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Bowl Game Preview -System Picks

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  • Aunty808
    SBR Sharp
    • 09-18-22
    • 396

    #1
    Bowl Game Preview -System Picks
    I'm gonna use this week to see how the method plays out as a preview of this years Bowl games.
    This week is a hard week to judge the method I'm gonna use because it's the last regular season games and there will be teams playing for their lives and others who just show up and be done with this season. I just want to see how this goes in general, not taking anything else into account, just numbers.

    The picks will be divided into groups with last years results for each group.
    4-0.............S/U 18-1 - ATS 15-4
    3-1...............S/U 10-3 - ATS 8-5
    2-2......... ....S/U 2-5 - ATS 2-5
    1-3...............S/U 1-4 - ATS 1-4
    0-4..............S/U 0-1 - ATS 0-1

    Tuesday-Friday Games

    4-0.............S/U 18-1 - ATS 15-4(PLAY ON)
    BGreen-14' at Mass
    WMich-7' at EMich
    Navy at Memphis-5'
    Miss-7 at Miss St
    Utah-12' at Kansas
    Geo-13' at Geo Tech
    Temple at N Texas-19'
    Boise St-3' at Utah St
    Indy-28' at Purdue
    Ariz-2 at Ariz St

    3-1...............S/U 10-3 - ATS 8-5 (PLAY ON)
    Iowa-6 at Neb
    SDST-1 at N Mex

    2-2......... ....S/U 2-5 - ATS 2-5 (FADE)
    Kent St at No Ill-5
    AF at Col St+1'
    TA&M-2' at Tex

    1-3...............S/U 1-4 - ATS 1-4 (FADE)
    Ohio at Buff+7


    I know no one, who bets real money wants to just follow or fade blindly, so here's a little info on the method of making the picks.
    SYSTEM METHOD:
    DEFENSE WINS CHAMPIONSHIPS
    Picks are the team with the higher ranking in TOTAL DEFENSE
    Definiton of TOTAL DEFENSE
    Opponent Total Yards Per Play (Yards per Attempt adjusted for strength of opposition)
    Criteria to be a 4-0 pick
    1- Higher ranked in Total Defense
    2-Higher ranked in Offense Scoring Points per game (adjusted for strength of opponent)
    3-Higher ranked in Defense Scoring Points allowed per game ( adjusted for strength of opponent)
    4-?

    EXAMPLE: Using the OHIO ST/MICH game on Saturday

    Ohio St-10............(1).1........(2) 57.31...(3) -11.05...(4)...Yes
    Michigan..............(1) 11......(2) 51.67...(3) -1.16.....(4)...XX

    Ohio St-10 meets all criteria and is a 4-0 pick

    Tomorrow I plan to do 2023-24 to see how it compares to last years results.

    Loads of game on Saturday........
    GL2A



  • Bluewater
    SBR Sharp
    • 09-29-12
    • 468

    #2
    Again sorry so the team’s with the point spread are the plays
    Comment
    • Bluewater
      SBR Sharp
      • 09-29-12
      • 468

      #3
      Neva mind dah
      Comment
      • Aunty808
        SBR Sharp
        • 09-18-22
        • 396

        #4
        ***Be sure to read the first post in this thread before scrolling down.

        I will be posting the games by groups, with the results from last years Bowl Games, using the same method. Also, I will list the TOTAL DEFENSE RANK in the (XXX). Ohio St is #1/2.21 (Opponent Total Yards Per Play (Yards per Attempt adjusted for strength of opposition). The opposite end of the spectrum sits Air Force, 136/5.89.

        First up is the 4-0 group. The PLAY ON is the team with the pointspread.

