Fred The Hammers CFB Thread including Early Birds

[Fred The Hammer]

Iowa QB played pretty well, but missed easy wide open TD in the red zone. FG up 24-21. Good game

[Fred The Hammer]

Hit Josh Allen 2 TDs easy, but lost MLB. I'm done with baseball, its football season Iowa ML (-125 ML) MGM

Rutgers has never beaten Iowa and they're allowing 5.6 per rush. Thats not going to work tonight. Rutgers is throwing it now and I think Iowa will be more physical. Iowa 26-19

Purdue @ Notre Dame Over 50.5 (-115) MGM

This is NDs get right game and they'll pour it on late. Also the Purdue QB isn't that bad either and ND def has some holes. Fav bet so far this week

Notre Dame 44-24

Winner Winner

[Fred The Hammer]

Arkansas @ Memphis Over 60.5 (-115) $230-$200

Won $150 on Iowa tonight and I actually like this a little more. 1000+ yards in their Ole Miss game last week. They lost 41-35. Memphis always puts up points too. Read somewhere they were taking 80+ points at +540. Idk about that, but they should get to 61

[Fred The Hammer]

Memphis 10-7 1Q

So far so good. Man Arkansas D is always soft. Guy meets the QB on 3rd/goal at the 2 and just hits him with his shoulder. Zero attempt to wrap up and drive

[Fred The Hammer]

WTF Clemson? I guess you do need the portal to be competitive

[Fred The Hammer]

TD Memphis! Starting to warm up I think. I'm even ahead in NFL which is rare for me

[Fred The Hammer]

Hit Josh Allen 2 TDs easy, but lost MLB. I'm done with baseball, its football season

Iowa ML (-125 ML) MGM

Rutgers has never beaten Iowa and they're allowing 5.6 per rush. Thats not going to work tonight. Rutgers is throwing it now and I think Iowa will be more physical. Iowa 26-19

Purdue @ Notre Dame Over 50.5 (-115) MGM

This is NDs get right game and they'll pour it on late. Also the Purdue QB isn't that bad either and ND def has some holes. Fav bet so far this week

Notre Dame 44-24

Over cashed 1H! Why didn't I play an Alt Total? I had 68 and they scored 86. I was at the Sportsbook and my phone sucks so I couldn't really post more games, but I also hit Wash/Wash St Over 51.5. Only loser all day was a small bet on E Carolina live. I also had a small parlay that would've paid $160 for $30 except I hit NC State instead of the Over like I wanted. That sucked. Oh and also picked up ND Purdue Live Over 61.5 for $100. Made almost $800 all together!! Heating up. These Overs are so easy. Arkansas got dicey 2H but the others were over 1H basically.

[Fred The Hammer]

Not much on NFL since CFB is my bread-n-butter, but I like this one:

Caleb Williams 225+ passing Alt Line
Colts ML
GB ML

+188 and +282 w/boost on FD

$125 to win $258

[stevenash]

Not much on NFL since CFB is my bread-n-butter, but I like this one:

Caleb Williams 225+ passing Alt Line
Colts ML
GB ML

+188 and +282 w/boost on FD

$125 to win $258

Danny Dimes, you're 2025-2026 MVP.
Book it.

[Fred The Hammer]

Or Taylor. THey've been humming along!

[Fred The Hammer]

Indiana (-6.5) @ Iowa FD $165-$150

Jumped on this one as soon as it opened on FD. Its -7.5 now so maybe buy 1 point if you like it. Iowa just doesn't have the speed on D to hold Indiana down. They might be able to ball control a little bit, but I see something like 34-17 IU

[Covering the #]

Indiana (-6.5) @ Iowa FD $165-$150

Jumped on this one as soon as it opened on FD. Its -7.5 now so maybe buy 1 point if you like it. Iowa just doesn't have the speed on D to hold Indiana down. They might be able to ball control a little bit, but I see something like 34-17 IU

Good move. Most ppl have no idea how good IU is again.

