Hougigo's boxing/MMA picks

[MD]

You have just confirmed for me that most of what goes on in the boxing ring goes completely over your head. The fact of the matter is that you have no idea why Broner lost (specifically). And you have no idea how Broner should have won based on what he has done in previous fights. Because if you did then you would have seen Broner as the clear favorite ahead of time. You clearly did zero tape study on both Broner & Maidana. Moreover, you using the words fluke & luck is very telling. Things happen for a reason bruhv. Luck or magic have nothing to do with it. Keep trying kiddo maybe some day you'll figure it out.

I clearly used the work "flukeishly" sarcastically. I like how you spend so much time ranting about pattern recognition and being able to see things that other people don't, and then when you horribly misjudge a fight, you say that you were still right, and I just don't understand why because I don't understand why Broner had such a big advantage going into the fight. Seems like you had a great read on the fight bro.

[Mercersux]

All Broner backers got killed more so by Broner's immaturity in the ring than anything (myself included). I have no doubt that if Broner didn't go into the fight as arrogant as he did his chances of winning that fight go up big time. Maidana applied the heat from the get go and Broner was rattled long enough for Maidana to rack up rounds and withstand Broner getting it back. Still believe in 5 years Broner will be a beast. He might not reach Mayday status now but him eating a loss might be good for him in the long run.

[Sato]

Broner beat himself by partying and doing other damaging things to his body as a pro. Guy'll end up in the gutter. Hes no Floyd!

[hougigo]

Random... but feeling spicy and like a degen from last week.
I hate sitting still... so I'm doing some degen bets

Hall/Malinga goes the distance: -185
Hall 12 round decision: 180
Stuart Hall: +115

Going 30 each.... my only explanation is it's a home guy....that's it. I'm being a degenerate...my only reason other than home.

Says 3pm on 5d, but they're still up. Fight hasn't started yet though, so all good I hope

[hougigo]

Random... but feeling spicy and like a degen from last week.
I hate sitting still... so I'm doing some degen bets

Hall/Malinga goes the distance: -185
Hall 12 round decision: 180
Stuart Hall: +115

Going 30 each.... my only explanation is it's a home guy....that's it. I'm being a degenerate...my only reason other than home.

Says 3pm on 5d, but they're still up. Fight hasn't started yet though, so all good I hope

Wow, 3 degen play hit..... go me

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Wow, 3 degen play hit..... go me

[hougigo]

Lol thanks. You've seen me make some degen plays on here... very rare, haha

[hougigo]

Damn.. I was on Wiedman again... but didn't see that coming

[hougigo]

Crawford/Burns in March.

Gonna probably put in on Crawford by KO because he'll show up for his first title fight and Burns, IMO, needs more time for that jaw injury.

[hougigo]

Pascal/Bute this weekend. I'm leaning Pascal by decision.... have him start moderately strong...then ever so slightly fade, with the fight being close on the cards.
I don't think Pascal will KO Froch despite the inactivity or the weight class move... I also don't think Bute will KO Pascal.....but anything can happen.
I'm not very confident seeing as both men have seen strings of inactivity and anything can happen. Bute hasn't been in since he got obliterated and Pascal has only been in there with a soft touch. My gut says Pascal.... so I'll rock with that for now. Was going to lay some on Mike Perez, but he exploded. If anything else happens on the undercard..... i'll check it out
IMO... I'm going to rock Pascal SU and put a little on Pascal Decision.

-155 Pascal SU
+389 Pascal by decision

[hougigo]

Of course after saying that... i'm having serious thoughts I picked wrong.
Damnit...... Pascal has the best success if he keeps active and throws combinations.... but he doesn't do that enough and as the fight goes on, he'll slowly fade while Bute takes over. Bute is most vulnerable because of his chin.... and I don't think Pascal can crack it, even if Bute is there for only the second time in 2 years.

Damnit......W/E
I couldn't be decisive about this fight anyway....

[Mercersux]

Of course after saying that... i'm having serious thoughts I picked wrong.
Damnit...... Pascal has the best success if he keeps active and throws combinations.... but he doesn't do that enough and as the fight goes on, he'll slowly fade while Bute takes over. Bute is most vulnerable because of his chin.... and I don't think Pascal can crack it, even if Bute is there for only the second time in 2 years.

Damnit......W/E
I couldn't be decisive about this fight anyway....

