Hougigo's boxing/MMA picks

hougigo · 09-05-13, 07:54 PM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

You liking Bute or Pascal?

I haven't really set down on who I want to lay with. I think it's kind of hard. Pascal a big puncher and could win.... but I haven't been impressed with him recently and he has the tendency to gas. He's coming off a long lay off and having a fight this month, so that'll be a good indicator. For now though, Bute is looking like the attractive option.

I'm waiting for Pascal's fight before I look more into it... I think it got pushed back to Jan next year

Fistula · 09-07-13, 05:54 AM

I was thinking Arreola by KO too, but it's a bit pricey so I might just take Arreola straight at -440. Arreola should be closer to 1/10.

The ref won't help Ishe Smith, sorry man. He's a paper titlist and he's losing to Molina, who has every advantage over him. Molina's my play of the month and what I consider a gift to cover the pay per view cost for me.

LOL at not only Lara-Trout still being listed but people using sportsbooks as their boxing schedule...

hougigo · 09-07-13, 11:55 AM

Originally posted by Fistula

I was thinking Arreola by KO too, but it's a bit pricey so I might just take Arreola straight at -440. Arreola should be closer to 1/10.

The ref won't help Ishe Smith, sorry man. He's a paper titlist and he's losing to Molina, who has every advantage over him. Molina's my play of the month and what I consider a gift to cover the pay per view cost for me.

LOL at not only Lara-Trout still being listed but people using sportsbooks as their boxing schedule...

Don't get me wrong, I love Molina as a fighter and I want him to win the title, but he has an ugly style where he clinches a lot and boxes from there.... something Nady will be quick to break up. Also the fact Ishe's a TMT fighter worries me a little. I'm giving him a slight edge from there because of that.
I think Molina is the fighter that should win though, but he has a lot of things against him in this fight though.

Also, I'll probably parlay Arreola under 5.5/Burns decision/Nielsen over

It's about +224

MD · 09-07-13, 02:20 PM

I love how even the guy reading the results is acting as if Smith wasn't fighting a guy who quit after getting hit a few times.

Ron_Paul_2012 · 09-07-13, 04:19 PM

Let's go Braekhus! Have her parlayed with Shlemenko! Also have Beltran by decision and Draw!

MD · 09-07-13, 04:24 PM

Originally posted by Ron_Paul_2012

Let's go Braekhus! Have her parlayed with Shlemenko! Also have Beltran by decision and Draw!

How can you play Shlemenko at those odds? He's being horrendously overrated IMO. Even -400 is a stretch.

hougigo · 09-07-13, 04:46 PM

Originally posted by Ron_Paul_2012

Let's go Braekhus! Have her parlayed with Shlemenko! Also have Beltran by decision and Draw!

Burns is in trouble... you might have it

hougigo · 09-07-13, 04:48 PM

Hahaha... my parlay might be blown already. Burns is getting it and Beltran is firing up now.
Burns is either up by one or losing

Ron_Paul_2012 · 09-07-13, 04:49 PM

Originally posted by MD

How can you play Shlemenko at those odds? He's being horrendously overrated IMO. Even -400 is a stretch.

I agree with you. I even said as much in a PM to either Dwil or Sato. Although I think -400 is about right. If there was a UFC card today I probably would not have played Shlemenko. I also have the over in both the Pitbull & Shlemenko matches. The way Beltran is fighting I'm a bit concerned that he will win via TKO instead of decision.

hougigo · 09-07-13, 04:49 PM

Burns is getting wrecked by that left hook

Ron_Paul_2012 · 09-07-13, 04:51 PM

Braekhus just won! Come on Beltran!

MD · 09-07-13, 04:55 PM

Burns by decision is looking much better now.

Ron_Paul_2012 · 09-07-13, 04:56 PM

Originally posted by MD

Burns by decision is looking much better now.

Beltran took a breather. Look for him to come back in this next round.

Ron_Paul_2012 · 09-07-13, 04:57 PM

Originally posted by Ron_Paul_2012

Beltran took a breather. Look for him to come back in this next round.

I told you.

hougigo · 09-07-13, 04:58 PM

Down with a left hook!
Man... Beltran is wrecking him with it.
Tere goes moy Burn by decision

hougigo · 09-07-13, 05:03 PM

I don't mind blowing my parlay if Beltran wins. Yea i'll be down 50, but I've been waiting for this cat to lose and get that belt out of there for the longest time!

hougigo · 09-07-13, 05:10 PM

Beltran should win a decision here.... no way that they give it to Burns
Burns is done.
Congrats Ron_Paul
Sorry to anybody that backed me

Ron_Paul_2012 · 09-07-13, 05:13 PM

Originally posted by hougigo

Beltran should win a decision here.... no way that they give it to Burns
Burns is done.
Congrats Ron_Paul
Sorry to anybody that backed me

I also placed a draw wager just in case Beltran gets screwed & they only give him a draw.

hougigo · 09-07-13, 05:16 PM

Originally posted by Ron_Paul_2012

I also placed a draw wager just in case Beltran gets screwed & they only give him a draw.

