yeah Joe05ca picks are ML
Calmeat's NHL 2013-2014
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calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#106Comment -
Joe05caSBR Sharp
- 06-21-13
- 450
#107Thanks.Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#108uhh ridiculouis i knew it was gonna happen once i started loading up the plays that today would be the day it turns and turns ugly.... Well hoping the next days get betterComment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#109on a side note the player props 3-1 and would have went 4-0 if LAK game didnt go to OT.Comment -
RumplebeanskinSBR High Roller
- 11-13-13
- 203
#110Just signed up so first post!
Been tailing your bets for 2/3 few weeks now, really appreciate the work you put in to what you do. The angle appeals to me with it being statistical, it's numbers and comparable figures. As last night showed though, numbers don't always work out
Just wanted to say thanks, and to say that last night was just a blip.
COL 34-28
WSH 34-27
NYR 35-28
MTL 29-45
ANA 34-25
DET 43-21
OTT 24-31
STL 39-19
NYI 33-33
Some pretty wonky shot totals going on there for teams that still got handed a loss, thought it's not a be all and end all stat. That won't happen very often. Montreal and Ottawa really surprised me, and simply got outplayed. Any given night tho, right?
Keep going, and thanks again. Gotta get bitten at some point, we'll have our fun the rest of the week! That 90% win for 70% or higher games had to come down at some point.Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#111Hey Rumple welcome sorry your first post comes on the heals of such a bad night. Hopefully it will go back to its winning ways. Its funny i think im more pissed because i told myself not to play early week games heavy (seems later in the week teams perform as expected) and of course i did.Comment -
RumplebeanskinSBR High Roller
- 11-13-13
- 203
#112I think that's human nature. Would you be regretting putting so much on if the form book had been correct and you were sat on a big win this morning?
Always seems a bad idea when you lose.
Onwards and Upwards!!Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
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calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#114So some more player props to see how they do
Total shots on goal in the game - Sidney Crosby (PIT)
4(-140)under
Total shots on goal in the game - David Perron (EDM)
4 (-140)under
Total shots on goal in the game - Mark Arcobello (EDM)
2(EVEN)underComment -
RumplebeanskinSBR High Roller
- 11-13-13
- 203
#115And the 70% game winner percentage keeps on dropping!
Returning to the norm I think, 90% was pretty high and 84% is still pretty high.
Killed my 3 team parlay tho, stupid PenguinsComment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#116
Yeah i actually stayed away from that game and only took DAL. Im gonna have to be picky with my actual plays until BR recovers. Philly always plays PIT very well at PIT.Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
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RumplebeanskinSBR High Roller
- 11-13-13
- 203
#118Took Blues, Hawks, Bruins as predicted below, added in Sharks and now I'm mad I didn't back it harder!!
Especially after how hard I tailed Tuesday when I lost out
Still, back to Evens, bring on tonight, finish the working week strong!Comment -
imarkpSBR High Roller
- 10-05-12
- 233
#119anyone, what's a good book to use in usa for hockey? tired of getting crap 3 way lines. can't believe lak came back. on the other side ana gets romped.... bet chi and bos in reg. ml was too high on those 2. don't like going past -150. do you have a cutoff number on ml bets?Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#120Hey Rumple i know what you mean. I always seem to do that, i bet small and safe and then the one time when i feel real good i back it harder and it looses, drives me nuts.
@imarkp
I use 5dimes for everything but im considering placing some in bovada i have to see how the lines compareComment -
RumplebeanskinSBR High Roller
- 11-13-13
- 203
#121Interested to see what your stats look like today. Thinking about dropping a significantly bigger bet than usual on someone, or maybe a 2 team parlay. Probably Wild, maybe Pitts. Can probably get evens on those 2 combined.
Leafs, Kings, Habs, Bruins, Sharks all road favourites, so could be some fun ways to go tonight.Comment -
SUNDOGGSBR High Roller
- 11-12-13
- 177
#122Going big on pitts -1.5 12.5 units. all that fire power gets it going tonight!
like minn in regulation tonight with the U.
