1. #1
    Husker36
    Husker36's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-02-08
    Posts: 3,781
    Betpoints: 66

    Why is SMU an underdog tonight?

    I dont understand. On paper they look 10 points better.

  2. #2
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 57,200
    Betpoints: 21682

    Tough to win in Orlando.
    -3 is about right.

  3. #3
    DJK
    Gee Joon/Teen Bo Guaranteed Winner
    DJK's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 1,691
    Betpoints: 5988

    Date Date Rot VH Team 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Final Open Close ML 2H Closed ScoDif Result Covered ATS SU
    SMU ATS Fav 8
    CentralFlorida ATS Dog 2
    Sat, 11-13-2021 1113 185 V CentralFlorida 14 0 7 7 28 59 61 225 28.5 7.0 -27.0 -20.0 CentralFlorida SU Fav 10
    Sat, 11-13-2021 1113 186 H SMU 21 17 7 10 55 7 7 -265 0.5 -7.0 27.0 20.0 SMU Fav Fav SU Dog 0
    Sat, 10-06-2018 1006 325 V SMU 3 7 3 7 20 69.5 74 1375 33.5 25.5 -28.0 -2.5 SMU ATS Away Fav 1
    Sat, 10-06-2018 1006 326 H CentralFlorida 21 6 7 14 48 25 25.5 -3500 11.5 -25.5 28.0 2.5 CentralFlorida Fav Fav ATS Away Dog 0
    Sat, 11-04-2017 1104 375 V CentralFlorida 7 14 7 3 31 12.5 14 -550 4.5 -14.0 7.0 -7.0 CentralFlorida Fav ATS Home Fav 7
    Sat, 11-04-2017 1104 376 H SMU 7 7 10 0 24 73.5 75 400 38 14.0 -7.0 7.0 SMU Dog ATS Home Dog 2
    Sat, 11-22-2014 1122 203 V SMU 0 7 0 0 7 47.5 48.5 3250 23 28.5 -46.0 -17.5 SMU SU Away Fav 3
    Sat, 11-22-2014 1122 204 H CentralFlorida 27 10 6 10 53 25.5 28.5 -7500 10 -28.5 46.0 17.5 CentralFlorida Fav Fav SU Away Dog 0
    Sat, 12-07-2013 1207 115 V CentralFlorida 0 3 14 0 17 10 14 -550 9.5 -14.0 4.0 -10.0 CentralFlorida Fav SU Home Fav 7
    Sat, 12-07-2013 1207 116 H SMU 3 7 3 0 13 60.5 56.5 425 27.5 14.0 -4.0 10.0 SMU Dog SU Home Dog 0
    Sat, 11-03-2012 1103 363 V SMU 3 7 0 7 17 51 50.5 310 24.5 9.5 -25.0 -15.5 SMU Away Favored 3
    Sat, 11-03-2012 1103 364 H CentralFlorida 7 14 14 7 42 10 9.5 -370 3.5 -9.5 25.0 15.5 CentralFlorida Fav Fav Home Dog 3
    Sat, 10-15-2011 1015 169 V CentralFlorida 0 3 0 14 17 44 47 150 0.5 3.5 -21.0 -17.5 CentralFlorida Away Dog 7
    Sat, 10-15-2011 1015 170 H SMU 10 7 7 14 38 1.5 3.5 -170 23 -3.5 21.0 17.5 SMU Fav Fav Home Favored 7
    Sat, 12-04-2010 1204 333 V SMU 0 0 0 7 7 54 55.5 260 25.5 7.5 -10.0 -2.5 SMU
    Sat, 12-04-2010 1204 334 H CentralFlorida 7 3 7 0 17 8 7.5 -320 2.5 -7.5 10.0 2.5 CentralFlorida Fav Fav
    Sat, 10-04-2008 1004 363 V SMU 10 0 0 7 17 56 55 400 24.5 13.5 -14.0 -0.5 SMU
    Sat, 10-04-2008 1004 364 H CentralFlorida 3 7 14 7 31 14 13.5 -500 7 -13.5 14.0 0.5 CentralFlorida Fav Fav
    Sat, 11-17-2007 1117 351 V CentralFlorida 21 14 14 0 49 13 10.5 -370 2.5 -10.5 29.0 18.5 CentralFlorida Fav Fav
    Sat, 11-17-2007 1117 352 H SMU 10 3 7 0 20 75 71 310 35 10.5 -29.0 -18.5 SMU

  4. #4
    DJK
    Gee Joon/Teen Bo Guaranteed Winner
    DJK's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 1,691
    Betpoints: 5988

    Of the 10 games between the two, Away Dog never covered from 2007 to current.

