddDS
                                Damn, missed the last play! You disappeared for a few days, then I forget to check your thread for today, and missed it!

                                Congrats though, good job!
                                Too bad you have missed it I don't post picks every day because I don't bet every day. Sometimes the day is too busy to dig into the card and sometimes I just don't like anything I see so I pass. I consider not losing money on forced plays winning as well.
                                Comment
                                • ZdenoK
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-25-13
                                  • 1741

                                  #191
                                  Colorado Avalanche - Chicago Blackhawks

                                  Banged up Avalanche is playing back-to-back and with Varlamov out Calvin Pickard will start. Colorado won 4 out of their last 5 matches but they are not convincing as they needed a huge and lucky comeback vs mediocre teams Carolina and Arizona to win in the end. Hawks are still on the roadtrip, they have lost vs Canucks but before that they won both matches which are part of this long roadtrip. They crushed Edmonton with 7-1... last year Colorado dominated mutual series with 4 victories in 5 games but this year Colorado is far from the same form so I think it will be the other way around and Chicago takes the first one. More firepower in Chicago's rested offense, I don't think Colorado can stop them tonight.

                                  Pick: Chicago Blackhawks @ 1.917 Pinnacle 4/10
                                  Comment
                                  • ZdenoK
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-25-13
                                    • 1741

                                    #192
                                    Buffalo Sabres - Winnipeg Jets

                                    Teams playing Sabres on the road usually have slow start and scoreless 1st period. Surprisingly Buffalo has won last 3 matches but their opponents weren't in good shape - Toronto; San Jose and Washington are lately struggling in mutual matches so they got the best of them. I think their winning streak will end soon. Winnipeg is a good candidate for that but they played last night in Columbus so I don't expect them to come out rocking straight away.

                                    Pick: 1st period under 1.5 @ 1.727 MarathonBet 3/10
                                    Comment
                                    • ZdenoK
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-25-13
                                      • 1741

                                      #193
                                      EBEL: HDD Telemach Olimpija Ljubljana - EC KAC

                                      Olimpija is still the worst team in the league. They mostly have troubles scoring while their goalie is good so they can usually contain losses within a reasonable margin. They have got 5/6 points in first 3 matches after the national team break but they are back to their usual form as they lost last 2 matches without scoring a goal. KAC is not in a much better form as they were on a losing streak. Their struggles are coming to me as a surprise as they had the same problems in last season so this year they made many changes in the roster and team leadership but somehow their troubles still continue. Lately they allow too many goals in their own net but they won in Znojmo on Tuesday to finally secure their first victory in November. On Friday they have a good chance to get new points as they will play vs Olimpija. Their future schedule includes playing Salzburg and Linz, two of the top EBEL teams so this match in Ljubljana can be a good motivational boost for KAC, as well as chance to secure 2 points as I doubt it can get any easier than playing vs crappy Olimpija. KAC's problems lie in defensive play but Olimpija has problems scoring so I think KAC will be able to score more than conceide. In last 3 seasons Olimpija has won only one mutual match after shootout lottery so that's 10-1 in favor of KAC.

                                      Pick: EC KAC ML @ 1.615 MarathonBet 5/10
                                      Comment
                                      • ZdenoK
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-25-13
                                        • 1741

                                        #194
                                        Originally posted by ZdenoK
                                        Pick: Jets/Sabres 1st period under 1.5 @ 1.727 MarathonBet 3/10
                                        Pick: Chicago Blackhawks @ 1.917 Pinnacle 4/10
                                        2 more winners

                                        Updated stats:
                                        Euro hockey: 21-11 +30.15 units
                                        NHL + AHL: 35-20 +47.97 units
                                        Player props: 4-1 +1.55 units
                                        International: 2-0 +4.08 units
                                        Overall: 62-32 +83.75 units
                                        Comment
                                        • ZdenoK
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-25-13
                                          • 1741

                                          #195
                                          Florida Panthers - Ottawa Senators