        4-0.............S/U 18-1 - ATS 15-4(PLAY ON)
        Tuesday-Friday Games
        BGreen-14' at Mass.......(90/131)...........WW 45-14
        WMich-7' at EMich.........(53/133).........WW 31-21
        Navy at Memphis-5'.....(110/77)...........LL 28-17
        Miss-7 at Miss St............(36/63)
        Utah-12' at Kansas........(42/46)
        Geo-13' at Geo Tech.....((19/93)
        Temple at N Tex-19'......(101/84)
        Boise St-3' at Utah St...(58/80)
        Indy-28' at Purdue........(13/79)
        Ariz-2 at Ariz St...............(10/30)

        Saturday
        Ohio St-10 at Mich........(1/11)
        TTech -23' at WVirg.....(3/55)
        Col at Kan St-17............(85/46)
        Iowa St-14 at Okl St.....(70/87)
        ECar-7 at Fla Atl...........(66/98)
        Toledo-10 at CMich....(23/88)
        Ball St at Mia Oh-17'....(118/55)
        Geo So at Marsh-8'.....(129/105)
        WKent-2' at Jax St.......(107/115)
        Geo St at Old Dom-26'..(126/45)
        MTST at NMST-4..........(122/90)
        Oreg-6' at Wash..........(5/24)
        LSU at Okl-10.................(9/4)
        Penn St-13' at Rutgers...(28/135)
        Troy at So Miss-6'.......(102/82)
        JMad-21' at CoCar.....(17/117)
        Oreg St at Wash St-13'...(113/33)
        Virg Tech at Virg-9'....(53/40)
        Rice at So Fla-28.........(106/41)
        Ala-6 at Auburn..........(13/22)
        UCLA at USC-21' .........(59/44)
        Northwstrn at Ill-7.....(61/39)
        Char at Tulane-30....(127/72)
        SMU-13' at Calif..........(35/65)
        ND-32' at Stanford...(2/64)
        Fresno St-3 at SJST..(48/121)
        ===================

        Next up the 3-1 Group.....
        Comment
        • Aunty808
          SBR Sharp
          • 09-18-22
          • 396

          #5
          3-1 Group...............The PLAY ON is the team with the pointspread.
          S/U 10-3 - ATS 8-5 (PLAY ON)

          Tues-Fri Games
          Iowa-6 at Neb
          SDST-1 at N Mex

          Saturday
          Mia Fla-6' at Pitt............(6/16)
          Kentucky at Louis-3....(43/25)
          FIU-10 at Sam Hou.......(109/134)
          UAB at Tulsa-8'.............(123/86)
          Mizzo-2' at Ark..............(11/89)

          DOGS
          Hou+2' at Baylor............(50/60)
          LaTech+2' at Mizzo St..(95/97)
          BC at Syracuse+3........(116/78)
          Wisc+1 at Minn..............(32/74)
          Fla St+1' at Fla................(20/37)
          Mary+3' at Mich St.......(57/71)
          WForest+1 at Duke.......(7/95)
          ============


          2-2 Group..........FADE the team with the pointspread
          S/U 2-5 - ATS 2-5 (FADE)

          Tues-Friday games
          Kent St at No Ill-5
          AF at Col St+1'
          TA&M at Tex+2'

          Saturday
          Kent St at No Ill-5...............(120/83)
          Ark St at App St-2'..............(114/96)
          Vandy at Tenn-2'................(60/47)
          ------------
          ***Last year there was only one dog in this group. UConn+1' (63) at NC (85) won 27-14. The others were favorites and they all lost.
          I don't know if these DOGS should be a PLAY ON instead of a FADE. I'll just list them here and see how it plays out. I would watch the early games and see how the games trend, FADE or FOLLOW, and then go with the trend.....I dunno.

          AF at Col St+1' ..................(136/124)
          TAM at TEX++2'...................(18/15)
          Utep+4' at Del..................(73/130)
          So Ala+9' at Tex St.........(103/108)
          Army+7' at UTSA.............(81/91)
          UNLV at Nev+7.................(131/76)
          Wyo"8 at Hawaii.............(52/100)

          This is an odd ball game. I'll stick it here since So Carolina is a 2 +1 tie with Clemson 1 + 1 tie.
          Clemson at So Car-2'...............(39/29)
          ================

          1-3 Group..........FADE the team with the pointspread
          S/U 1-4 - ATS 1-4 (FADE)

          Tues- Friday games
          Ohio at Buff+7

          Saturday
          UCF+17' at BYU....................(27/26)
          ULMon+10 at LaLaff...........(104/119)
          Cinn at TCU-3.....................(51/49)
          Kenn St at Liberty+2.........(111/99)
          NC+7' at NC St....................(34/75)
          ===============================

