UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington (May 12, 2018)

[PaperTrail07]

Does anyone else think a good # of these over/unders are too low? Never seem so many 1.5....

Playing:
Albini over 1.5 -115....
Ferreria Over 1.5....-175...Grapple city..
Souza Gast Over 1.5...-140

[Shagdogy]

Does anyone else think a good # of these over/unders are too low? Never seem so many 1.5....

Playing:
Albini over 1.5 -115....
Ferreria Over 1.5....-175...Grapple city..
Souza Gast Over 1.5...-140

I played the Albini/Oleinik over.

[PaperTrail07]

I like it....TD very possible and also expect a 1-2 min feel out....

I played the Albini/Oleinik over.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Kinda wild movement right....+135 to -120.... GL w tonights fights HUGE.....don't forget Bellator is on as well......Have to like Fitch at -165 right....

Huge Paul Daley fan but think this is a bad matchup for him. I've got Fitch as well.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

paper, I don't see Mo beating Bader...Bader's striking has improved quite a bit and it will be hard for Mo to get him down..

not that fired up for the UFC card, a lot of past their prime fighters...at least we have 2 events.

[UncleChael]

Lyoto Machida by decision +200. Tell em Uncle Chael sent yah.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

Lyoto Machida by decision +200. Tell em Uncle Chael sent yah.

I like that too.

[PaperTrail07]

agree with you....just pisses me off the didn't let king mo fight someone else first but I guess this guarantees a good fight...Not the best card but I am excited for Souza Gast...and the matchups are great....Herman/Leites..Dos Santos Strickland...and if you get bored...flip on over to bellator haha....gotta remember this IS in brazil...Leites Santos may but worth a dice roll......

paper, I don't see Mo beating Bader...Bader's striking has improved quite a bit and it will be hard for Mo to get him down..

not that fired up for the UFC card, a lot of past their prime fighters...at least we have 2 events.

[JIBBBY]

This is a marathon UFC card, 13 total fights.

Don't forget there is also a decent Bellator card going on tonight.. Bader and King Mo...

Gonna be a night full of non stop action.. DVR will be working over time.. ...

http://www.ufc.com/event/UFC-224?f1=Markus-Perez&f2=James-Bochnovic

[JIBBBY]

Lyoto Machida by decision +200. Tell em Uncle Chael sent yah.

Machida by KO at +170 for me.. Vitor is old and washed up, chin is suspect now and he will get touched up Machida.. Machida is still a sniper with this strikes.. I think he connects and drops Vitor at some point.. May retire him..

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington Picks:
Markus Perez Round 1 Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
Ramazan Emeev Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Jack Hermansson Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Warlley Alves Round 1 Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Davi Ramos Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Aleksei Oliynik Round 1 Submission (Neck Crank)
Karl Roberson Round 1 KO (Punches)
Lyoto Machida Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
John Lineker Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Mackenzie Dern Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Ronaldo Souza Round 1 Submission (Kimura)
Amanda Nunes Split Decision (48-47 x2, 47-48)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Perez vs. Bochnovic
Perez+Bochnovic Under 1.5 (+120) 1.25u
Perez Submission (+240) 1.25u

Fight #2: Emeev vs. Mina
Mina Scorecards = No Action (+148) 1u

Fight #3: Hermansson vs. Leites
Hermansson -3.5 (+145) .5u

Hedge(s):
Leites ITD (+320) .5u
Leites Submission (+600) .5u

Fight #4: Alves vs. Aliev
Alves ITD (+165) 1u
Alves Submission (+210) 1u
Alves Round 1 (+350) .5u

Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

Fight #5: Zaleski dos Santos vs. Strickland
Zaleski dos Santos (+100) 2.5u
Zaleski dos Santos Round 3 (+1400) .5u