[Fred The Hammer]

Good move. Most ppl have no idea how good IU is again.

Thanks! Also took Skenes +.5 through 5 on a parlay with IU ML. Hopefully it will work out


Adding:

Hoover TCU 275+ passing (-125) Fanatics $200-$160


I really like this one. Arizona St held Baylor to 250 passing, but their ball control only let Baylor have it for 23+ minutes. Miss State earlier beat Az State and threw for 279 in only 22 minutes.

Hoover will be the best and most experienced QB they've seen. TCU also doesn't play bend but don't break. They blitz and take chances and won't allow Az St a big time of possession advantage. Hoover went well over 300 except for their opening blowout vs NC where he sat 4Q. This will be a battle and they'll need him to keep throwing it

[ProSportsEdge]

Thank God....almost blew them out so bad he didn't get it. 2 TDs on D and a 75 yd run. If I didn't shop the lines I would've taken a bad beat. Most had 285 or 289 even. Fanatics (used to be Points Bet) is pretty solid. They might be my new favorite over Bet MGM

Ha, I know that feeling. Those defensive TDs will flip a prop in a hurry. Good catch on line shopping too—that extra few yards can be the difference between cashing and a bad beat. I’ve been hearing good things about Fanatics as well, seems like they’re stepping up compared to some of the bigger books.

[Fred The Hammer]

Ha, I know that feeling. Those defensive TDs will flip a prop in a hurry. Good catch on line shopping too—that extra few yards can be the difference between cashing and a bad beat. I’ve been hearing good things about Fanatics as well, seems like they’re stepping up compared to some of the bigger books.

They're solid and they'll give me a boost up to a $50 bet usually. Every little bit helps during a long season

Adding:

Kaliakmanis Rutgers Over 245.5 (-114) FD

This guys name is a mouthful. I was impressed vs Iowa and Rutgers is def a passing team now. Minn is worse then Iowa imo even though its on the road. So far this guy has thrown for 252, 259, 309, and 330

I'm also throwing in TCU +130 and Rutgers +5.5 or ML in some small parlays. I think TCU wins tonight and Rutgers wins or atleast covers +5.5

[Fred The Hammer]

Parlay MGM $40 with boost to get back $219:

TCU ML +130
Houston ML -550
Rutgers QB +247 (-115)

Not a bad little score if it works out.

[ProSportsEdge]

They're solid and they'll give me a boost up to a $50 bet usually. Every little bit helps during a long season

Adding:

Kaliakmanis Rutgers Over 245.5 (-114) FD

This guys name is a mouthful. I was impressed vs Iowa and Rutgers is def a passing team now. Minn is worse then Iowa imo even though its on the road. So far this guy has thrown for 252, 259, 309, and 330

I'm also throwing in TCU +130 and Rutgers +5.5 or ML in some small parlays. I think TCU wins tonight and Rutgers wins or atleast covers +5.5

Yeah, those boosts are nice to have in the back pocket—adds up over the grind of the season. I like that Rutgers angle too, the kid’s been slinging it and the matchup looks favorable. TCU feels like a live dog tonight, and I wouldn’t be shocked if Rutgers pulls it out outright. Solid card.

[Fred The Hammer]

Cashed out the Hoover bet for $206. He had like 212 with about 2 min left 3Q which looks good on paper, but Az State was getting the ball and kept eating alot of clock each possession. He only had 106 or something at half so I was just looking for a decent cashout and got it. I don't cashout for $50 out of $200 or anything, but when you're getting everything back.

