CFB 2012 (also NFL)

BiffTFinancial · 11-18-12, 08:55 AM

adding

2* Eagles team total over 20

NFL Week Eleven updated card
2* Browns/Cowboys over 44 (-104)
2* Eagles TT over 20

BigBoi · 11-18-12, 09:02 AM

I've got pack tt and over pack/det. Also like ne/Indy over simply because both teams secondaries are dogshit. Considered balty for Sunday night simply because the stillers never play well without the raper. Roll Tide as well. Back in the hunt.

BiffTFinancial · 11-18-12, 09:09 AM

Originally posted by BigBoi

I've got pack tt and over pack/det. Also like ne/Indy over simply because both teams secondaries are dogshit. Considered balty for Sunday night simply because the stillers never play well without the raper. Roll Tide as well. Back in the hunt.

morning, BigBoi. yes sir, Tide back in the title discussion where they belong. you know how i know that the world is right? because hacks like Doug Gottlieb are sending angry tweets about the BCS. penetrate the public - give me what i want (that is, no playoff, at least not the 8 or 16 team versions, which are complete abortions; i can accept plus-one but no more).

on cloud nine personally with Buckeyes' 11-0 start. kids have been singing hang on sloopy all morning.

BigBoi · 11-18-12, 09:14 AM

Plus one makes more sense than anything else. Too many shit teams have a chance if you play more than the plus one. Urban has to be mad though. Undefeated and can't play for anything because Tressel was a dipstick. Hopefully Bama can beat UGA. Should hang a hundred on Auburn next week. Saban hates them more than any other team in the SEC.

BiffTFinancial · 11-18-12, 09:22 AM

Originally posted by BigBoi

Plus one makes more sense than anything else. Too many shit teams have a chance if you play more than the plus one. Urban has to be mad though. Undefeated and can't play for anything because Tressel was a dipstick. Hopefully Bama can beat UGA. Should hang a hundred on Auburn next week. Saban hates them more than any other team in the SEC.

plus one is okay, but we don't need it every year. there should be a "springing" plus one that comes into play when there are more than two worthy teams. when it was Bama/Texas, plus-one would've been absolutely unnecessary (and Colt McCoy would've gotten hurt in semi not final). plus-one should be used maybe 30-40% of the time. don't tell that to the rubes who want their playoff, though. we love the NCAA tourney, they say. give the little guy a chance, they say. make it like the NFL, they say. nevermind that the logistics of a large playoff don't work in football because you can't play 4 games at the same venue on the same day then play 2 more 2 days later. nevermind that games will be played in front of stadiums with 25k empty seats or really skewed attendance because why the penetrate would Bama or Oregon or ND fans travel to the first round game of anything larger than a plus-one. nevermind that i got to watch two playoff games just last night (Stanford/UO, K State/Baylor). the call for a CFB playoff is one of the most perplexing things to me in modern society (along with the popularity of Mike & Mike, facebook and music with auto-tuning).

BigBoi · 11-18-12, 09:25 AM

If you haven't seen les miles rant from last night, it's priceless.

BiffTFinancial · 11-18-12, 09:28 AM

and you're right, UFM is stone-cold pissed about the sanctions. he can't be too mad at Tressel though. if Tressel knew how to cheat, Meyer wouldn't have the job. the bigger mistake, per usual, was by dumbfk Gene Smith for not self-imposing the bowl ban last year.

BiffTFinancial · 11-18-12, 09:29 AM

Originally posted by BigBoi

If you haven't seen les miles rant from last night, it's priceless.

will do. just wrote it on my morning to-do list. gotta finish picks and pools then i'm on it.

BiffTFinancial · 11-18-12, 09:46 AM

adding

2* Packers/Lions over 52'

NFL Week Eleven updated card
2* Browns/Cowboys over 44 (-104)
2* Eagles TT over 20
2* Packers/Lions over 52'

Madison · 11-18-12, 09:56 AM

Morning Biff,

Wavered on NE/Ind over 42 or Bal/Pitt U 58.5 (might have been 56, didn't note)

Anyway 10-2 , +11.4 ytd

Ne/Ind O 42
Hou -2
Cin/KC U 56.5
NYJ/STL U 51.5

1.5 U

BOL today boys!!

BiffTFinancial · 11-18-12, 09:57 AM

adding

2* Parlay: Rams ML + Broncos ML (-105)

NFL Week Eleven updated card
2* Browns/Cowboys over 44 (-104)
2* Eagles TT over 20
2* Packers/Lions over 52'
2* Parlay: Rams ML + Broncos ML (-105)

BiffTFinancial · 11-18-12, 09:59 AM

pissed, dragged my feet and missed Raiders TT over 24 -120 and Pats TT over 31 -120. was looking at parlaying both with Rams ML, which got me to about +180.