          Final Results: 2024-25 Bowl Games
          S/U 31-14 (68.8%)
          ATS 26-19 (57.7%)

          Results with FADING (2-2 / 1-3 / 0-4)
          S/U 38-7 (84%)
          ATS 33-12 (73%)

          GL2A

          Comment
          • Bluewater
            SBR Sharp
            • 09-29-12
            • 468

            #6
            got it mahalo hwnhrt
            Comment
            • Aunty808
              SBR Sharp
              • 09-18-22
              • 396

              #7
              Results for the Tuesday-Friday Games

              Results -Bowl Games 2024-25
              4-0.....S/U 18-1 - ATS 15-4(PLAY ON)
              .............S/U 9-1 - ATS 6-4
              BGreen-14' at Mass..................BGreen... 45-14.......WW
              WMich-7' at EMich...................WMich.... 31-21........WW
              Navy at Memphis-5'...............Memp..... 28-17.......LL
              Miss-7 at Miss St.......................Miss.......... 38-19.......WW
              Utah-12' at Kansas...................Utah..........3 1-21........WL
              Geo-13' at Geo Tech................Geo ...........16-9.........WL
              Temple at N Texas-19'.............NTex........ 25-58.....WW
              Boise St-3' at Utah St..............Boise........ 25-24.....WL
              Indy-28' at Purdue...................Indy.......... 56-3.......WW
              Ariz-2 at Ariz St...........................Ariz....... ... 23-7........WW

              Results - Bowl Games 2024-25
              3-1......S/U 10-3 - ATS 8-5 (PLAY ON)
              ............S/U 1-1 - ATS 1-1
              Iowa-6 at Neb............Iowa....... 40-16.........WW
              SDST-1 at N Mex.........SDST....... 17-23..........LL

              Results - Bowl Games 2024-25
              2-2.....S/U 2-5 - ATS 2-5 (FADE)
              ...........S/U 2-1 - ATS 2-1
              Kent St at No Ill-5..........K St....... 35-31.....WW
              AF at Col St+1'.................AF...........42-21....WW
              TA&M at Tex+2'..............TAM....... 17-27.....LL

              Results - Bowl Games 2024-25
              1-3..... S/U 1-4 - ATS 1-4 (FADE)
              .............S/U W-1 - ATS 0-1
              Ohio at Buff+7...........Ohio.....31-26........WL

              TOTAL Results for Tuesday- Friday Games
              S/U - 13-3 (81%)
              ATS - 9-7 (56%)

              On to tomorrow's games!
              Comment
              • Aunty808
                SBR Sharp
                • 09-18-22
                • 396

                #8
                Recap:
                Using my contest closing numbers, here's the results of this Bowl Preview games.

                Total Games:
                S/U 50-17 (74%)
                ATS 36-30-1 (54.5%)

                I googled what win percentage I need to show a profit and the answer was "52.4% of your bets, assuming standard -110 odds".
                I passed the test!

                Let's recap the individual groups.
                4-0 Group (PLAY ON)
                S/U 31-6 (83.7%)
                ATS 19-17-1 (52%)

                3-1 Group (PLAY ON)
                S/U 7-7 (50%)
                ATS 7-7) (50%)

                2-2 Group (FADE)
                S/U 7-2 (77.7%)
                ATS 7-2 (77.7%)

                1-3 Group (FADE)
                S/U 5-2 (71%)
                ATS 3-4 (42%)
                =================

                Saved the BEST for last.
                This SYSTEM/METHOD is based on "DEFENSE WINS CHAMPIONSHIPS".
                According to my numbers in TOTAL DEFENSE, here's the top 10 teams and how they fared.

                1- Higher ranked in Total Defense
                2-Higher ranked in Offense Scoring Points per game (adjusted for strength of opponent)
                3-Higher ranked in Defense Scoring Points allowed per game ( adjusted for strength of opponent)
                4-?

