2013 NHL Picks

[Huckleberry Pig]

make that 2-0!

[Huckleberry Pig]

jeeze you could hear a pen drop in here... whats up lads

[cotes17]

Sorry man not at a comp lol good game for the habs so far though. Really doninating the leafs, let's hope it keeps up

[Seeing Stars]

Couldn't take either one, thankfully because I would've picked dog ....the one that needs to be shot

[Huckleberry Pig]

thought for sure I'd hit the Over with the quick start by philly, figured the Caps would put in more than a goal... won the ML though and should have gone with that trend and lean I had of the PL but oh well. A somehwhat disappointing 1-1 tonight but it could be worse. Hopefully the rest of the night goes better.

Good to see that I got a W from a trend on my spreadsheet though!

[Huckleberry Pig]

Kings look tired. Though Detroit started out like this vs the Blues a few days ago then gave up a lot of goals in the 2nd and 3rd

[Huckleberry Pig]

Looking good in the Ducks game, not so good in the Kings game

[Chaosiam]

Chao, I miss your insight, you were rolling for awhile....

Backup goalie for LA tonight

I am just hesitant on WAS, B2B and Philly better at home but it is the Flyboys.....still thinking OVER.

Oh I´m getting ready for action. Getting my mojo back!

[Chaosiam]

LA also looking good! 5 minutes left and LA scores 2-1!

[Seeing Stars]

LA also looking good! 5 minutes left and LA scores 2-1!

Got a push out of LA, didnt't think that was going to happen for 2 periods...

ended day at 2-1-1....better than losing

STARS activated Lehtonen, he'll be in goal against EDM, who the STARS absolutely own...

Chao, did you notice, I wore my boots to Toronto tonight and the HABS won

[Seeing Stars]

Looking good in the Ducks game, not so good in the Kings game

Huck, I didn't see the Philly game but you said every one was on the OVER, I looked but couldn't find what you saw, end result... A LOSS. Its one of the best betting rules out there, the success is uncanny but it needs to be unanimous or overwhelming tilted to one side. And then FADE IT, and cash out.

Earlier this week I cashed on BUFF and FLA ML's based only on this rule.

[Kpn]

Meh Ducks were also unanimous + Habs and they both covered PL easy, the only 'lock' that blew today was philly/wash over which statistically speaking was the best play of the day, so 2/3 on expected outcomes today isn't bad. I think it's more anecdotal, we tend to obsess on a major upset as opposed to the others that go as planned

[cotes17]

Yesterday

2-2 +$25

Ytd: 118-121-6 +$1,145.40

[cotes17]

Who we liking today guys

[Jones10]

Who we liking today guys

Already locked in NJ tonight

[cotes17]

Already locked in NJ tonight

I'm scared to do NJ without brodeur. Got screwed twice on them without him so far

[Seeing Stars]

Who we liking today guys

This is the end of the point streak, STL WINS

Leans, nothing bet yet

DAL -ML, -1, or 1/2

SJ ML

[Jones10]

I'm scared to do NJ without brodeur. Got screwed twice on them without him so far

Feeling Moose to have a solid game in net, He's 7-3 vs the jets in his career & his GAA & save % are better on the road. Good old fashion 3-1 solid D game from the devils

[Seeing Stars]

I'm scared to do NJ without brodeur. Got screwed twice on them without him so far

Hedberg in goal, burned me twice too, a 3rd would make me an even bigger fool

[cotes17]

In liking rangers and Boston

[Huckleberry Pig]

Official Picks 2/27/13:

Capitals @ Flyers, Flyers ML (-145) - teams on the second leg of a B2B coming off a home win are 4-12 on the road in the second game. out of those 12 losses, 9 have come by two goals or more. The Capitals are 1-1 in the second leg of a B2B but are 0-1 on the road. I like the Flyers to take this one. Odds are in their favor and they are at home. Think they will be motivated as they do not want to go 1-3 in their four-game home stand. Also, though the Capitals have been playing better lately, they are only 2-6 on the road.

