Bowl Game Preview -System Picks

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  • Aunty808
    SBR Sharp
    • 09-18-22
    • 254

    #1
    Bowl Game Preview -System Picks
    I'm gonna use this week to see how the method plays out as a preview of this years Bowl games.
    This week is a hard week to judge the method I'm gonna use because it's the last regular season games and there will be teams playing for their lives and others who just show up and be done with this season. I just want to see how this goes in general, not taking anything else into account, just numbers.

    The picks will be divided into groups with last years results for each group.
    4-0.............S/U 18-1 - ATS 15-4
    3-1...............S/U 10-3 - ATS 8-5
    2-2......... ....S/U 2-5 - ATS 2-5
    1-3...............S/U 1-4 - ATS 1-4
    0-4..............S/U 0-1 - ATS 0-1

    Tuesday-Friday Games

    4-0.............S/U 18-1 - ATS 15-4(PLAY ON)
    BGreen-14' at Mass
    WMich-7' at EMich
    Navy at Memphis-5'
    Miss-7 at Miss St
    Utah-12' at Kansas
    Geo-13' at Geo Tech
    Temple at N Texas-19'
    Boise St-3' at Utah St
    Indy-28' at Purdue
    Ariz-2 at Ariz St

    3-1...............S/U 10-3 - ATS 8-5 (PLAY ON)
    Iowa-6 at Neb
    SDST-1 at N Mex

    2-2......... ....S/U 2-5 - ATS 2-5 (FADE)
    Kent St at No Ill-5
    AF at Col St+1'
    TA&M-2' at Tex

    1-3...............S/U 1-4 - ATS 1-4 (FADE)
    Ohio at Buff+7


    I know no one, who bets real money wants to just follow or fade blindly, so here's a little info on the method of making the picks.
    SYSTEM METHOD:
    DEFENSE WINS CHAMPIONSHIPS
    Picks are the team with the higher ranking in TOTAL DEFENSE
    Definiton of TOTAL DEFENSE
    Opponent Total Yards Per Play (Yards per Attempt adjusted for strength of opposition)
    Criteria to be a 4-0 pick
    1- Higher ranked in Total Defense
    2-Higher ranked in Offense Scoring Points per game (adjusted for strength of opponent)
    3-Higher ranked in Defense Scoring Points allowed per game ( adjusted for strength of opponent)
    4-?

    EXAMPLE: Using the OHIO ST/MICH game on Saturday

    Ohio St-10............(1).1........(2) 57.31...(3) -11.05...(4)...Yes
    Michigan..............(1) 11......(2) 51.67...(3) -1.16.....(4)...XX

    Ohio St-10 meets all criteria and is a 4-0 pick

    Tomorrow I plan to do 2023-24 to see how it compares to last years results.

    Loads of game on Saturday........
    GL2A



  • Bluewater
    SBR Sharp
    • 09-29-12
    • 426

    #2
    Again sorry so the team’s with the point spread are the plays
    Comment
    • Bluewater
      SBR Sharp
      • 09-29-12
      • 426

      #3
      Neva mind dah
      Comment
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