Fred The Hammers CFB Thread including Early Birds

[Fred The Hammer]

If Missouri State's QB Clark suits up then I'm going another $110 on them. MT is dogshit

[Fred The Hammer]

Small but nice MLB/NFL parlay yesterday. Took Milw Over 3.5 & Mahomes 25+ each quarter FD. 25 each quarter seems so easy? Imanaga sucks too for the Cubbies

Adding:

Missouri State ML (-126) FD / Mid Tenn $189 to win $150

My kind of small school shit game! Basically fading MT here. MT is 181 on Sagarin while Missouri State is 136. Missouri State has also played a much tougher schedule with USC, SMU, and W Kentucky (63rd rated schedule). MT schedule is 111th. Taking ML since Missouri St offense isn't high powered

MT 0-2 at home this season, 1-7 at home under this coach, and 4-13 ATS. They suck in other words

Sort of lucky, but Missouri St missed an extra point and had a 75 yd wide open TD called back because he dropped to a knee to catch it inside the 30. Cost them 4 points. Also a huge faskmask which bailed out MT on their last TD. The better team won.
Line was 1.5 to 2.5 so glad I played ML. Crazy how often they can hit weird #s like that

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding:

Back to my boys that I used to ride for Overs. La Tech also won 6-7 bowls in a row under Skip Holtz which several were dogs. Nice program really

Same Game Parlay (+210) Hard Rock $125 to win $262

Blake Baker 200+ passing & La Tech ML

Changed up the bet I was looking at in this one. Hard Rock was the only one with QB props so I dug into it. Kennesaw has given up 218, 245, 181, 226, and 278 to the 5 QBs they've faced. The only one under 200 was Merrimack who isn't D1. Taking a shot here that La Tech will have to throw enough to get to 200. Doesn''t seem unreasonable for more then 2-1 odds

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding:

Same Game Parlay FD

USF ML & Byrum Brown 50+ rushing (+164) $125 to win $205

USF has played a tougher schedule and Army ran all over NT. I think USF keeps it on the ground and wears them down 2H. If you think USF is going to win then might as well throw in the QB rushing and get a nice number like +164. He ran for 162 last week and in their only close game he ran for 66 on Florida.

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding:

Same Game Parlay FD

USF ML & Byrum Brown 50+ rushing (+164) $125 to win $205

USF has played a tougher schedule and Army ran all over NT. I think USF keeps it on the ground and wears them down 2H. If you think USF is going to win then might as well throw in the QB rushing and get a nice number like +164. He ran for 162 last week and in their only close game he ran for 66 on Florida.

Might've been tighter, but USF was down 7 right before half and NT fumbled the punt inside their own 15. TD there and USF smashed them.

Up $883 overall if my numbers are right including NFL. I cash out of so many and a few tickets at Caesars sportsbook. Hard to keep all that shit straight, but I think thats where I'm at. Goal is $7,000 for the season!

I've have 3-4 plays for tomorrow before I head out for the 3:30 Indiana-Oregon game. Hopefully a big play on a early game, but haven't looked at anything yet

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding:

NC State @ ND Over 58.5 (-115) MGM $115 to win $100

SGP: Carr ND 2+ TDs passing & Over 57.5 (+115) Fanatics $100 to win $115

Duke put up 45 on NC State and NC St QB Bailey turned it over under pressure plus ND always needs style points. NC State can also score better then Boise last week. Carr has 2+ TDs in every game but 1 and I bought a point on that one. 58 can be a big number at times....41-17 or 38-20 etc

Notre Dame 45-20

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding:

Nico UCLA QB Over 51.5 rushing (-112) FD $140 to win $125

NIce line here. Other apps have 57 etc. He has 332 in 5 games and 193 in the last 2. Of course in college you have to accept that sacks will eat into your rushing yards. This is about the only thing I really like w/the Noon kickoffs

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding:

UNLV team total Over 35.5 (-114) FD $171 to win $150

Air Force gave up 44 at home to Hawaii. No way they're going to contain UNLVs speed on the NFL field turf in Vegas.

[Fred The Hammer]

Took Purdue +124 live. They're getting better

[Fred The Hammer]

Over 53.5 live too. Hedge bet basically

[Fred The Hammer]

Last week finished bad. Idk Purdue lost with 230 rushing to 40 or whatever, but they did. Thats what bad teams do. New week though...here we go!!

Adding:

SGP (+188) MGM $125 to win $235

W Kentucky -9.5 (bought .5)
Maverick McIvor 250+ passing
McIvor 2+ TDs


FIU lost 51-10 to UConn in their last game and gave up 355 yds thru the air w/4 TDs. McIvor has 8 passing TDs and over 900+ in their 3 home games. Love this one!!

DK has +130 for the same SGP. Thats pathetic.....no boosts either on MGM

[Fred The Hammer]

Jesus Christ? W KY didn't even show up

Adding:

W KY +210 ML (MGM) $175

I'll be down $50 for the season if this loses. I just refuse to believe this program will just quit at home? Long FG before half should give them life and they get the 2H KO

[Fred The Hammer]

Doubled down on dumb shit. I swear W KY was #1 in CUSA, but didn't even bother showing up? Taking a week off to regroup and start all over. Gambling ain't easy

[ex50warrior]

Sometimes there's just no rhyme or reason.

