Fred The Hammers CFB Extravaganza!!!!

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-05-22, 01:18 PM

Adding:

SMU ML/Over 51.5 parlay (+170) MGM

SMU faced TCU and Maryland and they're both top 25 teams. The way I see it, comes down to how much stock you put into the Louisville/UCF game. Lville plays shit defense (see BCgame) with no discipline and poor tackling and they still shut down UCF.

Its like a horse race where a horse might not have great results, but he's dropping in class. SMU is dropping in class big-time after TCU and Maryland. They can score and if they lead then they can stack the line and slow down the run. Still though UCF has a solid homefield advantage and should be able to run the ball on SMU somewhat.

Final factor for me is Gus Malzahn. Shit coach and Idk how anyone only scores 14 on Louisville at home? Seriously any random MAC team would put 20+ on them. If I lose then I put too much stock in the Louisville game, but 14 vs Louisville is a shocking total. SMU also blew them out last year and has that confidence

I'm taking SMU ML/Over 51.5 (+170) MGM

Considering Mordecai Over 313.5 passing Bovada because he's went for 369, 372, and 432 in their 3 competitive games so far. Should hit if they're winning and will definitely hit it if they're losing

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-05-22, 01:32 PM

Adding:

Tanner Mordecai Over 313.5 and 306.5 Passing (-114) Bovada

DK has 334.5 so I guess 313.5 is value. Its sort of my hedge if SMU loses although obviously I hope they both hit

Dropped to 306.5 so I checked the wind in Orlando. Nothing expected so $114 more then

**Volt** · 10-05-22, 05:37 PM

Good luck Fred

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-05-22, 05:43 PM

Originally posted by Volt

Good luck Fred

TY brother. 5-1 last 6 bets (diff sports) so maybe I'm heating up? NFL actually making sense somewhat. Probably play my Colts Under tomorrow night, but lets see what happens with SMU

Mordecai still 325.5 on DK. Weird that they had such a large margin vs Bovada with 335.5 vs 306.5. Its still 19 yards

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-05-22, 05:49 PM

Damn

I thought about it last night and I felt like there was no way the Cubs were going to close the season out getting swept. They've been playing too well over the last month or two. I thought it was another 6:40 first pitch though. Forgot about the weird starting time for everyone on closing day. Cubs 13-2. Oh well

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-05-22, 06:21 PM

Right off the bat SMU hits Rice for a 20 yard gain and he runs high into 3 guys and gets hurt/fumbles. Probably out for the game. I swear the football IQ on these kids today. Marvin Harrison knew he was small so he'd get what he could get and then went down or oob. Common sense. Can't help the team if you get wrecked

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-05-22, 09:08 PM

Wow SMU just dropped another TD pass . Atleast 1 TD and 2 long gains in the 1H. Thats atleast 70 yards in drops that hit the receiver right in the chest. Now I'm afraid UCF scores again and SMU pulls Mordecai. This is sickening

**A Quant** · 10-05-22, 09:23 PM

Originally posted by Fred The Hammer

Wow SMU just dropped another TD pass . Atleast 1 TD and 2 long gains in the 1H. Thats atleast 70 yards in drops that hit the receiver right in the chest. Now I'm afraid UCF scores again and SMU pulls Mordecai. This is sickening

Tough way to lose man. Feel for ya. They just put Preston Stone in.

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-05-22, 09:24 PM

Mordecai had 187 at half and a 3 point lead and can't get to 314.

I'm done. Thread Over. AQ beat me soundly. This shit is fkn pissing me off. The goddamn dropped passes? Any one of atleast 4 balls is caught and I win $225 tonight instead of losing everything. I'm spending money to fix my house up for sale so I can't blow $ on this bullshit

GL everyone.

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-05-22, 09:24 PM

Originally posted by A Quant

Tough way to lose man. Feel for ya. They just put Preston Stone in.

