DapperDan Football Picks....2014-' season

[Smutbucket]

NCAAF Week 4:
Auburn -9 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Auburn -7 (-110) Risking .55 units to win .5 units
Georgia Tech Team Total Under 23 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Syracuse -1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Iowa +7.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Bowling Green Team Total Under 17.5 (-105) Risking 1.05 units to win 1 units
Virginia +14.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 unit to win 1 units
6 pt Teaser. Alabama -8.5 and Arkansas -8 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Rutgers +7 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units
Oklahoma -8 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
LSU Team Total Over 28.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Clemson Team Total Over 22 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
California Team Total Under 30.5 (-110) Risking 1.10 units to win 1 units

[Timmay]

keep plugging

I'm going to copy this with same captian to my F.B.

Thanks.

[Smutbucket]

Heres full nfl card:

NFL Week 3:
Dallas -1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
6 pt Teaser. Colts -1 and Eagles -.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Broncos +5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Texans -2 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Chiefs +4.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Packers +1.5 (-110) Risking 1.65 units to win 1.5 units
Dallas Team Total Over 24 (-110) Risking .55 units to win .5 units
Saints Team Total Over 30 (-120) Risking .6 units to win .5 units

[Smutbucket]

Adding:
Broncos ML +165 Risking 1 unit to win 1.65 units
Bears +2 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

NCAAF Week 4:
Auburn -9 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Auburn -7 (-110) Risking .55 units to win .5 units
Georgia Tech Team Total Under 23 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Syracuse -1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Iowa +7.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Bowling Green Team Total Under 17.5 (-105) Risking 1.05 units to win 1 units
Virginia +14.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 unit to win 1 units
6 pt Teaser. Alabama -8.5 and Arkansas -8 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Rutgers +7 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units
Oklahoma -8 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
LSU Team Total Over 28.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Clemson Team Total Over 22 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
California Team Total Under 30.5 (-110) Risking 1.10 units to win 1 units

NCAAF Week 4: 7-5 +.85 units

[Smutbucket]

Heres full nfl card:

NFL Week 3:
Dallas -1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
6 pt Teaser. Colts -1 and Eagles -.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Broncos +5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Texans -2 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Chiefs +4.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Packers +1.5 (-110) Risking 1.65 units to win 1.5 units
Dallas Team Total Over 24 (-110) Risking .55 units to win .5 units
Saints Team Total Over 30 (-120) Risking .6 units to win .5 units

Adding:
Broncos ML +165 Risking 1 unit to win 1.65 units
Bears +2 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

NFL Week 3: 5-5 -.9 units

[Smutbucket]

Just got started digging into the college football lines, How I usually go about it is circling certain matchups/ teams that I am most familiar with (that's why I usually bet for/against certain teams because I watch them play a lot) then dig into the numbers a little deeper once its a circled matchup for me to look into. anyways the games I will be looking into this week are, Arkansas/TexasAM, Iowa/Purdue, PSU/NW, Stan./Wash, Duke/UM, Cinn/OSU, Wash St./Utah, Maryland/Indiana, Minn/Mich., ND/Syracuse, and Mizz/So.Car.....if anyone sees "an edge" in any other matchup feel free to speak up, and Ill look into the stats of the game more in-depth.

The "in-depth" stats im looking into now (as its usually changing/evolving) are yards per pass attempt (off/def matchups), yards per run attempt (off/def matchups), Avg. Scoring Margin, TO Margin, QB Sack %....Now looking at just these numbers alone is useless, but understanding the numbers and how they matchup in comparison to the competition they played so far in season/overall stats from last year/(new or old coaching staffs and how successful they've been) is the key to finding out if there's value on a certain team/matchup. Basically, understanding if a team is progressing or regressing before the books/lines adjust to the specific team. So far this year, the books have been very "soft" in their college football lines but that only means that the public is far off, lines are set to achieve 50/50 money, and Im pretty sure vegas is damn good at getting close to that in almost every game, so if the lines are soft, thats because the market is soft. Anyways, If anyone has some insight on this lil topic I brought up, or maybe some stat they think I should be using, let me know, looking to create some more discussion in this thread besides just posting my picks....

