Vaughany's MMA Picks...

**Vaughany** · 06-30-12, 03:07 PM

Shogun training for Vera...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YORSFz3PyoA

**Vaughany** · 06-30-12, 03:33 PM

$200.00	$115.15	Pending	2 Team Parlay
				Pending	9/8/12 11:00pm Boxing Fighting 101 Chad Dawson/Andre Ward Over 9½ -550*
				Pending	8/4/12 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1002 Mauricio Rua -300* vs Brandon Vera

**poopoo333** · 06-30-12, 03:51 PM

Thoughts on Struve/Miocic?

**Vaughany** · 06-30-12, 03:58 PM

Originally posted by poopoo333

Thoughts on Struve/Miocic?

Certainly won't be going anywhere near Miocic at those odds! He's not faced anybody with as dangerous a submission game (especially from bottom position) as Struve. Miocic will be able to dictate where the fight goes which is probably why he's favourite, but Struve at anything better than +200 does interest me

**Vaughany** · 06-30-12, 04:00 PM

Adding:

Parlay: 20 units on Kell Brook (-900), Nonito Donaire (-1200), & Shogun (-300) to win 12.099 units.

**poopoo333** · 06-30-12, 04:00 PM

Yeah, I already bet Struve @+205. I really like him in this fight, especially since it is a 5 rounder.

**PunisherIND** · 06-30-12, 04:04 PM

Originally posted by poopoo333

Yeah, I already bet Struve @+205. I really like him in this fight, especially since it is a 5 rounder.

The value is definitely on struve but im probably going to wait for itd prop.

**PunisherIND** · 06-30-12, 04:05 PM

Jon jones itd -315

Thoughts?

**Vaughany** · 06-30-12, 04:08 PM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

Jon jones itd -315

Thoughts?

I'll wait for Jones by sub or Jones SOTN I think

**Beelzebubzy** · 06-30-12, 04:40 PM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

Jon jones itd -315

Thoughts?

Jones is a Jackson fighter.
Jones by "stick and move" Guida style victory here. < end sarcasm>

**Vaughany** · 06-30-12, 04:42 PM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

Jones is a Jackson fighter.
Jones by "stick and move" Guida style victory here. < end sarcasm>

Will probably actually be his strategy! Let Hendo tire himself out throwing bombs then close distance, trip him to the mat and look for the submission

**getlucky2win** · 06-30-12, 06:51 PM

jones/hendo starts round 2 is what im betting if line isnt insane

**Vaughany** · 06-30-12, 07:29 PM

**Vitooch** · 06-30-12, 07:43 PM

You cant end your sarcastic post with a sarcasm disclaimer. Defeats the purpose of sarcasm Beel

**Vaughany** · 07-01-12, 10:54 AM

**Digo** · 07-02-12, 06:35 PM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

Jon jones itd -315

Thoughts?

The only way that you can lose this bet is Hendo KO/TKO Jones with one of his H-bombs (what is almost impossible by the way). NO WAY this fight will go to the distance.

**PunisherIND** · 07-02-12, 06:40 PM

Originally posted by Digo

The only way that you can lose this bet is Hendo KO/TKO Jones with one of his H-bombs (what is almost impossible by the way). NO WAY this fight will go to the distance.

i agree its going to be really tough for dan to land the overhand, with the reach disadvantage as great as it's going to be. jones will have to F up royally to get caught.

**DublinMeUp** · 07-02-12, 08:19 PM

that's what i thought vs Rashad and look how that turned out

Edit: re the itd prop

**DeFactoCrippler** · 07-02-12, 08:28 PM

Originally posted by DublinMeUp

that's what i thought vs Rashad and look how that turned out

Edit: re the itd prop

Yeah, Bones was extra cautious in the fight, Greg jackson is such a pussy that guy ruins a lot of fights with his gameplans.

Rashad was looking for to hit a home run with that leg kick and was actually able to connect at the end of the first round which kinda rocked Bones. Rashad had very little weapons and Hendo has even less. No kicks, inferior footwork to Rashad, inferior cardio. He only has the "h-bomb" which is not hard to avoid when you know its coming and you can easily keep your opponent at range with your reach.

To be fair Bones did fock Rashad up and he showed a lot of heart in that fight taking the damage. Doesn't always translate into a finish I guess. I also suspect that Bones and Greg Jackson wanted to use the opportunity to make him go through a full 5 rounds atleast once in his career. Because if you have never been that deep in real fight you never really know how you will react when it happens.

**DublinMeUp** · 07-02-12, 08:38 PM

yeah I feel this one is a finish just as much as Evans should have been if not more, but is -315 a good enough price? Not for me anyway specially after he screwed me big last time.