Lost all my parlay stuff with TCU ML, but that was less then $100 total. They had it won. 4th/11 late and a def back held the WR when the QB was under pressure and threw up a prayer. No reason to bear hug the guy? They keep taking deep drops and getting sacked 4Q too. What happened to quick sideline stuff? Cost them the game

Capping more stuff now. Took that Hoover $ and bet it on the Rutgers QB/IU ML

Kaliakmanis Rutgers 246+ passing & Indiana ML -310 (+148) Fan Duel $206 to win $305

[Fred The Hammer]

Capped about 3 hours now yesterday & this morning. This is a much tougher week imo. Some of those games last week really jumped out like ND/Purdue Over and Duke/NC State Over, etc. I think the books got burned and made the totals pretty high this week

No Holstein on Pitt. 260.5 is fairly high for Louisville's pass rush

This is the only other play I have for now:

North Texas Over 37.5 team total (-130) DK $225 to win $173

Faded Coastal Carolina last week in a parlay and they scored 38 and beat S Alabama as a big dog. N Texas throws it as good as anyone and puts up a ton of points. Love this one. CFN has N Texas 40-24. I thought about laying 13 or whatever, but N Texas isn't known for defense. NT QB has 1000+ yds already with no picks and they play at a fast pace.

I rarely ever play DK because their lines are behind and they never give you shit. I did get $25 free bets to come back. Better then nothing

North Texas 45-24

3 team Parlay DK (+693) $40 wins $258

N Texas Over 37.5
Maiava USC 250+ passing
Rutgers ML +170

[Fred The Hammer]

Rutgers down to +3.5 now. Minn announced their starting RB is out and backup was already out. Down to 3rd string RB. Should be over and def like Rutgers to win outright now, but not betting any more on this one

[Fred The Hammer]

Damn. Good news is Rutgers QB has 150 at half, but they should be destroying them. 1st drive they had 1st goal at the 2 and ran it off RPO 3x lost yards and then had the short fg blocked. They then went up 14-0 and tore them up, but Minn hit a bomb and a pick ran back inside the 10. Should've just bet Over 51.5 too.

North Texas kind of shitting the bed though. Need 24 in the 2H

[Fred The Hammer]

Crazy. Won a little, but IU running backwards 40 yds for a safety and TCU blowing that game. Cost me about $300. I did take Hawaii/Air Force Over live which helped. Would've been a total disaster if the Rutgers QB didn't squeak it out on the last drive. Whoever I bet seems to get killed on time of possession. He had 99 1Q and should've hit that easy. Rutgers was killing them. If I took the +5 would've hit that parlay too. Got greedy I guess

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding for Friday:

Western Kentucky +3 (-115) Fanatics/Delaware

WKY is an established program and a little higher on the Sagarin rankings. Delaware's first year D1 and last weeks big win was a little misleading. They beat FIU 38-16, but were actually outrushed and outgained. WKY is 4-1 SU and ATS. I like them to win outright, but Rutgers ML burned me last week. Should've taken the points so I will with WKY. Leaning toward Over live as well because I think it will be a shootout. Both QBs have good #s

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding for Friday:

Western Kentucky +3 (-115) Fanatics/Delaware

WKY is an established program and a little higher on the Sagarin rankings. Delaware's first year D1 and last weeks big win was a little misleading. They beat FIU 38-16, but were actually outrushed and outgained. WKY is 4-1 SU and ATS. I like them to win outright, but Rutgers ML burned me last week. Should've taken the points so I will with WKY. Leaning toward Over live as well because I think it will be a shootout. Both QBs have good #s

Wow. What a game. WKY held on despite Delaware having ZERO penalties on the evening. Thats nuts. WKY found a way though. The pick-6 and banking in a FG off the upright didn't hurt. Had a little on +130 ML too

Backed it up with San Jose QB 300+. Ran across 299.5 on Hard Rock and that was 9-10 yards lower then everyone else. $115 (-115) there and another $25 FD boost. 168 at half

Hard for me to post live stuff off my phone. I'm back home now. I'll have more tomorrow morning by 11:30 AM or so. Nice run since Opening Week

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding:

Illinois @ Purdue Over 54.5 (-115) FD $253 to win $220

Like this one alot. Won Purdue ND Over 1H and hit it again live to boot. Purdue's QB is better then people think. Over 1k yards in 4 games and they've reached 30+ in 3 of 4. Illini will outscore them, but they've had injuries in the secondary and won 34-32 last week vs USC. They gave up 63 to Indiana and 32 to USC.

