2013 NHL Picks

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  • Derp
    SBR High Roller
    • 04-20-12
    • 102

    #1751
    Hey guys, here's what I've done so far 1U each:

    DAL ML +145 - I'm thinking that Rinne and the team is starting to wear down a bit as demonstrated by Saturday's loss to DET. Good time to get big value on DAL.
    EDM ML +160 - I might be throwing money away here but Edm is a young club with the ability to pour it on. As someone else noticed CHI only managed to put up 1 goal against CLB. Taking a shot!
    ANA ML +125 - Just as Cotes predicted the line has dropped on ANA significantly. I rode the LAK mini-streak last weak but I think ANA is good value against a division rival.

    I'm just not sure about these other games and one lesson I learned last week was that betting the board every night is a losing proposition. Ottawa has been awesome at home this season even all banged up, is this a trend that will continue or will a dominant Mtl team be the one to break it.
    TOR is a decent dog value tonight and have been great on the road but the question is which Philly team will show up?
    Comment
    • Derp
      SBR High Roller
      • 04-20-12
      • 102

      #1752
      Bishop is starting for OTT tonight, can he carry the great play of C.Anderson? Philly hasn't been great this year but they have been winning at home. Between the 2 I think I like Mtl chances better even laying some juice.
      Comment
      • Kpn
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 01-29-13
        • 842

        #1753
        Feel free to look at my earlier posts for all the stats and trends Derp I covered almost every question you can ask about the matchups on paper
        Comment
        • Kpn
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-29-13
          • 842

          #1754
          Originally posted by Seeing Stars
          funny, I go to bed with those influences, sux sometimes, can't sleep
          I find a large range of emotions happen during a betting day, I'm a very un-emotional pragmatic type so it's quite the difference in how I operate, this is my only vice I'm very disciplined/regimented in almost every other way. It makes every minute of the night interesting for sure, the only downside is it tends to distract while doing other things (which can drive the GF nuts when I keep checking scores or trying to beat system with a quick live bet lol).
          Comment
          • cotes17
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-24-09
            • 5228

            #1755
            Here's my plays for today guy. Ill add more if I see anything I really like

            Habs ml -113 $113 to win $100
            Anaheim ml +132 $100 to win $132
            Leafs/Philly O5.5 -111 $111 to win $100

            GL everyone
            Comment
            • Derp
              SBR High Roller
              • 04-20-12
              • 102

              #1756
              Originally posted by Kpn
              Feel free to look at my earlier posts for all the stats and trends Derp I covered almost every question you can ask about the matchups on paper
              I appreciate the info and the effort. Some of those stats can certainly be useful however I tend to disregard extended trends that go back to last year or even further. Take Mtl road record which was listed at 4-9 or something like that yet this year they have been awesome on the road going 4-1-1 and I expect that current trend to continue.

              After considering the Mtl/Ott matchup I put down a 2U bet on Mtl ML mainly because I expect to see a break in some trends. OTT home record 8-1-2 seems inflated to me and their 4 game win streak seems about due to come to an end. I don't see this Ott team 9-1-2@home after winning 5 in a row. Generally speaking it seems most NHL streaks top out at 3-4 before the team gets a W or L. Mtl could be a cup contender this year and will bring a strong game tonight.
              Comment
              • Derp
                SBR High Roller
                • 04-20-12
                • 102

                #1757
                I like that leafs/philly over bet Cotes! GL!
                Comment
                • Kpn
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 01-29-13
                  • 842

                  #1758
                  Originally posted by Derp
                  I appreciate the info and the effort. Some of those stats can certainly be useful however I tend to disregard extended trends that go back to last year or even further. Take Mtl road record which was listed at 4-9 or something like that yet this year they have been awesome on the road going 4-1-1 and I expect that current trend to continue.

                  After considering the Mtl/Ott matchup I put down a 2U bet on Mtl ML mainly because I expect to see a break in some trends. OTT home record 8-1-2 seems inflated to me and their 4 game win streak seems about due to come to an end. I don't see this Ott team 9-1-2@home after winning 5 in a row. Generally speaking it seems most NHL streaks top out at 3-4 before the team gets a W or L. Mtl could be a cup contender this year and will bring a strong game tonight.
                  I completely agree, why after the stats I said:
                  "So best play of course is the Under followed by Ottawa Under 2.5 Goals then Montreal to end Ottawa's lopsided winning streak in the ML."
                  We're on the same page which hopefully is a good thing
                  Comment
                  • cotes17
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-24-09
                    • 5228

                    #1759
                    Originally posted by Derp
                    I like that leafs/philly over bet Cotes! GL!
                    Thanks man and I agree with mtl cup contenders!! Well that's what I'm hoping for anyways lol
                    Comment
                    • rustie
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 11-23-12
                      • 358

                      #1760
                      Hey guys still treading water here , 1-1-1 yesterday

                      Not a lot to choose from today so just going with

                      Chi -1 1.952

                      Chi - .05 1.926

                      May also add a small wager on Mon to stop Ott win streak as well as a small amount on the Grand salami under.

