Semt3x's MMA Plays

**Semt3x** · 09-30-11, 03:43 PM

may have a few more props come fight time

**The HOFF** · 09-30-11, 05:03 PM

Are you betting all the same on these, as in to win 1u on favorites and 1u on underdogs?

**Kaladarus** · 09-30-11, 05:12 PM

I got a lot of similar plays. Only thing I don't really like is the Barry/Struve decision bet. What's your reasoning on that one? Barry's got the power to finish Struve easily and if Struve is able to get a game plan going and take Barry to the ground I think he will be submitted fairly easily.

Good luck with your plays though I think you will have a very profitable night.

**Semt3x** · 09-30-11, 05:33 PM

Originally posted by The HOFF

Are you betting all the same on these, as in to win 1u on favorites and 1u on underdogs?

No, all bets are different amounts. For example i have around around 8u on A. Johnson. Next time ill post betting amounts,
but i just didn't find it necessary

**Semt3x** · 09-30-11, 06:14 PM

Originally posted by Kaladarus

I got a lot of similar plays. Only thing I don't really like is the Barry/Struve decision bet. What's your reasoning on that one? Barry's got the power to finish Struve easily and if Struve is able to get a game plan going and take Barry to the ground I think he will be submitted fairly easily.

Good luck with your plays though I think you will have a very profitable night.

I see it as a good value at that price.
Both guys are definitely going to be much more tentative

**Semt3x** · 10-01-11, 02:59 PM

Thinking of adding another straight bet on Yves

added Cruz/Johnson FOTN (+100)

**Semt3x** · 10-01-11, 10:27 PM

Originally posted by Semt3x

UFC on VS6
A. Johnson (-185)
P. Sass (+155)
Cruz wins by decision (-155)
Barry/Struve go distance (+245)
Cruz (-465) + Easton (-370)
Cruz (-465) + Wiman (-220) + Roller (-205)
A. Johnson (-185) + Guillard (-300)
Wiman (-220) + Aldo (-280)
A. Johnson (-185) + Cruz by decision (-155) + Guillard (-300) + Aldo (-280)

Came out +9.4u, and all my multi event parlays are still alive
So all and all a good night for me. How'd everyone else fare?

**Kaladarus** · 10-01-11, 10:30 PM

Nice work Semtex. Seems like many made some decent money on this card.

**JuicedUp** · 10-01-11, 10:36 PM

great night

**gabe** · 10-01-11, 10:48 PM

props

**Semt3x** · 10-02-11, 12:17 PM

Liking Aldo, Guillard, Simpson, Stephens, Maynard, and Santiago so far for next week

**SATERSTYLE** · 10-03-11, 03:52 PM

Nice job. I ended up doing well with Anthony Johnson. Only other bet was Barry which was very small so it didn't matter to me too much.

For next week I think I am going to go with Maia and Guillard

**Vaughany** · 10-03-11, 04:13 PM

Good stuff bruva, especially on Sass

**Semt3x** · 10-04-11, 05:14 PM

So far I've placed

Maynard (+130) 3u to win 3.9u
Stephens (+240) 1.5u to win 3.6u
Maynard/Edgar starts round 3 (-650) + Aldo/Florian starts round 2 (-306) + Stann/Sonnen starts round 2 (-620)
5u to win 3.9u

**bjpenn85** · 10-04-11, 05:25 PM

Seems like solid plays

**Semt3x** · 10-05-11, 07:23 AM

UFC 136

Maynard (+130) 3u to win 3.9u
Stephens (+240) 1.5u to win 3.6u
Simpson (-325) + Aldo/Florian starts round 2 (-306) 6u to win 4.4u
Maynard/Edgar starts round 3 (-650) + Aldo/Florian starts round 2 (-306) + Stann/Sonnen starts round 2 (-620)
5u to win 3.9
Guillard by KO/TKO (-152) 3u to win 2u
A. Johnson (-185) + Guillard (-300) 3.25u to win 3.95u
Wiman (-220) + Aldo (-280) 3.25 u to win 3.7u
A. Johnson (-185) + Cruz by decision (-155) + Guillard (-300) + Aldo (-280) 3u to win 10.8u

Also will add Simpson by decision when the line is released

**Vitooch** · 10-05-11, 02:19 PM

Very solid picks. Crossing my fingers on Stephens to pull off the upset.

