NC picks '11

[Dexter]

A lot of guys coming back for CU tonight.

Not feeling that great about the Kent State under anymore. Took a jump today. We'll see what happens.

betting the ponies today? my writeups and plays are all up for Day 1

[No coincidences]

betting the ponies today? my writeups and plays are all up for Day 1

Nope -- don't know anything about it. Not a poker player either.

Adding:

USC/COL under 58 (1U)

[No coincidences]

Colorado ML has gone from +925 to +704 at Pinny.

[No coincidences]

Adding:

USC under 40 (BetOnline) (2U)

[YOUNGBUCK]

Down to 38.5at 5 dimes NoCo

[No coincidences]

I'm buying out of the Kent State under and eating the juice of buying the half point.

[sportcap]

why the buyout? did you see something you didnt like?

[dontbuythehook]

-3.3 units again

[mlb]

-3.3 units again

y is this needed?

[dynamite140]

-3.3 units again

Who cares how many units he is up or down. He only bets $10 a game.




He bought out of the other play because he didn't want a $20 swing. That's what happens when you have Small Bettor Syndrome (SBS)

[dynamite140]

Colorado ML has gone from +925 to +704 at Pinny.

Keep looking at that line movement for 12 hours a day like you always do and then unloading your $20 a game bet

[dkeller949]

NC has good discipline. if you can't stick to your system with small units how can you control larger amounts without succumbing to emotion? Sharp side will win long term

[dynamite140]

I wouldn't call it discipline. Its more like small bettor syndrome.



He doesn't bet more than $40 a game. And when he does, his arms tremble and then he quickly hedges his bet at halftime because he can't take the pressure.



When you have Small Bettor Syndrome, thats what happens.

[No coincidences]

Got taken to the cleaners on that last USC touchdown. When they went for it on 4th-and-3, I knew I was sunk.

0-3, -7.3U today
27-14, +21.3U season

[No coincidences]

Early Saturday:

NC State +4 (3U)
Iowa +4 (2U)
Minnesota +28 (1U)

[mlb]

U guys are seriously gonna keep trashing one of the only ppl on the forum who is up over 20 units and actually has all his plays documented just to feel.better about urself???

[No coincidences]

U guys are seriously gonna keep trashing one of the only ppl on the forum who is up over 20 units and actually has all his plays documented just to feel.better about urself???

Doesn't surprise me unfortunately mlb.

Mods don't even bother anymore. Whatever generates traffic. Every man for himself at SBR.



Good luck tomorrow brother.

[GoBlue23]

With ya on Iowa...Vandenberg is going to have a big game tomorrow. Can't bring myself to bet Minny though for how terrible they are (And I laugh as I type this hypocritical statement knowing that I actually put money on UAB )

[No coincidences]

With ya on Iowa...Vandenberg is going to have a big game tomorrow. Can't bring myself to bet Minny though for how terrible they are (And I laugh as I type this hypocritical statement knowing that I actually put money on UAB )

I just think MSU will be a little flat tomorrow. Gray will probably give MSU some problems with his mobility. It's going to be a tough cover, but I have MSU winning by 24.

Iowa's D is the X-factor in the Michigan game. Can they stop Robinson at all? They're slow and traditionally terrible against the spread offense. I think the Hawks can score on U-M. Well, the total says it all. I've never seen a total that high for a game in Iowa City.

I'll likely be on Oregon State, Oklahoma and Alabama later in the day. We'll see how things go early. I also lean Texas, but I missed any good numbers there. Can't believe how much that line has moved. Kentucky didn't quite make the cut early.

[GoBlue23]

I just think MSU will be a little flat tomorrow. Gray will probably give MSU some problems with his mobility. It's going to be a tough cover, but I have MSU winning by 24.

Iowa's D is the X-factor in the Michigan game. Can they stop Robinson at all? They're slow and traditionally terrible against the spread offense. I think the Hawks can score on U-M. Well, the total says it all. I've never seen a total that high for a game in Iowa City.

I'll likely be on Oregon State, Oklahoma and Alabama later in the day. We'll see how things go early. I also lean Texas, but I missed any good numbers there. Can't believe how much that line has moved. Kentucky didn't quite make the cut early.

Robinson is good for at least a TO or two no matter what defense he is facing. I agree that he'll run wild, but your right...total is the higest I've seen for a game @ Iowa indicating that they should expose UM's D as well. Should be a back and forth contest that comes down to the final possession.

