2013 NHL Picks

[Huckleberry Pig]

Good luck Huck , hope you figure out how to put the spreadsheet on here .

I added Pitt/ fla 1st period ov 1.5 & Pitt TT Ov 3

LETS GO PITTSBURGH !!!!

Cheers

Havn't been able to figure it out but I'll tell yall what I did. Went and looked at every single 2nd leg game of BTB games this season for every single team (there have been 84). tracked the score, the goal differential, total goals, and whether they had just come off a Road W, Road L, Home W, or Home L in their 1st leg. Essentially split it out where If a team is on the 2nd leg of a BTB I can tell you the odds of them winning or losing that game, the odds of the Over/Under based on whether they were away the night before, whether they won the night before, whether their 2nd leg is a home game, or whether their second game is a road game. Got all the percentages layed out. Can even tell you what the GD (goal differential) was for the previous games that fit the profile (along with the what the O/U was on the previous profiles of the matchup). Will be interesting to see how the numbers play out this season and how accurate this sheet will be in predicting winners/losers and O/U

[cotes17]

heres my picks for tonight

Pens/Fla O5.5 -106 $106 to win $100
Pens -0.5 1st P +127 $50 to win $63.50
Pens/Fla O1.5 1st P -109 $54.50 to win $50

might add more later. Good luck guys

[cotes17]

Havn't been able to figure it out but I'll tell yall what I did. Went and looked at every single 2nd leg game of BTB games this season for every single team (there have been 84). tracked the score, the goal differential, total goals, and whether they had just come off a Road W, Road L, Home W, or Home L in their 1st leg. Essentially split it out where If a team is on the 2nd leg of a BTB I can tell you the odds of them winning or losing that game, the odds of the Over/Under based on whether they were away the night before, whether they won the night before, whether their 2nd leg is a home game, or whether their second game is a road game. Got all the percentages layed out. Can even tell you what the GD (goal differential) was for the previous games that fit the profile (along with the what the O/U was on the previous profiles of the matchup). Will be interesting to see how the numbers play out this season and how accurate this sheet will be in predicting winners/losers and O/U

sounds like a pretty damn good idea

[cotes17]

im liking what you said about the preds and over huck... might pick them

[cotes17]

adding

Nashville ml -101 $101 to win $100
Nash/Van O5 +128 $100 to win $128

[Huckleberry Pig]

im liking what you said about the preds and over huck... might pick them

hope it works out for us!

[Huckleberry Pig]

looking around the forum it seems a bunch of people are on the same plays, most of which I'm on as well... not feeling to good about them now lol

[Seeing Stars]

heres my picks for tonight

Pens/Fla O5.5 -106 $106 to win $100
Pens -0.5 1st P +127 $50 to win $63.50
Pens/Fla O1.5 1st P -109 $54.50 to win $50

might add more later. Good luck guys

I hope I didn't influence those 1P picks by my parlay, usually when my parlay losses (often) I actually make a profit that night, hockey gods I hope so

[Seeing Stars]

Truthfully gentlemen, when everybody is in one side so favorably ....that means bad news usually, the House was built on that, ugh

[Seeing Stars]

im liking what you said about the preds and over huck... might pick them

I'll be watching that, I couldn't do it. Loungo vs Rinne

[Huckleberry Pig]

Truthfully gentlemen, when everybody is in one side so favorably ....that means bad news usually, the House was built on that, ugh

I know.. sucks when ya make a pick then realize EVERYONE else is on it... makes me wanna not even play it

[cotes17]

Truthfully gentlemen, when everybody is in one side so favorably ....that means bad news usually, the House was built on that, ugh

Totally agree

[Seeing Stars]

Totally agree

Don't get me wrong I like when we all win together its fun. I was just commenting on every pick I saw was Pens Ov in big blowout. I'm good I got the PL to hit and even some + money. Under looking good in both games right now

[Kpn]

Looks like unders all around tonight, anyone who took grand salami under should be wetting themselves in glee.

[Kpn]

I don't like to jump ahead but tomorrow, TB v Car over looks mouth watering, as does philly v Jets.

[Seeing Stars]

PENS OV
PENS PL
VAN UN
SJ UN
CHI -1/2 reg

parlay-1P PENS OVER & 1P VAN UN ($50 to win $117)

There goes the BOOM!

4-1 and 1/2 Unit on parlay loss...the unders had heavy odds but Pl and reg bet made up the difference. Sometimes you feel like a nut sometimes you don't...

[Huckleberry Pig]

Okay Picks of the Day (will be adding to this post as I go)...

Panthers @ Penguins, Penguins PL (+120) - Teams on the 2nd leg of a BTB this year and have lost 56% of their games. Teams on the 2nd leg of a BTB with both games being road games have lost 57% of their games. Teams coming off a Road W and traveling again for the 2nd leg of the BTB have lost 10 out of 15 games this year, thats 67%. Of those 10 games, 7 of the losses were by 2 goals or more (thats 70%). Those numbers are just a sneak peak of the excel spreadheet. I'll take the Penguins PL.

Panthers @ Penguins, Penguins ML (-240) - more of a hedge bet than anything. A lot of juice but will put some of what I was going to put on the PL here just in-case they don't cover it. Get a little money back. Was going to lose it anyway if Panthers win.

Panthers @ Penguins, Over 5.5 (even) - Of the 10 games mentioned above, 6 have gone Over 5.5 aka 60%. Also, 3 of the last 5 Panthers games have gone Over while 3 of the last 6 have gone over for the Penguins (including 3 of the last 4). I'm thinking this game will be a 4-2 or 5-2 type of game.

