Coll FB: Notes and Plays

[ChuckyTheGoat]

The Bowl GR qb injury could be a big deal. He had a late-season injury as well.

Evaluated, not coming back in. I'm gonna say: Out for remainder of 1h, maybe re-evaluated at halftime.

We'll see what the Bowl Green offense looks like. Surely going to get more basic.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Evaluated, not coming back in. I'm gonna say: Out for remainder of 1h, maybe re-evaluated at halftime.

We'll see what the Bowl Green offense looks like. Surely going to get more basic.

I think he's gonna be Out. Concussion issues. HC surely thinks: Why risk it?

His father is former NFL QB. Was talking to him, looks dejected. I think he's Out.

Backup QB could surprise. Guy has completed some passes. And they can run on this team.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Loeffler, you gotta be more knowledgable about the Kicker. Lose this guy's #.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Think Pavia is ready to throw an INT.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Think Pavia is ready to throw an INT.

Props to this guy Pavia. Tough guy. Type of guy teammates love to play with.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Safety. Wow, props to both teams for giving it their all.

New Mext St has been impressive. Feel like Bowl GR needed 7 there. They still haven't scored an offensive TD.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

WINS
BYU +$300
No Texas +$200
Marshall +$200
Liberty +$200
West KY +230
LOSSES
Wash St -$321
Bowling Green -$202

...Props to New Mex St. They earned it, showed a lot of toughness.

[Jayvegas420]

I like Buffalo ML (+160)
and Memphis/UtahSt over 58.5 (-105)is a lock
my pick of the week is Duke (-170)

[ChuckyTheGoat]

I like Buffalo ML (+160)
and Memphis/UtahSt over 58.5 (-105)is a lock
my pick of the week is Duke (-170)

Jay, are these fade-worthy selections?

One word of caution. The touts LOVE Duke this week.

Happy Holidays, Jay. I was just out in Vegas for first time in three years. Enjoyed it, but my stay was low-key.

Was nice to get back into it. Hoping for a return trip for March basketball. Hope things are going well for you.

[RM Logic]

I like Buffalo ML (+160)
and Memphis/UtahSt over 58.5 (-105)is a lock
my pick of the week is Duke (-170)

Isnt Utah State"s top 2 QBs out? Their 3rd stringer is starting.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Isnt Utah State"s top 2 QBs out? Their 3rd stringer is starting.

See Reg's thread. I think that answer is YES. But the 3rd QB (Legas) has been playing for a while.

Legas is not bad. I really don't think the dropoff is too big.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

2h play = Buffalo +5 (-105). $105/100.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

2h play = Buffalo +5 (-105). $105/100.

Again, I won't count this on any record. Just b/c the turnaround is too quick.

My logic:
*I really rate these teams as closer than the -6 (pregame).
*Looks like Buffalo is determined and ready to play.
*The short clip from the HC looked good.
*Not sure it's ideal weather for Vantrease to open up. The coaches SURELY know how he likes to operate.
*Playing from behind, feel like Vantrease will be throwing into coverage some here.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Same theme on the opt-outs:

*Will WISC have some late opt-outs?

My retort: the team wasn't that good this year. Got the coach run. Where are the good players?

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Wow, fumble on 1st play. But at own 20.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Wow, fumble on 1st play. But at own 20.

Didn't take long. TD.

[Jayvegas420]

what a bullshit targeting call

[ChuckyTheGoat]

2h play = Buffalo +5 (-105). $105/100.

Bulls win. But the 2h +5 loses by one point.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Note for Ark/Kan game:

Arkansas is down to 48 scholarship players for Wednesday's game against Kansas in the AutoZone Liberty Bowl due to NFL Draft opt outs, injuries and of course the NCAA Transfer Portal. That is roughly 25 fewer scholarship players than they would normally have for a bowl game. Kansas on the other hand is as full as probably any team in the country with only six players entering the transfer portal and no NFL Draft opt outs.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Two plays for WED. Should be my 14th and 15th plays, respectively:

*Arkansas -2.5 (-107). $214 to win 200.
*Syracuse +11.5 (-125). $200 to win 160.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Here's my analysis on the two plays:

*I keep hearing about Kansas being excited to be in a bowl after being down. If Okla St QB Sanders had played in the KS game, Jayhawks might not have become bowl-eligible.

Feel like there's a gulf in class here. Line has pipped down w/ the ARK opt-outs. Reduced roster, but most of those are reserves looking for playing time elsewhere.