  5. #5
    VeggieDog
    VeggieDog's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-09
    Posts: 6,498
    Betpoints: 17692

    A bunch of SMU players are sitting out the rest of the season. It's been in the news.

  6. #6
    DJK
    Gee Joon/Teen Bo Guaranteed Winner
    DJK's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 1,691
    Betpoints: 5988

    Quote Originally Posted by VeggieDog View Post
    A bunch of SMU players are sitting out the rest of the season. It's been in the news.
    Then, shouldn't the line be a lot higher for UCF?

    I thought about taking SMU, but decided to lay off it after seeing the trends of no away dog covered from 2007 onwards.

    Can you please post a link to that news about SMU players sitting out? Thanks in advance.

  7. #7
    RavensFan2k3
    Handicappin' like I'm Trappin'
    RavensFan2k3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-12
    Posts: 17,372
    Betpoints: 18170

    Quote Originally Posted by Husker36 View Post
    I dont understand. On paper they look 10 points better.
    How the hell do they look 10 points better? Lol. They are just about even with a slight edge to UCF due to being at home

  8. #8
    flakeandbake
    flakeandbake's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-21-10
    Posts: 3,439
    Betpoints: 3944

    Both teams suck so bad. Would give the edge to SMU and perhaps their new coach has something to prove vs ex Auburn guy. That said, UCF over due in this spot. Yet again, SMU over due for a cover if youíve followed their last 2 games.

    Pretty much a solid no touch

  9. #9
    DJK
    Gee Joon/Teen Bo Guaranteed Winner
    DJK's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 1,691
    Betpoints: 5988

    Quote Originally Posted by flakeandbake View Post
    Both teams suck so bad. Would give the edge to SMU and perhaps their new coach has something to prove vs ex Auburn guy. That said, UCF over due in this spot. Yet again, SMU over due for a cover if you’ve followed their last 2 games.

    Pretty much a solid no touch
    I'm just curious. Are you up or down for the season on football?

    Some of your picks were totally disastrous. Something like 0 wins for whatever.

    You did good taking ML on one of the teams and kept it up live and they all cashed, but besides that I thought you were losing your socks off.

  10. #10
    Renegades
    Renegades's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-12-11
    Posts: 4,999
    Betpoints: 2887

    Ucf qb blows and so does malzahn. Another overrated offensive mind. Running 80 plays a game doesnt mean you have a good system. He sucked at auburn and still sucks.

  11. #11
    DJK
    Gee Joon/Teen Bo Guaranteed Winner
    DJK's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 1,691
    Betpoints: 5988

    Over 63.5 then. Worth the shot considering neither plays much of any defense.

    That's freaking 9+ TDs.

  12. #12
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 57,200
    Betpoints: 21682

    Quote Originally Posted by DJK View Post
    Over 63.5 then. Worth the shot considering neither plays much of any defense.

    That's freaking 9+ TDs.
    Over 64 is the way to go.
    F uck, this one could wind up in the 80's

  13. #13
    flakeandbake
    flakeandbake's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-21-10
    Posts: 3,439
    Betpoints: 3944

    Touch the stove and the hand turns pink boys. No heroes in this game tn.

  14. #14
    ScamArtist
    [Too Long]
    ScamArtist's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-23-10
    Posts: 458
    Betpoints: 6375

    Easy cover for UCF tonight.

  15. #15
    JAKEPEAVY21
    JAKEPEAVY21's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-11-11
    Posts: 26,720
    Betpoints: 42519

    Quote Originally Posted by DJK View Post
    Of the 10 games between the two, Away Dog never covered from 2007 to current.
    You seem to love these trends from 10+ years ago...throw them all out except for the last couple of seasons

  16. #16
    ScamArtist
    [Too Long]
    ScamArtist's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-23-10
    Posts: 458
    Betpoints: 6375

    SMU giving up 180.5 ypg on the ground facing a running qb in Plumlee.