                1 Ohio State Final: 27-9 WW / UN43' (4-0 Group)
                Ohio St-10............(1) 1........(2) 57.31...(3) -11.05...(4)...Yes
                Michigan..............(1) 11......(2) 51.67...(3) -1.16.....(4)...XX

                2 Notre Dame Final : 49-20 WL / OV50' (4-0 Group)
                Notre Dame-32'.........(1) 2......(2) 60.77.....(3) -5.94.....(4)...Yes
                Stanford........................(1) 64...(2) 38.46.....(3) 7.46.... .(4)...XX

                3 Texas Tech Final: 49-0 WW / UN53' (4-0 Group)
                Texas Tech-24.........(1) 3......(2) 59.68.....(3) -4.23......(4)...Yes
                West Virginia............(1) 55...(2) 42.74.....(3) 9.62........(4)...XX

                4 Oklahoma Final: 17-13 WL / UN36' (4-0 Group)
                LSU...................................(1 ) 9.... (2) 42.56.....(3) -2.91......(4)...XX
                Oklahoma-10.............(1) 4......(2) 47.18......(3) -7.08.....(4)...Yes

                5 Oregon Final: 26-14 WW / UN51' (4-0 Group)
                Oregon -6'.............(1) 5......(2) 60.03.....(3) -3.68....(4)...Yes
                Washington..........(1) 24....(2) 55.83....(3) 2.05......(4)...XX

                6 Miami Fla Final: 38-7 WW / UN48' (3-1 Group)
                Miami Fla-6'............(1) 6......(2) 53.20.....(3) -5.10....(4)...Yes
                Pittsburgh................(1) 16.....(2) 54.82.....(3) 5.79....(4)...XX

                7 Wake Forest Final: 32-49 LL / OV53' (3-1 Group)
                Wake Forest +1.........(1) 7.....(2) 41.88....(3) 2.48...(4)...Yes
                Duke..............................(1)95. ..(2) 49.74...(3) 11.96...(4)..XX

                8 Iowa Final: Final: 40-16 WW / OV39' (3-1 Group)
                Iowa -6...............(1) 8.....(2) 47.80.....(3) -5.13....(4)...Yes
                Nebraska...........(1) 31....(2) 49.23.....(3) 3.10......(4)...XX

                9 LSU Final: 13-17 LW / UN36' (4-0 Group)
                LSU...................................(1 ) 9.... (2) 42.56.....(3) -2.91......(4)...XX
                Oklahoma-10.............(1) 4......(2) 47.18......(3) -7.08.....(4)...Yes​

                10 Arizona Final: 23-7 WW / UN48' (4-0 Group)
                Arizona-2...................(1) 10....(2) 50.44.....(3) 1.90....(4)...Yes
                Arizona St..................(2) 30...(2) 43.60.....(3) 1.92....(4)...XX

                Top 10 Recap S/U 7-1 (87%) / ATS 6-2 (75%)
                4 Oklahoma vs 9 LSU (NO PLAY)
                Teams cancel each other out

                4-0 Group
                S/U 5-0
                ATS 4-1

                3-1
                S/U 2-1
                ATS 2-1

                When the Bowl Games are set, I will do the games with the numbers as above. It's a lot of typing, but I think it will give you a better picture of the game. Then you can use your other tools to cap the games you're interested in.

                My Colts just lost........geez.......

                Comment
                • Aunty808
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 09-18-22
                  • 396

                  #9
                  Week 15 Conference Championships
                  (*Still practicing for Bowl Games)
                  I added the Opp total YPP next to their ranking (1).

                  1- Higher ranked in **Total Defense
                  **(Opponent Total Yards Per Play (Yards per Attempt adjusted for strength of opposition)
                  2-Higher ranked in Offense Scoring Points per game (adjusted for strength of opponent)
                  3-Higher ranked in Defense Scoring Points allowed per game ( adjusted for strength of opponent)
                  4-?

