Semt3x's MMA Plays

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  • Vaughany
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 03-07-10
    • 45563
    #36
    Yeah Cerrone Siver has a very good chance of going distance. Could end up being just a technical kickboxing match-up...but never know with Cerrone.

    My max bet on Nelson/Cro-Cop going the distance at +240 is looking like a steal at moment
      Comment
      • TheCalculator
        SBR MVP
        • 10-10-11
        • 1683
        #37
        I was able to get some action on Nelson-Crocop at +180. It's down to +150 now in 5dimes.
          Comment
          • Semt3x
            SBR High Roller
            • 09-10-11
            • 104
            #38
            Penn (-120) 3u to win 2.5u
            Hioki (-350) +             St. Pierre by decision (-190) 3.1u to win 3u
            Cerrone (-230) +             St. Pierre (-440) 7.5u to win 5.7u
            Cro Cop/Nelson goes distance (+115) 2.5u to win 2.63u

            Once the undercard odds are released I'm liking Tavares, Vera, and Jorgenson at the right prices
              Comment
              • Vaughany
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 03-07-10
                • 45563
                #39
                Tavares isn't fighting bro
                  Comment
                  • Semt3x
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 09-10-11
                    • 104
                    #40
                    Oh wow just saw that
                      Comment
                      • Ewoi
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 08-23-09
                        • 57
                        #41
                        It sucks Tavares was injured. I really like this young prospect. I think he can be a contender in a few years with the right training and if he puts in the work.
                          Comment
                          • more_betterness
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 08-18-11
                            • 344
                            #42
                            he's still fighting... just against another young prospect named Clifford Starks. I was definitely more comfortable betting against Tavares though.
                              Comment
                              • Ewoi
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 08-23-09
                                • 57
                                #43
                                I was referring to Tavares, not Jacoby.
                                  Comment
                                  • Vaughany
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 03-07-10
                                    • 45563
                                    #44
                                    Originally posted by more_betterness
                                    he's still fighting... just against another young prospect named Clifford Starks. I was definitely more comfortable betting against Tavares though.
                                    Originally posted by Ewoi
                                    I was referring to Tavares, not Jacoby.
                                      Comment
                                      • more_betterness
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 08-18-11
                                        • 344
                                        #45
                                        Whoops... A little misleading though judging as Jacoby is younger and its his first fight in the UFC.
                                          Comment
                                          • Semt3x
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 09-10-11
                                            • 104
                                            #46
                                            Originally posted by Semt3x
                                            Penn (-120) 3u to win 2.5u
                                            Hioki (-350) +                                             St. Pierre by decision (-190) 3.1u to win 3u
                                            Cerrone (-230) +                                             St. Pierre (-440) 7.5u to win 5.7u
                                            Cro Cop/Nelson goes distance (+115                                            ) 2.5u to win 2.63u
                                            Added
                                            Jorgenson (-390) + Cerrone (-240) 7u to win 5.5u
                                            Vera (-440) + Nijem (-210) 6u to win 4.9u
                                              Comment
                                              • The HOFF
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 07-02-08
                                                • 4847
                                                #47
                                                Jorgenson by 3 rd DEC is only -148.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • TheCalculator
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-10-11
                                                    • 1683
                                                    #48
                                                    Originally posted by The HOFF
                                                    Jorgenson by 3 rd DEC is only -148.
                                                    Waiting for 5D to open those props up...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Vaughany
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 03-07-10
                                                        • 45563
                                                        #49
                                                        Originally posted by TheCalculator
                                                        Waiting for 5D to open those props up...
                                                        It's been up on Sportbet since yesterday so should be on 5dimes?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • TheCalculator
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-10-11
                                                            • 1683
                                                            #50
                                                            Originally posted by Vaughany

                                                            It's been up on Sportbet since yesterday so should be on 5dimes?
                                                            Man I'm blind... Just seeing it now. Anxiously awaiting for the props on the undercard.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Semt3x
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 09-10-11
                                                                • 104
                                                                #51
                                                                Originally posted by The HOFF
                                                                Jorgenson by 3 rd DEC is only -148.
                                                                Great line
                                                                Jorgensen by decision (-150) 4.5u to win 3u
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TheCalculator
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-10-11
                                                                    • 1683
                                                                    #52
                                                                    Originally posted by Semt3x

