Hougigo's boxing/MMA picks

[hougigo]

i was 2-1 today

Got in on Donaire Over and Garcia under
Lost a little on Donaire decision, but was small.
Should've took Andrade, but IMO... wasn't worth the risk at that price.
Solid week IMO

[hougigo]

Seriously... opinion time. I thought vanes/Andrade was a 50/50 fight with the Arum factor thrown in there. Andrade was -250 at the time... too much risk yea? I would'e taken him in the low 100's range... but -250 seemed too high... plus it was going up.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Hougigo what do you think of the Froch & Pac matchs next Sat?

[yoyoyo]

I was prepared to take Andrade if the odds were close. I ended up playing Vanes just because I felt like it was a closer match up than the odds suggested.

I've got Froch wrapped up in a few multi-fight parlays. Thinking it's too soon for Groves. Only play so far is the over 9.5 rounds +145 for the Pacquiao fight. Rios is a tough dude, and I think Pacquiao's power is overrated. He's more of a break you down with accumulation type of guy.

[hougigo]

Hougigo what do you think of the Froch & Pac matchs next Sat?

At the moment I have Froch....no real prop choice for me yet... maybe by decision.... don't know.
As for Pac, I had Pac via stoppage..... butthat's more like Margarito style. Now I think Pac will just punish him for 12 rounds, beat him badly but the corner doesn't stop it.
I think now Pac over and Pac decision are more likely.
Old Pac would've slaughtered him

[hougigo]

Honestly.... looking at the over in Pac/Rios and Pac decision.... Rios loves to take damage

[hougigo]

I'm on Luis Ramos Jr. tonight....-175

[Mercersux]

I'm on Luis Ramos Jr. tonight....-175

Dang... I'm looking @ -240 on my book. Is that 5dimes?

[NunyaBidness]

Dang... I'm looking @ -240 on my book. Is that 5dimes?

-205 5d -185 bookmaker

[hougigo]

Dang... I'm looking @ -240 on my book. Is that 5dimes?

Yea... I don't know where it's at now... I hit it up earlier today

[hougigo]

Oi.... he's up to -225 now

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Guerrerro fighting next. I got Ramos Jr. as well Gigo.

[hougigo]

Dang... this is whwy you can't take Guerrero... taht chin

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Dang... this is whwy you can't take Guerrero... taht chin

I don't think his fight had odds posted at any books. I am definitely fading Guerrerro the next time his fight is posted though. Can't wait for Ramos Jr.

[hougigo]

I don't think his fight had odds posted at any books. I am definitely fading Guerrerro the next time his fight is posted though. Can't wait for Ramos Jr.

I didn't see him on 5D... but that chin has been a problem. He has skills, but everybody is knocking him down.
A green Rosado, Brewer KO'd him, Quillin crushed him with 4 KD's and now some guy who sucks and hasn't fought in 3 years

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Hey gigo have you given any rounds to Guerrerro?

[hougigo]

Hey gigo have you given any rounds to Guerrerro?

Yea, I mean besides the first, I think he's won every round
Gatica just bouncing and chasing and throwing jabs.....he waits till the last 15 seconds to do anything

[Mercersux]

Think we all rocking Ramos Jr tonight. Anybody got thoughts on the Ward(-800** v. Rodriguez(+500) fight? IMO Edwin is very much a live dog.

[hougigo]

Think we all rocking Ramos Jr tonight. Anybody got thoughts on the Ward(-800** v. Rodriguez(+500) fight? IMO Edwin is very much a live dog.

Here's my thoughts.

Edwin got the power to definitely make the fight interesting, here are my problems:

1. He's too damn wide when he throws! I mean, when he's throwing those shots, he makes the biggest loops on his way to throwing! Ward is a great defensive fighter and will either be able to see the coming and dodge or defend against them.
2. Edwin doesn't do good very well against movers. Ronsiky (I believe his name was) gave him plenty of problems moving. He's a decent propsect who gave Pavlik trouble with his movement. People might think he's riding a high against Grachev... but Grachev is very easy to hit and got hit by every wide shot Edwin threw.

Edwin can win if he can nail Ward with one of his shots, but IMO they're too damn wide when he throws and I expect Ward to move in or out at ease. Plus, he'll piss ward off with the amount of times he'll probably clinch him.

I don't know... I'm on Ward, but not SU

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Think we all rocking Ramos Jr tonight. Anybody got thoughts on the Ward(-800** v. Rodriguez(+500) fight? IMO Edwin is very much a live dog.

Rodriquez is def. a live dog.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Rodriquez is def. a live dog.

But I have a small parlay with Ward -775. I think it will be closer than what most people think. However, at the end of it all Ward will get his hand raised.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Does everyone here have Guerrerro losing this fight.

[hougigo]

Does everyone here have Guerrerro losing this fight.

I don't... I have it 7-3 Guerrero with a KD for Gatica

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Come on Ramos Jr! He has the same trainer as GGG!

[hougigo]

OMG.... Ramos might be done already... FML.... he's cut badly from a punch too!
penetrate

[hougigo]

Goddamnit... he let Maldonado get inside too damn early and too much damn damage!
GAHHHHHH

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Ramos has a victory over Ray Beltran. WTF! Cut?!

[hougigo]

Ramos has a victory over Ray Beltran. WTF! Cut?!

Gah... Ramos is a good boxer and Maldanado is a banger who is very beatable. If he can survive this cut he can still take it....

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Ramos comin' back!

[hougigo]

Ramos is targeting the body now... I think he's trying to tire him out from there and he's letting hi get up against the ropes.
Better action, but he's still getting hit way too much, expecially with that cut

[hougigo]

He cant come in so carelessly too... if Maldanado was smart, he can get him coming in with an uppercutt

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Hey gigo do you ever listen to tha boxing voice?

[hougigo]

WTF?!
A point deduction right off the bat?!
Okay... okay

[hougigo]

Hey gigo do you ever listen to tha boxing voice?

Not that much... i've heard it once or twice

[Mercersux]

Boys...I'd venture to say we're fighting an uphill battle here.