Captials @ Flyers, Over 5.5 (-130) - The last 5 Flyers games have gone Over. Three of the last 6 Capitals games have gone Over. The Capitals have only had one road game all year stay under 5 goals and have gone over 5 goals four out of eight games. Also, the Over is 20-8-3 in their last 31 matchups. I think this will be a high scoring match.

Predators @ Ducks, Ducks ML (-130) - Think this is pretty good value here. Ducks are 6-1 at home, including their last 6. They beat the Predators there earlier in the season when it was the 2nd leg of a B2B. Think they will beat them here with a days rest. The Preds have been playing somewhat poor as of late, losing 4 of their last 6 including their last 3 road games. I like the Ducks at home here against a struggling Predators team.

Predators @ Ducks, Over 5 (+105) - Not as confident in this one as I am the Ducks pick but I do like the odds here at +105. Ducks are one of the highest scoring teams in the league while the Predators have been a mess on Defense lately, giving up 8 goals in their last 2 games. The Preds have also given up 10 goals in their last two road games. Liking the Over.

Redwings @ Kings, Kings PL (+200) - Quite a bit of juice on the ML for the Kings, but a nice payout on the PL which has gone 4-0 in their last 4 games. Kings are playing extremely well as of late and I look for this to continue against the Red Wings. Red Wings are coming off 2 straight wins but have only won 2 games on the road all year. I like the hot team here.

Redwings @ Kings, Over 5 (-115) - Kings have scored 23 over their last 7 while the Redwings have scored 12 in their last 2. Kings have been solid on Defense but with a Detroit team that has scored quite a few goals lately I like the Over here for at least a Push.


Don't like betting the Flyers, but screw it... taking them here

3-3 on the night, 15-10 in my last four days. Still can't believe the Flyers Over didn't hit, if I had the opportunity to bet it again I'd still take it. Even though the score was 4-1 there were quite a few missed opportunities left on the ice by both teams. Got a little confident in the Kings by taking the PL and it cost me, but that ML was so juiced and lets be honest, Detroit probably deserved that win so I whiffed on that game anyways. Nailed the Ducks game. Will take the even record on the night.

[Huckleberry Pig]

Meh Ducks were also unanimous + Habs and they both covered PL easy, the only 'lock' that blew today was philly/wash over which statistically speaking was the best play of the day, so 2/3 on expected outcomes today isn't bad. I think it's more anecdotal, we tend to obsess on a major upset as opposed to the others that go as planned

well said

[Huckleberry Pig]

Here is the updated spreadsheet, as always one is by team and the other by date. The two games tonight with teams on the 2nd leg of a BTB are the Leafs @ Islanders and the Redwings @ Sharks (highlighted in red). I have outlined the significant boxes pertaining to each game in each team's colors (blue for leafs and red for redwings). I'll post early leans in a few

2-28 BTB by Date.pdf - by date

2-28 BTB by Team.pdf - by team

[Huckleberry Pig]

First lean:

Maple Leafs @ Islanders, Maple Leafs ML (+115) - Believe it or not I actually like the Leafs here on the 2nd leg of a B2B. They are 1-2 on the second leg but their one win was after a home loss. They also played a good Montreal team close into the 3rd period and missed on some opportunities to score. The Leafs are 8-4 on the road while the Islanders are 2-8 at home. Reimer should be back in net for the Leafs and I think they revenge the let-down loss from last night against a subpar team. EDIT** didn't realize this will be the Leafs 3rd game in 4 days... up in the air on this.

Maple Leafs @ Islanders, Over 5.5 (even) - Reimer should be back in goal tonight for the Leafs but he has been out a while and could be rusty, plus the Leafs are going to be a bit tired from last night. 4 out of the Islanders last 5 home games have gone Over while the last two Toronto games have gone over and 2 of their last 3 road games have gone Over. Also, out of the Leafs back end of B2B games, 2 of 3 have hit the Over. I'm going with the Over tonight.

[Huckleberry Pig]

Second Lean:

Oilers @ Stars, Oilers ML (+130) - Stars are playing their 3rd game in 4 days, the last two of which went into overtime. Oilers are coming off a tough loss at the Blackhawks but played extremely well in that game. I think this will be a let-down spot for the Stars. The Stars also just traded their team leading points leader and will be getting Ryder, but I think it will take a few games for the chemistry to form. Stars have lost their last 2-3 at home and don't have a great home-ice advantage. The Oilers have had two days rest and will be getting Hall back from a 2 game suspension. I like the Oilers here.