BiffTFinancial · 11-18-12, 10:10 AM

adding

2* Patriots first half -6'

NFL Week Eleven updated card
2* Browns/Cowboys over 44 (-104)
2* Eagles TT over 20
2* Packers/Lions over 52'
2* Parlay: Rams ML + Broncos ML (-105)
2* Patriots 1H -6'

BiffTFinancial · 11-18-12, 10:10 AM

Originally posted by Madison

Morning Biff,

Wavered on NE/Ind over 42 or Bal/Pitt U 58.5 (might have been 56, didn't note)

Anyway 10-2 , +11.4 ytd

Ne/Ind O 42
Hou -2
Cin/KC U 56.5
NYJ/STL U 51.5

1.5 U

BOL today boys!!

BOL today, Madison! think i might tail that teaser.

BiffTFinancial · 11-18-12, 10:43 AM

adding

1* Parlay: Raiders team total over 25 + Patriots team total over 32 (+264)

NFL Week Eleven updated card
2* Browns/Cowboys over 44 (-104)
2* Eagles TT over 20
2* Packers/Lions over 52'
2* Parlay: Rams ML + Broncos ML (-105)
2* Patriots 1H -6'
1* Parlay: Raiders team total over 25 + Patriots team total over 32 (+264)

BiffTFinancial · 11-18-12, 11:25 AM

adding

1* Mark Sanchez passing yards under 210' (-115)
1* Matt Schaub passing yards under 245' (-115)

tailing jinx from Bank's thread

NFL Week Eleven updated card
2* Browns/Cowboys over 44 (-104)
2* Eagles TT over 20
2* Packers/Lions over 52'
2* Parlay: Rams ML + Broncos ML (-105)
2* Patriots 1H -6'
1* Parlay: Raiders team total over 25 + Patriots team total over 32 (+264)
1* Mark Sanchez passing yards under 210' (-115)
1* Matt Schaub passing yards under 245' (-115)

BOL to all today.

Madison · 11-18-12, 01:03 PM

Originally posted by Madison

Morning Biff,

Wavered on NE/Ind over 42 or Bal/Pitt U 58.5 (might have been 56, didn't note)

Anyway 10-2 , +11.4 ytd

Ne/Ind O 42
Hou -2
Cin/KC U 56.5
NYJ/STL U 51.5

1.5 U

BOL today boys!!

Adding

Ne/Ind O 41
NYJ/Stl U 52.5
Hou -2.5
Chi/San U 50

1 U

Apologies so late

Madison · 11-18-12, 03:39 PM

Shame on me. The whole pemise of this angle was totals so, to get thrashed by Jax is only justice. As stated a few days ago the worm has turned. Officially fade material.

Madison · 11-18-12, 04:17 PM

Did Hou just take themselves out of a 45ish FG to win game, having missed similar earlier?

Madison · 11-18-12, 04:20 PM

I guess if you gotta lose you do it with Jax having to score 34+ vs Hou.

Madison · 11-19-12, 09:08 AM

Originally posted by Madison

I guess if you gotta lose you do it with Jax having to score 34+ vs Hou.

Ahhh and hence the rule "Always try to play against bad teams. They can always find a way to lose".

Thx you Jax ... found money.

BiffTFinancial · 11-20-12, 07:36 PM

NFL Week Eleven final card
2* Browns/Cowboys over 44 (-104) - LOSER
2* Eagles TT over 20 - LOSER
2* Packers/Lions over 52' - LOSER
2* Parlay: Rams ML + Broncos ML (-105) - LOSER
2* Patriots 1H -6' - WINNER
1* Parlay: Raiders team total over 25 + Patriots team total over 32 (+264) - LOSER
1* Mark Sanchez passing yards under 210' (-115) - WINNER
1* Matt Schaub passing yards under 245' (-115) - LOSER

2-6 -7.73u

32-35 -7.09u NFL season to date

BiffTFinancial · 11-20-12, 07:40 PM

nice hits on your teasers, Madison!

i wish that i were a big enough person to sit around and talk games when i'm going 2-6, but i'm just not. i was humming an old football against the basement wall a couple of dozen times. glad to see that you had a good one, pal, apologies for my lack of participation.

Madison · 11-20-12, 08:14 PM

Originally posted by BiffTFinancial

nice hits on your teasers, Madison!

i wish that i were a big enough person to sit around and talk games when i'm going 2-6, but i'm just not. i was humming an old football against the basement wall a couple of dozen times. glad to see that you had a good one, pal, apologies for my lack of participation.

Apologies. Worked a ton (real work) so my small solice. Hopefully you understood my comment that the "system" is based on TOTALS and has proven itself out. Every once in a while I get stupid and break precendence and include a game line. Had I used the Bal/Pitt U vs the Hou game I could have fallen asleep it was such an easy Sunday.

12-2 , +13.9. Let me know if you want me to go private or .... just shut up. I'm easy!!!

Gettin into hoops !!

Madison · 11-20-12, 08:16 PM

Originally posted by BiffTFinancial

nice hits on your teasers, Madison!

i wish that i were a big enough person to sit around and talk games when i'm going 2-6, but i'm just not. i was humming an old football against the basement wall a couple of dozen times. glad to see that you had a good one, pal, apologies for my lack of participation.

Over the years I mostly threw things at the TV.

BiffTFinancial · 11-20-12, 08:19 PM

Originally posted by Madison

Over the years I mostly threw things at the TV.

after punching out that one on vaca a few years back (WVU/UConn game when Huggy got ejected), i have been coached to focus my rage on less pricey items. never did get charged for that tv though...