                  Recap of Games played last week
                  4-0 Group (PLAY ON)
                  S/U 31-6 (83.7%)
                  ATS 19-17-1 (52%)

                  3-1 Group (PLAY ON)
                  S/U 7-7 (50%)
                  ATS 7-7) (50%)

                  2-2 Group (FADE)
                  S/U 7-2 (77.7%)
                  ATS 7-2 (77.7%)

                  Friday
                  Kenn St-1' (4-0 Group) PLAY ON Final: 19-15 WW
                  Kenn St -1'..................(1)...111/4.80.....(2)...41.51......(3)...13.45... ..(4)...Yes
                  Jax St 58'....................(1)...115/4.88....(2)...38.76... (3)...16.35.....(4)...XX

                  James Madison-22' (4-0 Group) PLAY ON Final: 31-14 WL
                  Troy 47'......................(1)...93/4.56.....(2)...36.25....(3)....12.24.... .(4)...XX
                  J Madison-22'.........(1)....15/3.00....(2)....48.38....(3)....3.48..... .(4)...Yes

                  Boise St-3' (3-1 Group) PLAY ON Final: 38-21 WW
                  UNLV 58'.............(1)....131/5.43....(2)....49.80.....(3)....17.22... .(4)...XX
                  Boise St-3'.........(1)....57/3.93.....(2)....45.16......(3)....7.53.. ...(4)....Yes

                  Tulane+3.............(2-2 Group) FADE Final: 34-21 LL
                  N Texas 67'.....................(1)...80/4.37.....(2)....59.71....(3)....11.80... .(4)...XX
                  Tulane+3.........................(1)...7 1/4.16......(2)....43.33....(3)....6.17... .(4) ...Yes
                  ===============


                  Saturday​
                  Texas Tech-13'.........(4-0 Group) PLAY ON Final: 37-7 WW
                  BYU 49'...................(1)....26/3.33....(2)....53.84....(3)....-1.95....(4)....XX
                  Texas Tech-13'......(1)....2/ 2.47 .....(2)....60.09....(3)....-5.09....(4)...Yes

                  Miami Oh+2' ......(2-2 Group) FADE Play WMich-2' Final: 23-13 WW
                  Miami Oh+2'...........(1)....56/3.93.....(2)...39.11.......(3)....10.93. ...(4)...Yes
                  WMichigan 43'.....(1)....62/4.03.....(2)....35.96....(3)....6.46.... .(4)...XX

                  Alabama+2'...........(2-2 Group) FADE Play Geo-2' Final: 28-7 WW
                  Georgia 47'..............(1)...18/2.92....(2)....50.58.......(3).....-2.95......(4)...XX
                  Alabama+2'.............(1)...17/3.08....(2)....55.49.......(3)....-2.41........(4),,,Yes

                  Ohio St-6'......(3-1 Group) PLAY ON Final: 10-13 LL
                  Indiana 47'............(1)....11/2.92....(2)....64.64.......(3)....-7.10...(4)...XX
                  Ohio St-6'................(1)....1/2.13......(2)....57.10........(3)....-11.01...(4)...Yes

                  Virginia-3'........(3-1 Group) PLAY ON Final: 20-27 (OT) LL
                  Duke 57'..................(1)....98/4.62....(2)....51.89......(3)....12.47.. ...(4)...XX
                  Virginia-3'................(1)...34/3.52.....(2)....49.72.....(3)....4.39... ...(4)...Yes
                  =================

                  Looking over last weeks plays, I would have to say your BEST BETS would be in the 2-2 Group.
                  Only two of seven dogs in this group won last week. ( Update: WMich and Georgia both won.)

                  Good luck with your plays!!

                  EDIT: Update scores and W/L results
                  Comment
                  • Aunty808
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 09-18-22
                    • 396

                    #10
                    I've been comparing Big200's weekly predictions to my Systems regular season picks. A match counted as one part of the 4-0 group.

                    Standings at predictiontracker through Nov 30, 2025.
                    Season Total
                    1 Big 200......S/U....73% - ATS 55%
                    Second Half
                    1 Big 200......S/U....73% - ATS 56%

                    Last Week
                    2 Big 200 ....S/U 73% - ATS 65%
                    ==============

                    Here's the matches for this weeks games.
                    (Big200 Kenn St-5')
                    Kenn St-1' (4-0 Group) PLAY ON

                    (Big200 Boise St-4)
                    Boise St-3' (3-1 Group) PLAY ON

                    (Big200 N Texas-4)
                    Tulane+3.............(2-2 Group) FADE

                    (Big200 WMichigan -4)
                    Miami Oh+2' ......(2-2 Group) FADE

                    (Big200 Ohio St-7)
                    Ohio St-6'......(3-1 Group) PLAY ON

                    (Big200 Virginia -7')
                    Virginia-3'........(3-1 Group) PLAY ON

                    All game predictions
                    EUROPEAN CLUB FOOTBALL AMERICAN COLLEGE FOOTBALL MORE TO COME