Oilers @ Stars, Under 5 (+115) - I know the 6 of the last 7 Stars games have hit the Over, but all those have been without Lehtonen in net. Only 3 Oilers games have gone Over 5 goals all season (including 12 of the last 13), only one of those coming on the road. The Oilers just held the Blackhawks to 3 goals and I think will lock down on Dallas tonight. I think the Stars will be tired and will have trouble scoring while the Oilers just aren't a great scoring team at all. I'm liking the Under.

[cotes17]

First lean:

Maple Leafs @ Islanders, Maple Leafs ML (+115) - Believe it or not I actually like the Leafs here on the 2nd leg of a B2B. They are 1-2 on the second leg but their one win was after a home loss. They also played a good Montreal team close into the 3rd period and missed on some opportunities to score. The Leafs are 8-4 on the road while the Islanders are 2-8 at home. Reimer should be back in net for the Leafs and I think they revenge the let-down loss from last night against a subpar team. EDIT** didn't realize this will be the Leafs 3rd game in 4 days... up in the air on this.

Maple Leafs @ Islanders, Over 5.5 (even) - Reimer should be back in goal tonight for the Leafs but he has been out a while and could be rusty, plus the Leafs are going to be a bit tired from last night. 4 out of the Islanders last 5 home games have gone Over while the last two Toronto games have gone over and 2 of their last 3 road games have gone Over. Also, out of the Leafs back end of B2B games, 2 of 3 have hit the Over. I'm going with the Over tonight.

I was looking at the leafs and over too. Would hate for the leafs to screw me over again but after getting embarrassed last night maybe it's motivation for them

[Huckleberry Pig]

Third and final lean:

Penguins @ Hurricanes, Penguins PL (+210) - The Pens have the 3rd best PP in the league, the Canes have the 6th worst PPK in the league. The Pens have been playing well lately and I think they look to comeback strong against the Canes. Pens are 8-3 on the road while the Canes are 3-4 at home. 9 of the last 10 wins for the Pens have been by 2 goals or more. If you think they will win, odds are it will be by 2 or more. I like them to win here against a somewhat banged up Canes team.

Penguins @ Hurricanes, Over 5.5 (-120) - Again, one of the best PP teams vs a subpar PPK team. Canes have actually been solid on the Penalty Kill in the last 5 games (allowing only one goal) but the Pens have had at least one PP goal in their last 12 games and I expect at least one tonight. Pens have scored 21 goals in the last 5 games while the Canes have allowed 17 goals in their last 5 games. Pens have also allowed 16 goals in the last 5 games. I like this one to go Over.

[Chaosiam]

Got a push out of LA, didnt't think that was going to happen for 2 periods...

ended day at 2-1-1....better than losing

STARS activated Lehtonen, he'll be in goal against EDM, who the STARS absolutely own...

Chao, did you notice, I wore my boots to Toronto tonight and the HABS won

Haha make sure you use those boots again today! I did yesterday little bet against myself. I took
Detroit ml
Anaheim ml
Caps ml
Habs ml

So these bets was 2-2.

But because I like Hucks good input to this thread and I had little regret about my bets I made earlier, I made parlay:
Philly ml
Anaheim ml
Habs ml
LA ml

CHA CHINGGGG!!

Nice day yesterday I´d say

[Chaosiam]

I like today

Boston ml / regulation (regulation to get some value)
Toronto ml +110

Stars! What would think about parlay like the one you did few days ago? Something like
Chicago +1.5
Detroit +1.5
And 1 or 2 games more?

I have to do some research to tell more of my thoughts...

[Huckleberry Pig]

Haha make sure you use those boots again today! I did yesterday little bet against myself. I took
Detroit ml
Anaheim ml
Caps ml
Habs ml

So these bets was 2-2.