[Smutbucket]

Locked in a few early games already....got a couple more looking to add by tmrw evening....

NCAAF Week 5:
Northwestern +10.5 (-120) Risking 1.8 units to win 1.5 units
Northwestern ML (+310) Risking .5 units to win 1.55 units
Maryland/Indiana Over 69.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Iowa -9 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
2 Team 6 pt Teaser. Arkansas +14.5 and Ark/TexA&M Over 65. (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Cinncinnati +17 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

might add one In the AM....

NCAAF Week 5 Card:
Northwestern +10.5 (-120) Risking 1.8 units to win 1.5 units
Northwestern ML (+320) Risking .5 units to win 1.6 units
Maryland/Indiana Over 69.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Iowa -9 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
2 Team 6 pt Teaser. Arkansas +14.5 and Ark/TexA&M Over 65. (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Arkansas +9.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Cincinnati +17 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Texas -11.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
2 Team 6.5 pt Teaser. Notre Dame -3 and Stanford -1 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
Memphis/Miss Under 59 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
FSU -18.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

Adding:
Washington State +13 (-110) Risking .55 units to win .5 units

[Smutbucket]

might add one In the AM....

NCAAF Week 5 Card:
Northwestern +10.5 (-120) Risking 1.8 units to win 1.5 units
Northwestern ML (+320) Risking .5 units to win 1.6 units
Maryland/Indiana Over 69.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Iowa -9 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
2 Team 6 pt Teaser. Arkansas +14.5 and Ark/TexA&M Over 65. (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Arkansas +9.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Cincinnati +17 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Texas -11.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
2 Team 6.5 pt Teaser. Notre Dame -3 and Stanford -1 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
Memphis/Miss Under 59 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
FSU -18.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

Adding:
Washington State +13 (-110) Risking .55 units to win .5 units

8-4
+4.2 units

there we go just about out of the red in ncaaf....post a couple nfl plays in the AM

[Smutbucket]

oh man....next Saturday....some greeeeeeat matchups....cant wait for lines to be released

[Smutbucket]

NFL Week 4:
2 Team 6.5 pt Teaser. Steelers -1 and Panthers +10 (-120) Risking 1.8 units to win 1.5 units
GB/Chic Over 51 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Bills +3.5 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units
Dolphins Team Total Over 22 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Jaguars +12.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Vikings Team Total Over 20.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
NO/Dal Over 54 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Lions -1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

NFL Week 4:
2 Team 6.5 pt Teaser. Steelers -1 and Panthers +10 (-120) Risking 1.8 units to win 1.5 units
GB/Chic Over 51 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Bills +3.5 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units
Dolphins Team Total Over 22 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Jaguars +12.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Vikings Team Total Over 20.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
NO/Dal Over 54 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Lions -1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

NFL Week 4: 5-3 +.85 units

[Smutbucket]

NCAAF Total YTD: 30-27 -.25 units
Sides: 14-12
MLs: 1-3
Team Totals: 9-5
Game Totals: 2-3
Teasers: 4-4

Total Units Risked: 66.9 units
Total Bets: 59
Average Units Risked Per Bet: 1.13 units
Average Units Risked Per Week: 13.38 units
NCAAF MAX Bet: 2.2 units

NFL Total YTD: 21-13 +4.88 units
Sides: 13-7
MLs: 0-1
Team Totals: 4-1
Game Totals: 2-2
Teasers: 2-2

Total Units Risked: 39.7 units
Total Bets: 34
Total Units Risked Per Bet: 1.17 units/bet
Total Units Risked Per Week: 9.93 units/week
NFL MAX Bet: 2.2 units


Thread Total: 51-40 +4.63 units

[Smutbucket]

just getting started on NCAAF card....gonna be a long night looking into games.....got one for tonight

NCAAF Week 6
Syracuse +3 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

[dzuke155]

I like it!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Smutbucket]

ya dzuke I like it a lot too ....even the team total over 21.5 looks real nice too....might add before game time, I just don't like having more than 1 unit on these weekday games...