Shake it off and start again.

[Fred The Hammer]

Sometimes there's just no rhyme or reason.

Shake it off and start again.

Thanks. Running pretty good too from week 2-6 but doubled down to catch up isn't smart.

[Fred The Hammer]

Too late for anyone to tail me, but playing this one tonight

SGP Fan Duel (+225) EC ML, Houser 250+ passing, Under 58.5 $100 to win $242 with boost

[SBR Andy]

Trust the process. You've been solid most of the year!

[Fred The Hammer]

Trust the process. You've been solid most of the year!

Yeah....playing alot of parlays and thats streaky. Should've just played EC QB yardage and cashed it easily

Have Cal tonight. Cal ML, QB 250, and Over 40.5. Good start

Had Lville game Over 48.5 w/Pacers Over so almost got hammered again, but luckily Lville fumbled and Miami got a cheap TD with 7 min left and I cashed out with a little more then my $150.

Carson Beck sucks and Miami D was so bad last year that I didn't believe they were suddenly dominant. Indiana #2 now

[Fred The Hammer]

Solid day yesterday with live betting. I decided against posting anything for a bit.

Found a nice line on MGM for Caleb Williams passing w/211+ yards vs the Saints. I like Chicago's weapons with Swift being really good out of the backfield.

[Fred The Hammer]

Well already hit North Texas/Charlotte Over 58.5 when it opened so adding some stuff to it

Adding:

3 teamer (+265) FD $120 to win $318

W Kentucky/La Tech Both teams to score 15+
Delaware ML
North Texas/Charlotte Over 60.5

[redrum448]

Is western Kentuckys QB still out?

[Fred The Hammer]

Well already hit North Texas/Charlotte Over 58.5 when it opened so adding some stuff to it

Adding:

3 teamer (+265) FD $120 to win $318

W Kentucky/La Tech Both teams to score 15+
Delaware ML
North Texas/Charlotte Over 60.5

Big night! Also won $189 on SGP. NT QB 275 + ML + Over. $507!!

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding:

Francisco Mendoza (Indiana) Over 2.5 TD passes FD (-152) $228 to win $150


He's thrown 18 TDs in their last 4 home games. Last week they had 4th/4 inside the 10 in the 4Q up 35-10 and they still had Mendoza throwing in the end zone. They're trying to get him the Heismann so I expect atleast 3

Noon Kickoff Eastern

[Fred The Hammer]

Tailing this prop I saw online. Wilde's #s on Northwestern are consistently over 55 except for last week when they didn't have to throw

$114 to win $100


Prop bet #1: Griffin Wilde Over 51.5 receiving yards


-114 at FanDuel

South Dakota State transfer Griffin Wilde has taken over the receiving room for the Northwestern Wildcats, pacing the team by a wide margin in every statistical category. Through seven games, he’s accumulated 36 receptions for 516 yards and four touchdowns.

Wilde’s sheer volume makes him an appealing option in the props market. He’s seen 51 targets, which is nearly triple that of any other Northwestern pass catcher. It’s led to consistency, as he’s gone for 55+ yards in five of his last six games, “bottoming out” with 47 yards.

He’s a talented player, too, averaging 2.9 yards per route run. Combining volume with efficiency is a good way to be a productive player, and Wilde has that covered.

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding:

[B]Francisco Mendoza (Indiana) Over 2.5 TD passes FD (-152) $228 to win $150[/B]


He's thrown 18 TDs in their last 4 home games. Last week they had 4th/4 inside the 10 in the 4Q up 35-10 and they still had Mendoza throwing in the end zone. They're trying to get him the Heismann so I expect atleast 3

Noon Kickoff Eastern

Hit the other bet too. I thought I lost because I was watching Nebraska Northwestern pretty closely, but missed the catch that put him over. He had 2-41 early on

[Fred The Hammer]

Stayed at home with my Apps pulled up so I could hit these live bets easier.

2-2 on $60 live bets, but did hit Rutgers +180 for $108

I'll have a few plays for tonight. Feeling pretty good again

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding:

Sam Leavitt Arizona State 200+ passing (-114) FD $171 to win $150

221, 291, and 319 in his last 3. I don't get this number?

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding:

Texas A&M @ LSU Over 48.5 (-115) FD $115 to win $100

Parlay 3 teamer FD (+353) $60 to win $212

Texas A&M @ LSU Over 48.5
Leavitt Ariz St 200+ passing
Arizona State ML

A&M gave up 31 to Vandy last week and LSU gave up 42 to Arkansas. Both QBs can sling it. I think it will be more of a shootout then they give them credit for

Oddsshark is a little wacky sometimes but they have A&M winning 36-32. I like their numbers for totals

I also think Houston is kind of trash for a 6-1 team