But because I like Hucks good input to this thread and I had little regret about my bets I made earlier, I made parlay:
Philly ml
Anaheim ml
Habs ml
LA ml

CHA CHINGGGG!!

Nice day yesterday I´d say

glad my input could be of some use!

[Huckleberry Pig]

Picks for 2/28/13:

Senators @ Bruins, Under 5 (even) - I'm replacing the Leafs/Islanders ML pick with this one since I couldn't get a good feel for that one. The Senators have had one game go over 5 goals in the last 10 games and that one game was the second leg of a B2B on the road against the Penguins. Also, the Senators have only had 4 games go over 5 goals all year, 3 of those games were on the second leg of a B2B. They are coming off of two days rest. The Senators have also had trouble scoring this year and they are going up against a very stingy Bruins D that has only given up 6 goals in the last 4 games. With two strong D's and only one strong O I'm taking the Under.

Maple Leafs @ Islanders, Over 5.5 (even) - Reimer should be back in goal tonight for the Leafs but he has been out a while and could be rusty, plus the Leafs are going to be a bit tired from last night. 4 out of the Islanders last 5 home games have gone Over while the last two Toronto games have gone over and 2 of their last 3 road games have gone Over. Also, out of the Leafs back end of B2B games, 2 of 3 have hit the Over. I'm going with the Over tonight.

Oilers @ Stars, Oilers ML (+130) - Stars are playing their 3rd game in 4 days, the last two of which went into overtime. Oilers are coming off a tough loss at the Blackhawks but played extremely well in that game. I think this will be a let-down spot for the Stars. The Stars also just traded their team leading points leader and will be getting Ryder, but I think it will take a few games for the chemistry to form. Stars have lost their last 2-3 at home and don't have a great home-ice advantage. The Oilers have had two days rest and will be getting Hall back from a 2 game suspension. I like the Oilers here.

Oilers @ Stars, Under 5 (+115) - I know the 6 of the last 7 Stars games have hit the Over, but all those have been without Lehtonen in net. Only 3 Oilers games have gone Over 5 goals all season (including 12 of the last 13), only one of those coming on the road. The Oilers just held the Blackhawks to 3 goals and I think will lock down on Dallas tonight. I think the Stars will be tired and will have trouble scoring while the Oilers just aren't a great scoring team at all. I'm liking the Under.

Penguins @ Hurricanes, Penguins PL (+210) - The Pens have the 3rd best PP in the league, the Canes have the 6th worst PPK in the league. The Pens have been playing well lately and I think they look to comeback strong against the Canes. Pens are 8-3 on the road while the Canes are 3-4 at home. 9 of the last 10 wins for the Pens have been by 2 goals or more. If you think they will win, odds are it will be by 2 or more. I like them to win here against a somewhat banged up Canes team.

Penguins @ Hurricanes, Over 5.5 (-120) - Again, one of the best PP teams vs a subpar PPK team. Canes have actually been solid on the Penalty Kill in the last 5 games (allowing only one goal) but the Pens have had at least one PP goal in their last 12 games and I expect at least one tonight. Pens have scored 21 goals in the last 5 games while the Canes have allowed 17 goals in their last 5 games. Pens have also allowed 16 goals in the last 5 games. I like this one to go Over.


GL gents!

[cotes17]

Today

Leafs ml +125 $100 to win $125
Leafs/NYI O5.5 -103 $103 to win $100
Rangers -1 +126 $100 to win $126
Pens -1.5 +223 $100 to win $223
Pens/Car O5.5 -105 $105 to win $100

[Chaosiam]

Todays picks:
Toronto ml
Boston regulation
Phoenix ml
Detroit ml (?) ( I like the value but Gustavsson in the Det net doesent feel right)
I like Hucks input but I cant follow with the Oilers ml. Kari Lehtonen starts in DAL net and I believe they going to nail this one->
Dallas ml
Jets ml

[Huckleberry Pig]

Any chance to hit the jackpot guys ?

always a chance, GL!

[Derp]

Hey guys looks like everyone's getting their picks in early today. I'm on:

NJ ML -105 2U
BUF ML EV 2U
TOR ML +125 1U
TB ML +125 1U

BOL!