You'd have to have a really bad scorecard for that.
IMO, even the rounds you could split between the two, beltran should still be up. Burns has done nothing but ran and held.
This would be one of the biggest robberies of the year if it's anything other than a Beltran win.
I logically can't fathom a win here

hougigo · 09-07-13, 05:19 PM

JF:WELKJF:OIDSJFOIJSDF
WTF?!?!?!
I DON'T EVEN KNOW.....WTF..... There was a GODDAMN KNOCKDOWN

Ron_Paul_2012 · 09-07-13, 05:22 PM

Draw! Won even more than by decision.

I've been watching boxing for almost 30 years now. I knew this was a likely outcome. I've seen it before over and over throughout the years.

hougigo · 09-07-13, 05:25 PM

Originally posted by Ron_Paul_2012

Draw! Won even more than by decision.

I've been watching boxing for almost 30 years now. I knew this was a likely outcome. I've seen it before over and over throughout the years.

Those cards were too damn close in a fight that wasn't close at all.
Wow.... Burns could have easily won it by doing absolutely nothing.... a foking disgrace in this sport.
I'm mad I lost and even more so that the guy didn't even get to leave with his belt

MD · 09-07-13, 05:30 PM

I had Beltran up a point. Was a close fight, by the ten-point-must system. It's just one of those fights where people will be bothered by the result because Beltran's rounds were much more decisive and as a whole, it could even be called a dominant fight by Beltran. Not round by round, though. Round by round, it was very very close.

hobbesITD · 09-07-13, 05:47 PM

How does a fight with a knockdown get scored a 114-114?

MD · 09-07-13, 05:48 PM

Originally posted by hobbesITD

How does a fight with a knockdown get scored a 114-114?

10-10.

hougigo · 09-07-13, 05:49 PM

That's it for me tonight. Nielsen went over, so that's 1/3, Burns lost, so the parlay is done.
I'd put down on Arreola/Mitchell under in a single play, but I'm tied up with a Texas/Michigan Teaser

hougigo · 09-07-13, 05:49 PM

Originally posted by MD

10-10.

I wasn't thinking.... pissed... bout to drink and finish watching this Georgia game.

Ron_Paul_2012 · 09-07-13, 05:57 PM

Originally posted by hougigo

I wasn't thinking.... pissed... bout to drink and finish watching this Georgia game.

Not going to watch the Bellator prelims on spike.com?

hougigo · 09-07-13, 06:34 PM

Originally posted by Ron_Paul_2012

Not going to watch the Bellator prelims on spike.com?

Nah, I'm not. Watching the SC game.... pretty down to the wire right now

hougigo · 09-07-13, 08:55 PM

Another undervalued line! Take Matthysse/Garcia under 8.5!!!!!
No way either man lets this get to the second half of the fight!

I'm pounding it @-115!!!!

Fistula · 09-07-13, 09:52 PM

Originally posted by hougigo

That's it for me tonight. Nielsen went over, so that's 1/3, Burns lost, so the parlay is done.
I'd put down on Arreola/Mitchell under in a single play, but I'm tied up with a Texas/Michigan Teaser

That's why when I play parlays I never include a method of victory prop. Including Burns straight would at least leave the parlay open at reduced odds. I went with Arreola and a Nielsen/Burns-Beltran over parlay.

I'll take your opinion into consideration and at least watch more video of Molina and Smith before I decide how big I want to play Molina.

I actually think if Garcia beats Matthysse it's likely by decision. I was thinking of playing Matthysse pretty big but hedging it with Garcia by decision.

hougigo · 09-07-13, 10:49 PM

I knew Arreola would kill him... but come on!
I just sat down! lolol

MD · 09-07-13, 10:50 PM

I hedged my Areola ITD bet at around -280 with Fight Goes Distance at around +450. Worst hedge of the year.

hougigo · 09-08-13, 05:46 AM

Originally posted by MD

I hedged my Areola ITD bet at around -280 with Fight Goes Distance at around +450. Worst hedge of the year.

Hahaha... dang man.
At least you ITD was down to there. WHen I looked at it, it was around -317.... so I was like eff that and took the under for -5.5.

Also I feel like those D-bags that make those locks of the century posts around here with that big highlighted post.
Just thinking out loud that I think this fight doesn't go the distance. Matthysse is going for blood and by the off chance Danny catches him with a hook, this fight doesn't make the tenth

Sykes · 09-08-13, 01:27 PM

I will find it hard to bet on boxing again after that decision last night. Complete BS the only winners were the bookies. They seriously have to do something with the judging of big fights. Maybe have 7 judges and take 3 random scores or something like that.