**the josh** · 07-02-12, 10:25 PM

i think its unfair thinking that the fight will go the distance just because of the rashad fight. rashad was dangerous, he had cardio, he had dangerous wrestling and striking.

hendo will gas, jones will sub/KO late.

**DublinMeUp** · 07-03-12, 04:06 AM

Originally posted by the josh

i think its unfair thinking that the fight will go the distance just because of the rashad fight. rashad was dangerous, he had cardio, he had dangerous wrestling and striking.

hendo will gas, jones will sub/KO late.

all i'm saying is that its pretty thin value wise at that price

**Vaughany** · 07-03-12, 04:24 AM

Originally posted by DublinMeUp

all i'm saying is that its pretty thin value wise at that price

Agree, especially when u take in to account Hendo's granite chin. Jones is more likely to look for the finish with a submission so I will be playing Jones SOTN which will be + odds

**The Irishman** · 07-03-12, 04:43 AM

shogun v vera odds just came out for me. shogun is -300

**Rubber Guard** · 07-03-12, 08:42 AM

Originally posted by DeFactoCrippler

Rashad was looking for to hit a home run with that leg kick and was actually able to connect at the end of the first round which kinda rocked Bones. Rashad had very little weapons and Hendo has even less. No kicks, inferior footwork to Rashad, inferior cardio. He only has the "h-bomb" which is not hard to avoid when you know its coming and you can easily keep your opponent at range with your reach.

I wouldn't say it is easy to avoid. He just fought a versatile striker and top 3 LHW and landed it over and over again. Every fight fighters know it is coming....yet he has landed it at will over the last couple years.

Not saying he will vs. Jones who has crazy reach and kicks. But I don't think Bones wants to test it. He can probably play a pretty boring 1st round and then go in for TDs after that. There are ways to beat Dan, but he would be the last guy I would want to get too close too. That right hand is magic.

I expect Jones to wear him down and finish with elbows. Maybe even a sub. But I can see Hendo on his back and just unable to get Bones and his size off him. I see a crusifix position where Dan just has no chance of stopping elbows. Won't put Dan out by I could see repeated unaswered blows or cuts and the ref stopping it.

Rooting for Dan huge. Hopefully when Jones gets in the clinch he can hold his own long enough to let some uppercuts fly.

**PunisherIND** · 07-03-12, 10:12 AM

anyone betting on nathan's hot dog eating contest? where my degens at? lol.

**Vaughany** · 07-03-12, 10:21 AM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

anyone betting on nathan's hot dog eating contest? where my degens at? lol.

haha I saw tht on Pinnacle last night and was like WTF?! What is it other than an obvious hot dog eating contest sponsored/including a man called Nathan?!

**Beelzebubzy** · 07-03-12, 10:28 AM

Taking the under with chestnut. Injuries and a bad camp. Those are the rumors

**PunisherIND** · 07-03-12, 10:30 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

haha I saw tht on Pinnacle last night and was like WTF?! What is it other than an obvious hot dog eating contest sponsored/including a man called Nathan?!

lol actually doesnt involve a guy named nathan. nathan's is the name of the hot dog company. they have this contest every year on july 4th. it can be pretty nasty actually. dudes shoving 60 hot dogs in their face in 10 minutes. this little takanori gomi dude used to dominate the competition, but he was banned for some reason. lol.

**PunisherIND** · 07-03-12, 10:31 AM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

Taking the under with chestnut. Injuries and a bad camp. Those are the rumors

LMAO!

also, he wasnt approved for TRT this year.

**Vaughany** · 07-03-12, 10:47 AM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

lol actually doesnt involve a guy named nathan. nathan's is the name of the hot dog company. they have this contest every year on july 4th. it can be pretty nasty actually. dudes shoving 60 hot dogs in their face in 10 minutes. this little takanori gomi dude used to dominate the competition, but he was banned for some reason. lol.

haha quality! Maybe the Jap was on HGH? 20:1 testosterone level?

**Vaughany** · 07-03-12, 10:50 AM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

LMAO!

also, he wasnt approved for TRT this year.

ha jus seen this after my post above

**Beelzebubzy** · 07-03-12, 10:58 AM

Odds out

**Vaughany** · 07-03-12, 11:18 AM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

Odds out

yeah Sportsbook bringing out Cote at +160 dog as I thought they would. Looks like they flipped it now to Cung being +155 dog...anybody max out on Cote while he was +160?

**NunyaBidness** · 07-03-12, 05:33 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

yeah Sportsbook bringing out Cote at +160 dog as I thought they would. Looks like they flipped it now to Cung being +155 dog...anybody max out on Cote while he was +160?

Yep. Maybe they're gonna drop my $10 limits even further now.