I'm already on Oregon St. +21, and I will be on Bama for sure as well. I'm gonna wait on that one though hoping to get a better number. With the line at 4.5 now and what I assume is heavy public money on LSU, I'm confident the worst line I'll get is 5.

I like UCLA + the points as well...any thoughts on that one? Washington +16.5 looks solid too...

[No coincidences]

Robinson is good for at least a TO or two no matter what defense he is facing. I agree that he'll run wild, but your right...total is the higest I've seen for a game @ Iowa indicating that they should expose UM's D as well. Should be a back and forth contest that comes down to the final possession.

I'm already on Oregon St. +21, and I will be on Bama for sure as well. I'm gonna wait on that one though hoping to get a better number. With the line at 4.5 now and what I assume is heavy public money on LSU, I'm confident the worst line I'll get is 5.

I like UCLA + the points as well...any thoughts on that one? Washington +16.5 looks solid too...

Liked UCLA when it was +11 or whatever. Worried about getting a bad number.

Washington seems high; figured they'd be in the +12 range.

[suicidekings]

Early Saturday:

NC State +4 (3U)

I thought about this one, but ultimately, with 3 of their wins coming against Liberty, South Alabama, and Central Michigan, I couldn't do it. Why do you like it so much? The small home dog just caught your eye?

[BigDan]

Bama is it for me..actually passing on Trees this week (only 2nd time this yr, kinda depressing not playing them), no way i would bet against them tho...gl with your plays NC

[No coincidences]

I thought about this one, but ultimately, with 3 of their wins coming against Liberty, South Alabama, and Central Michigan, I couldn't do it. Why do you like it so much? The small home dog just caught your eye?

Yeah, plus North Carolina isn't anything special. NC State has owned them the past few years as well.

[No coincidences]

Bama is it for me..actually passing on Trees this week (only 2nd time this yr, kinda depressing not playing them), no way i would bet against them tho...gl with your plays NC

I really wish I could get Bama at a little better number (say 4), but I don't think it's going to happen. Big money's likely going to be on the Crimson Tide, so that line won't be budging anymore.

[BigDofBA]

Early Saturday: NC State +4 (3U) Iowa +4 (2U) Minnesota +28 (1U)

I really like that Iowa pick. They just lost to Minnesota and the line is +4?????

Michigan has only played 2 road games all season. Iowa is at home. Iowa has the better defense. Iowa will be focused coming off an embarrassing loss. These are all good reasons to take away imo.

[suicidekings]

I really wish I could get Bama at a little better number (say 4), but I don't think it's going to happen. Big money's likely going to be on the Crimson Tide, so that line won't be budging anymore.

When the line first came out 2 weeks ago, it was jumping around a lot, and at one point was down to a cheap -3.5 and I could have bought it to -3 (-125). I've regretted not taking it since then...

[No coincidences]

I really like that Iowa pick. They just lost to Minnesota and the line is +4?????

Michigan has only played 2 road games all season. Iowa is at home. Iowa has the better defense. Iowa will be focused coming off an embarrassing loss. These are all good reasons to take away imo.

Iowa's D is about as bad as it's been in the last 10 years, Big D.

They're, umm, very vanilla if you know what I mean.

[BigDofBA]

Iowa's D is about as bad as it's been in the last 10 years, Big D. They're, umm, very vanilla if you know what I mean.

I didn't say it was great. I just think it's better than Michigan's. I haven't been really impressed with Michigan this year.

[No coincidences]

Prater and Hyde will play on Sundays. The rest of Iowa's D is trash. I'm more betting against Michigan's D on the road here than Iowa's D at home.

[No coincidences]

I didn't say it was great. I just think it's better than Michigan's. I haven't been really impressed with Michigan this year.

Michigan isn't a Top-20 team.

[CBASS]

I really wish I could get Bama at a little better number (say 4), but I don't think it's going to happen. Big money's likely going to be on the Crimson Tide, so that line won't be budging anymore.

Why would it matter if you already stated that Bama wins by a td or more?
Not knocking you, just curious.
Much props on your season so far. You're doing really well.

[BigDofBA]

Michigan isn't a Top-20 team.

You are correct sir.

[dontbuythehook]

Early Saturday:

NC State +4 (3U)
Iowa +4 (2U)
Minnesota +28 (1U)

FYP

[suicidekings]

Why would it matter if you already stated that Bama wins by a td or more?

In college football, a -4 will push about 3% of the time, while the -4.5 would lose... Every little bit helps.