                                          I think Senators are in a good spot to win tonight. They are scoring more, they allow less, they have better special team units but the important factor are injuries for Panthers. Luongo got injured vs Hurricanes so Montoya will start today. While he has been a solid backup I consider him being worse than Luongo and should he play as much as Lu does, I think his percentage would be way more inconsisent. Jussi Jokinen is out, he is one of the Panthers' best players and basically the main assisting guy. Bolland and Upshall are still unavailable. Senators are going with Anderson in net. While he might have his ups and downs at the moment he seems to be in a good form and historically he is a good matchup vs Florida. Michalek and Phillips are back in the lineup so they could boost the team up a bit as well. Ottawa is a single point away from 8th place and they are holding a 2 points lead vs divisional rivals Florida so tonight's victory would count double. Panthers sure can surprise and it should be a close match but I think Senators will grab both points.

                                          Pick: Ottawa Senators ML @ 1.934 Pinnacle 5/10
                                          Comment
                                          • sebz1390
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 06-02-14
                                            • 74

                                            #196
                                            I'm back and jumping on board
                                            Comment
                                            • FreddDS
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 09-29-10
                                              • 656

                                              #197
                                              Liking the play, ZdenoK! Let's do this!
                                              Comment
                                              • ZdenoK
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-25-13
                                                • 1741

                                                #198
                                                Incredibly terrible 3rd period by Sens... did they call it a night with 2-1 lead after 2 periods (Outshot 18-4 in 3rd allowing 2 goals to lose it)? Go play pond hockey with such mentality.

                                                Seems like a Black Friday indeed Bad day overall losing both bets but such days come every once in a while.

                                                Updated stats:
                                                Euro hockey: 21-12 +25.15 units
                                                NHL + AHL: 35-21 +42.97 units
                                                Player props: 4-1 +1.55 units
                                                International: 2-0 +4.08 units
                                                Overall: 62-34 +73.75 units
                                                Last edited by ZdenoK; 11-28-14, 10:21 PM.
                                                Comment
                                                • ZdenoK
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-25-13
                                                  • 1741

                                                  #199
                                                  Montreal Canadiens - Buffalo Sabres

                                                  Montreal is due to make up for yesterday's loss. Buffalo is scoring only 1.08 goals on the road in average so I think pissed off Habs should also be able to cotain them to scoring max 2 goals tonight.

                                                  Pick: Buffalo Sabres under 2 @ 1.59 MarathonBet 4/10
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ZdenoK
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-25-13
                                                    • 1741

                                                    #200
                                                    San Jose Sharks - Anaheim Ducks

                                                    Sharks are in a slump but I think they have a chance tonight to end their losing streak. Ducks are catching up with injuries and mumps again, their defense is weakened as Beauchemin will be out for more than a month and now Stoner got ill. They allowed 27 goals in last 8 matches played. Yesterday they got crushed by Blackhawks while Sharks were free. With Stalock injured expect Niemi to start, he has won last 5 mutual matches with Ducks on home ice. Sharks are fresh so they should be powered up and if they want to avoid their longest home losing streak, they should win tonight vs banged up Ducks.

                                                    Pick: San Jose Sharks ML @ 1.80 MarathonBet 3/10
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ZdenoK
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-25-13
                                                      • 1741

                                                      #201
                                                      EBEL: Vienna Capitals - Bolzano Foxes

                                                      Since Vienna got eliminated in Champions League they have dropped the pace in EBEL as well. They have lost 4 out of 5 matches and also lost the 1st place in the league. But the lone victory has come over Bolzano on the road. Despite the bad form they had the toughest opponents in last 2 matches as they were playing Salzburg and Linz on the road, two of the toughest EBEL teams. They were pretty close in both matches so I think there is not much to worry about. Bolzano had a slow start into the season but have picked up a bit since. They are not convincing on the road though. They are playing a match today as they are on the road in Hungary and it's usually tough to play Alba Volan in their home fortitude. So they will have to travel from Hungary back to Vienna to play tomorrow and if I add some fatigue which should be present since this league is not exactly on the high professional level, I think they are a good opponent for Vienna to bounce back.