Noon Kickoff

Illini 38-26

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding:

Bryant Wesco Clemson Anytime TD (+115) FD

Parlay:

Wesco TD / Bama & Vandy Over 55.5 (-125) +301

Both Clemson and NC had a bye week and needed it, but NC is still going to have one of the worst offenses in Cfb. I like Clemson big, but I don't really lay big points. This Wesco kid though....has 5 TDs in their last 3 games including a TD in all 3. Small play, but also a stocking stuff in a few little parlays for value

[Fred The Hammer]

Adding:

Vandy @ Alabama Over 55 (-125) Fanatics $125 to win $100

Juice wasn't too bad to get down to a key # like 55. It was 40-35 Vandy last year and this should also be a shoot out. I might bet more if the Noon games don't go to shit.

Capped for 2 hours now and I read that Bama's WR corp might be the best in cfb. Vandy just gave up 274 yds passing and 35 to Utah State. I also like Vandy's QB. Short dude but a baller. Reminds me a little of Johnny Manziel

Alabama 39-24

[Fred The Hammer]

One of those weeks where you don't like it that much at first glance, but end up with 10+ bets

I'll probably play Holstein (Pitt) yards on atleast a parlay, but he did get yanked last week. 2 goal line picks, but Louisville is good and BC is not. Its only like 214 or something? I like the Purdue QB for 240. Klubnik 3 TDs is +175 I think. Like alot of stuff and haven't really looked at the night games yet

[Fred The Hammer]

Not counting my $ yet, but Illini Purdue is un fkn real!

Altmyer has 267 passing already and the Purdue guy has 158. Ton of points last 4-5 minutes of 1H. 27 to 14 already!!!!

[Fred The Hammer]

Have Klubnik in a parlay 3 TD passes +175, had 4 1H. Idk why I didn't pound Clemson because I knew they'd take it out on Belechik's ass today

[Fred The Hammer]

I have Klubnik 3 tds, Love 2 tds, and Bama/Vandy Over 54.5. Could win $224 on a $30 bet

[Fred The Hammer]

Holstein Pitt didn't play? Thats weird cause the coach just said he's the starter on Thursday

[Fred The Hammer]

Last post before I enter the sportsbook'

Adding:

Malik Washington Maryland Over 234.5 FD

Lets Go!!!

[Fred The Hammer]

Last post before I enter the sportsbook'

Adding:

Malik Washington Maryland Over 234.5 FD

Lets Go!!!

Man the 3:30 games took the wind out of my sails. Only winner was Maryland +5.5. Lost their QB yards on the last drive. He hit a dude over the shoulder and away from the defender on 3rd/8 down for about a 25 yd gain and the WR dropped the ball. Was going to cash out on Bama Vandy but then they made it 14-14 right before half so I thought that would hit. By the time I cashed out there was $36 left
Love has a TD 1H and got hurt or something? Shit happens. Looked like a huge weekend for a second but just a tiny profit. Tried to Purdue Illini live Over, but they scored and screwed up the # before I could get it in. No damage though

[Fred The Hammer]

Small but nice MLB/NFL parlay yesterday. Took Milw Over 3.5 & Mahomes 25+ each quarter FD. 25 each quarter seems so easy? Imanaga sucks too for the Cubbies

Adding:

Missouri State ML (-126) FD / Mid Tenn $189 to win $150

My kind of small school shit game! Basically fading MT here. MT is 181 on Sagarin while Missouri State is 136. Missouri State has also played a much tougher schedule with USC, SMU, and W Kentucky (63rd rated schedule). MT schedule is 111th. Taking ML since Missouri St offense isn't high powered

MT 0-2 at home this season, 1-7 at home under this coach, and 4-13 ATS. They suck in other words