[dzuke155]

I also like the over in the sdsu game

[Smutbucket]

my buddy gave me an adderall and been running through the card allll night....this is what I came up with:


NCAAF Week 6 Complete Card:
Syracuse +3 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Texas AM +3 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Texas A&M 1st Half +.5 (+100) Risking .5 units to win .5 unit
UCLA Team Total Under 38.5 (-110) Risking 1.65 units to win 1.5 units
Michigan State Team Total Under 34 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 units
Navy -3 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
So. Carolina -4 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Miami +2 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Oklahoma 1st Half -1.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Alabama/Ole Miss Under 52.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Baylor/Texas Under 59 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
2 Team 6 pt Teaser. Auburn -1.5 and Wisconsin -2.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Maryland +7.5 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units


have a lean or two I might add in AM too....

[Smutbucket]

Adding:
Oregon State -5.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

argh what a penetrating rough day yesterday....need to stick to just smoking weed before my picks.... need to limit plays too


NFL Week 5:
Browns -1.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Ravens +3.5 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units
Bengals -2.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Chiefs TT Over 20.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
2 Team 6 pt Teaser. Steelers -1 and Broncos -1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Eagles -6 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

limiting plays in NCAAF....gonna add a couple more by Saturday but this is what I got so far....

NCAAF Week 7:
TCU +9 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Northwestern +4 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Penn State +1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Florida +2 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

NCAAF Week 7:
TCU +9 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Northwestern +4 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Penn State +1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Florida +2 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Auburn -2 (-125) Risking 1.87 units to win 1.5 unit
Texas A&M Team Total Under 34.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Arizona Team Total Over 31.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
2 Team 6 pt Teaser. Wisc. -20.5 and Lville +15.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

Adding
Georgia Tech -3 (-130) Risking .98 units to win .75 units
Oklahoma Team Total Under 31.5 (-110) Risking .55 units to win .5 units

[2daBank]

on a few of those myself. tcu, nw, might play aub but kinda like over more.. hope you right bout okla tt un cause i have tex+17 and teased to +24.. gl today

[Smutbucket]

ya tex passing defense kinda goin under the radar they ranked #1 in Sack %, and #7 In opponents yard per pass attempt....and they've played tough offensive teams with byu and Baylor (and ucla but wouldn't call them very tough, maybe slightly above average) ....their line has also managed to average 3 QB hurries a game, and 2.2 broken up passes/game......(against Oklahoma last year they had 12 QB hurries!)

in a rivalry game like this, I like this game to stay close, even though the last few years the winner has been via blowouts, but those games both had a lot of turnovers early resulting in quick points, was very tempted to take at +18 ive seen at some books but trying to limit my action ...feel safer with the TT under for Oklahoma as texas offense would be biggest concern in taking the points....

[Smutbucket]

since I been hittin team totals so well and I really love my last 2 plays....Im gonna do a little 2 two team parlay between my last two picks remaining....

Adding:
2 Team Parlay: Risking .25 units to win .65 units
Texas A&M Team Total Under 34.5 and Arizona Team Total Over 33 (-110)

[Smutbucket]

NFL Week 6
Steelers +1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Lions +2.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Bears +3 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Cowboys +9 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units
Broncos + Ravens ML Parlay (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units
49ers -3 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units

[Smutbucket]

Totaling up the last 2 horrendous weeks in NCAAF.... ....but It would be a great feat to make a comeback, my goal before going tout is to have atleast 5 winning seasons in a row in football....a losing season would be devastating to my goals and plans... anyways, some changes are obviously needed. Im a big believer in using losing weeks/streaks as sharpening tools in this ever changing market. bookies are always adapting, as should you be. I'm implementing new 'rules' to limit my degenerate soul. For the time being, limiting my picks to 7 a week at most (per league of course I think I would go into deep depression if only 7 a weekend), still got plenty of season left and in no rush to dig myself outta this hole in the next 2 weeks....its gonna happen, just gotta be patient and pick the right spots, their seems to be plenty of easy winners each week, just need to find them and stay away from the big matchups that crave action (although I would still bet auburn all day if they played again, they were clearly the superior team just gave them 14 pts early, not to mention the bs call that changed that whole dynamic of the game early in the 3rd qtr when zebras called the most abusrd pass interference on Sammy coates in the history of college football) Im also gonna start reviewing my wins and losses, and giving a brief explanation for most of my picks in this thread where anyone can discuss, will help when looking back and remembering games for myself....I've been wanting to do it to refine my record-keeping, just been lazy....

anyways.....totaling up...already got a couple lines I really love im gonna post probably by tmrw....