                                                      Pick: Vienna Capitals @ 1.57 Pinnacle 5/10
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ZdenoK
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-25-13
                                                        • 1741

                                                        #202
                                                        Los Angeles Kings - Chicago Blackhawks

                                                        Chicago played yesterday in Anaheim where they crushed Ducks with 4-1. They are slowly getting back in the winning pace. Tonight they will conclude the 6 matches long road trip by playing back to back in LA. Kings have shown two faces so far. At Staples Center they are at rock solid 10-2-1 while on the road one could hardly recognize them. Though they have kicked Minny's ass 2 days ago with 4-0 which came in 1st period already. Tonight it should be a pretty even match but Hawks have played yesterday and they will conclude the road trip so they should rather focus on playing divisional rivals Blues next. Kings are also one of the best home teams thus far so I think they are in a better spot to win tonight.

                                                        Pick: Los Angeles Kings ML @ 1.81 MarathonBet 3/10
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ZdenoK
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-25-13
                                                          • 1741

                                                          #203
                                                          I think Oilers will end their losing streak tomorrow vs Coyotes but tail with caution, I'm on a losing streak myself.

                                                          Pick: Edmonton Oilers ML @ 1.98 Pinnacle 5/10


                                                          Updated stats:
                                                          Euro hockey: 21-13 +20.15 units
                                                          NHL + AHL: 36-23 +38.37 units
                                                          Player props: 4-1 +1.55 units
                                                          International: 2-0 +4.08 units
                                                          Overall: 63-37 +64.15 units
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ZdenoK
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-25-13
                                                            • 1741

                                                            #204
                                                            I give up
                                                            Click image for larger version

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                                                            Comment
                                                            • mrginandtonic
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 09-11-09
                                                              • 7732

                                                              #205
                                                              Originally posted by ZdenoK
                                                              I give up
                                                              [ATTACH]75847[/ATTACH]

                                                              [ATTACH]75849[/ATTACH]
                                                              Unfvkken believable, can some one tell me that sports is not FIXED!! Damn!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • dumbfounded
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 11-25-14
                                                                • 1

                                                                #206
                                                                As always I found a way. You fukkd up the chat. Don't create with wrong password plz
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ZdenoK
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 03-25-13
                                                                  • 1741

                                                                  #207
                                                                  Originally posted by dumbfounded
                                                                  As always I found a way. You fukkd up the chat. Don't create with wrong password plz
                                                                  It's the same as always
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ZdenoK
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-25-13
                                                                    • 1741

                                                                    #208
                                                                    Let's play a game. When will the lazy bums from Edmonton win a game?

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                                                                    3.12.2014
                                                                    Edmonton Oilers ML @ 2.72 Pinnacle 5 EUR (to win 8.6 EUR)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ZdenoK
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-25-13
                                                                      • 1741

                                                                      #209
                                                                      New Jersey Devils - Chicago Blackhawks

                                                                      This is a classic mismatch as we have Chicago on one side and New Jersey on other. Blackhawks are rested and chasing 7th straight victory, they are in good form. Sharp is back in the lineup to add to the team's depth and it seems to be a spot on as he poses some sick efficiency percentages through last mutual matches against Devils. Scott Darling starts tonight. He a beast, on Saturday he only allowed one goal and tonight I don't expect any worse. Since Schneider was in net yesterday Devils will go with Keith Kinkaid, giving him the first NHL start but things don't look good for him. Chicago fires the most shots per game in average while New Jersey is second worst at it, almost doubling the number so expect some heavy pressure on Kinkaid's net. Devils also have third worst penalty killing as they allow nearly 0.9 powerplay goals per match. In contrast Blackhawks have the best penalty killing. Devils are still plagued with many injuries plus they played yesterday. Not looking good for their old roster. They actually managed to beat Hurricanes last night BUT they were outshot and they were lucky Carolina was even worse than them. Anything else than clear Chicago victory tonight would be a huge shock to me.

                                                                      Pick 1: Chicago Blackhawks @ 1.847 Pinnacle 6/10
                                                                      Pick 2: Chicago Blackhawks -1.5 @ 2.52 Pinnacle 2/10
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • TheJettylife
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 05-02-12
                                                                        • 171

                                                                        #210
                                                                        really enjoy your write ups. Thanks
                                                                        Comment
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