BJPENNs thread

[PunisherIND]

If anderson drops out of the fight, thats ok for me too as all my parlays will cash out. what type of injury, do you know?

Rumor is a knee injury.

[bjpenn85]

maybe a mild sprain. If he can walk on it at the time when he was injured its probably a first degree. If it was a second degree he wouldnt be allowed fighting. His cardio may suffer from that.

[Vaughany]

Anderson has got some blogs out, haven't watched them yet, they might give some insight...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kru3Zinxb_0

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F0_e4L_fmdE

[Vaughany]

Dana on injury rumours... “None whatsoever. That's completely false. Not true at all.”

Anderson: Gennnteeee my knee is doing very well thank you! , Stay calm day on July 7 will be doing my trabalho.osss

[bjpenn85]

thanks for the heads up. Yeah, i dont think anderson will risk loosing to anderson due to a injury, especially the second time around.

[bjpenn85]

adding:

UFC 149

5 units on U.Faber @ 2.66 to win - 8.3 units

-Value bet as i think this fight is close to 50/50

[bjpenn85]

Total results on this blog since march 2012

= +27.82 units

[PunisherIND]

solid work BJ!

[bjpenn85]

Cheers buddy. The actual numbers are somewhere between 130 to 150 units since march, but i cant include those nubmers since i again and again, forget to add bets done either on live betting or right before the match. Anyway its cool to share bets that succsessfully go through but I wouldnt necessary call myself the people champ with 27 units divided by 3 months. Hopefully the next three will go better!!

[bjpenn85]

adding hedge:

3 units on Anderson Silva dec @ 6.53 to win back - 16,4 units

[Beelzebubzy]

adding:

UFC 149

5 units on U.Faber @ 2.66 to win - 8.3 units

-Value bet as i think this fight is close to 50/50

On this as well if faber can block some leg kicks and get into the fourth and Fitch round with little damage he will be in great shape

[bjpenn85]

Not only that. Is Barao better than Faber at anything? im willing to find that out for 2.66!

[bjpenn85]

EURO 2012

12 units on Germany advances to final, Not D.Maia 3.round dec @ 1.93 to win - 11.1 unit

1.09 unit on Italia wins on penalties to win back - 12 units
1.09 unit on Italia wins 1-0 to win back - 12 units

[bjpenn85]

40 units on italia to buy back the loss...

[bjpenn85]

EURO 2012

RESULTS: -3 units

[bjpenn85]

adding:

8,7 units on yoislandy @ 1.69 to win - 6 units

[Educ8d Degener8]

adding:

UFC 149

5 units on U.Faber @ 2.66 to win - 8.3 units

-Value bet as i think this fight is close to 50/50

I'm an admitted Faber hater... and I like this bet. GL

[bjpenn85]

[Vaughany]

I'm an admitted Faber hater... and I like this bet. GL

Never been a big fan of Faber but his book is really good read. Some cool stories in it, one chapter dedicated to Benavidez and about how he was an alcoholic when he was 17 or 18 and used to just dominate dudes twice his size in bar fights in Albuquerque, then turned up one day at Alpha Male and dominated everybody there!

[GunShard]

adding:

UFC 149

5 units on U.Faber @ 2.66 to win - 8.3 units

-Value bet as i think this fight is close to 50/50

Can you tell me a detailed reason how Faber will defeat Barao? I was planning to bet big on Barao. If you are correct, I should shy away and bet on Hector Lombard instead.

I know highlight videos do not show weaknesses. But would bet 5 units against him based on this video?

He's a well rounded fighter like Jose Aldo and Erick Silva. I just see Barao landing flying knees, spinning back kicks and elbows on Faber. Barao will win either by Decision and TKO. Faber can win by Submission. I see Barao fighting Cruz in the future.

[PunisherIND]

Never been a big fan of Faber but his book is really good read. Some cool stories in it, one chapter dedicated to Benavidez and about how he was an alcoholic when he was 17 or 18 and used to just dominate dudes twice his size in bar fights in Albuquerque, then turned up one day at Alpha Male and dominated everybody there!

Sounds interesting, might have to give that a read. I imagine forrest's book has some good stories too.

I did enjoy bj penn book. he gives some great insight into old school ufc, problems with dana, rogan. Dude used to be a big pot head too.

[Vaughany]

Sounds interesting, might have to give that a read. I imagine forrest's book has some good stories too.

I did enjoy bj penn book. he gives some great insight into old school ufc, problems with dana, rogan. Dude used to be a big pot head too.

yeah Forrest's first book was good, haven't read his second one. BJ's was great, but Brian Stann's is still the best one IMO. Some crazy stories from his time in Afghanistan and also another one where a crazy woman who he nearly hooked up with claimed that Stann had raped her and he almost got chucked out of the army for it....he's had a rollercoaster of a life and and he's only 31!