[Smutbucket]

NCAAF Week 6:
Syracuse +3 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units L
Texas AM +3 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units L
Texas A&M 1st Half +.5 (+100) Risking .5 units to win .5 unit L
UCLA Team Total Under 38.5 (-110) Risking 1.65 units to win 1.5 units W
Michigan State Team Total Under 34 (-115) Risking 1.15 units to win 1 units W
Navy -3 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units L
So. Carolina -4 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units L
Miami +2 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units L
Oklahoma 1st Half -1.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units L
Alabama/Ole Miss Under 52.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units W
Baylor/Texas Under 59 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units W
2 Team 6 pt Teaser. Auburn -1.5 and Wisconsin -2.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units L
Maryland +7.5 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units L
Oregon State -5.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units L

NCAAF Week 6: 4-10 -6.15 units


NCAAF Week 7:
TCU +9 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units W
Northwestern +4 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units L
Penn State +1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units L
Florida +2 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units L
Auburn -2 (-125) Risking 1.87 units to win 1.5 unit L
Texas A&M Team Total Under 34.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units W
Arizona Team Total Over 31.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units W
2 Team 6 pt Teaser. Wisc. -20.5 and Lville +15.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units L
Georgia Tech -3 (-130) Risking .98 units to win .75 units L
Oklahoma Team Total Under 31.5 (-110) Risking .55 units to win .5 units W


NCAAF Week 7: 4-6 -3.75 units

[Smutbucket]

NFL Week 5:
Browns -1.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units L
Ravens +3.5 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units L
Bengals -2.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units L
Chiefs TT Over 20.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units L
2 Team 6 pt Teaser. Steelers -1 and Broncos -1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units W
Eagles -6 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units P

NFL Week 5: 1-4 -3.55 units


NFL Week 6:
Steelers +1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units L
Lions +2.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units W
Bears +3 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units W
Cowboys +9 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units W
Broncos + Ravens ML Parlay (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 units W
49ers -3 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 units W

NFL Week 6: 5-1 +3.9 units

[Smutbucket]

NCAAF Week 8:

Iowa +4.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

I think Iowa can easily win this matchup and this line is a little strange IMO. Maryland has been still trying to figure out who's their best QB option and although their #22nd ranked yards per pass attempt is impressive, it has been ultimately shutdown against any halfway decent secondary. And this Iowa defense is ranked #10 currently holding defenses to a 5.5 yards/pass. Iowa's is juggling two QBs as well but both of them protect the ball pretty well and don't make many poor decisions. Ruddock is supposed to get the start but I like Beathard has the better arm and he was the spark to the offense in the 2nd half for their big upset against pitt. Against purdue Beathard only completed 17 of 37 passes but I remember several dropped passes and great throws, and iowa won that game pretty easily, so If Ruddock struggles in first half look for beathard to come in and take over the reigns, leading to a comeback victory. But I don't think It will be needed against this weak maryland defense, ranked 77th in yards/pass and 76th in yards/run, against a pretty soft schedule.

Washington +20 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

Another line that makes 0 sense, but this seems to be a trend with Oregon, like the arizona game. LY Oregon won easily 45-24 but that was 2 different teams. Of course everyone's heard about the offensive line woes of Oregon (ranked 118th in sack %) and how they got back starting tackle Jake Fisher against ucla and how they allowed 0 sacks in that game. Well that's because UCLA is damn awful at sacking QBs and bringing pressure, ranking 114th overall. Washingtons Defensive line is a different story, ranking 15th overall in sack %, and averaging 2 forced fumbles in all 6 of their games. They are also a top 25 defense in yards/pass and yards/run. They should easily get pressure on Mariota and disrupt Oregon's offense, covering the 21 point spread easily. Chris Peterson is doing a great job with wash and is definitely a top notch coach, ranking 26th overall in ATS win percentage with a 56.57%.

