UFC 131 JDS vs Lesnar 6/11

[brumbies]

lesnar had another relapse, huh? all that hardcore training is starting to take its toll on him. i say he better retire and start enjoying life.

[Vaughany]

Danzig out, Vagner Rocha steps in.

[Ladle]

Danzig out, Vagner Rocha steps in.

All of these injuries are so irritating.

[sirchadwick1]

Do you guys see JDS' line getting any better nearing the day of the fight? I still like him at -185, but I'm wondering if some late cash won't fly in on Carwin since everyone is talking about the value there. I just don't see it... his value to me is pretty much a punchers chance. I don't trust his gas tank and he hasn't fought in almost a year. If it goes past the 1st round I just have a hard time imagining JDS losing.

[Camdemonium]

Do you guys see JDS' line getting any better nearing the day of the fight? I still like him at -185, but I'm wondering if some late cash won't fly in on Carwin since everyone is talking about the value there. I just don't see it... his value to me is pretty much a punchers chance. I don't trust his gas tank and he hasn't fought in almost a year. If it goes past the 1st round I just have a hard time imagining JDS losing.

Carwin has only ever had one fight go past the first round and I'm not sure about that one, maybe it should have been stopped. I've definitely seen worse stoppages. If Carwin lands, the fight is probably over. I will make a prediction and say that this doesn't go the distance.

[omalley21]

Do you guys see JDS' line getting any better nearing the day of the fight? I still like him at -185, but I'm wondering if some late cash won't fly in on Carwin since everyone is talking about the value there. I just don't see it... his value to me is pretty much a punchers chance. I don't trust his gas tank and he hasn't fought in almost a year. If it goes past the 1st round I just have a hard time imagining JDS losing.

I think the late money will come in on Dos Santos. -185 is probably about as good it will get.

[Ladle]

I'm thinking about a play on JDS hedged with Carwin wins KO of the night. Might drop the money on dos Santos now because I don't see his line getting any better.

Do you guys see JDS' line getting any better nearing the day of the fight? I still like him at -185, but I'm wondering if some late cash won't fly in on Carwin since everyone is talking about the value there. I just don't see it... his value to me is pretty much a punchers chance. I don't trust his gas tank and he hasn't fought in almost a year. If it goes past the 1st round I just have a hard time imagining JDS losing.

I think it's crazy that people are betting on Carwin outright at all. Are they not aware of prop bets?

[sirchadwick1]

I will definitely be hedging with either Carwin KO in rd 1 or Carwin KOTN. I feel confident in JDS though and -185 seems fair.

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

the more i look at it i like Mir at -115. 3-2 in his last 5, big guys Lesnar/Carwin were able to get a hold of him and beat him down, i doubt Roy will be able to.

Roy is 2-3 in last 5 with wins over Struve and newcomer Schaub. I'd take Schaub if they'd have a rematch. Not really impressed with Nelson

[Vaughany]

the more i look at it i like Mir at -115. 3-2 in his last 5, big guys Lesnar/Carwin were able to get a hold of him and beat him down, i doubt Roy will be able to.

Roy is 2-3 in last 5 with wins over Struve and newcomer Schaub. I'd take Schaub if they'd have a rematch. Not really impressed with Nelson

This is happening at 130 bro!!

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

lol, nice catch

[sportsfanatic]

I will definitely be hedging with either Carwin KO in rd 1 or Carwin KOTN. I feel confident in JDS though and -185 seems fair.

where did you find the Carwin KOTN prop?

[sirchadwick1]

where did you find the Carwin KOTN prop?

Not out yet.... waiting for it at 5dimes. Usually doesn't hit until closer to fight night.
But I think we can all agree - if Carwin somehow KO's Junior, he's getting the reward.
Perfect hedge. I have 10u straight up on JDS right now and may add more.

[Pabinator]

Wasnt Carwin super knockout man before the Lesnar fight?

[Vaughany]

Not out yet.... waiting for it at 5dimes. Usually doesn't hit until closer to fight night.
But I think we can all agree - if Carwin somehow KO's Junior, he's getting the reward.
Perfect hedge. I have 10u straight up on JDS right now and may add more.

Yeah this hedge makes sense.

[Kaladarus]

Most of Carwins wins are against cans. JDS has KO similar opponents to Carwin in the first round also. JDS also hasn't been outstriked yet unlike Carwin. Yes, Carwin is a KO machine, but so is JDS. I think its best to take some sort of inside the distance prop or KO prop for either fighter here though rather then taking them straight up.

[Camdemonium]

Most of Carwins wins are against cans. JDS has KO similar opponents to Carwin in the first round also. JDS also hasn't been outstriked yet unlike Carwin. Yes, Carwin is a KO machine, but so is JDS. I think its best to take some sort of inside the distance prop or KO prop for either fighter here though rather then taking them straight up.

Frank Mir and Gabe Gonzaga = cans? I guess you said most of his wins though.

[beermankirk]

Im another waiting on Carwin by KO prop. Although if Carwin is +160 to win , I think he may only be +180 to win by KO on the props. +200 at best.

[sirchadwick1]

Im another waiting on Carwin by KO prop. Although if Carwin is +160 to win , I think he may only be +180 to win by KO on the props. +200 at best.

I'm hoping Carwin KOTN pops up at around +400 or so seeing as how he's not even a favorite in the fight.

JDS also is now at -175 at 5dimes so I'm putting more on him.

[The HOFF]

Diego Nunes opened at +170. Like that number, see if it gets better.

[The HOFF]

[Vaughany]

Diego Nunes opened at +170. Like that number, see if it gets better.

Will only get better. Nunes won't finish Florian though and I don't think Florian can finish Nunes. Distance bet for me!

[Poppa Catfish]

Amanda Nunes would!

[Vaughany]

Amanda Nunes would!

haa She'd destroy Ken Flo...Nunes Finishes Fights!

[Poppa Catfish]

haa She'd destroy Ken Flo...Nunes Finishes Fights!

Looking forward to her next fight on the undercard of Reem vs Werdum, I know will not get her at + value this time around, but might luck out with a -160.

[Ladle]

Looking forward to her next fight on the undercard of Reem vs Werdum, I know will not get her at + value this time around, but might luck out with a -160.

Yeah, she's a beast. I was delighted when I got her at over +200 against Julia Budd. What a steal that was.

[GoldRush7]

Carwin and JDS fight will end in first round

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

Stout is 3-3 in his last 6, but most people thought he lost to Paul Taylor and Matt Wiman, that would put him at 1-5. Yet i still feel like he'll beat Edwards

[Vaughany]

Stout is 3-3 in his last 6, but most people thought he lost to Paul Taylor and Matt Wiman, that would put him at 1-5. Yet i still feel like he'll beat Edwards

Most likely to go to points and it's unlikely either will get any takedowns so pretty much a coin flip on who get's the nod. Stephens got the split decision against Stout because he landed more power shots, Edwards isn't a power puncher so won't have tht advantage tht Lil heathen had.

[ttrace35]

Gonna be another bullshit event.

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

yea you should skip it

[Vaughany]

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

Igor Pokrajac out, Krzysztof Soszynski is now fighting Mike Massenzio

http://www.mmamania.com/2011/6/7/2211058/ufc-131-krzysztof-soszynski-vs-mike-massenzio-booked-for-june-11-with

[Ladle]

Igor Pokrajac out, Krzysztof Soszynski is now fighting Mike Massenzio

http://www.mmamania.com/2011/6/7/221...r-june-11-with

Harder fight for Soszynski.

[Beelzebubzy]

Does Weidman hold value at -340?