                    GL2A




                    Comment
                    • Bluewater
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 09-29-12
                      • 468

                      #11
                      Aunty any contest numbers TIA
                      Comment
                      • Aunty808
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 09-18-22
                        • 396

                        #12
                        eh stranger! I was getting worried about you........sorry I didn't see this today, I was out the whole day.
                        Here's a look at tomorrow's games. I'll check again in the morning before I leave for work.

                        BYU 49'...................OV 59%/ 63%
                        Texas Tech-13'........57%/58%

                        Mia Oh 43' ........OV55%/65%
                        W Mich-1' .........70%/ 80% (16-4)

                        Indiana 47'.........OV60% /UN56%
                        Ohio St-6'...........53%/50%

                        Georgia -2'............54%/ 41% (ALA 59%)
                        Alabama 47'..........OV54%/ UN 53%

                        Duke 57'............OV 51%/ UN53%
                        Virginia-3'............72%/ 72%

                        good luck!



                        Comment
                        • Siberion
                          Benched
                          • 12-05-25
                          • 4

                          #13
                          GL today!
                          Comment
                          • Bluewater
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 09-29-12
                            • 468

                            #14
                            Mahalo auntie
                            Comment
                            • Aunty808
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 09-18-22
                              • 396

                              #15
                              You're welcome! For you, anytime...just give me a buzz here!!

                              eh blu, check out the NCAA Basketball thread in the Players Talk Forum. I'm tracking some plays over there.
                              Comment
                              • Bluewater
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 09-29-12
                                • 468

                                #16
                                Will do sista
                                Comment
                                • Aunty808
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 09-18-22
                                  • 396

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Bluewater
                                  Will do sista
                                  blu, I'm trying something different in the NCAA Basketball forum too. It's called the Slam Dunk play of the day. You can check your bets and handle vs the contest percentages.

                                  good luck!

                                  I've been stuck with the basketball games, I gotta get going with the bowl games too. I just wrote the complete list with spreads so I plan to get to them ASAP...starts on Saturday already....laters!
                                  Comment
                                  • Bluewater
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 09-29-12
                                    • 468

                                    #18
                                    Can’t wait aunty
                                    Comment
                                    • Aunty808
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 09-18-22
                                      • 396

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Bluewater
                                      Can’t wait aunty
                                      I just finished all of the games and will posted it now!
                                      Comment
                                      • Aunty808
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 09-18-22
                                        • 396

                                        #20
                                        Bowl Games -Defense Wins Championships - 2025-2026

                                        1- Higher ranked in **Total Defense
                                        **(Opponent Total Yards Per Play (Yards per Attempt adjusted for strength of opposition)
                                        2-Higher ranked in Offense Scoring Points per game (adjusted for strength of opponent)
                                        3-Higher ranked in Defense Scoring Points allowed per game ( adjusted for strength of opponent)
                                        4-?

                                        4-0 Best Bets
                                        3-1 Play ON teams
                                        2-2 FADE teams
                                        1-3 FADE teams

                                        4-0 Group
                                        Play teams with pointspread
                                        DATE/GAME/ (TOTAL DEFENSE RANK)
                                        Win/Loss record will be graded using the closing line in contest.


                                        12/13 Boise St at Wash-8'........................(56/22)
                                        12/20 James Mad at Oregon-20'..........(11/3)
                                        12/23 Louisville-9' at Toledo...................(21/26)
                                        12/26 Northwestern-12' at CMich.........(59/88)
                                        12/26 FIU at UTSA+9'................................. .(107/95)
                                        12/27 Clemson at Penn St-1'...................(47/36)
                                        12/27 Geo Tech at BUY-2'.........................(78/23)
                                        12/27 Fresno-3' at Mia Oh........................(39/62)
                                        12/30 USC-6' at TCU...................................(4 2/49)
                                        01/02 Navy at Cinn-1'................................(98/58)
                                        01/02 SMU at Arizona-1'...........................(40/10)