**Semt3x** · 10-05-11, 08:47 PM

Bellator 53

Saunders (-175) + Mann (-350) 3.25u to win 3.8u

**Semt3x** · 10-07-11, 07:24 AM

Simpson/Schafer completes 2 is +160 on bodog, that's a steal.
Hopefully 5D will be similar when it's put up

**Vaughany** · 10-07-11, 08:36 AM

Originally posted by Semt3x

Simpson/Schafer completes 2 is +160 on bodog, that's a steal.
Hopefully 5D will be similar when it's put up

yeah great odds

**THE_LOCKSMITH** · 10-07-11, 08:54 AM

Originally posted by Semt3x

Simpson/Schafer completes 2 is +160 on bodog, that's a steal. Hopefully 5D will be similar when it's put up

thanks for the heads up, i also like this play

**sirchadwick1** · 10-07-11, 09:31 AM

Bodog's "completes 2 rounds" props are usually great. +160 on Simpson/Schafer is money.

**Semt3x** · 10-07-11, 07:25 PM

5D still hasn't put it up yet. I hope its just as nice

**Semt3x** · 10-08-11, 08:38 AM

Added

Aldo/Florian FOTN 1.5u to win 3u

**Semt3x** · 10-08-11, 06:06 PM

Good start with Simpson's win

**Vaughany** · 10-08-11, 06:10 PM

Tht double parlay with Aldo/Florian starting Rnd 2 is looking very strong...need that as well

**Semt3x** · 10-08-11, 10:41 PM

UFC 136
Maynard (+130) 3u to win 3.9u
Stephens (+240) 1.5u to win 3.6u
Simpson (-325) + Aldo/Florian starts round 2 (-306) 6u to win 4.4u
Maynard/Edgar starts round 3 (-650) + Aldo/Florian starts round 2 (-306) + Stann/Sonnen starts round 2 (-620) 5u to win 3.9
Guillard by KO/TKO (-152) 3u to win 2u
A. Johnson (-185) + Guillard (-300) 3.25u to win 3.95u
Wiman (-220) + Aldo (-280) 3.25 u to win 3.7u
A. Johnson (-185) + Cruz by decision (-155) + Guillard (-300) + Aldo (-280) 3u to win 10.8u

Bellator 53
Saunders (-175) + Mann (-350) 3.25u to win 3.8u

Guillard losing really put a damper on my night,
but i was still able to come ahead +2.05u.

**Semt3x** · 10-08-11, 10:45 PM

Edgar is definitely a true champ. I don't think i can bet against him ever again

**Semt3x** · 10-09-11, 08:47 AM

How'd everyone do yesterday?

**JoshB** · 10-09-11, 01:55 PM

i had a play on maynard-edgar starting the 3rd round also, looking back it was kind of a close call considering Edgar finished him in the very next rd.

**Semt3x** · 10-10-11, 01:38 PM

So far for UFC 137

Penn (-120) 3u to win 2.5u
Hioki (-350) + St. Pierre by decision (-190) 3.1u to win 3u
Cerrone (-230) + St. Pierre (-440) 7.5u to win 5.7u

**Semt3x** · 10-14-11, 07:17 AM

Bellator 54
Nazare + Shlemenko + Baker 4u to win 3.9u

**Semt3x** · 10-18-11, 07:17 AM

Added
Cro Cop/Nelson goes distance (+115) 2.5u to win 2.63u

**TheCalculator** · 10-18-11, 09:03 AM

Originally posted by Semt3x

Added
Cro Cop/Nelson goes distance (+115) 2.5u to win 2.63u

I've got this one also (plus I threw in a bunch of parlays).

Both of these guys are tough as nails.

Another great value for "distance" is Cerrone/Siver.
Got that one in a bunch.

I don't think Cerrone will take Siver down. Siver's TDD is one of the best.
Plus the height difference makes it 4X harder. I can't see a TKO either,
unless Siver catches Cerrone flush. And I see Cerrone using his reach
to keep Siver away.

They will be fighting for points.