    Flip side: Bounce House is a tough place to play, though it won't be packed. Game is sold out because it was to be played last Saturday/ Sunday on parents weekend. Most of those parents have gone home and there are tons of resale listings dirt cheap as those buyers try to recoup some of that ticket money.

    I believe Knights get it done tonight, win by 10

  17. #17
    ScamArtist
    [Too Long]
    ScamArtist's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-23-10
    Posts: 458
    Betpoints: 6375

    Quote Originally Posted by VeggieDog View Post
    A bunch of SMU players are sitting out the rest of the season. It's been in the news.
    Only one that really sees the field is the sophomore safety. The other 3 dudes really aren't getting playing time

  18. #18
    Husker36
    Husker36's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-02-08
    Posts: 3,781
    Betpoints: 66

    Quote Originally Posted by ScamArtist View Post
    SMU giving up 180.5 ypg on the ground facing a running qb in Plumlee.

    Flip side: Bounce House is a tough place to play, though it won't be packed. Game is sold out because it was to be played last Saturday/ Sunday on parents weekend. Most of those parents have gone home and there are tons of resale listings dirt cheap as those buyers try to recoup some of that ticket money.

    I believe Knights get it done tonight, win by 10
    I dont see what you are seeing in UCF. SMU lost by a TD to both Maryland and TCU. Both of those teams have proven that they are legit. SMU wins tonight.

  19. #19
    Fred The Hammer
    Fred The Hammer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-13-13
    Posts: 11,396
    Betpoints: 8096

    Quote Originally Posted by ScamArtist View Post
    SMU giving up 180.5 ypg on the ground facing a running qb in Plumlee.

    Flip side: Bounce House is a tough place to play, though it won't be packed. Game is sold out because it was to be played last Saturday/ Sunday on parents weekend. Most of those parents have gone home and there are tons of resale listings dirt cheap as those buyers try to recoup some of that ticket money.

    I believe Knights get it done tonight, win by 10
    SMU faced TCU and Maryland though. They're both top 25 teams. The way I see it, comes down to how much stock you put into the Louisville/UCF game. Lville plays shit defense (see BCgame) with no discipline and poor tackling and they still shut down UCF.

    Its like a horse race where a horse might not have great results, but he's dropping in class. SMU is dropping in class big-time after TCU and Maryland. They can score and if they lead then they can stack the line and slow down the run. Still though UCF has a solid homefield advantage and should be able to run the ball on SMU somewhat.

    Final factor for me is Gus Malzahn. Shit coach and Idk how anyone only scores 14 on Louisville at home? Seriously any random MAC team would put 20+ on them. If I lose then I put too much stock in the Louisville game, but 14 vs Louisville is a shocking total. SMU also blew them out last year and has that confidence

    I'm taking SMU ML/Over 51.5 (+170) MGM

    Considering Mordecai Over 313.5 passing Bovada because he's went for 369, 372, and 432 in their 3 competitive games so far. Should hit if they're winning and will definitely hit it if they're losing

  20. #20
    flakeandbake
    flakeandbake's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-21-10
    Posts: 3,439
    Betpoints: 3944

    Quote Originally Posted by Fred The Hammer View Post
    SMU faced TCU and Maryland though. They're both top 25 teams. The way I see it, comes down to how much stock you put into the Louisville/UCF game. Lville plays shit defense (see BCgame) with no discipline and poor tackling and they still shut down UCF.

    Its like a horse race where a horse might not have great results, but he's dropping in class. SMU is dropping in class big-time after TCU and Maryland. They can score and if they lead then they can stack the line and slow down the run. Still though UCF has a solid homefield advantage and should be able to run the ball on SMU somewhat.

    Final factor for me is Gus Malzahn. Shit coach and Idk how anyone only scores 14 on Louisville at home? Seriously any random MAC team would put 20+ on them. If I lose then I put too much stock in the Louisville game, but 14 vs Louisville is a shocking total. SMU also blew them out last year and has that confidence

    I'm taking SMU ML/Over 51.5 (+170) MGM

    Considering Mordecai Over 313.5 passing Bovada because he's went for 369, 372, and 432 in their 3 competitive games so far. Should hit if they're winning and will definitely hit it if they're losing
    Agree Iíd feel more comfortable with SMUs coach and QB. Again though, UCF feels overdue in these spots (which doesnít really mean much). I had thought the line was getting steamed yesterday and figured to take UCF small ó but now idk since I could make an argument for both sides