Jefferson was 22/4 TD/INT ratio this year. He's a player. He's expected to play, based on what I've read.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

*SYRA: I feel better buying a few points. For me, it's worth it to get above 11 in a game where neither offense figures to be too explosive.

I think the Gophers are valued out. Orangemen play in home state and should get good backing in New York City.

Looks like Dog value to me. Hoping the Orange can revert to their early-season form.


...I've made a few conference references in these posts. Two conference opinions that I expect to play out (but may not have just yet):
*SEC: good. Very good. Think this will become obvious by end of the bowl season.
*ACC: weak. Think it was a down year in the ACC. Clemson was not nearly as good as they normally are.
...I think it will show in the UCF/Duke game today. No way am I buying Duke football as an emerging team. Have to prove it to me.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

OK, UCF looks terrible. Props to Leonard.

[hehfest]

Jefferson is a LB playing Qb and a LB playing RB when he runs. If he decides to run a lot, it may keep them in the game. You can want to stop it all you want, but that dude is big and can run. How many starters out for Arkansas then compared to Kansas? This is when the real madness will start. The big schools and the opt-out carnival. Lots of coin can be made if you pay attention now.

What site do you use for the news on this Chucky?



Fantasypros.com seems to have some decent information with players listed and explains who is a starter, how long they played, etc.

[hehfest]

OK, UCF looks terrible. Props to Leonard.

I had Duke and the over in this one. Will lose the juice (EDIT: UCF is still in this one but the over looks dead...hope I don't lose both). Had Wisc and under last night. Capping Kan/Ark now. These opt-outs its almost like you have to auto-bet the side with far less. You should win more than you lose anyway.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

heh, I look at rotowire. But I'm way off on my information process. Someone has to be better than me.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Tanner MorganGood to go for Pinstripe Bowl

QBMinnesota

December 28, 2022
Head coach P.J. Fleck said Wednesday that Morgan (upper body) has been cleared to play in Thursday's Pinstripe Bowl versus Syracuse, Andy Greder of the St. Paul Pioneer Press reports.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

heh, I don't think ARK is missing too many starters. Maybe a couple receivers. The ARK post I made (post 89) is from a guy who follows the Razorbacks. Looks like the Hogs will have most name players. The opt-outs will have more impact on the depth.

I like Jefferson. He has some great hi-lites from the BYU game.

Felt bad for him in the Tx A&M game. Fumble at the goal-line which was returned 100 yards for TD (with help of one lateral). ARK should have beaten Tx A&M for sure.

[hehfest]

heh, I look at rotowire. But I'm way off on my information process. Someone has to be better than me.

I can only suggest even for thyself to try to check twitter (twatter) to find someone on the broadcast crew that will post this in real-time. Other than that, I don't know any more than you do and not sure who does on sbr. Lots of this info is changing with guys supposed to be out that play and vice-versa.

[hehfest]

heh, I don't think ARK is missing too many starters. Maybe a couple receivers. The ARK post I made (post 89) is from a guy who follows the Razorbacks. Looks like the Hogs will have most name players. The opt-outs will have more impact on the depth.

I like Jefferson. He has some great hi-lites from the BYU game.

Felt bad for him in the Tx A&M game. Fumble at the goal-line which was returned 100 yards for TD (with help of one lateral). ARK should have beaten Tx A&M for sure.

I remember that game. I had A&M and I think it was +4 or +3 can't even remember the line. All I know is I got lucky on that one.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

This KS/Ark game could get interesting:

*Ark picked up a few injuries already. Depth issues.
*If you're holding an Over ticket, I think you're in good shape.
*Holes in this KS defense. But Ark needs to keep scoring.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

ARK looks good.

As good as Jefferson looks, I'd be tempted to give the backup QB a series. Guy takes so many hits.

[hehfest]

ARK looks good.

As good as Jefferson looks, I'd be tempted to give the backup QB a series. Guy takes so many hits.

Key note: Kansas out of conference games this year: Houston and Duke. I've been riding Michigan all year because they played 3 MAC teams non-conference. Obviously, beating OSU in the Horseshoe is big though. So, Kansas's toughest out of conference game was Duke. Perhaps, why they're getting their sh*t handed to them today too. Doesn't mean everything though........

Yeah, I've the over in this game, but its pretty high total. Who knows it could die out 2nd half and burn me. These games get strange from half to half it seems.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Boy, ARK #3 gave no effort on the Onside kick.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Boy, ARK #3 gave no effort on the Onside kick.

ARK defense is shot.