                      Best of luck everyone.

                      Cheers
                      Comment
                      • Huckleberry Pig
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-07-13
                        • 2564

                        #1761
                        Well guys, had to go to jury duty this morning, thought i'd be off by noon and have the rest of the day off. was gonna do lots of research for tonight since I missed the whole weekend but guess who got selected to be on the damn jury. Just my luck, first time to ever get called to jury duty and I get selected. Needless to say got zero research done and will just be watching tonight.

                        how'd everyone do yesterday/today?
                        Comment
                        • rustie
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 11-23-12
                          • 358

                          #1762
                          Too bad about the lack of time Huck hope you at least get a interesting
                          court case. Never had to go for jury duty yet .

                          Added a small wager on the total goals under 26.5.

                          Cheers
                          Comment
                          • Seeing Stars
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-19-13
                            • 1272

                            #1763
                            Originally posted by cotes17
                            Here's my plays for today guy. Ill add more if I see anything I really like

                            Habs ml -113 $113 to win $100
                            Anaheim ml +132 $100 to win $132
                            Leafs/Philly O5.5 -111 $111 to win $100

                            GL everyone
                            . Remember what I said about everyone on one side, I'm getting bad feeling about ANA now. Not one pick for LA that Ive seen, ugh
                            Comment
                            • Huckleberry Pig
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-07-13
                              • 2564

                              #1764
                              ps LETS GO STARS!
                              Comment
                              • Seeing Stars
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-19-13
                                • 1272

                                #1765
                                Originally posted by Huckleberry Pig
                                ps LETS GO STARS!
                                The OVER is now a must in STARS games. Their offense is clicking and the goalie is avg at best
                                Comment
                                • Huckleberry Pig
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-07-13
                                  • 2564

                                  #1766
                                  Originally posted by Seeing Stars
                                  The OVER is now a must in STARS games. Their offense is clicking and the goalie is avg at best
                                  good call, busy 2nd. getting pretty chippy, should make for a good 3rd
                                  Comment
                                  • Kpn
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 01-29-13
                                    • 842

                                    #1767
                                    This Montreal/Ottawa game is a crazy nail-biter, go HABS!
                                    Comment
                                    • Kpn
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-29-13
                                      • 842

                                      #1768
                                      Also now that the under is blown for moral support go Stars!
                                      Comment
                                      • Kpn
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-29-13
                                        • 842

                                        #1769
                                        Wow Ottawa burns me again I hate this team so much.
                                        Comment
                                        • Chaosiam
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 01-31-13
                                          • 874

                                          #1770
                                          Originally posted by Kpn
                                          So you wake up every morning to a total surprise? That must either positively/negatively effect your day quite a bit lol.
                                          Haha actually thats how it is. In the morning If I see scores I like I might have little bit more smile on my face for a while But If I loose. I cant say I´m not pissed, but I can live with it. Motions cool down.

                                          This is the only way do it because the games starts between 2am-5am local time so there is no chance to watch the games and still be able to function during the work and school day..
                                          Last edited by Chaosiam; 02-25-13, 11:55 PM.
                                          Comment
                                          • Chaosiam
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 01-31-13
                                            • 874

                                            #1771
                                            Originally posted by Derp
                                            Bishop is starting for OTT tonight, can he carry the great play of C.Anderson? Philly hasn't been great this year but they have been winning at home. Between the 2 I think I like Mtl chances better even laying some juice.
                                            We´ll he has done it already with good results and it seems that he has done it again...
                                            Last edited by Chaosiam; 02-25-13, 11:58 PM.
                                            Comment
                                            • Chaosiam
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 01-31-13
                                              • 874

                                              #1772
                                              Originally posted by Seeing Stars
                                              1. 2/25/2013 7:05 PM NHL Hockey 51 Toronto Maple Leafs* +1½ -235 vs Philadelphia Flyers
                                              2. 2/25/2013 7:35 PM NHL Hockey 54 Ottawa Senators* +1½ -270 vs Montreal Canadiens
                                              3. 2/25/2013 8:05 PM NHL Hockey 55 Dallas Stars* +1½ -235 vs Nashville Predators
                                              4. 2/25/2013 8:35 PM NHL Hockey 57 Edmonton Oilers* +1½ -190 vs Chicago Blackhawks
                                              5. 2/25/2013 10:35 PM NHL Hockey 59 Anaheim Ducks* +1½ -245 vs Los Angeles Kings
                                              Risking $50.00 To Win $240.93
                                              Looks good guru!

