UFC on Fox 4: Shogun vs. Vera

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  • PunisherIND
    SBR MVP
    • 02-24-11
    • 4980

    #1
    UFC on Fox 4: Shogun vs. Vera
    Date: Aug 04, 2012
    Location: Los Angeles, California
    Venue: Staples Center
    Broadcast: FOX, FUEL TV and Facebook

    MAIN CARD (FOX)
    • Mauricio "Shogun" Rua vs. Brandon Vera
    • Ryan Bader vs. Lyoto Machida
    • Travis Browne vs. Ben Rothwell


    PRELIMINARY CARD (FUEL TV)
    • Joe Lauzon vs. Jamie Varner
    • Cole Miller vs. Nam Phan
    • Phil Davis vs. Wagner Prado
    • Rob Broughton vs. Matt Mitrione
    • Phil De Fries vs. Oli Thompson
    • DaMarques Johnson vs. Mike Swick
    • Josh Grispi vs. Rani Yahya
    • Manny Gamburyan vs. Michihiro Omigawa



    missed the opener on shogun, but i got him at -300. love that line and i would play him up to -350.

    i got browne at -245. i think the current -260 is still a bargain. might have to parlay browne + shogun.

    for anyone backing ryan bader, 5dimes just released some props for this fight. bader by decision is +500. had to make a little value play on that one.
  • Beelzebubzy
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-06-11
    • 6995

    #2
    Are you fading Vera or do you like Shogun that much?
    Comment
    • Vitooch
      SBR MVP
      • 09-26-11
      • 3470

      #3
      Surprised to see Vera line so low. Thought he would open in +300s. Would have taken him at those odds.
      Comment
      • Vaughany
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 03-07-10
        • 45563

        #4
        Vera auto-fade! Agree, thought Shogun would be closer to -350, and will probably end up at -400 by fight time
        Comment
        • PunisherIND
          SBR MVP
          • 02-24-11
          • 4980

          #5
          Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
          Are you fading Vera or do you like Shogun that much?
          Little bit of both. This is a serious step down in competition for shogun. You could say he hand picked vera, who would be cut if not for thiago failing the drug test. I just dont see shogun losing a 5 rounder.
          Comment
          • Vaughany
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 03-07-10
            • 45563

            #6
            Took the Bader by decision at +500 as well just in case another Rampage/Machida situation occurs
            Comment
            • Beelzebubzy
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 06-06-11
              • 6995

              #7
              I can never pull the trigger on shogun post coleman 2
              Comment
              • Beelzebubzy
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 06-06-11
                • 6995

                #8
                what did shogun open at agaimst silva
                Comment
                • Vaughany
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 03-07-10
                  • 45563

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                  what did shogun open at agaimst silva
                  Who?


                  He's -400 now on sportbet
                  Comment
                  • Beelzebubzy
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 06-06-11
                    • 6995

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Vaughany
                    Who?


                    He's -400 now on sportbet
                    Did anyone release odds for Shogun vs T Silva?
                    Comment
                    • PunisherIND
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-24-11
                      • 4980

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Vaughany
                      Took the Bader by decision at +500 as well just in case another Rampage/Machida situation occurs
                      im surprised they offered better odds for bader by dec than bader ITD!
                      Comment
                      • Vaughany
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 03-07-10
                        • 45563

                        #12
                        Originally posted by PunisherIND
                        im surprised they offered better odds for bader by dec than bader ITD!
                        yeah bit odd, especially that much difference
                        Comment
                        • PunisherIND
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-24-11
                          • 4980

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                          Did anyone release odds for Shogun vs T Silva?
                          dont believe so.
                          Comment
                          • Vaughany
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 03-07-10
                            • 45563

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                            Did anyone release odds for Shogun vs T Silva?
                            oh yeah forgot about tht fight...Bet365 have still got tht fight listed so must of been out (think Kalikas released the line). Shogun -275 and Thiago Silva +225... so when u compare that to the similar opener for the Vera fight it's not surprising tht Shogun is now -400!
                            Comment
                            • Beelzebubzy
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 06-06-11
                              • 6995

                              #15
                              I am playing the -290 on Bookmaker.
                              Comment
                              • PunisherIND
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-24-11
                                • 4980

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                                I am playing the -290 on Bookmaker.
                                Wise move. I need a bookmaker account. That lines been sitting at -290 for 2 days almost.
                                Comment
                                • Beelzebubzy
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 06-06-11
                                  • 6995

