ufc plays

[illmatick]

I'll probably do a short writeup on some of the things I didn't like in his last fight against Hardonk, too lazy right now but I did have Pat Barry in that fight

[illmatick]

Brandon Visher -245 x1
Scott Jorgensen -186 x2
Chan Sung Jung +165x.5

was looking forward to getting roller as a possible underdog but probably end up passing at the current line

[illmatick]

bought out of my Chan Sung Jung play, I like Garcia at the current price

Leonard Garcia -115 x1.25
Cerrone -105 x1
Brandon Visher -245 x1
Scott Jorgensen -186 x2
Chan Sung Jung +165x.5
Faber +275 x.25


parlay- Chad Mendes -550, Jorgensen -290, Pettis -710 x.5

[pat venditto]

Like the parlay i may tail it to break my losing streak.

[illmatick]

should be easy money pat, unless the judges rob us again in the Jorgensen fight

very small action bet for bellator today



[33507] WILLIAM ROMERO +265 To win .5 units
(WILLIAM ROMERO vrs PATRICIO FREIRE)

[illmatick]

DEMETRIOUS JOHNSON EV x.5

[ddream1]

good luck sir, nice looking card

[illmatick]

thanks dream, after watching Chan Sung Jung's fights I've come to the conclusion this guy is getting way too much hype, his best win is over Masanor Kanehara, wtf???? a fight he lost but should have been given the nod, I think his style of fighting is going to play right into the way Garcia likes to fight... so hard for me to put money on a guy who fought George Roop to a draw but I'm seeing a lot of value here, probably going to be my largest play of the night

[illmatick]

decided to keep Garcia as a small play, too many unanswered questions going into this fight

[34122] CERRONE VS HENDERSON FIGHT GOES TO DECISION +150 x.5


parlay- x2.5
Mike brown -550
Pettis -700
Mendes-670

[illmatick]

horseshit, couldn't get into sbr for the last hour, wanted to post a late play on roller, only had .75 units on it, obviously not going to count towards my record

added 2.5 units on cerrone

[illmatick]

going to be a nasty night unless faber bails me out

added 1.75 on Faber +270

[Vaughany]

wow uve had a mare! I need Aldo to save me in my double with Pickett...glad I avoid Cerrone and Brown!

[illmatick]

taking a beating today Vaughany... getting buried with my boxing plays as well

[Vaughany]

Have to pull it back at 113!

[illmatick]

[32505] CAREY VANIER +139 x1
(CAREY VANIER vrs TOBY IMADA)

[32519] PETE SPRATT +165 x1.5
(PETE SPRATT vrs LUIGI FIORAVANTI)

[32517] DWAYNE LEWIS +240 x.25
(DWAYNE LEWIS vrs EMANUEL NEWTON)

[illmatick]

added .25 more units on spratt +220

have a feeling neer is going to break a lot of hearts tonight, decided to stay away from that one

[jin2daj]

war josh neer!

[illmatick]

couldn't resist the +250

Neer +250 to win 1 unit
Pat Curran +550 x.5

[ddream1]

neer is so relentless but his takedown defence is shit. with his pace, striking and active guard he could be dangerous against anyone, just needs to learn to defend a bit. curran has a chance. bol sir

[Educ8d Degener8]

couldn't resist the +250

Neer +250 to win 1 unit
Pat Curran +550 x.5

Fuggit. I was gonna root for 'em anyway, so I've added a huge {sarcasm} 1/16u parlay on Neer and Curran

I gotta wait up for a tape delay on the west coast to watch, so this will add some interest to my Imada wagers while I'm the event.

[illmatick]

neer is so relentless but his takedown defence is shit. with his pace, striking and active guard he could be dangerous against anyone, just needs to learn to defend a bit. curran has a chance. bol sir

couldn't have it said it better myself, I think you could easily make the case he's going into this fight with the better striking and bjj, but if Alverez decides to follow the Pellegrino blueprint it could be an easy win for him

[illmatick]

couldn't resist the +250

Neer +250 to win 1 unit
Pat Curran +550 x.5

+1.4 units tonight, still chipping away at my wec debt

added .5 units on Jimmo +211

[illmatick]

parlay x2.5
Thales Leites -310
Johny Hendricks -440


Machida -165 x3

Stout wins by 3 round decision +148 x.5

Belcher wins by 3 round decision +442 x.5


parlay x.5
Rua wins by 5 round decision +425
Matt Mitrione -115

[The HOFF]

Machida.

Another card where I can't find much to bet on.

[illmatick]

tough card to bet Hoff, just going with some long shot prop bets

probably hedge against my Machida bet if i do well on the undercard

[illmatick]

[32519] PETE SPRATT +165 x1.5 (PETE SPRATT vrs LUIGI FIORAVANTI) [32517] DWAYNE LEWIS +240 x.25 (DWAYNE LEWIS vrs EMANUEL NEWTON)

added .5 units on Jimmo +211

2-1 +3.75 units

[illmatick]

parlay x2.5
Thales Leites -310
Johny Hendricks -440


Machida -165 x3

Stout wins by 3 round decision +148 x.5

Belcher wins by 3 round decision +442 x.5


parlay x.5
Rua wins by 5 round decision +425
Matt Mitrione -115

cashed the first leg of my parlay with Leites

added parlay x.25
Rua/Machida goes 5 round distance +110
Grant +325

[illmatick]

Hathaway +210 x2.5

[illmatick]

Freire +145 x1.75

priced in at this point, only way Reis wins is to positionally dominate Freire on the ground for 3 rounds, definitely think both guys will prove to be too tough to submit, Freire can take this two ways, ko/tko or decision. has power in both hands and loves to throw flying knees...could see Reis getting caught with one of those on a sloppy take down, although he'll probably be a bit more cautious considering reis's ground game

[illmatick]

Lyle Beerbohm -105 x1.5

Brett rogers +211 x.5

[illmatick]

Antwain Britt +165 x1.5

[illmatick]

Freire +145 x1.75

priced in at this point, only way Reis wins is to positionally dominate Freire on the ground for 3 rounds, definitely think both guys will prove to be too tough to submit, Freire can take this two ways, ko/tko or decision. has power in both hands and loves to throw flying knees...could see Reis getting caught with one of those on a sloppy take down, although he'll probably be a bit more cautious considering reis's ground game

+2.54 units, made back what i loss for ufc 113

[dooman14]

take carwin over brock

[illmatick]

Arlovski -175.... to win one unit

Amir Sadollah -135 x1

[Vaughany]

Sadollah...interesting!