                                              Before I went to sleep, I did parlay too and now it´s up to Anaheim if I win..
                                              (1P 0-0 and now 3 goals in 8 minutes wow) Good thing is that Ana is on the lead 2-1)

                                              Ok guys what tha hell is going on with Ottawa?? They have stars injured and still they are winning games in a streak!!
                                              Chicago PL was a little greedy, but Toronto did a nice job. The profit today depends about Anaheims win and the parlay I did.
                                              Last edited by Chaosiam; 02-25-13, 11:49 PM.
                                              Comment
                                              • Kpn
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 01-29-13
                                                • 842

                                                #1773
                                                Holy crap it's going to hit, well I'm eating my shoes.
                                                Comment
                                                • Chaosiam
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 01-31-13
                                                  • 874

                                                  #1774
                                                  Damn LA scores 2-2. Fasthe needs to keep his net clean that my parlay would hit... Hope I´m not jinxing it again!!

                                                  Edit: Anaheim powerplay. third goal would give some peace for my mind.

                                                  edit: fuuukkkk!!!! LA scored 2-3
                                                  edit: I jinxed it. LA 2-4
                                                  Last edited by Chaosiam; 02-26-13, 12:43 AM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Chaosiam
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 01-31-13
                                                    • 874

                                                    #1775
                                                    There alway has to bet that one little worm who penetrates the system. Today it was Ana-LA
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Seeing Stars
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-19-13
                                                      • 1272

                                                      #1776
                                                      well, I loss the parlay, but I would do it again if you told me last game last period and I'm up 1 1/2 to start 3rd. My problem, as mentioned before....EVERYONE on Anaheim.


                                                      it appears I might've had people rooting against it, really?

                                                      Chao, I gave it a ride, oh well day totals were 1-3 and parlay loss...(-$251)
                                                      Last edited by Seeing Stars; 02-26-13, 01:53 AM.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Kpn
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 01-29-13
                                                        • 842

                                                        #1777
                                                        Weird day I just barely inched a profit of 20$ because of my player props saving the day for from all the upsets.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • rustie
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 11-23-12
                                                          • 358

                                                          #1778
                                                          No profit here , 0-3 damn you Chicago,someone mentioned
                                                          that they seem content to just win by 1 goal and damned if they didn't do it again.
                                                          Oh well ,another day.
                                                          Hope someone cashed.

                                                          Cheers
                                                          Comment
                                                          • cotes17
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 08-24-09
                                                            • 5228

                                                            #1779
                                                            Originally posted by Seeing Stars
                                                            . Remember what I said about everyone on one side, I'm getting bad feeling about ANA now. Not one pick for LA that Ive seen, ugh
                                                            Good call on that starts lol
                                                            Comment
                                                            • cotes17
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 08-24-09
                                                              • 5228

                                                              #1780
                                                              Originally posted by rustie
                                                              No profit here , 0-3 damn you Chicago,someone mentioned
                                                              that they seem content to just win by 1 goal and damned if they didn't do it again.
                                                              Oh well ,another day.
                                                              Hope someone cashed.

                                                              Cheers
                                                              Yeah that's what I was talking about yesterday
                                                              Comment
                                                              • cotes17
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 08-24-09
                                                                • 5228

                                                                #1781
                                                                Originally posted by Kpn
                                                                Wow Ottawa burns me again I hate this team so much.
                                                                Habs dominated them the entire game and they out shot them like 45 - 24. They should have won that game
                                                                Comment
                                                                • tombuckers
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 03-24-12
                                                                  • 1319

                                                                  #1782
                                                                  Annoyed about that Habs lose too. Got some good in play odds when they were 1 down too.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • cotes17
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 08-24-09
                                                                    • 5228

                                                                    #1783
                                                                    Yesterday

                                                                    1-2 -$113
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • cotes17
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 08-24-09
                                                                      • 5228

                                                                      #1784
                                                                      Ytd: 112-117-6 +$784.40
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • cotes17
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 08-24-09
                                                                        • 5228

                                                                        #1785
                                                                        What are you guys thinking today?
                                                                        Comment
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