                                                                    Great line
                                                                    Jorgensen by decision (-150) 4.5u to win 3u
                                                                    Just parlayed that one in one of my "hail marys": Jorgensen wins distance + + BJ/diaz r2 + Griffin r2 + Cerrone round 2 + Not Kongo Submission + Not Mirko inside distance
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Semt3x
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 09-10-11
                                                                        • 104
                                                                        #53
                                                                        Adding
                                                                        Mitrione (-135) 3.25u to win 2.5u
                                                                          Comment
                                                                          • Semt3x
                                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                                            • 09-10-11
                                                                            • 104
                                                                            #54
                                                                            UFC 137

                                                                            Penn (-120) 3u to win 2.5u
                                                                            Hioki (-350) +                                                                             St. Pierre by decision (-190) 3.1u to win .9u
                                                                            Cerrone (-230) +                                                                             St. Pierre (-440)                                                                             7.5u to win 3.25u
                                                                            Cro Cop/Nelson goes distance (+115) 2.5u to win 2.63u
                                                                            Jorgenson (-390) + Cerrone (-240) 7u to win 5.5u
                                                                            Vera (-440) + Nijem (-210) 6u to win 4.9u
                                                                            Jorgensen by decision (-150) 4.5u to win 3u
                                                                            Mitrione (-135) 3.25u to win 2.5u

                                                                            Came out +8.8u

                                                                            Running Total: +14.75u
                                                                              Comment
                                                                              • Vaughany
                                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                                • 03-07-10
                                                                                • 45563
                                                                                #55
                                                                                Nice one
                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                  • Semt3x
                                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                                    • 09-10-11
                                                                                    • 104
                                                                                    #56
                                                                                    Leaning toward Njokuani, Alves, Barao, and Diabate so far
                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                      • Semt3x
                                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                                        • 09-10-11
                                                                                        • 104
                                                                                        #57
                                                                                        UFC 138

                                                                                        Diabate (-375) + Mills (-245) 13u to win 10.2u
                                                                                        De Fries (-135) 3.38u to win 2.5u
                                                                                        Barao (-135) 4.05u to win 3u
                                                                                        Diabate (-375) + Etim (-600) + Alves (-345) 4u to win 3.63u
                                                                                        Leben by KO/TKO (+375) 2u to win 7.5u
                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                          • MMAbetMASTA
                                                                                            SBR MVP
                                                                                            • 05-24-11
                                                                                            • 1931
                                                                                            #58
                                                                                            Originally posted by Semt3x
                                                                                            UFC 138

                                                                                            Diabate (-375) + Mills (-245) 13u to win 10.2u
                                                                                            De Fries (-135) 3.38u to win 2.5u
                                                                                            Barao (-135) 4.05u to win 3u
                                                                                            Diabate (-375) + Etim (-600) + Alves (-345) 4u to win 3.63u
                                                                                            Leben by KO/TKO (+375) 2u to win 7.5u
                                                                                            hey semtex,

                                                                                            If you don't mind, what is your breakdown for barao / pickett? I am torn on this fight (I'll admit tho i am leaning toward brad), why are you on barao and what is your overall breakdown???
                                                                                              Comment
                                                                                              • Semt3x
                                                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                                                • 09-10-11
                                                                                                • 104
                                                                                                #59
                                                                                                Barao just finds ways to win fights. I think he'll be able to get Pickett to the ground and keep him there.
                                                                                                On the feet I believe Pickett has the advantage, but more than likely Barao will be able to avoid the big shots and earn a UD
                                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                                  • bjpenn85
                                                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                                                    • 02-17-11
                                                                                                    • 5059
                                                                                                    #60
                                                                                                    I havent seen to much of barao, but i know that i wasnt impressed by his last fight plus that he hasnt faced the same type of competition. i feel that my last point is very critical as brad lost against scott and probably improved after that. Often fighters need that tough loss to rise. He also beat menji and demetrious, shouldnt that weigh more than baraos performance so far in his career? If no, what have you seen that made you so impressed?
                                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                                      • Vaughany
                                                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                                                        • 03-07-10
                                                                                                        • 45563
                                                                                                        #61
                                                                                                        His early finish of Cariaso was impressive. Looked like he coasted in the Cole Escovedo fight. And the Leone fight wasn't very easy, going in to the third round they where 1-1.
                                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                                          • Semt3x
                                                                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                                                                            • 09-10-11
                                                                                                            • 104
                                                                                                            #62
                                                                                                            Originally posted by Semt3x
                                                                                                            UFC 138
                                                                                                            Diabate (-375)                                                                                                            + Mills (-245) 13u to win 10.2u
                                                                                                            De Fries (-135) 3.38u to win 2.5u