Sharks @ Blackhawks, Under 5.5 (-140) - Sharks have only had 4 games all year go Over, and one of those was against the Blackhawks. However, the Sharks were on the 2nd leg of a BTB going against the hottest team in the NHL. I like the Sharks to slow the game down here as they know thats the only way they have a shot at winning. Also, Blackhawks have only had one home game go Over this year, and it was against the Canucks in their last game.

Sharks @ Blackhawks, Blackhawks ML (-150) - I just think the Blackhawks are too much for the Sharks, especially at home. They have one two in a row against them, both by more than 1 goal. Sharks won their last game but they still aren't back to where they were at the beginning of the year. I'll take Blackhawks.

Canucks @ Predators, Over 5 (+110) - For the same reason as the Panthers Penguins Over in regards to BTB games (which Canucks are on the 2nd leg of tonight). Also, the last 3 Canucks games have gone Over as they struggle to play D while the Predators have allowed 12 goals in the last 3 games but have scored 11 goals themselves. With the total at 5 and the + payout, the value is definitely in the Over.

Canucks @ Predators, Predators ML (-115) - Again, same reason as the Chicago PL (though not as confident in Predators beating Canucks by 2 and not nearly as much juice on them so I'm taking the ML). Canucks have not won the 2nd leg of a BTB all season and I'll bet against them here. Canucks are 5-2 in their last 7 @ Nashville, but I don't think any of those were the back end of a BTB. Canucks have also been in a slump lately. I like Predators here.


GL everyone!

4-3 on the night. Not what I was hoping for but still a positive night. Brings my record to 12-7 over the last 3 days while hitting 6/8 on totals, but did lose 2/3 tonight. Not bueno. Penguins really helped me out tonight. PL was a big help. Hope everyone else did good!!!

[rustie]

Congrats Stars & Huck , good job.

I went 1-1-1 to pretty much break even , shame cause it could have been so much better

Oh well on to today, let's see what we got.

Kinda leaning on my Leafs as they're in town to play Ottawa and I'm sitting in the 200's

[cotes17]

Lucky you guys on yesterday's games lol check out mine...

0-5 -$411.50

[cotes17]

Ytd: 102-108-6 +$664.40

[Seeing Stars]

Rustie, Leafs should have a grind ahead of them but without Anderson in goal I can't imagine that OTT can outlast them....have fun

I'm doing the same tonight, STARS are chumming for Shark tonight, string 'em up boys..

ALERT: DON'T PLAY SJ/DAL UNTIL STARTING GOALIES ANNOUNCED, LEHTONEN COULD BE IN GOAL

Early thoughts
TOR/OTT UNDER
TB/CAR OVER
COL/LA UNDER
NYR/MTL UNDER
NJ ML
PHX ML
MYL ML
STL -1

nothing bet yet but out of those most will be, MIN and DAL MLs pending on early success

[cotes17]

Luckly for me I picked the toronto raptors in NBA so it wasn't as bad for me but on here... It was bad...

[cotes17]

What do you guys think about caps and over? Brodeur isn't expected to be in net

[cotes17]

Rustie, Leafs should have a grind ahead of them but without Anderson in goal I can't imagine that OTT can outlast them....have fun

I'm doing the same tonight, STARS are chumming for Shark tonight, string 'em up boys..

ALERT: DON'T PLAY SJ/DAL UNTIL STARTING GOALIES ANNOUNCED, LEHTONEN COULD BE IN GOAL

Early thoughts
TOR/OTT UNDER
TB/CAR OVER
COL/LA UNDER
NYR/MTL UNDER
NJ ML
PHX ML
MYL ML
STL -1

nothing bet yet but out of those most will be, MIN and DAL MLs pending on early success

Careful with the NJ ml stars, brodeur isn't expected to start

[Seeing Stars]

Lucky you guys on yesterday's games lol check out mine...

0-5 -$411.50

Cotes, Ive been there, you know that... lets turn it around. That 1P was jinxed, I saw TOO many agreeing and knew it was doomed. But as the Hockey Gods have done to me usually when I lose a parlay, I make a profit.

[cotes17]

Cotes, Ive been there, you know that... lets turn it around. That 1P was jinxed, I saw TOO many agreeing and knew it was doomed. But as the Hockey Gods have done to me usually when I lose a parlay, I make a profit.

Yeah we need to turn this around today

[cotes17]

For the Habs game, they should be getting galliger back and no Rick Nash for the rangers

[Seeing Stars]

Yea, I was looking at starters and Hedberg is 2-1-1 and a 1.72 YTD vs. Holtby 4-6 and a 3.62 and a sub .900 %....

[Seeing Stars]

For the Habs game, they should be getting galliger back and no Rick Nash for the rangers

I see low scoring win, Price in goal against Lundy, 3-1, 2-0, 2-1, 1-1, 0-0 hopefully...

[cotes17]

Yea, I was looking at starters and Hedberg is 2-1-1 and a 1.72 YTD vs. Holtby 4-6 and a 3.62 and a sub .900 %....

Yeah that's true

[rustie]

Yea guys Hedberg is confirmed but with his #'s I'd still take Jersey over Washington

[Seeing Stars]

Yea guys Hedberg is confirmed but with his #'s I'd still take Jersey over Washington

That's what I'm gonna do, 1st bet(s) of day - NJ ML and Under

I really want to take JETS ML but will wait and see if I can find real reason to believe in it, the Jets actually have a winning record vs Blunt Heads

[cotes17]

Yeah I'm with you stars. After looking into hedberg a bit more, I do still like their chances

[cotes17]

Don't know if I can do the under tho

[cotes17]

That's what I'm gonna do, 1st bet(s) of day - NJ ML and Under

I really want to take JETS ML but will wait and see if I can find real reason to believe in it, the Jets actually have a winning record vs Blunt Heads

I'm temped to take the jets too. Think they can keep their 2 game winning streak going?