  21. #21
    Zlaniner
    CITY by the BAY
    Zlaniner's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-12-19
    Posts: 1,662
    Betpoints: 13085

    CFU 4 the Money !
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 11/28/2022


  22. #22
    Fred The Hammer
    Fred The Hammer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-13-13
    Posts: 11,396
    Betpoints: 8096

    I ended up with more on Mordecai Over 306.5 and 313.5 then the game itself. DK had 335 or something so these lines on Bovada just looked too good. 3 games with 369+ passing already

  23. #23
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 57,200
    Betpoints: 21682

    Quote Originally Posted by Fred The Hammer View Post
    I ended up with more on Mordecai Over 306.5 and 313.5 then the game itself. DK had 335 or something so these lines on Bovada just looked too good. 3 games with 369+ passing already
    FD has some tempting SGP options too.
    Just logged off there.
    Check it out Fred.

  24. #24
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 57,200
    Betpoints: 21682

    Oh Jeez, I have to listen to Tiffany Green and that windbag Ingoglia all night?
    Where's my mute button?

  25. #25
    Fred The Hammer
    Fred The Hammer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-13-13
    Posts: 11,396
    Betpoints: 8096

    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    FD has some tempting SGP options too.
    Just logged off there.
    Check it out Fred.
    Fan Duel can never locate me on my home computer. Its just too big a hassle and I'm happy with DK. Been running good PLO so now I have $1400 on Bovada too

  26. #26
    Fred The Hammer
    Fred The Hammer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-13-13
    Posts: 11,396
    Betpoints: 8096

    Have the feeling SMU might win sort of easy like 38-21 and everyone and their brother gets burned on Over

  27. #27
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 57,200
    Betpoints: 21682

    Quote Originally Posted by Fred The Hammer View Post
    Fan Duel can never locate me on my home computer. Its just too big a hassle and I'm happy with DK. Been running good PLO so now I have $1400 on Bovada too
    Playing in a tourney myself at 9pm.
    I took a brief break from poker, concentrating on MLB playoffs.

    Back in the saddle tonight.

    Best of luck bud.

  28. #28
    Fred The Hammer
    Fred The Hammer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-13-13
    Posts: 11,396
    Betpoints: 8096

    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Playing in a tourney myself at 9pm.
    I took a brief break from poker, concentrating on MLB playoffs.
    Back in the saddle tonight.

    Best of luck bud.
    U2 man.


    If fkn Corrales could catch a cold SMU would be up 21-3

  29. #29
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 57,200
    Betpoints: 21682

    Quote Originally Posted by Fred The Hammer View Post
    U2 man.


    If fkn Corrales could catch a cold SMU would be up 21-3
    Honest to God.

    And how many passes is Mordecai going to sail?
    100?

  30. #30
    flakeandbake
    flakeandbake's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-21-10
    Posts: 3,439
    Betpoints: 3944

    These guys kiddin?

  31. #31
    Fred The Hammer
    Fred The Hammer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-13-13
    Posts: 11,396
    Betpoints: 8096

    Now Rice drops a ball for atleast 20 yards. Mordecai is doing his thing. I have SMU ML/Over 51.5 so I need a few UCF TDs too

  32. #32
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 57,200
    Betpoints: 21682

    10-10 now
    Get me to 27 by half, I'll feel better.

  33. #33
    Fred The Hammer
    Fred The Hammer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-13-13
    Posts: 11,396
    Betpoints: 8096

    Love that forward pitch on the jet sweep. Thats 20 more yards passing

  34. #34
    flakeandbake
    flakeandbake's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-21-10
    Posts: 3,439
    Betpoints: 3944

    I canít tell if this games about to rip 2nd half, or if thatís just the script

    Would have to think live over is a play at some point but canít be too early if everyoneís thinking it

  35. #35
    stevenash
    stevenash's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-17-11
    Posts: 57,200
    Betpoints: 21682

    Quote Originally Posted by flakeandbake View Post
    I can’t tell if this games about to rip 2nd half, or if that’s just the script

    Would have to think live over is a play at some point but can’t be too early if everyone’s thinking it
    2H over for me.
    You would think the number would be around 30

12 Last
Top