                                                                                                            Barao (-135) 4.05u to win 3u

                                                                                                            Diabate (-375) + Etim (-600) + Alves (-345) 4u to win 3.63u

                                                                                                            Leben by KO/TKO (+375) 2u to win 7.5u
                                                                                                            Diabate's loss hurt bad
                                                                                                            -13.5u
                                                                                                              Comment
                                                                                                              • Semt3x
                                                                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                                                                • 09-10-11
                                                                                                                • 104
                                                                                                                #63
                                                                                                                UFC on Fox 1

                                                                                                                Yamamoto (-390) + Escovedo (-260) 3.5u to win 2.59u

                                                                                                                Guida/Henderson goes distance (-230) + Johnson (-260)                                                                                                                 3.75u to win 3.7u

                                                                                                                Velasquez (-175) 4.38u to win 2.5u
                                                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                                                  • Vitooch
                                                                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                                                                    • 09-26-11
                                                                                                                    • 3470
                                                                                                                    #64
                                                                                                                    GL here's hoping you get back in the green
                                                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                                                      • Vaughany
                                                                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                                                                        • 03-07-10
                                                                                                                        • 45563
                                                                                                                        #65
                                                                                                                        Solid plays
                                                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                                                          • TheCalculator
                                                                                                                            SBR MVP
                                                                                                                            • 10-10-11
                                                                                                                            • 1683
                                                                                                                            #66
                                                                                                                            Originally posted by Semt3x
                                                                                                                            UFC on Fox 1

                                                                                                                            Yamamoto (-390) + Escovedo (-260) 3.5u to win 2.59u

                                                                                                                            Guida/Henderson goes distance (-230) + Johnson (-260)                                                                                                                             3.75u to win 3.7u

                                                                                                                            Velasquez (-175) 4.38u to win 2.5u
                                                                                                                            I concur -- like all of these.
                                                                                                                              Comment
                                                                                                                              • Vitooch
                                                                                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                                                                                • 09-26-11
                                                                                                                                • 3470
                                                                                                                                #67
                                                                                                                                I think the chance of Henderson finishing this fight is near 40%, so I'm not loving that prop. I suppose it is good insurance though if Guida somehow wins by decision.
                                                                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                                                                  • Semt3x
                                                                                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                                                                                    • 09-10-11
                                                                                                                                    • 104
                                                                                                                                    #68
                                                                                                                                    Originally posted by Semt3x
                                                                                                                                    UFC on Fox 1

                                                                                                                                    Yamamoto (-390) + Escovedo (-260) 3.5u to win 2.59u

                                                                                                                                    Guida/Henderson goes distance (-230) + Johnson (-260)                                                                                                                                     3.75u to win 3.7u

                                                                                                                                    Velasquez (-175) 4.38u to win 2.5u

                                                                                                                                    Velasquez/Dos Santos FOTN (+135) 3u to win 4.05u
                                                                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                                                                      • Semt3x
                                                                                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                                                                                        • 09-10-11
                                                                                                                                        • 104
                                                                                                                                        #69
                                                                                                                                        Saunders (-125) + Horodecki (-400) 2.5u to win 3.125u
                                                                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                                                                          • Semt3x
                                                                                                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                                                                                                            • 09-10-11
                                                                                                                                            • 104
                                                                                                                                            #70
                                                                                                                                            Yamamoto (-390) + Escovedo (-260) 3.5u to win 2.59u

                                                                                                                                            Guida/Henderson goes distance (-230) + Johnson (-260)                                                                                                                                             3.75u to win 3.7u

                                                                                                                                            Velasquez (-175) 4.38u to win 2.5u

                                                                                                                                             Velasquez/Dos Santos FOTN (+135) 3u to win 4.05u

                                                                                                                                            Saunders (-125) + Horodecki (-400) 2.5u to win 3.125u

                                                                                                                                            -9.68u
                                                                                                                                            Bad night
                                                                                                                                              Comment
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