Actually, I question Ivanov's fight IQ based on that fact that he has no takedowns or at least doesn't attempt them.
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Like Hill, Moraes, Ferg, and Petr Yan here.
Lots of value on Hill and Moraes atm. Slight value on Ferg and Yan.Comment -
Value tossing $1200 at $300......easy $300 maybe-sure but Value?Originally posted by turbozedComment -
I canceled my Cerrone bet, or hedged it out, and then i put 1 unit on Hill instead. Couldnt agree more.Originally posted by turbozed
I like Kattar and Bewon Lewis as well.
Shapes up to be a gigantic night, even with a loss or two, i doubt this isnt going to be one of the most profitable nights this year.
I hope i didnt jinx itComment -
Awesome, thanks. Good luck to us.Originally posted by PaperTrail07Comment -
How is there value on Yan?Originally posted by turbozedComment -
No doubt---if it comes down to 1-for the love of god-HEDGE LOL.....ive been on a streak of whiffing by 1 on my lotto's....
Originally posted by EnfuegoComment -
The line was getting out of control IMO....its dropped to the -300 range and I expect it to stay there.....Originally posted by EnfuegoComment -
55/45 Ferguson to win, 60/40 decision
55/45 Moraes to win, 55/45 decision.
52/48 Kowalkiewicz to win, 62/38 decision.
52/48 Sterling to win, 60/40 decision.
Those are my implied probabilities for this event. I see value on the Over on both Cejudo/Moraes, and Ferg/Cerrone.Comment -
Originally posted by Sanity Check
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Wineland Fight off? Nothing about it---line pulled and off the card on UFC...Comment -
The issue is,, Tony is very good against kickersOriginally posted by jacharron17
He puts tremendous pressure and never stops,
Almost impossible to throw a kick at him;
Check Barboza, Pettis fightsComment -
Agree but Lando ALMOST got him LOL...Originally posted by RetibolComment -
El Cucuy was really hanging in there for a while against Lando, still can't believe how well he recovered after nearly being KOd.Originally posted by PaperTrail07Comment -
Why Tony is the GOAT....I really hope he comes out looking like himself....here is that fight-vredit to Big John for not stepping in.....have seen refs step in w less...
Originally posted by BaraldssonComment -
Such a great fight, had completely forgotten the way Tony backed up towards the cage looking badly rocked (just after 4:00 on video) then immediately throws a spinning elbow. As you say, Paper, that's why he's the GOATOriginally posted by PaperTrail07
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Liking Yan here. Got a few other fights that I'm thinking about as well.Comment -
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What other leans do you have?Originally posted by Hugo de NaranjaComment -
Yeah, I misspoke. At -335 range I don't think there's much value at all on Yan anymore. Played it a while back so haven't been paying attention to the movement.Originally posted by PaperTrail07Comment -
I like Moraes over Cejudo. Would love to see Cejudo get wrecked early. He is one of my least favorite fighters.Originally posted by JC2008Comment -
Same. Got in from (-195) to (-260) when line opened.Originally posted by turbozedComment -
Cejudo and his coach are both arrogant clownsComment -
Originally posted by bjpenn85
That sounds crazy to me because if you watch his fights, I don't see him doing anything at all different in his fights now, that he wasn't doing back when he fought Reis, or even when he lost to Benevidez and DJ. He looks like the same fighter, but the fights seem to be going his way now.Comment -
Would just love to give a big shout out to whatever penetrating whale is out there keeping that Ferguson/Cerrone fight hovering anywhere near even money, when I know plenty of people still taking Ferguson at -250 if it got there. All you can eat on that shit, it's free money.Comment -
Tee up his fight against RDA and then get back to us, buddy.Originally posted by magpie878Comment -
Especially between the DJ and the Benavidez fight, guy did looked much improved in the benavisez fight to many peoples surprise, especially me who had money on benavidez. He wasnt recognizable at all. After that the improvements have been there from fight to fight, but more subtle.Originally posted by RussianMikeComment -
Originally posted by Sanity Check
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Me too man. I can't stand him!! I hope moraes kicks his penetrating head off!!!Originally posted by Hugo de NaranjaComment -
Got a sizeable stake on Moraes around -115 so we're on the same page here.Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
Here's a great breakdown that someone sent me to look at. Think it hits a lot of the major points and is an entertaining read:
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Not sure what you mean. I was asking who BEAT Ferguson and if those losses were legit or flukey.Originally posted by RussianMike
I now see who beat him, but I know nothing else really.Comment -
Cejudo not getting the respect he deserves IMO.....guy looks freskishly roided LOL.....1 step ahead of the juice game....I expect him to overwhelm.....MM is the better standup but the pace cejudo will keep is going to be insanity....---Somehow the ferg fight needs to become 5 rounds...Originally posted by Hugo de NaranjaComment -
Also-the more I think of the Sterling-Munhoz fight, I just see Sterling having a hard time winning walking backwards the entire time....he is great with distance and will get in and out OK, but overall it should begin to look like he is running (round 2-3) and Munhoz will take over....this is an AMAZING fight IMO....it will take the Sterlings best performance yet to pull this off.....not saying he cant....but for +100 Munhoz is the side to be on IMo.......he should be the one that is -120......KO power as well and its always a possibility he KO's/TKO's sterling.....I also feel that if Sterling goes to the ground.....he may pull guard and look for subs rather than try to stand....could he land a sub-sure-but in a 3 round fight against a body type of Munhoz, not AS likely.....and that's a round down most of the time...
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Cejudo can rest his ballsack on your forehead and there is nothing you can do about it.Originally posted by DemonataComment