                                        3-0 Group
                                        Play teams with pointspread

                                        12/16 Troy-3 at Jax St...........................(93/109)
                                        12/17 Louisiana-3 at Delaware.........(123/127)
                                        12/18 Mizzo St+2' at Ark St....................... (105/116)
                                        12/19 NC St at Memphis+5'................(74/70)
                                        12/19 Alabama at Oklahoma+1'.......(17/4)
                                        12/20 Mia Fla+3' at Texas A&M.........(6/20)
                                        12/20 Tulane at Miss-16'......................(68/43)
                                        12/22 Utah St at Wash St+1'...............(77/31)
                                        12/24 Calif-1' at Hawaii........................(69/94)
                                        12/27 Virginia at Mizzo-7 ....................(30/8)
                                        12/27 LSU+3 at Houston.......................(15/51)
                                        12/30 La Tech-7 at Co Car..................(100/120)
                                        12/30 ILL+5' at Tenn ..............................(32/55)
                                        12/31 Iowa+4 at Vandy.........................(9/53)
                                        12/31 Duke at Arizona St+1'.................(89/24)
                                        12/31 Texas at Michigan+4'................(14/13)
                                        01/02 Rice at Texas St-10'...................(110/103)
                                        01/02 WForest+3 at Miss St................(7/67)


                                        2-2 Group
                                        FADE teams with pointspread

                                        12/17 Old Dom+7 at So Fla...................(38/48)
                                        12/19 Kenn St at WMich-4...................(104/57)
                                        12/23 UNLV at Ohio+4...........................(131/128)
                                        12/27 Army-2' at UConn.....................,.(83/111)
                                        12/27 SDST+6 at North Texas............(25/75)
                                        12/29 Geo Sou at App St+2................(130/101)


                                        1-3 Group
                                        FADE teams with pointspread

                                        12/23 WKentucky at So Miss+3'..............(115/84)
                                        12/26 Minn at NMexico+3'.........................(73/66)
                                        12/31 Neb+14 at Utah...................................( 37/45)


                                        Good Luck to all!
                                        Will update with the other Bowl Games when teams get filled in.
                                        Comment
                                        • Bluewater
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 09-29-12
                                          • 468

                                          #21
                                          Mahalo for all the hard work
                                          Comment
                                          • Aunty808
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 09-18-22
                                            • 396

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Bluewater
                                            Mahalo for all the hard work
                                            No problem, I need to exercise the mind, although I should concentrate on more phyical exercise. Sitting at the computer for hours on end is not a good thing .......gotta go to the doc's next week for annual checkup......I might break their scale!! hahahahaaaaa!!

                                            I'm kinda stuck with the basketball stuff. Too much on my plate right now.....basketball, bowl contests and the holidays!!
                                            Here's wishing you and yours a Mele Kalikimaka and Hau'oli Makahiki Hou!
                                            good luck!!
                                            Comment
                                            • Bluewater
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 09-29-12
                                              • 468

                                              #23
                                              You have a safe and joyful holiday. Hate to put more on your plate but do you have any numbers on the Army/Navy game. Leaning Army mostly think Army has the better defense and also there’s a trend that says to take the dog when they play Mahalo in advance (MIA)
                                              Comment
                                              • Aunty808
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 09-18-22
                                                • 396

                                                #24
                                                Sorry I didn't get back to check for messages. Here's the numbers for that game.

                                                Army +6'........(1) 83......(2) 177/ 34.77......(3) 54/ 6.97 (4) XX/84
                                                Navy 38' .......(1) 98......(2) 58/ 44.69......(3) 69/9.17 .....(4) YES /50

                                                Army fall into the 2-2 group, FADE. Army ranks higer in Total Defense and Defensive Scoring Points allowed.
                                                Navy ranks higher in Offensive Scoring Points and higher in the 4th catagory.

                                                Good luck with whatever you end up betting!!