Texas -12.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

Charlie Strong has quietly turned this Texas defense around into a top 5 defense. A defensive team that last year allowed 7.0 yards/pass, now only allows 5.3 yards/pass ranked 6th overall. Against Oklahoma, and as of late, their defensive line has seen some tremendous push, and although they only got 1 sack in that game, they were constantly pressuring Knight to get rid of the ball early, holding oklahomas offense to a season low, 129 passing yards going completing just 12 out of 20 passes. They also held oklahoma to a season low 103 rushing yards on 30 attempts (3.43 avg!) Currently sporting a 2-4 record, after a couple of hard fought losses against top quality teams in baylor, byu (before injury), ucla, and Oklahoma, Texas will be looking to give a beating to the weak iowa state offense who is currently ranked 102nd in yards/pass and 106th in yards/run, with those numbers against some much inferior opponents too. Also maybe looking to drop a half unit on iowa state team total under depended on the line. Texas offense started to click late against oklahoma and should be able to cover the 12 points in this one without a problem.


Still Waiting on a few lines to be released and then finishing up a couple write-ups....probably have at least 3 more plays (no more then 4 of course) Where's my notre dame! I love it! got the write up done for that one already just waiting for them to re release line, and please for the love of God I don't want Winston to get suspended because all the value in the line will be gone....I want Winston!

(Please NOTE: All coaches ATS numbers are before this 2014 season. I don't know if any of you are familiar but there is a fantastic handicapping tool that focuses on coaches called Coaches By the Numbers. Anyways they used to offer a free service now they are charging insane amount for their valuable info. Anyways I emailed them trying to get private access and they wanted 5k....so....ya I said f%$k that....anyways usually when you email them they give you free access to their site/ matchup tools for a day so I scrambled quickly and copied down all the info while I could but that was before the season and I don't have the time to update (if you buy their service it auto updates )

[Urbanwildlife]

Nice write ups and good luck to you this weekend, as well as throughout the rest of the year!

[Smutbucket]

Thanks Urban, Here's two more, will finalize card in the morning with a couple more additions.....


NCAAF Week 8: Adding:

Kentucky +10.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

LSU is not known to blow teams out, especially this year with their offensive production struggling since the loss of the amazing mettenberger (one of my fav college QBs last year) Although they currently sporting the 27th ranking in yards/pass on offense, this number is GROSSLY inflated from their weaker opponents. Against their 4 strong opponents, they completed 47 of 103 passes, (45%) and failed to even reach 150 yards against their last two opponents (UF and AUB). Jennings is constantly being sacked sporting a 8.86% sack %. (114th in the nation) LSU's defense has also seen a HUGE DROP OFF from last year. They are ranked 120th in sack % and this is even an over-inflated # because they got 7 sacks against Sam Houston State. All of their stats are extremely padded against their weaker opponents including their 16th ranked yards/pass defense and 107th ranked yards/rush defense, although their tough opponents have been some top teams, their weak opponents have been extremely weak, so It's tough to get a good read on them. Kentuckys Defense should cause a lot more problems for this sputtering offense as they are ranked 4th against the pass (yards/pass) and ranked 35th in QB Sack %.

2 Team 6 pt Teaser. Syracuse +1 and Oklahoma -1 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 units

Keeping these two short and sweet. Wake Forest is undeniably one of the worst offenses in the country currently sporting 126th rank yards/pass, 128th rank yards/run, and 123rd ranked QB sack%, and this was against a below average SOS as well, Syracuse although coming in with a new freshman QB, should be able to run (ranking 19th in yards/run) on this defense and get the W pretty easily. Also look for Syracuse D-Line to be disruptive in the backfield sporting a 7.65 sack % (28th). Oklahoma absolutely dominated KSU LY, holding KSU to 24 rushing yards, and running for over 300 yards themselves. Look for Oklahoma to come back and send a message in the BiG12 after losing last week, both should cover without the teaser IMO, but being safe, limiting action, yada yada....