[Vaughany]

Can you tell me a detailed reason how Faber will defeat Barao? I was planning to bet big on Barao. If you are correct, I should shy away and bet on Hector Lombard instead.

I know highlight videos do not show weaknesses. But would bet 5 units against him based on this video?

He's a well rounded fighter like Jose Aldo and Erick Silva. I just see Barao landing flying knees, spinning back kicks and elbows on Faber. Barao will win either by Decision and TKO. Faber can win by Submission. I see Barao fighting Cruz in the future.

I never bet against Jason Reinhardt because of this video.... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aOGGH77QUQE

[GunShard]

I never bet against Jason Reinhardt because of this video.... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aOGGH77QUQE

What was the point of that video? lol.

[Vaughany]

What was the point of that video? lol.

Didnt u see how awesome Jason Reinhardt is?

[GunShard]

Didnt u see how awesome Jason Reinhardt is?

He has an impressive ground game.

[Vaughany]

[bjpenn85]

adding:

15.2 units on Gleison T. @ 1.53 to win - 8 units

[bjpenn85]

adding:

14 units on chael dec @ 4.50 to win - 49 units

also going to add 5 units on chael inside distance @ 11.

The reason for this bets its like luca fury argumentet, anderson hasnt been able to stop takedowns in is whole carriere. To believe he suddenly is going to this time around is simply naive. I think it was mark bocek that said that chael isnt going to be the same person now, that he was back then, a proof of this was how he looked like against bisping in his last fight. I can understand this line of thinking, but if you think about it for a second, is that necessarily right? no. not really. Bisping has stopped almost all takedowns in all his figths, and if taken down, he is incredible to climb back up either using the fence or to push peoples head and scramble back up. when has silva ever done that? never ever. I think people are doing the same mistake as in the edgar bjpenn 2. Thinking that bjpenn or anderson silva just cant loose two times in a row, now that they can prepare and study their opponents. Bjpenn couldnt move, and silva cant defend a takedown. Silva can defeat who ever he wants, and he may win easy. But it think its logical to believe that he cant, when he lost fakkin 4 rounds. This matchup is simply too dangerous to go all in on. I need to cover my as. I think its other matchups on this card where fighters are actually better both standing and on the ground .

[Educ8d Degener8]

What was the point of that video? lol.

Gun, V's just insinuating that one shouldn't weight too heavily into a fighter's highlight reel.

[GunShard]

Gun, V's just insinuating that one shouldn't weight too heavily into a fighter's highlight reel.

True. As long as gamblers watch both full fight videos as well as the highlight videos, then you can see how a fighter truly performs.

[bjpenn85]

adding:

3 units on Anderson Silva unanimous dec @ 6.53 to win back - 16, 5 units

[Vaughany]

adding:

14 units on chael dec @ 4.50 to win - 49 units

also going to add 5 units on chael inside distance @ 11.

The reason for this bets its like luca fury argumentet, anderson hasnt been able to stop takedowns in is whole carriere. To believe he suddenly is going to this time around is simply naive. I think it was mark bocek that said that chael isnt going to be the same person now, that he was back then, a proof of this was how he looked like against bisping in his last fight. I can understand this line of thinking, but if you think about it for a second, is that necessarily right? no. not really. Bisping has stopped almost all takedowns in all his figths, and if taken down, he is incredible to climb back up either using the fence or to push peoples head and scramble back up. when has silva ever done that? never ever. I think people are doing the same mistake as in the edgar bjpenn 2. Thinking that bjpenn or anderson silva just cant loose two times in a row, now that they can prepare and study their opponents. Bjpenn couldnt move, and silva cant defend a takedown. Silva can defeat who ever he wants, and he may win easy. But it think its logical to believe that he cant, when he lost fakkin 4 rounds. This matchup is simply too dangerous to go all in on. I need to cover my as. I think its other matchups on this card where fighters are actually better both standing and on the ground .

Yeah but one could arguet tht Bisping has been facing guys like Jason Miller (who still took him down and won first round), Dan Miller, Kang, Wanderlei, Akiyama, and Rivera...not exactly elite wrestlers...obviously he can only fight who he is put up against and he's done great as you say tho

[bjpenn85]

sure, but when he then faced chael sonnen, his skills were validated. I only cut my profit in half, still win like 30 units if anderson wins. no point of chasing 50 units, when i can be safe and win 30 units. if chael wins, i get my money back. i do think chael has tendencies to screw things up during the course of 5.rounds, but at the same time, its difficult to see how anderson wins if chael concentrate on not letting anderson get wrist control.

[Vitooch]

I never bet against Jason Reinhardt because of this video.... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aOGGH77QUQE

Touche