Madison · 11-21-12, 12:13 PM

Originally posted by BiffTFinancial

after punching out that one on vaca a few years back (WVU/UConn game when Huggy got ejected), i have been coached to focus my rage on less pricey items. never did get charged for that tv though...

I'm not sure why but I've learned over the years not to press (serious) wagers during events such as bday's , vaca, etc. as bad things seem to happen more often than not. Although I did drag my wife to the dog track on our honeymoon as I had a lock in the 1 hole. Bet 200 W/P and it cruised home so she was ok.

Madison · 11-22-12, 08:55 AM

FWIW ... NE has killed the NYJ in the 2nd meeting each of the last 3 years.

31-14 (09)
45-3 (10)
37-16 (11)

Happy turkey day!

BiffTFinancial · 11-22-12, 09:32 AM

Originally posted by Madison

I'm not sure why but I've learned over the years not to press (serious) wagers during events such as bday's , vaca, etc. as bad things seem to happen more often than not. Although I did drag my wife to the dog track on our honeymoon as I had a lock in the 1 hole. Bet 200 W/P and it cruised home so she was ok.

oh it wasn't serious. i'm just a fkn child who can't stand losing, it was a relatively bad beat, and i was pretty loaded from drinking all afternoon/night. still pay the price to this day for that one.

love the honeymoon story.

BiffTFinancial · 11-22-12, 09:32 AM

Originally posted by Madison

FWIW ... NE has killed the NYJ in the 2nd meeting each of the last 3 years.

31-14 (09)
45-3 (10)
37-16 (11)

Happy turkey day!

hmmm. i was starting to like Jets and/or Pats TT under given loss of Gronk. may need to re-think that....

Madison · 11-22-12, 09:38 AM

Early 4 team leans. Last week 4 totals jumped off the page at me. the play was very clear and they all cruised. This week I have a whole bunch of leans (7) but just that leans.

Which ones here would concern you?

Hou/Det O 36.5 (one of my least favorites)

NE/NYJ O 35 ... (one of my early favorites) Hard time seeing this not getting over here.

Pitt/Clv U 47 ... kind of liking this as well. Rothlesberger out?

Sea/Mia U 50.5 ... tough seeing this getting over here

Den/KC U 57 ... Lot of questions here. KC given up? Why buck Manning? Big # with the KC off though.

Buf/Ind O 38 ... The no care bowl. Tough seeing this one not getting over.

Stl/Arz U 49.5 ... no care bowl 2.

BiffTFinancial · 11-22-12, 09:54 AM

NFL Week Twelve
2* Texans/Lions over 49 (-105)

BiffTFinancial · 11-22-12, 09:55 AM

Originally posted by Madison

Early 4 team leans. Last week 4 totals jumped off the page at me. the play was very clear and they all cruised. This week I have a whole bunch of leans (7) but just that leans.

Which ones here would concern you?

Hou/Det O 36.5 (one of my least favorites)

NE/NYJ O 35 ... (one of my early favorites) Hard time seeing this not getting over here.

Pitt/Clv U 47 ... kind of liking this as well. Rothlesberger out?

Sea/Mia U 50.5 ... tough seeing this getting over here

Den/KC U 57 ... Lot of questions here. KC given up? Why buck Manning? Big # with the KC off though.

Buf/Ind O 38 ... The no care bowl. Tough seeing this one not getting over.

Stl/Arz U 49.5 ... no care bowl 2.

hmmm. well, i just broke my NFL model out of mothballs and reworked it this week after the frustrating Sunday. this will be a good way to give it a test drive!

i will say that i was leaning under in NE/NYJ and have seen a couple of sharp cats on the under there.

BiffTFinancial · 11-22-12, 10:48 AM

Originally posted by Madison

Early 4 team leans. Last week 4 totals jumped off the page at me. the play was very clear and they all cruised. This week I have a whole bunch of leans (7) but just that leans.

Which ones here would concern you?

Hou/Det O 36.5 (one of my least favorites)

NE/NYJ O 35 ... (one of my early favorites) Hard time seeing this not getting over here.

Pitt/Clv U 47 ... kind of liking this as well. Rothlesberger out?

Sea/Mia U 50.5 ... tough seeing this getting over here

Den/KC U 57 ... Lot of questions here. KC given up? Why buck Manning? Big # with the KC off though.

Buf/Ind O 38 ... The no care bowl. Tough seeing this one not getting over.

Stl/Arz U 49.5 ... no care bowl 2.

i'm not crazy about NE/NYJ over, but at 35, hard to argue. i have this at something like 28-17/24-14.

am on HOU/DET over, i have that one in the neighborhood of 54-59.

totally agree on PIT/CLE and STL/AZ. agree but not quite as strongly on rest. for some reason, SEA/MIA does cause me a little concern, but still like it.

Madison · 11-22-12, 11:32 AM

NE/NYJ opened 51 ... now 48.5

Gronk out , but Hernandez in and I suspect relatively healthy. Think been playing it safe with him.

Also DE Jones OUT.