                                  #17
                                  I would only tail three people on this board. V, JC, and Punisher. 2/3 say so, Ill consider it
                                  Comment
                                  • Vaughany
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 03-07-10
                                    • 45563

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                                    I would only tail three people on this board. V, JC, and Punisher. 2/3 say so, Ill consider it
                                    C'Mon what about Gabe!? Muthafuckers give him no respect...what's an Armenian gotta do round here to get some love...bring out a sex-tape? Dude is the people's Champ! You suckas so duuuuuumb
                                    Comment
                                    • The HOFF
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-02-08
                                      • 4847

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                                      I am playing the -290 on Bookmaker.
                                      Me too.
                                      Comment
                                      • Beelzebubzy
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 06-06-11
                                        • 6995

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Vaughany
                                        C'Mon what about Gabe!? Muthafuckers give him no respect...what's an Armenian gotta do round here to get some love...bring out a sex-tape? Dude is the people's Champ! You suckas so duuuuuumb
                                        I would love to tail Gabe, but he posts his plays 20 minutes post - post conference

                                        Comment
                                        • PunisherIND
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-24-11
                                          • 4980

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                                          I would only tail three people on this board. V, JC, and Punisher. 2/3 say so, Ill consider it
                                          Cheers bro. JC won't play such a big favorite but hopefully he won't be on vera.
                                          Comment
                                          • Vaughany
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 03-07-10
                                            • 45563

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                                            I would love to tail Gabe, but he posts his plays 20 minutes post - post conference

                                            haha
                                            Comment
                                            • GunShard
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 03-05-10
                                              • 10027

                                              #23
                                              Interesting fight card.
                                              Comment
                                              • PunisherIND
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-24-11
                                                • 4980

                                                #24
                                                shogun jumped to -530 for a minute. back to -400 now.
                                                Comment
                                                • Vitooch
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-26-11
                                                  • 3470

                                                  #25
                                                  Hopefully JC backs Vera, which I think he will. I will probably back Vera, and need some credibility
                                                  Comment
                                                  • PunisherIND
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-24-11
                                                    • 4980

                                                    #26
                                                    hey vitooch, why dont you ask him who he's backing when you say your prayers tonight? that way theres no need for speculation.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • more_betterness
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 08-18-11
                                                      • 344

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by PunisherIND
                                                      shogun jumped to -530 for a minute. back to -400 now.
                                                      Dammit! I've been waiting for the line to drop on 5d since it dropped on bookmaker and it happens while I'm on vacation and internet-less .. Would have pounded -280 but rarely ever play anybody above -350 or so. Parlay fodder I guess.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Digo
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 01-21-12
                                                        • 563

                                                        #28
                                                        I am confident in Bader by decision in this fight.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Vitooch
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-26-11
                                                          • 3470

                                                          #29
                                                          Think Machida will crush Bader
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Oblivian
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 01-27-12
                                                            • 163

                                                            #30
                                                            I would definitely pull the trigger on Vera in a 3 round fight. I'm not crazy about it in a 5 round fight.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Thor4140
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 02-09-08
                                                              • 22296

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Oblivian
                                                              I would definitely pull the trigger on Vera in a 3 round fight. I'm not crazy about it in a 5 round fight.
                                                              if u bet Vera u need a few things to happen. U need the Vera of old who beat a bunch of stiff to somehow look good again against competition out of his league. U need the Shogun who fought Forrest the first time around who gassed and basically just showed up for that fight. Now if u get the Shogun who fought Machida u are gonna get smashed. If u get the Shogun who fought Forrest and Coleman u have a slim chance. Vera might be the biggest blowhard in MMA. Can't wait till he wins the title off of Jones and then parlays that with a win over Dos Santos
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Vaughany
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 03-07-10
                                                                • 45563

                                                                #32
                                                                haha Vera is still gonna be the first to hold the LHW and HW titles at same time and thts the Truth baby!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • THE_LOCKSMITH
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 08-25-08
                                                                  • 7237

                                                                  #33
                                                                  decent prelims on this card
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Thor4140
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 02-09-08
                                                                    • 22296

                                                                    #34
                                                                    bump
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • gabe
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 09-12-11
                                                                      • 7405

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                                                                      I would love to tail Gabe, but he posts his plays 20 minutes post - post conference

                                                                      I gave out all my picks in my thread, so suck my dk, bitch.
                                                                      Last edited by gabe; 07-22-12, 03:43 PM.
                                                                      Comment
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