                                                EDIT: I forgot the contest percentages. The PUBLIC is on Navy 67% and the TEAM EXPERTS on Army 52%.
                                                Comment
                                                • Bluewater
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 09-29-12
                                                  • 468

                                                  #25
                                                  Much mahalo
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Bluewater
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 09-29-12
                                                    • 468

                                                    #26
                                                    Sista know with the holidays coming up at lighting speed you must be crazy busy but do you have any numbers contest numbers for today’s games? Also just wondering #4 is ? What is the question ​​​​​ MIA
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Aunty808
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 09-18-22
                                                      • 396

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Bluewater
                                                      Sista know with the holidays coming up at lighting speed you must be crazy busy but do you have any numbers contest numbers for today’s games? Also just wondering #4 is ? What is the question ​​​​​ MIA
                                                      South Fla-4 (67%/89% 24-3) OVER 52' (59%/ 70% 16-7)
                                                      At 89% looks like South Fla is a FADE.

                                                      Louisiana-1' (57%/59% 16-11) OVER 61' (45%/62% 16-10)

                                                      Thurs
                                                      Ark St-1' (62%/53% 8-7) OVER 54' 53%/50%)

                                                      Friday
                                                      W Michigan-3' OVER 47' (51%/59% 10-7)

                                                      I'm sorry, I don't understand what you're asking....what is #4 and question pretaining to what?
                                                      Just got back from doc's appt......
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Bluewater
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 09-29-12
                                                        • 468

                                                        #28
                                                        Mahalo. # 1 total Defense #2 Offense scoring ppg 3# defense scoring ppg …#4 ? Just curious
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Bluewater
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 09-29-12
                                                          • 468

                                                          #29
                                                          Hope alls well with your doctors appointment
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Aunty808
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 09-18-22
                                                            • 396

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Bluewater
                                                            Mahalo. # 1 total Defense #2 Offense scoring ppg 3# defense scoring ppg …#4 ? Just curious
                                                            Oh now I get it......that's my secret (shhhh don't tell nobody!)weapon.

                                                            go here
                                                            Check out the 2025 College Football Standings and Rankings, and more about College Football at Sports-Reference.com

                                                            Look under SRS, that's #4.

                                                            SRS -Simple Rating System
                                                            A rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule.
                                                            The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.


                                                            After all the regular season games were played, Ohio St is #1 at 23.73 and Mass sits at #136, with a rating of -26.27.

                                                            Gotta run an errand......any questions? catch you later!

                                                            And remember, no tell anybody! ......LOL
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Bluewater
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 09-29-12
                                                              • 468

                                                              #31
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Aunty808
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 09-18-22
                                                                • 396

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Bluewater
                                                                Just kidding....if I didn't want anyone to know what is was, I would've sent you a message instead of plastering it on the WWW. I will probably forget this method by next year and try something else....let's see how many games we win! I'll keep my notes, just in case it churns out winners.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Mercvrion
                                                                  Benched
                                                                  • 12-19-25
                                                                  • 5

                                                                  #33
                                                                  good job!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Aunty808
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 09-18-22
                                                                    • 396

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Mercvrion
                                                                    good job!
                                                                    Thanks, but I expected better results.

                                                                    I think the Transfer Portal has made a difference in college sports this year. When I backtested last years games, there was no Transfer Portal. Big difference in the W/L results this year compared to last year.

                                                                    I still think Ohio St wins it all. We'll see.......
                                                                    good luck!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Bluewater
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 09-29-12
                                                                      • 468

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Starting to get some winnas Don’t mean to be a pest,but going be lol. 22)
                                                                      12/20 James Mad at Oregon-20'..........(11/3)
                                                                      12/23 Louisville-9' at Toledo...................(21/26)
                                                                      12/26 Northwestern-12' at CMich.........(59/88)
                                                                      12/26 FIU at UTSA+9'................................. .(107/95)
                                                                      12/27 Clemson at Penn St-1'...................(47/36)
                                                                      12/27 Geo Tech at BUY-2'.........................(78/23)
                                                                      12/27 Fresno-3' at Mia Oh........................(39/62)
                                                                      12/30 USC-6' at TCU...................................(4 2/49)
                                                                      01/02 Navy at Cinn-1'................................(98/58)
                                                                      01/02 SMU at Arizona-1'...........................(40/10)
                                                                      is the numbers in parentheses the contest numbers? If not can you post it. Mucho Mahalos
                                                                      Comment
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