Fight #6: Hein vs. Ramos
Ramos ITD (+290) 1u
Ramos KO/TKO (+1060) .5u

Fight #7: Oliynik vs. Albini
Oliynik (+105) 1u
Oliynik Scorecards = No Action (+145) 1u
Oliynik ITD (+245) 1u
Oliynik Round 1 (+475) .5u
Oliynik+Albini Draw (+8500) .25u

Fight #8: Roberson vs. Ferreira
Roberson (-115) 2.3u to win 2u
Roberson KO/TKO (+275) 1u
Roberson Round 1 (+375) 1u
Roberson Submission (+1075) .25u

Main Card:

Fight #9: Machida vs. Belfort
Belfort KO/TKO (+430) 1u

Fight #10: Lineker vs. Kelleher
Lineker+Kelleher Won’t Go Distance (+155) 1u
Lineker+Kelleher Under 2.5 (+200) 1u
Lineker ITD (+245) 1u

Hedge(s):
Kelleher ITD (+875) .5u
Kelleher Submission (+1200) .5u

Fight #11: Dern vs. Cooper
Dern ITD (+152) 2u
Dern KO/TKO (+1300) .5u

Hedge:
Cooper Decision (+485) .5u

Fight #12: Souza vs. Gastelum
Souza (+105) 1.25u
Souza Submission (+235) 1.5u
Souza KO/TKO (+925) .5u

Hedge:
Gastelum Decision (+600) 1u

Fight #13: Nunes (C) vs. Pennington
Pennington +5.5 (+350) 1u
Pennington (+537) 3u
Pennington Decision (+1155) .5u

Hedge:
Nunes Split/Majority Decision (+890) 1u

Straight Parlays:
Dern/Souza (+141) 2u

Prop Parlays:
None

Full Card Props:
Over 6.5 Fights Go Distance (+140) 1.25u
Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+345) .5u
Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+901) .25u

Multi-Event Parlays:
Dern/Holloway (+112) 1u

[Sanity Check]

Does anyone else think a good # of these over/unders are too low? Never seem so many 1.5....
Playing:
Albini over 1.5 -115....
Ferreria Over 1.5....-175...Grapple city..
Souza Gast Over 1.5...-140

Is the rio de janeiro arena the one lacking air conditioning where it can get 90 degrees F where the fights take place?

Or was that the sao paulo arena / other?

If its the hot arena, I would think a lot of overs could hit. Good eye.

[JIBBBY]

Hedging my ass off in this event..

How I'm playing it.. $50 to $100 per bet...

1) Bochovic sub/ hedged Perez ITD. Have the UNDER as well.
2) Emeev Dec/hedged Mina Rnd 1 finish
3) Leites sub/hedged Hermusson Dec
4) Alves sub/hedged Aliev KO
5) Strickland dec/hedged Santos KO
6) Ramos Sub/hedged Hien Dec
7) Albini ITD/Over 1.5
8) Robertson Rnd 1/ hedged Ferreirra Sub
9) Machida KO
10) Kelleher Sub/ Under 2.5
11) Dern Sub
12) Gas KO
13) Nunes KO


Good luck everyone!!!

[Hugo de Naranja]

Hedging my ass off in this event..

How I'm playing it.. $50 to $100 per bet...

1) Bochovic sub/ hedged Perez ITD. Have the UNDER as well.
2) Emeev Dec/hedged Mina Rnd 1 finish
3) Leites sub/hedged Hermusson Dec
4) Alves sub/hedged Aliev KO
5) Strickland dec/hedged Santos KO
6) Ramos Sub/hedged Hien Dec
7) Albini ITD/Over 1.5
8) Robertson Rnd 1/ hedged Ferreirra Sub
9) Machida KO
10) Kelleher Sub/ Under 2.5
11) Dern Sub
12) Gas KO
13) Nunes KO


Good luck everyone!!!

Good luck brother!

[JIBBBY]

Good luck brother!

Thanks same back to ya Hugo!! Let's win some money ..