Haven't even given this fight a thought. First glance I'd play Bute. This is more out of the fact that Pascal has never impressed me in the least. I would check into how Bute's hand is before pulling the trigger on anything.

[hougigo]

Haven't even given this fight a thought. First glance I'd play Bute. This is more out of the fact that Pascal has never impressed me in the least. I would check into how Bute's hand is before pulling the trigger on anything.

Well I'm in sit and hope mode now.
Haven't seen anything on his hand... but if anything, he'd say that it's fine. imo, unless we see something like an x-ray... I assume a fighter is doing it to get out of a contract or buy time

[hougigo]

Only one I got tonight is Luis/Redach U7.5 Rounds.
Both haven't fought anybody nice, but I expect Luis to crumble under the Ukranian-Mexican's pressure

Got -220

I'm always on edge when I wager something... watching Frozen to cool down

[MD]

I'm always on edge when I wager something... watching Frozen to cool down

I just like to remember that I lost my entire bankroll on the first bet I ever made. Could only go up from there.

[hougigo]

I just like to remember that I lost my entire bankroll on the first bet I ever made. Could only go up from there.

Danngggg. I lucked out on mine.
Ended in a Draw and didn't know if I lost all of it or get it back. Lucky for me it wasn't a prop and I got it back

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Galarza just crumpled that guy! Wow! Anyone watching Showtime right now? Hey Gigo. You out there? I got a small play on the Ukrainian.

[hougigo]

I can't believe Luis is keep up this pace... and Redack can't do anything unless he gets off first... not doing so well off his back foot and the ropes..... i'm pretty surprised with this kid's toughness

[hougigo]

Pascal/Bute this weekend. I'm leaning Pascal by decision.... have him start moderately strong...then ever so slightly fade, with the fight being close on the cards.
I don't think Pascal will KO Froch despite the inactivity or the weight class move... I also don't think Bute will KO Pascal.....but anything can happen.
I'm not very confident seeing as both men have seen strings of inactivity and anything can happen. Bute hasn't been in since he got obliterated and Pascal has only been in there with a soft touch. My gut says Pascal.... so I'll rock with that for now. Was going to lay some on Mike Perez, but he exploded. If anything else happens on the undercard..... i'll check it out
IMO... I'm going to rock Pascal SU and put a little on Pascal Decision.

-155 Pascal SU
+389 Pascal by decision

Of course after saying that... i'm having serious thoughts I picked wrong.
Damnit...... Pascal has the best success if he keeps active and throws combinations.... but he doesn't do that enough and as the fight goes on, he'll slowly fade while Bute takes over. Bute is most vulnerable because of his chin.... and I don't think Pascal can crack it, even if Bute is there for only the second time in 2 years.

Damnit......W/E
I couldn't be decisive about this fight anyway....

Was glad sitting out and waiting paid off

[fitguy67]

the bute/pascal fight (and what passed for the judging of it) was as tentative and unsteady as your posts/thoughts/feelings about it...

nice when you can say something like that AND cash 'da ticket...

'tanks gigo

[hougigo]

the bute/pascal fight (and what passed for the judging of it) was as tentative and unsteady as your posts/thoughts/feelings about it...

nice when you can say something like that AND cash 'da ticket...

'tanks gigo

]

Thanks man. Actually didn't watch the fight because I was out and Buffalo Wild Wings didn't have it.
Feels good, Heard that it was close

[hougigo]

Rosado a +180 underdog.... gonna have to watch that

[hougigo]

Peterson also sitting at -210.... I like his chances at home.
If Props pop up, I'll grab him by decision

[hougigo]

Peterson appears to be going down... awesome. Sitting -150 right now
Some I'm biting now

Arslan/Huck go the distance : -195

Yea, this fight was close last time and Arslan showed he's a tough S.O.B for his age. I expect pretty much the same this time around with it going 12 and being close. Damn near impossible to beat Huck in Germany as I thought Arslan did enough to win, but the scores were heinous.

[hougigo]

Peterson slowly dropping..... awesome.
-140 now

People really like Dierry Jean

[hougigo]

Another i'm biting on now.
Stevens/Majewski U9.5 rounds -160

Majewski says he's gonna be on the outside all night.... I don't know. He's knocked everyone else silly (Stevens) with the exception of Findlye (who's only been KO'd once) and GGG.
If Majewski is successful, he could very well avoid getting KO'd. I like Steven's handspeed and power to take him out before 10 though.