You win. GL

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-05-22, 09:26 PM

When you're soundly outcoached by Gus Malzahn then you need a new profession. That was fkn pathetic. They quit throwing those little WR screens that are basically an extended run. They totally fell apart on both sides

**A Quant** · 10-05-22, 09:29 PM

Originally posted by Fred The Hammer

When you're soundly outcoached by Gus Malzahn then you need a new profession. That was fkn pathetic. They quit throwing those little WR screens that are basically an extended run. They totally fell apart on both sides

Agree on Malzahn. He is a hack. This shit is not easy, hang in there Fred. This shit is variance. Over an extended period of time, it will come back to your side. Stay on your course, you'll be fine man.

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-05-22, 09:33 PM

Originally posted by A Quant

Agree on Malzahn. He is a hack. This shit is not easy, hang in there Fred. This shit is variance. Over an extended period of time, it will come back to your side. Stay on your course, you'll be fine man.

Oh I'm not done long term. Probably be back before bowl season, but I need a break. Running bad in my local poker room too. I think I made $9K in July with sports/poker and I don't even bet that big. First 2-3 weeks of August were pretty good too, but I'm cold and need a break.

Just like my Colts the other day. 24-17 middle 3Q and next TD puts me Over, but Tenn can't get a first down and the Colts get down to the 20 twice and fumble it away. Jonathan Taylor has 3rd/1 and jumps up and lets the guy strip him. RBs get low and keep your legs churning? Thats taught in Peewee football

**A Quant** · 10-07-22, 10:06 PM

Fred, not sure if you are still in our contest or not.

Just in case--- I am posting my plays for tomorrow, I won't be able to in morning, as I am golfing....

Kentucky (-6) v. South Carolina 220/200

Utah (-3.5) v. UCLA 220/200

Maryland (-3.5) v. Purdue 110/100

Kansas State (-1) v. Iowa State 110/100

Notre Dame (-4) v. BYU 110/100

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-07-22, 10:19 PM

Originally posted by A Quant

Fred, not sure if you are still in our contest or not.

Just in case--- I am posting my plays for tomorrow, I won't be able to in morning, as I am golfing....

Kentucky (-6) v. South Carolina 220/200

Utah (-3.5) v. UCLA 220/200

Maryland (-3.5) v. Purdue 110/100

Kansas State (-1) v. Iowa State 110/100

Notre Dame (-4) v. BYU 110/100

Ok I'll post 5 picks. GL Tomorrow

My attempts at quitting don't last long. Love CFB too much and MGM gave me $100 on a deposit. Hit Colts Under easy last night. 1-0-1 MLB with Phillies 5 innings and Seattle. Bigger play on Memphis/Houston Over 57.5 and somehow they scored 37 in the 4Q. Houston down 26-7 4Q and won with a TD, onside kick, and TD

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-08-22, 09:53 PM

NORTH CAROLINA−130
Moneyline

WON

Result:27 : 24
Wager: $130.00Paid: $230.00

NORTH CAROLINA
MIAMI FL

Event Ended
Oct 8, 2022, 4:05:00 PM

Oct 8, 2022, 4:52:09 PM
DK638008591282708041

SGP2 PICKS−105+104
Michigan -20.5, 85+
WON

Wager: $50.00Paid: $102.38

+10% PARLAY BOOST

MICHIGAN
INDIANA

Event Ended
Oct 8, 2022, 12:00:00 PM

VIEW PICKS

Oct 8, 2022, 11:48:01 AM
DK638008408796998857

SGP2 PICKS−135−122
Michigan -20.5, 60+
WON

Wager: $100.00Paid: $181.48

+10% PARLAY BOOST

Just farting around light since I've been running so bad, but good news so far. Up $600 since last night. Playing Oregon State/Stanford Over 53.5 tonight

Got super lucky with Michigan -20.5 and Corum 85+ rushing Same game parlay. Michigan played like shit and only went up 21 with minutes left

**A Quant** · 10-09-22, 10:34 AM

Looks good man-- Keep grinding!

Our contest-- we both got dogged yesterday.

To date----

I am 6-3-1 +$250

Fred is 1-9 -$1268

Fred-- you are a good guy, and you offered to settle the contest. I say, keep it- We can have a fun contest during bowl season.

And you are going to turn this-- you started to last night.

Get after it, I wish you nothing but the best. I want all of us winning!