[Teem]

Nunes - DEC
Souza - SUB - RD 2
Dern - SUB - RD 1
Lineker - DEC
Machida - DEC
Roberson - KO/TKO - RD 1
Giant Baby - DEC
Hein - DEC
Strickland - DEC
Alves - SUB - RD 1
Hermansson - DEC
Emeev - DEC
Perez - DEC

[Shagdogy]

UFC 224 bets
Perez/Boch u1.5, +129, win 1u
Alves/Aliev Doesn't go to decision, -110, win 1u
Zaleski dos Santos +103, risk 1u
Ramos KO/TKO +1001, risk .25u
Oleinik/Albini o1.5, -126, win 1u
Roberson KO/TKO +250, risk 1u
Roberson/Ferreiro Doesn't go to decision -158, win 1u
Dern sub +126, win 1u
Jacare -145, win 1u
Pennington +585, risk .5u
Pennington/Nunes Goes to decision +180, win 1u

Jacare/Dern parlay, +158, win 1u
Alves/Dern parlay -110, win 1u


Got a lot going on tonight. More props than I ever play... risky IMO so I'm a bit nervous but wasn't loving many of the MLs so lets see if I can snatch a few of these. Good luck everyone!

[Hugo de Naranja]

Great start to the night!

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC 224 bets
Perez/Boch u1.5, +129, win 1u
Alves/Aliev Doesn't go to decision, -110, win 1u
Zaleski dos Santos +103, risk 1u
Ramos KO/TKO +1001, risk .25u
Oleinik/Albini o1.5, -126, win 1u
Roberson KO/TKO +250, risk 1u
Roberson/Ferreiro Doesn't go to decision -158, win 1u
Dern sub +126, win 1u
Jacare -145, win 1u
Pennington +585, risk .5u
Pennington/Nunes Goes to decision +180, win 1u

Jacare/Dern parlay, +158, win 1u
Alves/Dern parlay -110, win 1u


Got a lot going on tonight. More props than I ever play... risky IMO so I'm a bit nervous but wasn't loving many of the MLs so lets see if I can snatch a few of these. Good luck everyone!

Props are for champs. Let's get it!

[JC2008]

Great start to the night!

Thanks Hugo! You are a bad man!!

[JIBBBY]

Yup I had ITD so that sub works.. Under hits too!! All good..

[Shagdogy]

jimmy smith as solo color guy is kinda annoying right now.

[Shagdogy]

Emeev looks good at 170, but Mina will bring the heat here and knows how to finish. Its a tall order for Mina but i hope he comes out guns blazing.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Added Parlays:
Emeev/Hermansson/Alves+Aliev Under 2.5 (+497) .5u
Dern+Cooper Under 2.5/Souza/Nunes+Pennington Over 2.5 (+544) .25u
Zaleski dos Santos/Ramos/Oliynik (+664) .5u
Roberson/Machida Decision/Lineker -3.5 (+910) .25u

[Hugo de Naranja]

Went to place a last minute bet on Mina KO/TKO but line got taken down. Damn.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Don't understand why odds on Jacare continue to drop. Going to be adding to that.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Added:
Souza (-120) 3u to win 2.5u
Hermansson -3.5 (+165) .5u
Zaleski dos Santos Decision (+170) 1u
Lineker Submission (+985) .5u

[JIBBBY]

No robbery here please.. In Brazil I get nervous with these judges...

[JIBBBY]

That Emeev decision works. .. Hedges are working out so far.. I'll take this hope it continues..

$100.00

$200.00

Win

5/12/18 6:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2111 Emeev wins by 3 round decision +200* vs Not Emeev by 3 round decision

Hedged

$50.00

$250.00

Loss

5/12/18 6:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2115 Mina wins in round 1 +500* vs Any other result

[JIBBBY]

Lietes sub would work here next..

[PhoKing]

Leites is so bad.... so lucky his opp got injured

[JIBBBY]

Damn I thought Lietes was gonna get that side choke there.. So close..

[JC2008]

YES!!!!

[PhoKing]

ahahahhahahahhaaaa