Also taking Stevens ITD prop for -149
He has a real big chip on his shoulder to prove he belongs in the MW division and I think he does it tonight. If he wants any future in the division it starts now. This is the division he belongs in (compared to SMW and LHW) and he has to dominate now and work his way back to title contention. I think he can get one this year if he can string some good fights together against the WBO champ, Quilin

[hougigo]

Depending on how tonight goes.
I'll either just take Rosado SU, or add a prop of Rosado ITD @440
Also no point in Garcia/Burgos SU, so Im looking at the fight going the distance prop, +170 ATM

[latarianmilton]

i like garcia a lot i see no flaw in his tecnique, he has scary power yet he takes his time and never takes chances. Rarely a fighter with such big ko power boxes so well.
burgos is good too so the -1000 line is unbettable, idk about the fight going the distance iirc garcia has never gone 12

[Ron_Paul_2012]

5 units on Stevens straight!

[hougigo]

Another i'm biting on now.
Stevens/Majewski U9.5 rounds -160

Majewski says he's gonna be on the outside all night.... I don't know. He's knocked everyone else silly (Stevens) with the exception of Findlye (who's only been KO'd once) and GGG.
If Majewski is successful, he could very well avoid getting KO'd. I like Steven's handspeed and power to take him out before 10 though.

Also taking Stevens ITD prop for -149
He has a real big chip on his shoulder to prove he belongs in the MW division and I think he does it tonight. If he wants any future in the division it starts now. This is the division he belongs in (compared to SMW and LHW) and he has to dominate now and work his way back to title contention. I think he can get one this year if he can string some good fights together against the WBO champ, Quilin

5 units on Stevens straight!

Thank you Stevens for an easy night, lol

[fitguy67]

Huck/Arslan up now...tailed u on GTD -190 when u posted a few days ago

also just placed Huck, DEC at -138

[hougigo]

Huck/Arslan up now...tailed u on GTD -190 when u posted a few days ago

also just placed Huck, DEC at -138

I'm hoping it pulls through. Huck is a guy who's only in one gear at a time... defensive or offensive. In the first fight, Arslan pushed the pace int he first half while Huck threw combinations at the end of the round to try and steal it. Arslan probably worked on his fitness more for this fight and will try to push it for 12 straight rounds. We'll see how it goes.
I'm expecting much of the first, but the dude is 43....Hopefully he's ready like I think he is

[hougigo]

I'm not going to see much change, so I laid down some for tonight. Made a good amount thanks to Curtis Stevens last night, so some added props

Lamont Peterson Wins only prop -119

Missed out on -120, but that's fine. I like the homeboy here. Dierry Jean is ripped to shit, but he hasn't fought any elite opposition yet. Lamont is a guy who can push you for 12, or keep on the outside if he needs to. Jean is quick and explosive, but I think Lamont can adjust and keep it on the outside for a decision win. Jean is untested, Peterson learned a lot from his last loss. I'm banking on Peterson keeping it on the outside and not letting Jean work on the inside. He's also a hometown boy and might get a lift from his hometown judges.


Peterson -1 spread: -115

Like I said, I'm banking on Peterson here and I expect him to have a gracious scorecard from the judges.
Gabe Rosado +180

Going with the much more battle tested and seasoned veteran here. This is his fourth undefeated fighter in a row and the only undefeated fighter he didn't look good against was Golovkin. Charlo faster and has a good jab, but if Rosado can apply smart pressure and cut the ring off, he can have a lot of success against Charlo. I wouldn't be surprised if Charlo works his way outside to a decision, but Gabe is ready for this and it's do or die for him. I'm banking on the Veteran


Jennings 10 round Decision: +160

Interesting match up here. Spizlka a big punching southpaw, but I feel like Jennings is the more polished of the two. I think he's going to use his jab and boxing ability to keep Spizlka in check and box to a decision. He might have difficulty with the southpaw, but I feel as if he'll come up on top here and maybe get a close decision on the cards.
Spizlka had it rough with Mollo, but Jennigns could keep it out of his reach instead of charging in all reckless like Mollo

[hougigo]

I have Firat up 3-1 after 4

[hougigo]

UGHhhh..... Firat got caught and then swarmed