BOLComment -
imarkpSBR High Roller
- 10-05-12
- 233
#123just checked 5dimes they don't have 3 way lines. hmm how do you bet a game in reg then?Comment -
SUNDOGGSBR High Roller
- 11-12-13
- 177
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imarkpSBR High Roller
- 10-05-12
- 233
#126sorry cal, checked site couldn't find them. now I see.....called 5 dimes earlier and rep. had no idea what i was talking about. checked bovada too and didn't see them posted either. thought maybe it was too early. the book I use now doesn't post 3 way until around 3pm. thxComment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#127W L % $ W L % Gold 22 14 61.11% $81.5 ML 139 90 60.70% Silver 26 25 50.98% -$14.5 O/U 39 29 57.35% Bronze 24 20 54.55% $3.73 ML reg 116 27 81.12%
Game Win%
W L % 50 24 15 61.54% 55 32 25 56.14% 60 30 27 52.63% 65 27 16 62.79% 70 27 6 81.82%
ConsensusTOR42 25 62.69%
ANA (carefull with players out)
PIT
BOS
MIN
WPG
SJSComment -
PuckItSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-11-12
- 9416
#128how are u doing the dailyfaceoff predictions? Was that your page way back when?Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#129It was Jeff Tay who was doing them I helped him automate his system then last year he gave the system to run since he had other things he wanted to do.Comment -
PuckItSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-11-12
- 9416
#130How have your results been so far?Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#131Game Win%W L % $ W L % Gold 22 15 59.46% $70.5 ML 145 94 60.67% Silver 27 26 50.94% -$15.25 O/U 40 29 57.97% Bronze 25 20 55.56% $2.98 ML reg 120 29 80.54%
W L % 50 25 15 62.50% 55 33 25 56.90% 60 31 29 51.67% 65 28 18 60.87% 70 29 6 82.86%
ConsensusTOR46 28 62.16%
CHI
STL
COL
CGYComment -
PuckItSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-11-12
- 9416
#132TOR
CHI
STL
COL
CGY
So you are playing these ML's?Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#133Hey puckIt sorry was out most of day and didnt get a chance to respond. So I ended up playing CHI STL and DET. What i wanted to do then switched it was to play TOR CHI STL. TOR was such a lock tonight not sure why i didnt pull the trigger on it.
Any way we are working on getting the same format in my sheet to replicate what was shown on dailyfaceoff.
Do you guys want me to just post the info including records or still do consensus and my picks?Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#134
Thanks mitch for the pts.
game win%W L % $ W L % Gold 22 15 59.46% $70.5 ML 148 99 59.92% Silver 29 28 50.88% -$13 O/U 41 31 56.94% Bronze 25 21 54.35% $0.23 ML reg 123 29 80.92%
ConsensusW L % 50 26 16 61.90% 55 33 27 55.00% 60 32 30 51.61% 65 28 18 60.87% 70 30 7 81.08% STL48 31 60.76%
NYR
CHI
MIN - im really liking this game.Comment -
RumplebeanskinSBR High Roller
- 11-13-13
- 203
#135I personally like the stats to see how the picks are panning out with the various win percentages.
How do you work out the consensus picks that you post? Only teams above a certain win percentage?Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#136
Consensus picks are the Game win % games in the Binary system (what i post) and my original system that uses overall team home/away stats.
Hopefully tonight we will be abel to start showing some more stats.
Here is the original setup
Comment -
RumplebeanskinSBR High Roller
- 11-13-13
- 203
#137I like it, nice write up.
I see there is an energy, or rest stat on the link. Is that something that doesn't get included now or was it built in to a different stat that is still used?
I think it's a pretty useful aspect to consider is all. If you think that yesterday St Louis were 65% to beat Washington, but St Louis were coming off a solid game with Carolina, then they had to travel to Washington that night. The Caps didn't play on the 16th, and subsequently beat St Louis on the 17th 4-1. Granted it was a pretty slanted result (47 shots to 20 in STL favour), but still, not easy playing on your home ice then on the road the following day.Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#138i believe it does get factored in ill have to check with jeff though to confirm. We got some extra stats included now so ill post them today.Comment -
imarkpSBR High Roller
- 10-05-12
- 233
#139opened acct at 5 dimes the other day. better 3 way lines than I was getting. checked out bovada but they don't have 3 way lines everyday. thx. how do I send pts?Comment -
calmeatSBR MVP
- 05-04-11
- 1678
#140
to send points you can just click the little give pts icon (next to the thumbs up) on the bottom of one of my posts.Comment
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